-
Net earnings attributable to common shareholders grow 6.6% to $566
million; Adjusted earnings per share up 11.6% to $0.77
-
Strong Wireless and Media EBITDA growth of 11.6% and 21.0%,
respectively, drives 2.1% increase in total Bell EBITDA; consolidated
EBITDA margin expands to 37.7%
-
Postpaid net activations of 59,497 reflect improved customer churn and
continued strong adoption of smartphones, now representing 68% of
postpaid base; wireless service margin increases to 44.9% on 7.2%
higher service revenue
-
Bell Fibe TV adds 47,463 net new customers, a 41.9% increase
-
Improving Bell Wireline revenue and EBITDA trajectories driven by
positive subscriber results in expanding Fibe TV footprint; ongoing
cost savings
MONTREAL, May 9, 2013 /PRNewswire/ - BCE Inc. (TSX, NYSE: BCE), Canada's
largest communications company, today reported BCE and Bell results for
the first quarter (Q1) of 2013.
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
|
|
|
|
|
($ millions except per share amounts) (unaudited)
|
|
Q1 2013
|
Q1 2012
|
% change
|
Bell(i)
|
|
|
|
|
Operating revenues
|
|
4,348
|
4,334
|
0.3%
|
EBITDA
|
|
1,641
|
1,608
|
2.1%
|
BCE
|
|
|
|
|
Operating revenues
|
|
4,919
|
4,910
|
0.2%
|
EBITDA
|
|
1,962
|
1,929
|
1.7%
|
Net earnings attributable to common shareholders
|
|
566
|
531
|
6.6%
|
EPS
|
|
0.73
|
0.69
|
5.8%
|
Adjusted EPS
|
|
0.77
|
0.69
|
11.6%
|
Cash flows from operating activities
|
|
1,040
|
1,202
|
(13.5%)
|
Free cash flow
|
|
247
|
331
|
(25.4%)
|
(i) Bell includes the Bell Wireless, Bell Wireline and Bell Media segments.
|
BCE reported Q1 net earnings attributable to common shareholders of $566
million, up 6.6% from $531 million last year, and adjusted net earnings(1) attributable to common shareholders of $599 million, an increase of
11.5% compared to $537 million in Q1 2012. Earnings per share (EPS) of
$0.73 and Adjusted EPS of $0.77 were up 5.8% and 11.6%, respectively,
compared to EPS and Adjusted EPS of $0.69 in Q1 2012. The increase in
Adjusted EPS was due to higher EBITDA(2), recognition of a pension surplus entitlement, and net gains on equity
derivative contracts entered into to hedge our share-based compensation
liabilities.
BCE's cash flows from operating activities were $1,040 million in Q1
2013, compared to $1,202 million in Q1 2012. Free cash flow(3) available to BCE's common shareholders was $247 million, compared to
$331 million last year. The decrease is attributable primarily to the
timing of cash receipts and higher income taxes paid compared to last
year.
At the end of Q1, BCE (including Bell Canada and Bell Aliant) served a
total of 7,815,475 wireless subscribers, up 3.6% from Q1 2012; total TV
subscribers of 2,307,224, a 5.0% increase; total high-speed Internet
subscribers of 3,044,285, up 1.3%; and total NAS lines of 7,995,755, a
decrease of 7.0%.
BELL RESULTS
Bell operating revenues increased 0.3% to $4,348 million, driven by an
increase in service revenues of 1.3%, reflecting growth in wireless,
TV, Internet, media and business services such as data hosting and
cloud computing.
Bell EBITDA increased 2.1% to $1,641 million, driven by strong EBITDA
growth of 11.6% at Bell Wireless and 21.0% at Bell Media, moderated by
a 4.5% decline at Bell Wireline. Bell's consolidated EBITDA margin
expanded to 37.7% in Q1 2013 from 37.1% in Q1 2012, due to strong
wireless revenue flow-through, diminishing wireline voice erosion,
subsiding wireline costs related to growing Bell's Fibe TV customer
base, and continued wireline operating cost savings.
"Industry-leading investment in next-generation networks and services
continues to drive Bell's transformation," said George Cope, President
and Chief Executive Officer of BCE and Bell. "With the Bell team's
focused execution of our 6 Strategic Imperatives, our operating mix is
increasingly dominated by wireless, TV, media and Internet growth
services - now representing more than 80% of Bell's revenue."
