WPX Energy (NYSE: WPX) today announced a 2014 capital plan of $1.47
billion (midpoint), with approximately 85 percent of spending allocated
to Williston, Piceance and San Juan Gallup development.
2014 Highlights:
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39 percent planned increase in domestic oil volumes
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62 Williston Basin oil wells (gross) planned – an increase of 25
percent vs. 2013
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29 San Juan Gallup oil wells planned – nearly doubling 2013 activity
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Recent transactions increase Gallup oil acreage by 40 percent to
43,000 acres
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285 natural gas wells (gross) planned in the Piceance, including up to
10 Niobrara wells
-
6 percent expected exit rate growth in the Piceance vs. 2013 exit rate
WPX expects these investments to drive an estimated 2014 December exit
rate of 1,310 MMcfe/d in total production, which is 5 percent higher
than its 2013 exit rate. Oil and liquids are expected to account for 25
percent of WPX’s 2014 exit rate.
The 2014 plan represents a 20 percent capital increase vs. 2013
spending, driven by larger investments in domestic oil drilling. More
than half of WPX’s planned 2014 investments are in domestic oil
properties.
Capital Plan (in millions)
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1Q
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Full Year
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Growth Basins
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Piceance
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$100 - $110
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$475 - $495
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Williston
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$140 - $150
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$580 - $600
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San Juan Gallup
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$35 - $40
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$155 - $180
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Other
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Appalachia
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$15 - $20
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$20 - $30
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Other (PRB, legacy)
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$0 - $5
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$10 - $15
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Land
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$10 - $20
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$75 - $85
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Exploration
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$15 - $20
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$25 - $30
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Total Domestic
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$315 - $365
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$1,340 - $1,435
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International (self-funding)
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$20 - $30
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$80 - $90
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Total Capital
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$335 - $395
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$1,420 - $1,525
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WPX expects to drill 376 gross operated wells in 2014 by deploying an
average of 15 to 16 rigs. Compared with 2013, this represents a two-rig
increase in the Piceance for a total of nine rigs, an increase of one
rig in the Williston for a total of five, and an increase of one rig in
the San Juan Gallup for a total of two.
Rig Count
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1Q
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Full Year Avg.
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Piceance Valley
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6
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6.6
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Piceance Highlands
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1
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1.3
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Piceance Niobrara
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0
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1.0
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Total Piceance
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7
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9.0
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Williston
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4
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4.9
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San Juan Gallup
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1.7
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1.8
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Total Rigs
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12.7
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15.7
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CEO PERSPECTIVE
“Increased oil volumes, efficient development of our resource base and
enhanced balance sheet flexibility will help drive increased cash flows
and better overall results,” said Jim Bender, president and chief
executive officer.
“We have increased our hedge positions as commodity prices improved and
continue to evaluate all aspects of our operations to drive cost
reductions.
“And as we’ve previously announced, we continue to pursue asset sales
and the potential formation of an MLP. Achieving these objectives will
help us meet our strategic goals, enhance our ability to drive
shareholder value and eliminate the funding gap in our current capital
plan.
“We know we have a lot of work ahead of us in 2014. We’re committed to
taking actions that will improve our financial and operating
performance,” Bender added.
“As for our production outlook, we plan to grow domestic oil by nearly
40 percent and our Piceance exit rate by 6 percent. However, this is
offset by the production decline in long-lived natural gas assets and
the impact of lower ethane recovery rates on NGL volumes,” Bender said.
PRODUCTION FORECAST
WPX is forecasting total production on an equivalent basis of 1,246
MMcfe/d to 1,259 MMcfe/d for full-year 2014, with a December exit rate
that represents a 5 percent increase over the 2013 exit rate.
While total production levels for 2014 are expected to remain flat
compared to total 2013 production levels, domestic oil volumes are
expected to increase nearly 40 percent.
Production Forecast
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1Q
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Full Year
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Exit Rate*
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Natural Gas - MMcf/d
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952 - 962
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960 - 969
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978
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Oil - Mbbl/d
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23.0 - 23.3
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28.1 - 28.5
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34.5
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NGL - Mbbl/d**
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19.0 - 19.2
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19.6 - 19.9
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20.8
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Total - MMcfe/d
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1,204 - 1,217
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1,246 - 1,259
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1,310
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* The exit rate is an estimate for the daily production average
for December.
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**Assumes a 37% ethane recovery rate in NGL volumes.
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For 2014, WPX’s commodity price point of view is $4 per Mcf of natural
gas; $90 per barrel for crude oil and $41.59 per composite NGL barrel.
WPX expects a mixture of 37 percent ethane, 28 percent propane, 8
percent isobutane, 7 percent normal butane and 20 percent natural
gasoline in its NGL volumes.
