This news release includes forward-looking statements and information
within the meaning of applicable securities laws. Readers are advised
to review the "Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Information
and Statements" at the conclusion of this news release. For
information regarding the presentation of certain information in this
news release, see "Currency, BOE and Operational Information" at the
conclusion of this news release.
CALGARY, Dec. 2, 2013 /CNW/ - Enerplus Corporation ("Enerplus") (TSX:
ERF) (NYSE: ERF) is pleased to announce that based upon continued
strong operational performance during the months of October and
November, we are increasing our annual average production forecast for
2013 to 89,000 BOE/day from 87,500 BOE/day. Production volumes during
the fourth quarter are expected to average approximately 92,000 BOE/day
due primarily to higher natural gas production.
In addition, the Board of Directors of Enerplus has approved the capital
program for 2014 which includes the following highlights:
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We expect to deliver 10% production growth in 2014, targeting annual
average production between 96,000 BOE/day and 100,000 BOE/day.
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Crude oil production is expected to grow by 12%, resulting in a
production mix of 48% crude oil and natural gas liquids and 52% natural
gas.
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Capital spending is planned at $760 million, up 11% from 2013, with two
thirds of our program directed to crude oil projects.
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Based upon our forecast exit volumes, capital efficiencies have
significantly improved in 2013 to under $30,000/BOE/day. We expect to
achieve similar capital efficiencies in 2014.
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We expect a reduction in both operating costs and general and
administrative costs per BOE.
Production Growth
Based upon our capital spending plans, we forecast average production in
2014 will range between 96,000 BOE/day and 100,000 BOE/day. The
mid-point of this range reflects a 10% increase in production volumes
year-over-year and 9% per share. Crude oil and natural gas liquids
production is expected to increase by approximately 12%. We expect
continued growth from our U.S. oil properties at Fort Berthold where
production will increase by roughly 15% in 2014, driving our light
crude oil volumes to represent 67% of our total oil production. Natural
gas liquids are expected to be approximately 4% of total production.
Our total corporate natural gas production is expected to average just
over 300 MMcf/day next year, up 7% from 2013, with the majority of the
growth attributable to the Marcellus.
As a result of the growth in production from our Bakken/Three Forks and
Marcellus properties, over 50% of our corporate production volumes will
be attributable to our U.S. assets. Our production mix is expected to
remain at 48% crude oil and natural gas liquids and 52% natural gas.
With the acquisition of additional interests in the Marcellus combined
with the growth in our earlier stage plays in North Dakota and the
Wilrich, our corporate production decline rate is expected to
marginally increase to 25% in 2014 from 24% in 2013.
Capital Spending
We are targeting a capital spending program of $760 million in 2014, up
11% from our 2013 capital forecast of $685 million. We plan to continue
to focus our activities on oil projects with two thirds of our budget
directed to our Bakken/Three Forks oil projects in the United States
and our Canadian oil waterflood properties. The remainder of our budget
will be directed to our core natural gas assets in the Marcellus and in
the Deep Basin region as we move into development in the Wilrich and
continue to evaluate the Duvernay.
The improvement in asset quality within our portfolio and a focused
effort on reducing costs and driving operational performance has
resulted in a significant improvement in capital efficiencies across
our portfolio. Approximately $570 million is expected to be directed to
drilling and development activities which we anticipate will deliver
growth in production and reserves. We plan to allocate approximately
$50 million to exploration and seismic activities.
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2014 Capital Spending Breakdown by Activity
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($ millions)
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Development Drilling & Completions
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$570
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Plant/Facilities
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$115
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Maintenance
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$25
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Exploration & Seismic
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$50
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Total
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$760
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Financial Outlook
The sustainability of our business has improved significantly throughout
2013 as a result of the growth in production volumes and improved
capital efficiencies. We expect to build from this improvement in 2014
to deliver another year of profitable growth for our investors. We have
recently entered into another agreement to sell $42 million of non-core
assets in the U.S. representing approximately 2.5 MMcf/day of natural
gas production associated with an over-riding royalty interest which we
expect to close in early January. Our balance sheet has been
strengthened by our divestment efforts which we expect will generate
net proceeds, after acquisitions, of approximately $250 million. This
has allowed us to increase our capital spending plans in 2014 while
preserving our financial strength. We expect our 2014 adjusted payout
ratio will be approximately 120% before any acquisition and divestment
activity.
We expect the recent weakness in crude oil differentials could persist
into 2014 and that the basis differential in the Marcellus may widen
from the levels we realized during the third quarter. Based upon these
assumptions and considering the backwardation in the forward crude oil
market, funds flow is expected to grow by 3% in 2014 to approximately
$775 million.
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2014 Commodity Price & Differentials
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2014 Commodity Price Outlook*:
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West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil Price
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US$92.80/bbl
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NYMEX Natural Gas Price
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US$3.90/Mcf
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AECO Natural Gas Price
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$3.45/Mcf
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Differential/Basis Outlook:
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Mixed Sweet Blend (MSW)
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($8.00)/bbl
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Western Canada Select (WCS)
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($25.00)/bbl
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U.S. Bakken*
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(US$12.00)/bbl
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Marcellus Basis*
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(US$0.75)/Mcf
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*Forward commodity price outlook as at November 26, 2013. The
differential/basis outlook includes the impact of Enerplus' marketing
and transportation arrangements.