"In wireless, accelerating smartphone adoption and data usage on
Canada's largest LTE network supported strong revenue and EBITDA growth
and decreased customer churn. Fast-growing Fibe TV is bringing enhanced
competition and consumer choice to Canadian television while supporting
growth in our share of three-product households, as customers
increasingly bundle Bell Fibe Internet and Home Phone with Fibe TV.
Growth in business IP connectivity and data services such as hosting
and cloud computing also contributed to improving wireline results,
while Bell Media's content leadership and strong execution supported
significant EBITDA and cash flow growth," said Mr. Cope.
Bell is committed to achieving a clear goal - to be recognized by
customers as Canada's leading communications company - through the
execution of 6 Strategic Imperatives: Invest in Broadband Networks &
Services, Accelerate Wireless, Leverage Wireline Momentum, Expand Media
Leadership, Improve Customer Service, and Achieve a Competitive Cost
Structure.
"We delivered a solid set of financial results in the first quarter of
2013, highlighted by healthy growth in EBITDA and earnings per share.
Our dependable cash flow profile supports our ongoing strategic capital
programs, as well as the increased common share dividend for 2013,"
said Siim Vanaselja, Chief Financial Officer for BCE and Bell. "Our
wireless and wireline operations have a positive profile and are well
complemented by Bell Media, which continues to deliver solid
profitability. With a good start to the year across all our operating
segments and no fundamental changes in outlook, our 2013 financial plan
is on track as we reconfirm today all our guidance targets for the
year."
BELL OPERATING RESULTS BY SEGMENT
In Q1 2013, Bell benefitted from strong wireless financial performance
and operating results; improving wireline revenue and EBITDA, supported
by ongoing operating cost savings; and significant EBITDA and cash flow
growth from Bell Media in a tough advertising market.
Bell invested $594 million in new capital in the first quarter of 2013
to support the continued deployment of next-generation wireline and
wireless broadband platforms. This was a 12.6% decrease compared to Q1
2012, reflecting higher initial rollout costs for the construction of
Bell's 4G LTE mobile network in major urban markets and rapid retail
store expansion in Western Canada early last year.
Bell Wireless
Bell Wireless operating revenues increased 6.3% from $1,326 million in
Q1 2012 to $1,409 million in Q1 2013. Service revenues grew 7.2% to
$1,303 million due to a larger smartphone base and higher blended
average revenue per user (ARPU), fuelled by an increased proportion of
postpaid subscribers from Western Canada and increased use of data
services like Bell Mobile TV by smartphone customers.
Data revenue grew 23.9% in Q1 and now represents 39.3% of blended ARPU.
Bell Wireless EBITDA grew 11.6% from $524 million in Q1 2012 to $585
million in Q1 2013, delivering a 1.8 percentage-point improvement in
service margin to 44.9% from 43.1% last year.
-
Postpaid net additions of 59,497 in Q1 2013 were supported by higher
year-over-year postpaid gross activations and lower customer churn.
Postpaid gross activations increased to 295,136 in Q1 from 293,572 last
year, reflecting a strong line-up of superphones and other mobile
devices, expanded distribution and strong sales and marketing
execution.
-
Prepaid net customer losses decreased to 68,454 in Q1 2013 due to fewer
customer deactivations. Ongoing net losses in prepaid activations
reflect aggressive acquisition offers from competitors targeted at
lower-ARPU customers and Bell's continued focus on postpaid smartphone
subscriber acquisition.
-
Smartphone users represented 68% of total postpaid subscribers at the
end of Q1, compared to 52% a year earlier. Bell Wireless customers
totaled 7,672,075 at the end of the quarter, an increase of 3.6%.
-
Postpaid customer churn improved to 1.25% from 1.35% in Q1 2012,
reflecting investments in customer service and retention and lower
deactivation rates on smartphones compared to other devices. Prepaid
churn also improved 16 basis points to 3.79% this quarter.
-
Blended ARPU increased 3.9% to $55.92 in the quarter, representing a
thirteenth consecutive quarter of year-over-year improvement. The
growth is driven by a higher proportion of postpaid customers,
increased smartphone adoption and postpaid customer growth in
higher-ARPU regions, such as Western Canada.
-
Cost of acquisition remained essentially stable, increasing $5 to $404
per gross activation, reflecting handset pricing discipline and the
benefit of the new Blackberry Z10 smartphone in Bell's device line-up.
-
Retention spending in the quarter held steady at 10.3% of wireless
service revenues compared to 9.8% in Q1 2012, reflecting discipline in
device discounting and upgrades.