% of Net Realized Price
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1Q
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Full Year
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Natural Gas - NYMEX
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83% - 86%
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81% - 87%
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Oil - WTI
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83% - 86%
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84% - 87%
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NGL - Mont Belvieu
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76% - 80%
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76% - 80%
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Percentage of realized price ranges for NYMEX, WTI & OPIS
exclude
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hedges, but include basis differential and revenue adjustments.
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NIOBRARA SHALE UPDATE
WPX is working to double its Niobrara delineation drilling in 2014, with
up to 10 wells expected. Combined with previous Niobrara activity, this
will serve to delineate 80 percent of WPX’s Valley acreage. WPX’s 2014
Piceance plan includes approximately $75 million for Niobrara activity.
During its first year of production, WPX’s initial Niobrara Shale
discovery well produced more than 2.2 billion cubic feet of natural gas.
The discovery well is currently producing at a rate of 3 MMcf/d.
WPX’s second horizontal Niobrara well – completed at the end of
September – produced 0.7 billion cubic feet of natural gas in its first
four months and is currently producing 4.6 MMcf/d.
A third Niobrara horizontal well that was drilled in August 2013 will be
sidetracked or re-drilled due to a casing issue in the lateral section
that occurred before completion operations commenced.
WPX drilled two additional Niobrara delineation wells in the fourth
quarter. The first is a vertical test well located 12 miles east of the
discovery well in the heart of the Rulison field. This well reached a
total depth of 13,797 feet and penetrated the entire Niobrara section.
WPX has begun testing and completion of multiple benches of the Niobrara
in this well, where reservoir pressure initially was measured at 13,800
psi.
The fourth Niobrara horizontal well – located three miles north of the
discovery well – had a total vertical depth of 11,000 feet and reservoir
pressure of 10,400 psi. Due to higher than anticipated surface operating
pressures, WPX decided to stop the drilling of the lateral at 1,000 feet
and install casing.
After just four frac stages, the well flowed at a peak rate of 6.4
MMcf/d from the 1,000 foot lateral at 8,200 psi flowing pressure. WPX
plans to ultimately achieve 5,000-foot laterals in the area north of the
discovery well, which had a peak rate of 16 MMcf/d from a 4,600-foot
lateral at a flowing pressure of 7,300 psi.
Due to the high reservoir pressures experienced in Niobrara drilling so
far, WPX plans to bring a higher-rated rig into the basin during the
second quarter to continue delineation activity.
GALLUP OIL UPDATE
WPX plans to invest approximately $160 million to further develop its
Gallup Sandstone oil discovery in New Mexico’s San Juan Basin. This will
fund the drilling of 29 planned wells in 2014, nearly doubling the
activity level (15 wells) from a year ago.
WPX has increased its land position in the Gallup play approximately 40
percent by securing rights to another 12,000 acres. WPX now has 43,000
net acres under lease. The company’s 2014 capital plan includes funds
for continuing to increase this position.
WPX recently added a second rig in the Gallup, which spud its first well
on Feb. 6. The first rig just finished drilling the final well on a
three-well pad, with a zipper frac set for mid-February. This is WPX’s
first pad drilling in its Gallup development.
WPX’s average drilling time on its Gallup oil wells is 16.7 days. WPX’s
fastest Gallup well was drilled in just 14.6 days – more than twice as
fast as the company’s first Gallup well.
WPX has now drilled a total of sixteen Gallup oil wells, including the
original four exploratory wells. Thirteen of the wells are on
production, with the balance scheduled for completion in February.
WPX’s first 13 Gallup oil wells have flowed – on average – at 388
barrels of oil per day over their first 30 days, or 475 barrels per day
on an equivalent basis. The 13 wells had – on average – a peak rate of
727 barrels per day on an equivalent basis.
The company had a December 2013 Gallup exit rate of 2,489 bbl/d, or
about 100 barrels per day higher than its planned target of 2,388 bbl/d.
On an equivalent basis, WPX averaged 2,875 boe/d during December vs. a
forecast of 3,400 boe/d due to a lower gas-to-oil ratio.
For 2013, WPX had cumulative Gallup oil volumes of approximately 290,000
barrels during the year. For 2014, WPX expects to triple its 2013
cumulative oil volumes in the Gallup.
2014 HEDGING ACTIVITY
WPX has 323,082 MMBtu per day of its 2014 domestic natural gas
production hedged at a weighted average price of $4.21 per MMBtu; an
additional 183,836 MMBtu per day hedged at a weighted average floor of
$4.04 with a cap of $4.66; and 50,000 MMBtu per day capped at a monthly
settlement price of $4.24 per MMBtu.
WPX has 13,243 barrels per day of its 2014 domestic oil production
hedged at an average price of $94.82 per barrel. Approximately 27
percent – or 5,013 barrels per day – of WPX’s planned 2014 NGL volumes
are hedged. The NGL hedges are for expected ethane, propane, butanes and
natural gasoline volumes.
