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Fitch Revises Outlook on Kronos Worldwide and Kronos International's 'BB-' IDR to Negative

KRO

Fitch Ratings has affirmed and revised the Ratings Outlooks for the 'BB-' Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) for Kronos Worldwide, Inc. (NYSE: KRO) and Kronos International, Inc. to Negative from Stable. A complete list of ratings actions is at the end of this release.

The rating action follows weaker than expected earnings in 2013 and the possibility of weak operating cash flows for 2014. Fitch had expected operating EBITDA of at least $75 million for the year compared to a preliminary 2013 Adjusted EBITDA loss of $38 million. Fitch had expected cash flow from operations (CFO) to exceed $90 million in 2013, which is likely to have been exceeded with liquidation of working capital.

Key Ratings Drivers:

Fitch's ratings reflect the company's solid market position (Top 5 globally) in the titanium dioxide (TiO2) industry, adequate liquidity, and modest debt levels combined with earnings volatility in the TiO2 industry.

TiO2 is used in pigments to provide whiteness, brightness, opacity and durability. The industry is fairly concentrated with 58% of the global market accounted for by the top five manufacturers. The titanium feedstock industry is also highly concentrated with the top three producers accounting for about 63% of supply.

The TiO2 market has been in a destocking phase which resulted in lower capacity utilization and weak earnings as producers sell excess inventory and move high-cost raw materials through cost of goods sold. In particular, Kronos Worldwide operated at 90.1% capacity utilization in 2013 versus 85% in 2012 and 100% in 2011.

Guidance:

The resolution of the lock-out in Canada should allow operations to approach full capacity in 2014. In its Jan. 30, 2014 announcement, the company stated that if 2013 results reflected the company's current cost of third-party feedstock ore procured, Adjusted EBITDA would have been approximately $218 million higher than amounts expected to be reported.

The company announced that its average TiO2 selling prices in the fourth quarter of 2013 (4Q'13) are expected to be 1% higher than 3Q'13 but 10% lower than 4Q'12.

Expectations:

Fitch expects capital expenditures and dividends to aggregate $135 million per annum. Scheduled debt maturities through 2018 largely comprise the $20 million per annum due under the Contran Corporation loan. In its announcement, the company stated that it was exploring the possibility of accessing the debt capital markets. Fitch expects maximum borrowings of $300 million.

Fitch had expected EBITDA to return to at least $150 million per annum with positive free cash flow after 2013. The Negative Rating Outlook reflects the possibility that free cash flow generation will be challenged.

Adequate Liquidity:

At Sept. 30, 2013, cash on hand aggregated $59.8 million - the bulk of which was held by non-U.S. subsidiaries.

The $125 million, five-year asset based revolver is secured by receivables and inventory in North America. The facility has a 1:1 minimum fixed charge covenant at such times as availability is less than 10% but no other maintenance financial covenants. The facility was drawn in 2013 to repay the term loan and at Sept. 30, 2013, $46.2 million was outstanding and $56.6 million was available. The facility matures in 2017.

The Eur120 million revolver at Kronos International is secured by the accounts receivable and inventory of the borrowers (operating subsidiaries). The facility currently expires in September 2017 and has a net secured debt-to-EBITDA maximum of 0.7x and net debt-to-equity minimum of 0.50 to 1 which is calculated at the operating subsidiary level. At Sept. 30, 2013, the facility was undrawn. The facility tends to be drawn seasonally with borrowings repaid in the third quarter.

In 2013 the company borrowed $190 million on an unsecured basis from its ultimate parent, Contran Corporation. The loan amortizes at $5 million per quarter with the balance due in June 2018. At Sept. 30, 2013, $175 million was outstanding.

Rating Sensitivities:

Negative: Future developments that may, individually or collectively, lead to negative rating action include:

--Expectation of sustained leverage above 3x;

--Negative free cash flow after dividends.

Positive: Not anticipated over the next 12 months but future developments that may lead to a positive rating action include:

--Diversification of earnings from TiO2.

Fitch affirmed the ratings of Kronos Worldwide, Inc. as follows:

--Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB-';

--ABL Revolver at 'BB+'.

Fitch affirmed the ratings of Kronos International, Inc. as follows:

--IDR at 'BB-';

--Senior secured revolving credit facility at 'BB+'.

The Rating Outlook is revised to Negative.

Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'.

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

--'Corporate Rating Methodology', dated Aug. 8, 2013

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

Corporate Rating Methodology: Including Short-Term Ratings and Parent and Subsidiary Linkage

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=715139

Additional Disclosure

Solicitation Status

http://www.fitchratings.com/gws/en/disclosure/solicitation?pr_id=819090

ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU-REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE.



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