-
Bell continues to offer customers access to Canada's largest 4G LTE
network, increasing population coverage with the addition of 35 new
markets in Q1. 4G LTE from Bell now reaches approximately 70% of the
Canadian population, complementing the 4G HSPA+ and enhanced 4G HSPA+
DC (Dual Cell) networks that offer coast-to-coast coverage to more than
97% and more than 83% of the population, respectively.
Bell Wireline
The pace of decline in Bell's traditional wireline revenues improved
over every quarter in 2012, decreasing 2.8% in Q1 2013 to $2,508
million from $2,579 million in Q1 2012. This reflects steady Fibe TV
and Fibe Internet customer growth, slowing voice revenue decline, and
lower upfront discounts and credits on bundle offers.
Bell Wireline EBITDA decreased 4.5% in Q1 2013 to $958 million from
$1,003 million in Q1 2012, while margins were in line with plan at
38.2% (compared to 38.9% in Q1 2012), reflecting a $26 million, or
1.6%, reduction in operating costs. Wireline EBITDA was impacted by
charges totalling $14 million related to a CRTC decision affecting
Bell's wholesale high-speed access services business. Excluding this
regulatory impact, Bell Wireline EBITDA declined 3.1% with a stable
year-over-year margin of 38.8%.
-
Bell Fibe TV added 47,463 net new customers in Q1 2013, a 41.9% increase
over the 33,443 gained in the first quarter of 2012. At the end of Q1,
Bell Fibe TV subscribers totalled 295,761, up 147% over last year.
-
Combined Bell Satellite TV and Fibe TV net additions decreased to 13,971
this quarter, due to lower year-over-year satellite TV net activations
attributable to aggressive offers from TV competitors. Bell TV's
subscriber base totalled 2,169,954 at the end of Q1 2013, a
year-over-year increase of 2.8%.
-
Fibe TV is driving Internet additions, with high-speed Internet net
additions of approximately 13,000 in its territory this quarter.
Overall, Bell added 1,931 net high-speed Internet customers in Q1,
compared to 12,393 in the first quarter of 2012, due to higher
residential DSL churn from aggressively priced service bundle offers
from competitors. Bell had total high-speed Internet subscribers of
2,117,174, a 0.6% increase from Q1 2012.
-
Wireline data revenue was up 0.8% to $1,433 million on data service
revenue growth of 3.2%. The higher revenue was fuelled by Fibe TV and
Internet subscriber growth, and higher IP broadband connectivity and
data hosting revenues at Bell Business Markets.
-
Residential NAS net losses in Q1 2013 were 83,557, 17.5% higher year
over year, due to ongoing wireless and Internet substitution of
wireline voice services, and heavily discounted bundle promotions from
competitors. The decline was moderated by lower rates of residential
NAS turnover in Bell Fibe TV service areas.
-
Business NAS losses improved 2.1% to 24,889 in Q1 as Bell Business
Markets reduced access line losses in their large and mid-sized
customer segments, while wholesale business access lines also improved
year over year.
-
Total Bell NAS at the end of the quarter was 5,536,493, a 7.8% decline.
Bell's local and access revenues declined 6.8% to $646 million, while
long distance revenue declined 13.2% to $184 million.
Bell Media
Bell Media operating revenues were stable year over year, increasing
0.2% to $513 million in Q1 2013 from $512 million in Q1 2012.
Subscriber fee revenue growth of 11.9% due to market-based increases
for specialty TV rates paid by broadcast distributors was moderated by
a soft advertising market. In line with industry trends, conventional
TV and radio advertising revenues declined 5.8% in Q1 2013.
Benefitting from the flow-through of higher fee revenue from
distributors and a 3.7% reduction in operating costs, Bell Media's
EBITDA increased 21.0% to $98 million in Q1 2013 from $81 million in Q1
2012.
-
CTV broadcast the three most-watched TV events of the year in Q1: The
Super Bowl, the Academy Awards and the Golden Globe Awards.
-
CTV's non-sports specialty services continued to post strong audience
growth with 7 of the Top 20 TV programs, led by increases at Bravo, E!
and CP24.
-
NHL audience levels were up 11% and 24% on TSN and RDS, respectively,
after the league returned to the ice in January. TSN and RDS also
announced a new multi-platform broadcast agreement with the CFL that
extends their partnership through 2018, with media rights to all CFL
pre-season and regular season games, playoffs and the Grey Cup.
