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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum FormerXBC Inc XEBEQ

Xebec Adsorption Inc designs, engineers, and manufactures products that are used for purification, separation, dehydration, and filtration equipment for gases and compressed air. The company operates in three reportable segments: Systems, Corporate and other, and Support. Its product lines are natural gas dryers for natural gas refueling stations, compressed gas filtration, biogas purification,... see more

GREY:XEBEQ - Post Discussion

FormerXBC Inc > Craig-Hallum - Stock Opportunity summary
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Post by Ciao on Aug 19, 2021 9:38am

Craig-Hallum - Stock Opportunity summary

US investors appear to value stocks more agressively than their Canadian counterparts. This is reflected by analysts reports. As a counter to TD's report, here is the perspective from Craig Hallum who are taking a more forward looking approach.

Craig-Hallum has a $6USD target price (was $7USD) , in summary;

STOCK OPPORTUNITY
Xebec should see meaningful multi-year growth as its products, services and
projects capitalize on the secular shift towards RNG and hydrogen driven by
sustainability goals, government policy (LCFS in the U.S., CFS in Canada), and
gas utilities facing the threat of customer loss due to electrification. Longer term,
we think the company can generate ~C$300M in revenue, ~C$80M in EBITDA,
and ~C$0.50 in EPS in the coming years We think this supports a share price of
US$10-US$12 over the medium term (5x EV/S, 20x EV/EBITDA, 30x P/E).
Our one-year price target of US$6 is based on a ~6.5x EV/S multiple on CY22E,
with the treasury method on all in-the-money equity equivalents. We believe this
multiple is appropriate given the secular growth shift globally towards RNG,
meaningful revenue growth and profitability expected (with profitability
something that is hard to come by in the cleantech space), and valuation relative
to comparable companies (~13.5x, which would result in a $12 stock price).
Comment by sumpineh on Aug 19, 2021 10:46am
Thanks for the positive post.We could use the US exposure.
Comment by tamaracktop on Aug 19, 2021 1:53pm
Finally For once an analyst who thinks farther down the road than a few months. This is excatly the argument I was trying to make in a post just yesterday. So the Craig-Hallum has a one-year target of $7.60 Cdn and a "medium-term" target of $15.30 Cdn. That's nice, although it probably seems far-fetched to many here. It isn't. Perhaps I misread his rationale, but if not, I ...more  
Comment by tamaracktop on Aug 19, 2021 2:09pm
My apologies.  His eps estimate is in C $ You can revise those targets accordingly.
Comment by tamaracktop on Aug 19, 2021 2:15pm
A little confusing when he switches currencies
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