Theralase Technologies Inc. V.TLT

Repost of Speculative Share Price

[99942Apophis]

This will hopefully play out after a major number of patients have been treated. Post from a couple of weeks ago.


Ok skys1 let's look at PE ( the share price to earnings ratio), I see you use an estimate of 300,000,000 shares to an estimated 3 billion offer to buyout the company equals $10.00. So in an established listed senior stock they have roughly a PE ratio of 20 to 25 lets use both to see what that actual individual share price would be, take $10.00 ÷ 20 = $0.50 profit a share or $10.00 ÷ 25 = $0.40 profit a share. Perhaps you know how PE works but some don't and what it means is if TLT'S yearly net profit was $0.40 and it was a slow earning senior company it could be awarded a PE multiple of 25 for that 40 cents which comes out to $10.00.
In a previous post I projected a theoretical profit! If Theralase were in its first year for only profits on NMIBC. So first year TLT might get 10% of the estimated 96,000 bladder patients from only Canada & US (ignoring the possible profit from the rest of the world) so 9,600 is 10% X 50,000 a patient or 100,000 or 150,000? Let's use 50K that comes to $480,000,000 now let's say cost to the company to earn that amount was $280,000,000 so net profit is 200 million ( all fictitious numbers ) so 200 million divided by total shares of 300 million is $0.67 profit for each share with even a low PE ratio of 20 we get $13.40. I would think if they do well they will be awarded a speculative PE ratio of 50 ( $33.50 ) or 75 ( $50.25 ).
My argument against a 3 billion buyout is the hugh profit capability of this company and in my biased opinion $10.00 is a slap in the face.

[skys1]

Apophis, I agree with all your figures. The point I was trying to make is that because of the money, power, & influence of Big Pharma they are going to want this not only for the worldwide profit potential a cure for cancer could bring, but their current $billions in revenue will disdsapear if they don't make a move. So the question is will Big Pharma use it's clout to gobble up TLT or

[99942Apophis]

Hi skys1 that has also been on my mind too we can only hope some sort of franchise agreement will be reached with Theralase for all the large world Pharmaceutical companies. If an arrangement can't be reach we could witness a very ugly multi Pharmaceutical price war amongst themselves as to who will win.Ugly war for them really good for Theralase's shareholders. Then of course the other

[blackjack0]

And when the market finally realize that this treatment will work the same on other indications the potential is enormous. Not to forget they have a potentially much better alternative in TLD1633

[menoalittle]

mmmm.... maybe for the heck of it me buys a couple k more at the open to help give it a little wake up kick in the buttocks... lol.

[menoalittle]

my goodness... appears it certainly didn't need any of my help jumping right out of bed this morning! yea! run, baby, run.

[Lesalpes29]

Bought at .27 to average up! I really prefer this way!

[Rumpl3StiltSkin]

Nice!! :-)