BELL ALIANT RESULTS
Bell Aliant (TSX: BA) revenues increased 0.3% to $684 million in Q1 2013
from $682 million, as growth in Internet, TV and wireless was offset by
continued declines in local and access and long distance revenues. Bell
Aliant's EBITDA was unchanged at $321 million this quarter, as slightly
higher operating revenues were offset by a 0.6% increase in operating
costs. For more information, please visit BellAliant.ca.
ASTRAL UPDATE
On March 4, 2013, BCE received Competition Bureau clearance for its
proposed acquisition of Astral Media Inc. Under the consent agreement
with the Bureau, Astral and Bell will divest 11 TV services (and 10
radio stations, as required under the CRTC's radio common ownership
policy). Corus Entertainment Inc. has agreed to purchase 6 TV services
and 2 radio stations in a transaction valued at $400.6 million. Bell
will retain 8 Astral TV services (including Astral's English and
French-language pay TV movie services), 77 radio stations and its
out-of-home advertising business, representing approximately 77% of
Astral's EBITDA.
Astral and Bell submitted a revised proposal to the CRTC for approval of
the transaction, including $174.64 million in tangible benefits for
Canadian broadcasting, which was made public by the CRTC on March 6.
The CRTC's public hearing to consider the new proposal began May 6. BCE
is targeting an early summer closing of the transaction, pending CRTC
approval.
COMMON SHARE DIVIDEND
BCE's Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.5825
per common share, payable on July 15, 2013 to shareholders of record at
the close of business on June 14, 2013.
OUTLOOK
BCE confirmed its financial guidance targets for 2013, as provided on
February 7, 2013, as follows:
|
|
|
|
February 7
Guidance
|
May 9
Guidance
|
Bell (i)
|
|
|
Revenue Growth
|
0% - 2%
|
On track
|
EBITDA Growth
|
1% - 3%
|
On track
|
Capital Intensity
|
16% - 17%
|
On track
|
BCE
|
|
|
Adjusted EPS (ii)
|
$2.97 - $3.03
|
On track
|
Free Cash Flow growth (iii)
|
5% - 9%
|
On track
|
Annual common dividend per share
|
$2.33
|
$2.33
|
(i)
|
Bell's 2013 financial guidance for revenue, EBITDA and capital intensity
is exclusive of Bell Aliant.
|
(ii)
|
Starting in 2013, we define Adjusted net earnings as net earnings
attributable to common shareholders before severance, acquisition and
other costs, net (gains) losses on investments and premiums on early
redemption of debt. We define Adjusted EPS as Adjusted net earnings per
BCE Inc. common share.
|
(iii)
|
Starting in 2013, we define free cash flow as cash flows from operating
activities excluding acquisition costs paid and voluntary pension
funding, plus dividends/distributions received from Bell Aliant, less
capital expenditures, preferred share dividends,
dividends/distributions paid by subsidiaries to non-controlling
interest, and Bell Aliant free cash flow.
|
BCE anticipates updating its 2013 financial guideline after the closing
of the Astral acquisition targeted for early summer.
CALL WITH FINANCIAL ANALYSTS
BCE will hold a conference call for financial analysts to discuss Q1
2013 results on Thursday, May 9 at 8:00 a.m. (Eastern). Media are
welcome to participate on a listen-only basis. To participate, please
dial (416) 340-8061or toll-free 1-866-225-0198 shortly before the start
of the call. A replay will be available for one week by dialing (905)
694-9451 or 1-800-408-3053 and entering pass code 6518122#.
There will also be a live audio webcast of the call available on BCE's
website at: BCE.ca/investors/investorevents/all/show/bce-q1-2013-results-conference-call. The mp3 file will be available for download on this page later in the
day.
NOTES
The information contained in this news release is unaudited.
(1) The terms Adjusted net earnings and Adjusted EPS do not have any
standardized meaning under IFRS. Therefore, they are unlikely to be
comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Starting
in 2013, our definition of Adjusted net earnings has been modified to
exclude premiums on early redemption of debt to align with the
reporting practices of our peers. We define Adjusted net earnings as
net earnings attributable to common shareholders before severance,
acquisition and other costs, net (gains) losses on investments, and
premiums on early redemption of debt. We define Adjusted EPS as
Adjusted net earnings per BCE common share. We use Adjusted net
earnings and Adjusted EPS, among other measures, to assess the
performance of our businesses without the effects of severance,
acquisition and other costs, net (gains) losses on investments, and
premiums on early redemption of debt, net of tax and non-controlling
interest. We exclude these items because they affect the comparability
of our financial results and could potentially distort the analysis of
trends in business performance. Excluding these items does not imply
they are non-recurring. The most comparable IFRS financial measures are
net earnings attributable to common shareholders and EPS. The following
table is a reconciliation of net earnings attributable to common
shareholders and EPS to Adjusted net earnings on a consolidated basis
and per BCE common share (Adjusted EPS), respectively.