Core Asset Activity
Our crude oil assets in the U.S. will continue to attract the largest
percentage of our 2014 capital budget with $300 million to $325 million
allocated to this core area. The majority of our spending is planned
in the Fort Berthold region where we expect to continue running a two
rig program targeting both the Bakken and the Three Forks.
Approximately 20 net wells are expected to be drilled, completed and
tied-in. During the fourth quarter of 2013, we drilled the first three
wells of a seven well pad designed to test downspacing in the area. We
also commenced drilling into the lower benches of the Three Forks to
test the prospectivity of the lower zones.
Our low decline rate Canadian waterflood properties will continue to be
an active part of our capital investment program. We plan to increase
spending to approximately $160 million to $200 million in 2014 with a
focus on drilling activities, advancement of our polymer projects at
Giltedge and Medicine Hat and the implementation of new waterflood
projects in Saskatchewan.
Capital spending in the Marcellus is expected to increase in 2014,
ranging from $110 million to $130 million as a result of the additional
working interests acquired in November 2013. Our spending will be
focused in Bradford, Sullivan and Susquehanna counties where we have
seen strong well performance throughout 2013. Based upon results to
date, expected ultimate recoveries in these areas to range from 10 Bcf
to over 13 Bcf of natural gas per well and provide compelling economics
in the current natural gas price environment.
We plan to continue development of our assets in the Deep Basin region.
We expect to continue our program in the Wilrich with 3 to 5 wells
planned for the Ansell/Minehead area. We will also continue to advance
our delineation activities in the Duvernay, completing one horizontal
well drilled in late 2013 and drilling and completing another
horizontal well early in 2014.
Expenses
We expect continued improvement in both operating costs and general and
administrative costs in 2014. Operating costs are expected to average
$10.25/BOE, down 4% from 2013. General and administrative expenses and
cash equity based compensation are also expected to decrease, averaging
$2.45/BOE and $0.25/BOE, down 9% and 58% respectively. We expect our
average royalty rate will increase slightly to 23.5% of revenues due to
the increase in production associated with our U.S. operations which
have higher royalty rates and state fees than our Canadian operations.
We have sufficient tax pools to shelter our cash flow in Canada for at
least the next two years, and we forecast U.S. cash taxes of 3% to 5%
of U.S. cash flows over the next two years.
Hedging
With the current crude oil price, over 75% of our expected 2014 funds
flow will be derived from the sale of our crude oil and liquids
production. As a result, our hedging strategy continues to be directed
at protecting our oil volumes. We have approximately 51% of our
expected 2014 oil volumes hedged, net of royalties, at a WTI price of
US$93.28/bbl. We also have 27% of our expected 2014 natural gas
production, net of royalties, hedged at a NYMEX price of US$4.14/Mcf
and an additional 2% of our net natural gas production hedged at an
AECO price of $3.96/Mcf.
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2014 Forecast Guidance Summary*
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Capital Spending
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$760 million
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Annual Average Production
% liquids
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96,000 - 100,000 BOE/day
48%
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Operating Expense
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$10.25/BOE
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General & Administrative Expense
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$2.45/BOE
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Cash Equity Based Compensation Expense
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$0.25/BOE
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Royalties (including state fees)
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23.5%
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U.S. Cash Taxes
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3 - 5% of U.S. cash flow
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Cash Dividends
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$220 million
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Cash Dividends per share
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$1.08
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Funds Flow
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$775 million
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Funds Flow per Share
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$3.81
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Adjusted Payout Ratio
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120%
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*Assumptions:
Based upon forward commodity prices, forecast costs and the Enerplus
share price as of November 26, 2013 including the impact of hedging and
does not include any acquisition or divestment activities not currently
announced. Adjusted payout ratio is calculated as the sum of dividends
paid to shareholders, net of participation in the Stock Dividend Plan
plus capital expenditures divided by funds flow. See "Non-GAAP
Measures" at the end of this release.
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2014 Sensitivities
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Est. effect on 2014
Funds Flow/Share
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Change of $5.00/bbl WTI crude oil
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$0.15
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Change of $0.50/Mcf NYMEX natural gas
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$0.14
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Change of 1,000 BOE/day production
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$0.05
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Change of $0.01 in the US$/CDN$ exchange rate
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$0.05
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Electronic copies of our quarterly and annual results, news releases and
other public information including investor presentations are available
on our website at www.enerplus.com. For further information, please contact Investor Relations at
1-800-319-6462 or email investorrelations@enerplus.com.
Follow @EnerplusCorp on Twitter at https://twitter.com/EnerplusCorp.
