Join today and have your say! It’s FREE!

Become a member today, It's free!

We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.
Please Try Again
{{ error }}
By providing my email, I consent to receiving investment related electronic messages from Stockhouse.

or

Sign In

Please Try Again
{{ error }}
Password Hint : {{passwordHint}}
Forgot Password?

or

Please Try Again {{ error }}

Send my password

SUCCESS
An email was sent with password retrieval instructions. Please go to the link in the email message to retrieve your password.

Become a member today, It's free!

We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.
Quote  |  Bullboard  |  News  |  Opinion  |  Profile  |  Peers  |  Filings  |  Financials  |  Options  |  Price History  |  Ratios  |  Ownership  |  Insiders  |  Valuation

Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Woulfe Mining Corp WFEMF

Woulfe Mining Corp is a mineral exploration company. It is engaged in the acquisition, exploration and development of mineral properties.

GREY:WFEMF - Post Discussion

Woulfe Mining Corp > Valuation
View:
Post by professorchaos on Mar 30, 2012 6:14pm

Valuation

Since the SP has been rickety, I think it's a good time to go through recent history:

 

1. Instead of the Korea Zinc deal, woulfe managed to get a more lucrative deal from an extrordinarily successful off-taker who *needs* the resource for strategic reasons.

 

2. Drilling results came back with a 25% higher grade than anticipated

 

3. The lab work came back, with recovery 7.6% (= [0.85 - 0.79]/0.79) better than anticipated recovery

 

If you combine these three things, it works out to:

Instead of 49%, woulfe owns 75% of sangdong. Without complicating things with the APT JVC's costs and earnings, we can already expect woulfe's earnings from concentrate sales to be worth 53% more than they would have been with KZ. workings: [0.75 - 0.49]/0.49 = 0.53)

Because of the increased grade and the increased recovery, sales are going to be 34.5% higher than anticipated. Workings: 1.25*1.076 = 1.345

 

So in total, relative to just a few months ago, woulfe's portion of the value of sales (and that means our revenue per share, too) has increased by 105.7%. Most of that increase is made up of increased ownership in sangdong, but a major chunk is attributable to increases in WO3 recovered. This is important, because gains from this translate into lower costs per MTU (since you're getting the more WO3 per unit of processing work). And this, of course, means lower total operating costs, and therefore even higher earnings. And again, this isn't even  taking the APT JVC into account.

 

Seeing the stock price stay at these levels hurts me, because even though I keep saying it, I seriously think I'm 100% out of capital now! The news just keeps getting better and better! I can't wait to see the BFS!

 

Congrats to those of you still able to buy it up. Someone called this stock a zip code changer. But given the long term prospects here, I think we might be looking at a trust fund maker.

GLTA longs, as always!

Comment by professorchaos on Mar 30, 2012 7:40pm
The really strange (great) thing is how there hasn't been *any* bad news. There have been delays, but they have been for fantastic reasons (IMC instead of KZ backing, moving to a chinese lab to get higher recovery). I mean, with this many moving parts, management must be doing an absolutely brilliant job all around.   The closest thing we've had to bad news was that insider sale that ...more  
Comment by CJHallee on Mar 31, 2012 9:23am
I agree with what you are saying professorchaos but the market doesn't take kindly to delays in deadlines and I'm wondering if the market isn't a little doubtful that the announced production timeline might not be met as well.  Hopefully once the BFS is out and we secure financing this all becomes a little more clear.  Just my opinion.
Comment by Majormac79 on Mar 31, 2012 4:11pm
Its been a tough market with the rollercoaster news on manufacturing and GDP numbers over the last year but im sure we are nonetheless carrying on into a recovery. I hate seeing these so called analysists with bloomberg that try and make false negative predictions one day only to write good result the next day. Its like they are shorting the market trying to make money off the herd mentality ...more  
Comment by professorchaos on Mar 31, 2012 6:58pm
If I understand what the BFS is, it's purpose is to provide a conservative estimate of operations, with a 95% confidence interval within +/-15% of the estimate. But remember, this is a conservative estimate. Management has to balance two needs: provide accurate information and not get taken over.   Avoiding a takeover means not letting the company get even more undervalued (hence their ...more  
Comment by AAA-1 on Mar 31, 2012 7:05pm
Warren is buying!   this person too.   no brainer
The Market Update
{{currentVideo.title}} {{currentVideo.relativeTime}}
< Previous bulletin
Next bulletin >

At the Bell logo
A daily snapshot of everything
from market open to close.

{{currentVideo.companyName}}
{{currentVideo.intervieweeName}}{{currentVideo.intervieweeTitle}}
< Previous
Next >
Dealroom for high-potential pre-IPO opportunities
USER FEEDBACK SURVEY ×

Be the voice that helps shape the content on site!

At Stockhouse, we’re committed to delivering content that matters to you. Your insights are key in shaping our strategy. Take a few minutes to share your feedback and help influence what you see on our site!

The Market Online in partnership with Stockhouse