($ millions except per share amounts)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Q1 2013
|
Q1 2012
|
|
TOTAL
|
PER SHARE
|
TOTAL
|
PER SHARE
|
Net earnings attributable to common shareholders
|
566
|
0.73
|
531
|
0.69
|
Severance, acquisition and other costs
|
23
|
0.03
|
14
|
0.01
|
Net gains on investments
|
(2)
|
-
|
(8)
|
(0.01)
|
Premium on early redemption of debt
|
12
|
0.01
|
-
|
-
|
Adjusted net earnings
|
599
|
0.77
|
537
|
0.69
|
(2) The term EBITDA does not have any standardized meaning under IFRS.
Therefore, it is unlikely to be comparable to similar measures
presented by other companies. We define EBITDA as operating revenues
less operating costs, as shown in BCE's consolidated income statements.
We use EBITDA to evaluate the performance of our businesses as it
reflects their ongoing profitability. We believe that certain investors
and analysts use EBITDA to measure a company's ability to service debt
and to meet other payment obligations or as a common measurement to
value companies in the telecommunications industry. EBITDA also is one
component in the determination of short-term incentive compensation for
all management employees. EBITDA has no directly comparable IFRS
financial measure. Alternatively, the following table provides a
reconciliation of BCE net earnings to EBITDA.
($ millions)
|
|
|
|
Q1 2013
|
Q1 2012
|
Net earnings
|
672
|
631
|
Severance, acquisition and other costs
|
33
|
19
|
Depreciation
|
675
|
646
|
Amortization
|
163
|
181
|
Finance costs
|
|
|
|
Interest expense
|
221
|
207
|
|
Interest on post-employment benefit obligations
|
37
|
33
|
Other (income) expense
|
(80)
|
21
|
Income taxes
|
241
|
191
|
EBITDA
|
1,962
|
1,929
|
(3) The term free cash flow does not have any standardized meaning under
IFRS. Therefore, it is unlikely to be comparable to similar measures
presented by other companies. Starting in 2013, our definition of free
cash flow has been modified to exclude voluntary pension funding
because it is a discretionary use of excess cash. We define free cash
flow as cash flows from operating activities, excluding acquisition
costs paid and voluntary pension funding, plus dividends/distributions
received from Bell Aliant, less capital expenditures, preferred share
dividends, dividends/distributions paid by subsidiaries to
non-controlling interest, and Bell Aliant free cash flow. We consider
free cash flow to be an important indicator of the financial strength
and performance of our business because it shows how much cash is
available to repay debt and reinvest in our company. We believe that
certain investors and analysts use free cash flow to value a business
and its underlying assets. The most comparable IFRS financial measure
is cash flows from operating activities. The following table is a
reconciliation of cash flows from operating activities to free cash
flow on a consolidated basis.
