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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum FormerXBC Inc XEBEQ

Xebec Adsorption Inc designs, engineers, and manufactures products that are used for purification, separation, dehydration, and filtration equipment for gases and compressed air. The company operates in three reportable segments: Systems, Corporate and other, and Support. Its product lines are natural gas dryers for natural gas refueling stations, compressed gas filtration, biogas purification,... see more

GREY:XEBEQ - Post Discussion

FormerXBC Inc > Shorts on US side
View:
Post by Ciao on Dec 31, 2021 1:21pm

Shorts on US side

Been trying to understand the disconnect between the fundamentals of the company and the share price (significantly improving fundamentals but a declining share price). Fundamentally the worse is over for the company, no reason for it to be trading at just above book value: a valuation given to companies that are not growing rev., financially stressed and are assigned this liquidation value. All the other cleantech stocks are trading at 3 plus times book, with much less rev growth or a business model that will take years before they become EBITDA positive.

We've been looking at the short interest on the CDN side (about 4.08M shares as of Dec 15), relative to daily trading volumes, less than 10 days to cover.  Not considered a lot. Over on the US side there are 3.8M shares shorted. Historically, a very high number of shares as it takes much much more than 10 days to cover.

With trading being dominant on the CDN side, someone could easily depress the share price with offers, ie. 50K in the $2.50 range to protect over 8M (US and CDN side) shares which need to be covered.

Once this stock moves (ie. overall cleantech rally or company specific news) I can see the shorts hitting the ask to cover. It'll be a domino effect creating a volatile move on the upside.

SHORT INTEREST
DATE
SHORT INTEREST
% CHANGE
AVG. DAILY SHARE VOL
DAYS TO COVER
SPLIT
NEW ISSUE
12/15/2021 3,823,925 9.70 122,529 31.21 No No
11/30/2021 3,485,693 -10.51 70,125 49.71 No No
11/15/2021 3,895,146 13.91 121,999 31.93 No No
10/29/2021 3,419,635 7.71 48,612 70.35 No No
10/15/2021 3,174,899 36.27 57,880 54.85 No No
09/30/2021 2,329,844 -14.67 94,416 24.68 No No
09/15/2021 2,730,282 -7.34 37,301 73.2 No No
08/31/2021 2,946,520 2.53 36,533 80.65 No No
08/13/2021 2,873,713 5.65 205,415 13.99 No No
07/30/2021 2,719,936 4.68 13,139 207.01 No No
Level 2 Quote Montage: MMID - OTC Link Inside Quote | MMID - OTC Link Quote | cMMID - Closed Quote | U - Unpriced Quote | MMIDu - Unsolicited Quote. All trade/quote prices in USD.
Comment by Gann999 on Dec 31, 2021 2:38pm
what I don't understand about all this is by putting 50k on the ask side doesn't that in turn cost them even more and if it fails to bring the sp any lower and only serves to keep it at current levels what would be the benefit of incurring additional costs?
Comment by Ciao on Dec 31, 2021 5:24pm
Putting up a wall of shares encourages; 1) traders or weak hands to sell just below the wall of resistance 2) discourages shorters from covering their position until the wall is removed (shorters have no reason to cover in a flat or declining share price) There's no cost to the shorts until their asks are hit, and the stock continues to climb up. How many times have we've heard, the ...more  
Comment by Ciao on Dec 31, 2021 8:14pm
Putting up a wall of shares also discourages buyers who would rather buy in the absence of a wall of resistanc. They may buy after the wall is taken out (some will set stop limit buy orders above the resistance price).
Comment by Gann999 on Dec 31, 2021 8:42pm
Thanks I better understand it now. Happy New Years
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