CALGARY, Sept. 30, 2013 /CNW/ - Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd. ("Advantage" or
the "Corporation") (TSX/NYSE: AAV) is pleased to announce the following
updates. An updated investor presentation is also available on our
website.
Two Middle Montney Wells Demonstrate Free Condensate ("C5+")Yield of up
to 50 bbls/mmcf and Propane Plus ("C3+") Yield of up to 76 bbls/mmcf at
Glacier
-
Two Middle Montney wells located on the Eastern portion of our land
block at Glacier at 103/1-9-76-12W6 and 102/13-29-76-12W6 were
completed during the first quarter of 2013. Both wells demonstrated
significant liquid yields.
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The 103/1-9-76-12W6 well was production tested for 124 hours and flowed
free condensate which averaged 50 bbls/mmcf over the production test
period. The final gas flow rate at the end of the production test
period was 3.9 mmcf/d at a flowing pressure of 3,534 kpa. The estimated
propane plus (C3+) yield based on a shallow cut liquids extraction
process is 76 bbls/mmcf utilizing data obtained from the production
test. The well has been on-stream for 169 days and has been re-tested
with the latest results indicating similar yields.
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The 102/13-29-76-12w6 was production tested for 192 hours and flowed
free condensate which averaged 24 bbls/mmcf over the production test
period. The final gas flow rate at the end of the production test
period was 5.3 mmcf/d at a flowing pressure of 3,358 kpa. The estimated
propane plus (C3+) yield based on a shallow cut liquids extraction
process is 57 bbls/mmcf utilizing data obtained from the test. The well
has been on-stream for 214 days and has demonstrated strong production
performance.
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These wells demonstrated liquid yields that are much higher than the
Middle Montney wells located on the western portion of our land block
and higher than the estimated Glacier average shallow cut C3+ yield of
39 bbls/mmcf raw. We believe the changes in liquid content are related
to geological trends which can be utilized to identify high graded
areas within the Montney at Glacier and within the regional fairway.
Additional Undeveloped Lands Acquired for Middle Montney Liquids
Potential
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We have gained considerable geological and engineering experience in the
liquids rich Middle Montney formation. Our knowledge and achievements
have resulted in significant contingent resource growth and improved
Middle Montney well results at Glacier. Internal evaluations are
underway to assess liquid extraction options.
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Our Middle Montney experience also led to identification of
opportunities beyond Glacier and as a result, we acquired an additional
43.25 sections (27,680 acres) of 100% working interest Montney lands.
These lands are located southeast of Glacier in a fairway that we
believe is prospective for Middle Montney natural gas liquids. The
lands were acquired from the Province of Alberta at a cost of $6.7
million.
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The acquired lands consist of three contiguous parcels. One parcel,
containing 20.5 sections (13,120 acres), is located within one
kilometer (0.6 miles) of our 100% owned southeast Glacier gas gathering
pipeline. This pipeline is connected to our 100% owned Glacier gas
plant. The other two parcels are located further southeast and offset
an industry Middle Montney well which reports free condensate
production in excess of 100 bbls/mmcf.
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These land parcels are held under licenses which will not expire until
September 2017 and can be extended for an additional five years with
the drilling of two horizontal wells. These lands can also be
continued indefinitely under production.
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Our total acreage position in the Montney has increased to 125.65 gross
(120.35 net) sections.
Glacier Wells with Revised Completion Techniques Continue to Demonstrate
Sustained Improvement
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During the first half of 2013, 11 Montney wells completed with revised
completion techniques were brought on-production. These wells consisted
of six Upper Montney, three Middle Montney and two Lower Montney wells
located across the Glacier land block and have produced an average of
200 days.
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Production from these wells continues to demonstrate stronger production
rates when compared to wells that were completed using our previous
completion technique after a similar production period. Additionally,
the new wells are significantly outperforming the older wells in terms
of cumulative production. For example, the 100/7-7-76-13w6 Lower
Montney well which was completed with a high rate slick water frac
utilizing an open hole packer system has produced 1.5 bcf compared to
the older offset wells which produced 0.5 bcf after six months of
production. This well is currently flowing at 8 mmcf/d.
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We have identified additional opportunities to further optimize our
completion techniques in each of the Montney formations including the
liquids rich Middle Montney. We expect these future changes could
generate additional improvements in overall well results as we continue
to evaluate multi-frac design technologies.