($ millions)
|
|
|
|
Q1 2013
|
Q1 2012
|
Cash flows from operating activities
|
1,040
|
1,202
|
Bell Aliant dividends/distributions to BCE
|
48
|
48
|
Capital expenditures
|
(722)
|
(817)
|
Cash dividends paid on preferred shares
|
(26)
|
(33)
|
Cash dividends/ distributions paid by subsidiaries to non-controlling
interest
|
(73)
|
(79)
|
Acquisition costs paid
|
10
|
25
|
Bell Aliant free cash flow
|
(30)
|
(15)
|
Free cash flow
|
247
|
331
|
CAUTION CONCERNING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
Certain statements made in this news release, including, but not limited
to, statements relating to our 2013 financial guidance (including
revenues, EBITDA, Capital Intensity, Adjusted EPS and Free Cash Flow),
our business outlook, objectives, plans and strategic priorities, BCE's
2013 annualized common share dividend, the expected timing and
completion of BCE's proposed acquisition of Astral and BCE's proposed
divestiture of certain TV services and radio stations in connection
with such proposed acquisition, our ongoing strategic capital
investment programs, and other statements that are not historical
facts, are forward-looking. Forward-looking statements are typically
identified by the words assumption, goal, guidance, objective, outlook, project, strategy,
target and other similar expressions or future or conditional verbs such as aim, anticipate, believe, could, expect, intend, may, plan, seek, should, strive and will. All such forward-looking statements are made pursuant to the 'safe
harbour' provisions of applicable Canadian securities laws and of the
United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
Forward-looking statements, by their very nature, are subject to
inherent risks and uncertainties and are based on several assumptions,
both general and specific, which give rise to the possibility that
actual results or events could differ materially from our expectations
expressed in or implied by such forward-looking statements. As a
result, we cannot guarantee that any forward-looking statement will
materialize and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these
forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements contained in
this news release describe our expectations as of May 9, 2013 and,
accordingly, are subject to change after such date. Except as may be
required by Canadian securities laws, we do not undertake any
obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements contained
in this news release, whether as a result of new information, future
events or otherwise. Except as otherwise indicated by BCE,
forward-looking statements do not reflect the potential impact of any
non-recurring or other special items or of any dispositions,
monetizations, mergers, acquisitions, other business combinations or
other transactions that may be announced or that may occur after May 9,
2013. The financial impact of these transactions and non-recurring and
other special items can be complex and depends on the facts particular
to each of them. We therefore cannot describe the expected impact in a
meaningful way or in the same way we present known risks affecting our
business. Forward-looking statements are presented for the purpose of
assisting investors and others in understanding certain key elements of
our expected 2013 financial results, as well as our objectives,
strategic priorities and business outlook for 2013, and in obtaining a
better understanding of our anticipated operating environment. Readers
are cautioned that such information may not be appropriate for other
purposes.
Material Assumptions
A number of economic, market, operational and financial assumptions were
made by BCE in preparing its forward-looking statements for 2013
contained in this news release, including, but not limited to:
Canadian Economic and Market Assumptions
-
Growth in the Canadian economy of 1.5% in 2013, based on the Bank of
Canada's most recent estimate, a fifty basis point decrease compared with an earlier estimate of 2%;
-
a slow pace of employment growth and new business formation affecting
overall business customer demand;
-
a sustained level of wireline and wireless competition in both consumer
and business markets;
-
higher wireline replacement, due primarily to increasing wireless and
Internet-based technological substitution;
-
increasing wireless industry penetration driven, in particular, by the
accelerated adoption of smartphones, tablets and data applications, the
expansion of LTE service in most urban and sub-urban markets, the
proliferation of 4G devices, as well as population growth; and
-
a soft advertising market for Bell Media.
Operational Assumptions Concerning Bell Wireline (Excluding Bell Aliant)
-
stabilizing residential NAS line erosion rate as we leverage our
broadband investment in FibeTV to drive three-product household
penetration, increase our MDU market share, and generate higher
pull-through attach rates for our residential Internet and Home Phone
services;
-
in particular, targeted retention and service bundle offers, customer
win backs and better service execution to contribute to the improvement
in residential NAS line losses year over year, subject to the risk of
more aggressive service bundle offers from our cable TV competitors and
increasingly affordable Canada-wide unlimited wireless plans, which
could lead to higher residential NAS line losses;
-
increased subscriber acquisition at Bell TV to be driven by increased
customer adoption of Fibe TV, as we further extend our IPTV broadband
fibre footprint in areas of Ontario and Québec, and our ability to seek
greater penetration within the MDU market, capitalize on our extensive
retail distribution network, which includes The Source, and leverage
our market leadership position in high definition (HD) programming;
-
improved subscriber acquisition at Bell Internet through increased fibre
coverage and speeds as we leverage our significant network capital
investment and the implementation of new technologies to drive greater
Fibe TV expansion and Internet attach rates;
-
gradual improvement in the performance of our Business Markets unit
based on increased business customer spending, new business formation
and higher demand for connectivity and ICT services driven by a
strengthening economy and an improvement in employment rates, subject
to the risk of business customers adopting more conservative strategies
which could result in lower capital spending requirements and deferral
of ICT projects;
-
continued customer migration to IP-based systems, increased competitive
intensity in mass and mid-sized business segments as cable operators
and other telecom competitors continue to intensify their focus on the
business segment and ongoing competitive reprice pressures in our
business and wholesale markets; and
-
cost savings to be achieved from management workforce attrition and
retirements, call center efficiencies, field service productivity
improvements, further reduction in supplier contract rates, lower print
and mail costs, effective content cost management and reducing traffic
that is not on our own network.
