Theralase Technologies Inc. V.TLT

Next week's trial result update

[Eoganacht]

Next week we should get an update on the trial results. The last one we got was on May 30 and looked like this:

CR 90 days	CR 180 days	CR 270 days	CR 360 days
60%	53%	43%	36%
32 out of 53	26 out of 49	18 out of 42	14 out of 39

The CR rate at 450 days (33%) won't likely change as there weren't any patients diplayed on the swimmer's plot at 360 days waiting for their 450 day evaluation. Here is the best case scenario we could see next week. This assumes that all of the 5 patients waiting for their 90 day evaluation are CR.

CR 90 days	CR 180 days	CR 270 days	CR 360 days
64%	53%	49%	38%
37 out of 58	28 out of 53	24 out of 49	16 out of 42

We will have to wait a while to see a big improvement in the 450 day results: The May 30 results looked like this:

CR 450 days

33%

13 out of 39

In 6 months, if all goes well. the 450 day results could look like this:

CR 450 days

41%

20 out of 49

[Eoganacht]

It looks like we are headed for a 450 day CR rate of around 40% in 6 months. Is it possible Theralase is waiting for this result before submitting their BTD application - so as to remove all doubt about durable complete response? 

[Legit62]

The question then remains Eoganacht whats more needed to get BTD and AA with this phenominal data??

[charlierock]

I'm looking forward to the next update. It appears to be the most promising and eventually the best treatment available as each update verifies the continued improvement in the data plus the lack of negative side effects and treatment being done on a outpatient basis. However management needs to convey to us shareholders the status of a BTD application which was supposed to happen  in

[N0taP00p]

Thank you for keeping it sane around here with summary data and feasible projections, Eoganacht.  I'm hoping that the collective hope that is riding on "next week, next NR, next month, next quarter, after AUA, after AGM" , etc. is soon going to be history.  In a good way.  If they indeed applied for BTD right after the AGM, we should hear back in a few weeks. Even

[99942Apophis]

Good chance we'll see 450 days between 40.5%  - 42.8%  I keep looking over my should for the police to arrest me for buying shares & warrants at such great prices, I haven't been this happy since I won the lottery. 

[enriquesuave]

Nice post!  If we can at least maintain results or show a slight improvement, then we are golden.  IMHO.

[FGPstock]

  Ego, you definitely do your homework and add a lot of insight. But why do you feel Tlt would b in the middle of a pp if they were about to announce great numbers. Being the 21st, I am pretty sure they should already have the data in hand

[Eoganacht]

I don't know FGPstock. My guess would be that they don't have any serious bites from big pharma yet and I would attribute that to the fact that Theralase is breaking new ground. Big pharmas may be slow to change direction given all the money they have coming in with their current pipelines. How many anti-cancer photodynamic therapies is big pharma currently involved in? I believe that at

[FGPstock]

Agree that fantastic clinical data would bring in new investors. Just doesn't make sense to do a PP on the cusp of such news and practically speaking, if they already have the data and are doing a PP, per Roger, it seems like it may cause a conflict of interest as typically, management invests in its own PP's.

[Eoganacht]

I think we already have fantastic clinical data and so far there's been no news about alternate sources of financing. Next week's news should be only a little bit better, as is clear from the May 30 swimmer's plot. But in 6 months time I'm hoping the news will be substantially better.