Glacier Production Exceeding Budget, Operating Costs Lower than Budget,
Capital Program on-track
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Glacier working interest production based on field estimates for the
third quarter of 2013 is approximately 110 mcfe/d (18,333 boe/d) which
exceeds our internal budget.
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Operating costs at Glacier are estimated to average less than $0.30/mcfe
($1.80/boe) during the third quarter of 2013. Operating cost
optimization initiatives are continuing with the recent completion of a
water disposal well which will reduce trucking and third party water
disposal costs commencing in the fourth quarter of 2013. Additional
third party gas was redirected to our Glacier plant in September and
expected to continue through October 2013 which will provide processing
income.
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Our Phase VI Glacier Capital program which is designed to ramp Advantage
production to 135 mmcfe/d by Q2 2014 is progressing on-track with three
drilling rigs. Five of the 22 total wells in the program have been rig
released to date. We expect completion information from some of the
new wells to be available by early November 2013.
Commodity Hedging Program
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Advantage has entered into a number of natural gas hedges in support of
our two year Glacier development plan. Our natural gas hedges will
reduce the volatility of future cash flows through to March 2016 and
are particularly important during this current period of wider Canadian
natural gas price differentials. Our hedging positions are summarized
in the following table:
Period
|
Average Production Hedged
|
Net Forecast Production Hedged
|
Average Price $Cdn. AECO
|
Q3 2013 & Q4 2013
|
38.1 mmcf/d
|
39%
|
$3.45/mcf
|
Q1 2014 to Q4 2014
|
50.2 mmcf/d
|
39%
|
$3.81/mcf
|
Q1 2015 to Q4 2015
|
45.0 mmcf/d
|
27%
|
$3.91/mcf
|
Q1 2016
|
42.7 mmcf/d
|
23%
|
$3.90/mcf
|
Strategic Alternatives Process Update
-
As previously announced, the Company's financial advisors, FirstEnergy
Capital Corp. and RBC Capital Markets, commenced a broad global
marketing effort to solicit interest in a sale of the Corporation or
another transaction to maximize value for all shareholders. The process
is ongoing and the Corporation and its financial advisors are actively
engaged and continue to coordinate with parties wishing to participate
in the process. Technical presentations are ongoing and interested
parties have been scheduled.
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There can be no assurance that a transaction will be undertaken.
Advantage does not intend to make any announcements regarding the
process unless and until the Board of Directors has approved a specific
transaction or course of action or otherwise determines that disclosure
is necessary.
Advisory
The information in this press release contains certain forward-looking
statements, including within the meaning of the United States Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements relate to
future events or our future intentions or performance. All statements
other than statements of historical fact may be forward-looking
statements. Forward-looking statements are often, but not always,
identified by the use of words such as "seek", "anticipate", "plan",
"continue", "estimate", "demonstrate", "expect", "may", "will",
"project", "predict", "potential", "targeting", "intend", "could",
"might", "should", "believe", "would" and similar expressions and
include statements relating to, but not limited to, the Corporation's
objectives for its recently acquired Montney lands; anticipated effect
of increased Montney acreage on resources, reserves and production; the
Corporation's beliefs regarding effect of optimization of completion
and frac designs on well completion; anticipated effect of additional
opportunities on overall well results; operating cost optimization
initiatives and anticipated timing of reduced trucking and third party
water disposal costs; the Corporation's anticipated drilling and
completion plans; anticipated timing of new completion information from
the Phase VI Glacier Capital Program; the Corporation's development
plan to increase production at Glacier and the anticipated production
levels and timing thereof; expected effect of natural gas hedges on
volatility of future cash flows; and status of the Corporation's
strategic alternatives process. In addition, statements relating to
"reserves" or "resources" are deemed to be forward-looking statements,
as they involve the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and
assumptions, that the resources and reserves described can be
profitably produced in the future.
Advantage's actual decisions, activities, results, performance or
achievement could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied
by, such forward-looking statements and, accordingly, no assurances can
be given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking
statements will transpire or occur or, if any of them do, what benefits
that Advantage will derive from them.