INFORMATION REGARDING FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL INFORMATION
Currency and Production Amounts
All amounts in this news release are stated in Canadian dollars unless
otherwise specified. All production volumes are presented on a company
interest basis, being the Company's working interest share before
deduction of any royalties paid to others plus the Company's royalty
interests. Company interest is not a term defined in Canadian National
Instrument 51-101- Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities)
and may not be comparable to information produced by other entities.
Barrels of Oil Equivalent and Cubic Feet of Gas Equivalent
This news release also contains references to "BOE" (barrels of oil
equivalent). Enerplus has adopted the standard of six thousand cubic
feet of gas to one barrel of oil (6 Mcf: 1 bbl) when converting natural
gas to BOEs. BOEs may be misleading, particularly if used in
isolation. The foregoing conversion ratios are based on an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip
and do not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that
the value ratio based on the current price of oil as compared to
natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalent of
6:1, utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis may be misleading.
See "Non-GAAP Measures" below.
FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION AND STATEMENTS
This news release contains certain forward-looking information and
statements ("forward-looking information") within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of
the words "expect", "anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "guidance",
"objective", "ongoing", "may", "will", "project", "should", "believe",
"plans", "intends", "budget", "strategy" and similar expressions are
intended to identify forward-looking information. In particular, but
without limiting the foregoing, this news release contains
forward-looking information pertaining to the following: achievement
of operational targets for 2013; Enerplus' expected operating and
general and administrative costs and oil and natural gas production
volumes for 2013; our average realized crude oil and natural gas prices
and future differentials; the proportion of our anticipated oil and
natural gas production that is hedged; Enerplus' financial capacity to
support capital spending plans and its dividend; potential asset
divestments and acquisitions and the impact of such on our 2013
production; future efficiencies and reserves and production growth from
capital spending; future capital and development expenditures and the
allocation thereof among our assets; future development and drilling
locations, plans and costs; the performance of and future results from
Enerplus' assets and operations, including anticipated production
levels, decline rates and future growth prospects; the potential change
of our status from "foreign private issuer" to U.S. domestic issuer as
of January 1, 2014 and expected changes in our reporting related
thereto; and our ability to improve our trading multiple and create
significant value for our shareholders.
The forward-looking information contained in this news release reflects
several material factors and expectations and assumptions of Enerplus
including, without limitation: that Enerplus' operations and
development plans will achieve the expected results; the general
continuance of current or, where applicable, assumed industry
conditions, including third party costs; the continuation of assumed
tax, royalty and regulatory regimes; commodity price and cost
assumptions; the continued availability of adequate debt and/or equity
financing, cash flow and other sources to fund Enerplus' capital and
operating requirements as needed; the continued availability and
sufficiency of our funds flow and availability under our bank credit
facility to fund our working capital deficiency; the extent of its
liabilities; and that Enerplus will be able to complete planned asset
sales. Enerplus believes the material factors, expectations and
assumptions reflected in the forward-looking information are reasonable
but no assurance can be given that these factors, expectations and
assumptions will prove to be correct.
The forward-looking information included in this news release is not a
guarantee of future performance and should not be unduly relied upon.
Such information involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and
other factors that may cause actual results or events to differ
materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking information
including, without limitation: changes in commodity prices; changes in
the demand for or supply of Enerplus' products; unanticipated operating
results, results from development plans or production declines; changes
in tax or environmental laws, royalty rates or other regulatory
matters; changes in development plans by Enerplus or by third party
operators of Enerplus' properties; increased debt levels or debt
service requirements; inaccurate estimation of Enerplus' oil and gas
reserves and resources volumes; limited, unfavourable or a lack of
access to capital markets; an inability to complete planned asset sales
and acquisitions; increased costs; a lack of adequate insurance
coverage; the impact of competitors; reliance on industry partners; and
certain other risks detailed from time to time in Enerplus' public
disclosure documents (including, without limitation, those risks
identified in Enerplus' Annual Information Form and Form 40-F for the
year ended December 31, 2012, filed on SEDAR and EDGAR, respectively,
on February 22, 2013).
The forward-looking information contained in this news release speaks
only as of the date of this news release, and none of Enerplus or its
subsidiaries assume any obligation to publicly update or revise them to
reflect new events or circumstances, except as may be required pursuant
to applicable laws.
NON-GAAP MEASURES
In this news release, we use the term "adjusted payout ratio" to analyze
operating performance, leverage and liquidity. We calculate "adjusted
payout ratio" as cash dividends to shareholders, net of our stock
dividends (and for 2012 comparative purposes, our DRIP proceeds), plus
capital spending (including office capital) divided by funds flow.
Enerplus believes that, in addition to net earnings and other measures
prescribed by IFRS, the term "adjusted payout ratio" is a useful
supplemental measure as it provides an indication of the results
generated by Enerplus' principal business activities. However, this
measure is not recognized by GAAP and does not have a standardized
meaning prescribed by IFRS. Therefore, this measure, as defined by
Enerplus, may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other
issuers.
SOURCE Enerplus Corporation
Ian C. Dundas
President & Chief Executive Officer
Enerplus Corporation