Operational Assumptions Concerning Bell Wireless (Excluding Bell Aliant)
-
Bell Wireless to benefit from the flow-through of investments made in
2012 in customer acquisition and retention, along with continued
strength in smartphone activations and data usage;
-
continued aggressive competition in 2013 as competitors attempt to
maintain or gain wireless market share;
-
wireless revenue growth to be underpinned by continued growth in our
subscriber base and ARPU, driven by a higher mix of smartphone and
higher-value postpaid customers, increased distribution in western
Canada, new services, and continued disciplined price management;
-
Bell Wireless to benefit from ongoing technological improvements by
manufacturers in our handset and device line-up and from faster data
speeds that are allowing our clients to optimize the use of our
services; and
-
the proliferation of more expensive and sophisticated wireless devices,
as well as heightened competitive activity, to exert pressure on
EBITDA, due mainly to increased handset discount resulting in higher
subscriber acquisition and customer retention costs.
Operational Assumptions Concerning Bell Media
-
the non-recurrence, in 2013, of significant events that occurred in
2012, including the London Summer Olympic Games, the NHL lockout and
retroactive rate increases for specialty programming services;
-
the intended launch, in 2013, of our TV Everywhere product, a strategic
initiative aimed at enabling us to deliver the best live sports, news
and other premium content exclusively to broadcasting distribution
undertakings' (BDUs) subscribers;
-
growth in subscriber revenues to be driven by contracted market-based
rate increases for our specialty sports services;
-
in conventional TV, building and maintaining strategic supply
arrangements for content on four screens continuing to successfully
acquire high-rated programming and differentiated content to execute on
Bell's multi-screen content strategy, producing and commissioning
high-quality Canadian content, and producing market-leading news
through investments in HD broadcasting and improvements to our news
programming;
-
increased costs to secure content in our sports broadcast operations as
we face greater competition from both new entrants and established
competitors, and as market rates for specialty content generally
increase;
-
in our non-sports specialty TV services, investment in quality
programming and production, marketing and ongoing development of key
brand partnership initiatives with respect to our existing services;
and
-
the achievement of cost management by maximizing assets, achieving
productivity gains and pursuing operational efficiencies.
Financial Assumptions Concerning Bell (Excluding Bell Aliant)
-
Bell's total employee benefit plans cost to be approximately $340
million, based on an estimated accounting discount rate of 4.4% and an
expected return on plan assets of 4.4%, comprised of an estimated above
EBITDA employee benefit plans service cost of approximately $220
million and an estimated below EBITDA net employee benefit plans
financing cost of approximately $120 million;
-
total pension plan cash funding to be approximately $350 million;
-
cash taxes to be approximately $300 million, and;
-
net interest expense and payments to be approximately $700 million.
Financial Assumptions Concerning BCE
-
BCE's total employee benefit plans cost to be approximately $420
million, including approximately $80 million for Bell Aliant, comprised
of an estimated above EBITDA employee benefit plans service cost of
approximately $280 million and an estimated below EBITDA net employee
benefit plans financing cost of approximately $140 million;
-
depreciation and amortization expense approximately $50 million higher
compared to 2012;
-
net interest expense of approximately $875 million;
-
tax adjustments (per share) of approximately $0.07;
-
an effective tax rate of approximately 26%;
-
non-controlling interest similar to 2012; and
-
an annual common share dividend of $2.33 per share.
The foregoing assumptions, although considered reasonable by BCE on May
9, 2013, may prove to be inaccurate. Accordingly, our actual results
could differ materially from our expectations as set forth in this news
release.
