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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Long Run Explor Ltd Ord WFREF

"Long Run Exploration Ltd is engaged in the development, exploration and production of oil and natural gas in western Canada."

GREY:WFREF - Post Discussion

Long Run Explor Ltd Ord > Sprott's report
View:
Post by wilwal on May 24, 2015 6:52am

Sprott's report

One of our participants kindly posted a link to Sprott's report here:


Sprott Report


I would suggest being careful about reading old reports. This report goes back to last year before the full collapse of oil prices and while Sprott was still anticipating yield from dividends.

The environment for oil investing has changed considerably. No longer is the top end of oil prices expected to be sustained at $100-110. We are now looking at $75-80 for top end over the long run. This changes the outlook on all oil companies. Mitigating some of that is a lower cost environment but regardless, valuations are now changed for the long term with shale being capable of being produced at $65-$75/bbl. and that holds back oil prices.

The only way for investors to get out of the bind is to recognize that many companies such as LRE are undervalued at the moment and that losses are only going to be recouped by averaging down. Averaging down is usually a terrible strategy when a company is in terminal decline and investors get into a value trap. However, a company like LRE has been hit hard due to their high levels of debt and will see a price increase from here when they pay down a significant amount of that debt.
Comment by Reflect on May 24, 2015 10:10am
Wilwag why are you always trying to discredit me. If you did do your dd you would know as everyone who has been following this blog that I have been buying down since Jan. 2015 & not blindly. I have mentioned many times on this blog for others to buy down if they could afford it & gave specific following reasons to do this; not just to try to impress somebody & blow smoke. I’ve already ...more  
Comment by Reflect on May 24, 2015 10:11am
This does nothing to change the fact: SPROATT AVERAGE SHARE PRICE IS $3.19. 
Comment by thefabergegg on May 25, 2015 8:57am
so what? you think every investments they make is a winner? 
Comment by Reflect on May 25, 2015 11:05am
C'on thefaberegg: What this says is that Sprott along with Franklin have a major say in LRE & settling for a loss I don't believe is in their cards. If you read the report & the others available on line & do dd you would understand the offerings by LRE. When I calculate my average price I divide the total amount paid by the total amount of shares I own. I do not factor in any ...more  
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