EXPENSES
WPX is providing the following estimates on a consolidated per-unit
basis for 2014 which includes domestic and international expenses:
Consolidated Expenses
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1Q
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Full Year
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$ per Mcfe
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LOE
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$0.74 - $0.76
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$0.73 - $0.75
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DD&A
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$1.85 - $1.90
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$1.92 - $2.02
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GP&T
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$0.97 - $1.01
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$0.93 - $0.98
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SG&A
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$0.67 - $0.69
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$0.63 - $0.67
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Production tax
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$0.38 - $0.42
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$0.38 - $0.43
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$ in Millions
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Gas Management (Inc) Exp
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($20) - ($25)
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$45 - $55
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Exploration
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$25 - $30
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$70 - $80
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Interest Expense
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$29 - $30
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$130 - $140
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Equity (Earnings) Loss
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($4) - ($6)
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($20) - ($25)
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Tax Rate
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1Q
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Full Year
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Corporate Tax Rate
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33% - 37%
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33% - 37%
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ADDITIONAL BACKGROUND
WPX management will discuss the company’s 2014 outlook and 2013 year-end
results during a Feb. 27 webcast that will be broadcast at 10 a.m.
Eastern on www.wpxenergy.com.
Additional details about the company’s 2014 capital plan and guidance
are available in a slide deck that can be found on the presentations
page in the investor section at www.wpxenergy.com.
About WPX Energy, Inc.
WPX Energy is an independent exploration and production company formed
during a spinoff two years ago. Overall, WPX has more than 30 years of
experience in its sector, with nearly 40 local, state and federal awards
for efficiency, innovation and corporate social responsibility. The
company is actively developing its domestic oil and gas reserves in
North Dakota, Colorado and New Mexico.
This press release includes “forward-looking statements” within the
meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All
statements, other than statements of historical facts, included in this
press release that address activities, events or developments that the
company expects, believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future
are forward-looking statements. Such statements are subject to a number
of assumptions, risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the
control of the company. Statements regarding future drilling and
production are subject to all of the risks and uncertainties normally
incident to the exploration for and development and production of oil
and gas. These risks include, but are not limited to, the
volatility of oil, natural gas and NGL prices; uncertainties inherent in
estimating oil, natural gas and NGL reserves; drilling risks;
environmental risks; and political or regulatory changes. Investors
are cautioned that any such statements are not guarantees of future
performance and that actual results or developments may differ
materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. The
forward-looking statements in this press release are made as of the date
of this press release, even if subsequently made available by WPX Energy
on its website or otherwise. WPX Energy does not undertake and
expressly disclaims any obligation to update the forward-looking
statements as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Investors are urged to consider carefully the disclosure in our
filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, available from us
at WPX Energy, Attn: Investor Relations, P.O. Box 21810, Tulsa,
Okla., 74102, or from the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov.
Additionally, the SEC requires oil and gas companies, in filings made
with the SEC, to disclose proved reserves, which are those quantities of
oil and gas, which, by analysis of geoscience and engineering data, can
be estimated with reasonable certainty to be economically producible –
from a given date forward, from known reservoirs, under existing
economic conditions, operating methods, and governmental regulations.
The SEC permits the optional disclosure of probable and possible
reserves. From time to time, we elect to use “probable” reserves and
“possible” reserves, excluding their valuation. The SEC defines
“probable” reserves as “those additional reserves that are less certain
to be recovered than proved reserves but which, together with proved
reserves, are as likely as not to be recovered.” The SEC
defines“possible” reserves as “those additional reserves that are less
certain to be recovered than probable reserves.” The Company has applied
these definitions in estimating probable and possible reserves.
Statements of reserves are only estimates and may not correspond to the
ultimate quantities of oil and gas recovered. Any reserve estimates
provided in this presentation that are not specifically designated as
being estimates of proved reserves may include estimated reserves not
necessarily calculated in accordance with, or contemplated by, the SEC’s
reserves reporting guidelines. Investors are urged to consider closely
the disclosure in our SEC filings that may be accessed through the SEC’s
website at www.sec.gov.
The SEC’s rules prohibit us from filing resource estimates. Our
resource estimations include estimates of hydrocarbon quantities for (i)
new areas for which we do not have sufficient information to date to
classify as proved, probable or even possible reserves, (ii) other areas
to take into account the low level of certainty of recovery of the
resources and (iii) uneconomic proved, probable or possible reserves.
Resource estimates do not take into account the certainty of resource
recovery and are therefore not indicative of the expected future
recovery and should not be relied upon. Resource estimates might never
be recovered and are contingent on exploration success, technical
improvements in drilling access, commerciality and other factors.
Copyright Business Wire 2014