These statements involve substantial known and unknown risks and
uncertainties, certain of which are beyond Advantage's control,
including, but not limited to: changes in general economic, market and
business conditions; industry conditions; actions by governmental or
regulatory authorities including increasing taxes and changes in
investment or other regulations; changes in tax laws, royalty regimes
and incentive programs relating to the oil and gas industry; the effect
of acquisitions; Advantage's success at acquisition, exploitation and
development of reserves; unexpected drilling results, changes in
commodity prices, currency exchange rates, capital expenditures,
reserves or reserves estimates and debt service requirements; the
occurrence of unexpected events involved in the exploration for, and
the operation and development of, oil and gas properties; hazards such
as fire, explosion, blowouts, cratering, and spills, each of which
could result in substantial damage to wells, production facilities,
other property and the environment or in personal injury; changes or
fluctuations in production levels; delays in anticipated timing of
drilling and completion of wells; individual well productivity;
competition from other producers; the lack of availability of qualified
personnel or management; credit risk; individual well productivity;
changes in laws and regulations including the adoption of new
environmental laws and regulations and changes in how they are
interpreted and enforced; our ability to comply with current and future
environmental or other laws; stock market volatility and market
valuations; liabilities inherent in oil and natural gas operations;
uncertainties associated with estimating oil and natural gas reserves;
competition for, among other things, capital, acquisitions of reserves,
undeveloped lands and skilled personnel; incorrect assessments of the
value of acquisitions; geological, technical, drilling and processing
problems and other difficulties in producing petroleum reserves;
ability to obtain required approvals of regulatory authorities; failure
to complete an acceptable transaction pursuant to the Corporation's
strategic alternatives process; and ability to access sufficient
capital from internal and external sources.
Many of these risks and uncertainties and additional risk factors are
described in the Corporation's Annual Information Form which is
available at www.sedar.com and www.advantageog.com. Readers are also referred to risk factors described in other documents
Advantage files with Canadian securities authorities.
With respect to forward-looking statements contained in this press
release, Advantage has made assumptions regarding: conditions in
general economic and financial markets; effects of regulation by
governmental agencies; current commodity prices and royalty regimes;
future exchange rates; royalty rates; future operating costs;
availability of skilled labor; availability of drilling and related
equipment; timing and amount of capital expenditures; the impact of
increasing competition; the price of crude oil and natural gas; that
the Corporation will have sufficient cash flow, debt or equity sources
or other financial resources required to fund its capital and operating
expenditures and requirements as needed; that the Corporation's conduct
and results of operations will be consistent with its expectations;
that the Corporation will have the ability to develop the Corporation's
crude oil and natural gas properties in the manner currently
contemplated; current or, where applicable, proposed assumed industry
conditions, laws and regulations will continue in effect or as
anticipated; and the estimates of the Corporation's production and
reserves volumes and the assumptions related thereto (including
commodity prices and development costs) are accurate in all material
respects.
These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this press
release and Advantage disclaims any intent or obligation to update
publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new
information, future events or results or otherwise, other than as
required by applicable securities laws.
References in this press release to initial production test rates,
initial "productivity", initial "flow" rates, "flush" production rates
and "behind pipe production" are useful in confirming the presence of
hydrocarbons, however such rates are not determinative of the rates at
which such wells will commence production and decline thereafter and
are not indicative of long term performance or of ultimate recovery.
While encouraging, readers are cautioned not to place reliance on such
rates in calculating the aggregate production for Advantage.
Barrels of oil equivalent (boe) and thousand cubic feet of natural gas
equivalent (mcfe) may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation.
Boe and mcfe conversion ratios have been calculated using a conversion
rate of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas equivalent to one barrel
of oil. A boe and mcfe conversion ratio of 6 mcf:1 bbls is based on an
energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner
tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as
compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy
equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis may be
misleading as an indication of value.
The following abbreviations used in this press release have the meanings
set forth below:
mcf
|
|
thousand cubic feet
|
mcfe
|
|
thousand cubic feet of natural gas equivalent, using the ratio of 6 mcf
of natural gas to 1 bbl of oil
|
mmcfe
|
|
million cubic feet of natural gas equivalent, using the ratio of 6 mcf
of natural gas to 1 bbl of oil
|
mmcf
|
|
million cubic feet
|
mmcf/d
|
|
million cubic feet per day
|
bbl
|
|
barrel
|
NGLs
|
|
natural gas liquids
|
Boe/d
|
|
barrels of oil equivalent per day
|
SOURCE Advantage Oil & Gas Ltd.