Material Risks
Important risk factors that could cause our assumptions and estimates to
be inaccurate and actual results or events to differ materially from
those expressed in or implied by our forward-looking statements,
including our 2013 financial guidance, are listed below. The
realization of our forward-looking statements, including our ability to
meet our 2013 financial guidance, essentially depends on our business
performance which, in turn, is subject to many risks. Accordingly,
readers are cautioned that any of the following risks could have a
material adverse effect on our forward-looking statements. These risks
include, but are not limited to:
-
the intensity of competitive activity and the resulting impact on our
ability to retain existing customers and attract new ones, as well as
on our pricing strategies, ARPU and financial results;
-
the level of technological substitution contributing to reduced
utilization of traditional wireline voice services and the increasing
number of households that use only wireless telephone services;
-
the increased adoption by customers of alternative TV services;
-
variability in subscriber acquisition and retention costs based on
subscriber acquisitions, retention volumes, smartphone sales and
handset discount levels;
-
regulatory initiatives or proceedings, litigation, changes in laws or
regulations and tax matters;
-
our failure to maintain network operating performance including as a
result of the significant increase in broadband demand and in the
volume of wireless data driven traffic;
-
events affecting the functionality of, and our ability to protect,
maintain and replace, our networks, equipment, facilities and other
assets;
-
our ability to maintain customer service and our networks operational in
the event of the occurrence of environmental disasters or epidemics,
pandemics and other health risks;
-
our ability to anticipate and respond to technological change, upgrade
our networks and rapidly offer new products and services;
-
our failure to implement, on a timely basis, or maintain effective IT
systems and the complexity and costs of our IT environment;
-
general economic and financial market conditions, the level of consumer
confidence and spending, and the demand for, and prices of, our
products and services;
-
our ability to implement our strategies and plans in order to produce
the expected benefits, including our ability to continue to implement
our cost reduction initiatives and contain capital intensity while
seeking to improve customer service;
-
increased contributions to post-employment benefit plans;
-
ineffective management of changes resulting from restructurings and
other corporate initiatives and from the integration of business units
and business acquisitions;
-
the complexity of our product offerings and pricing plans;
-
labour disruptions;
-
employee retention and performance;
-
events affecting the ability of third-party suppliers to provide to us,
and our ability to purchase, essential products and services;
-
the quality of our network and customer equipment and the extent to
which they may be subject to manufacturing defects;
-
capital and other expenditure levels, financing and debt requirements
and our ability to raise the capital we need to implement our business
plan, including for BCE's dividend payments and to fund capital and
other expenditures and generally meet our financial obligations;
-
our ability to discontinue certain traditional services as necessary to
improve capital and operating efficiencies;
-
launch and in-orbit risks of satellites used by Bell ExpressVu Limited
Partnership;
-
the theft of our DTH satellite television services;
-
Bell Media's significant dependence on continued demand for advertising,
and the potential adverse effect thereon from economic conditions,
cyclical and seasonal variations and competitive pressures;
-
the adverse effect of new technology and increasing fragmentation in
Bell Media's television and radio markets;
-
health concerns about radio frequency emissions from wireless devices;
-
BCE's dependence on the ability of its subsidiaries, joint ventures and
other companies in which it has an interest to pay dividends and make
other distributions;
-
there can be no certainty that dividends will be declared by BCE's board
of directors or that BCE's dividend policy will be maintained;
-
stock market volatility;
-
our failure to evolve practices and effectively monitor and control
fraudulent activities; and
-
the expected timing and completion of the proposed acquisition by BCE of
Astral is subject to approval by the CRTC, other closing conditions,
termination rights and other risks and uncertainties; and the proposed
divestiture by BCE of certain TV services and radio stations is also
subject to closing conditions, termination rights and other risks and
uncertainties including, without limitation, regulatory approvals;
accordingly, there can be no certainty that the proposed transactions
will be completed or that anticipated benefits will be realized.
We caution that the foregoing list of risk factors is not exhaustive and
other factors could also adversely affect our results. We encourage
investors to also read BCE's 2012 Annual MD&A dated March 7, 2013
(included in the BCE 2012 Annual Report) and BCE's 2013 First Quarter
MD&A dated May 8, 2013, for additional information with respect to
certain of these and other assumptions and risks, filed by BCE with the
Canadian securities commissions (available at www.sedar.com) and with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (available at www.sec.gov). These documents are also available on BCE's website at www.bce.ca.
ABOUT BCE
BCE is Canada's largest communications company, providing a
comprehensive and innovative suite of broadband communication services
to residential and business customers under the Bell and Bell Aliant
brands. Bell Media is Canada's premier multimedia company with leading
assets in television, radio and digital media, including CTV, Canada's
#1 television network, and the country's most-watched specialty
channels. To learn more, please visit BCE.ca.
The Bell Let's Talk mental health initiative is a national charitable
and awareness program promoting mental health across Canada with the
Bell Let's Talk Day anti-stigma campaign and significant Bell funding
of community care and access, research, and workplace initiatives. To
learn more, please visit Bell.ca/LetsTalk.
For BCE corporate information, please visit BCE.ca. For Bell product and service information, please visit Bell.ca. For Bell Media, please visit BellMedia.ca.
SOURCE Bell Canada