Today U.S. Bancorp disclosed a summary of its Dodd-Frank Act Stress Test
(“DFAST”) results. The disclosure includes U.S. Bancorp’s projected
stressed minimum and end-of-period capital ratios for the period from
the fourth quarter of 2013 through the fourth quarter of 2015. The
projections assume annual common stock dividends equal to the average
dollar amount paid in the previous year and no stock redemption or
repurchase activity, in addition to estimates of losses, revenues, net
income before taxes and loan losses by type of loan over the same time
period. The projections were made under the Supervisory Severely Adverse
Scenario defined by the Federal Reserve. This hypothetical stressed
economic scenario is designed to assess the overall strength and
resilience of the banking industry and does not necessarily represent
future economic conditions expected by the Company.
A summary of the Company’s DFAST results are included in the table
below. The Company’s DFAST results may differ from those calculated and
published by the Federal Reserve due to differences in models,
methodologies and tax rate, among other things. A document summarizing
the risks and methodologies used to calculate the results, as well as an
analysis of the significant reasons for the changes in capital ratios
under the hypothetical stressed economic scenario is available on our
website at www.usbank.com.
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CCAR 2014
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U.S. Bancorp Disclosure
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Dodd-Frank Stress Testing Results
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Projected stressed capital ratios, risk-weighted assets, losses,
revenues, net income before taxes, and loan losses
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Supervisory-defined severely adverse scenario
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U.S. Bancorp
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Projected stressed capital ratios through Q4 2015
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Actual Q3 2013 and projected Q4 2015 risk-weighted assets
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Stressed capital ratios (1)
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Projected Q4 2015
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Actual
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Actual
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Current
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Basel lll
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Q3 2013
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Ending
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Minimum
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Q3 2013
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general
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standardized
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approach
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approach
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Tier 1 common ratio (%)
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9.3%
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8.5%
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8.5%
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Common equity tier 1 capital ratio (%) (2)
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n/a
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8.1%
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8.1%
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Risk-weighted assets
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293.2
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283.6
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296.1
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Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio (%)
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11.2%
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9.5%
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9.5%
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(billions of dollars) (1)
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Total risk-based capital ratio (%)
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13.3%
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11.5%
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11.5%
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Tier 1 leverage ratio (%)
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9.6%
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7.7%
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7.7%
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(1) For each quarter in 2014, risk-weighted assets are calculated
using the
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current general risk-based capital approach. For each quarter in
2015,
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(1) The capital ratios are calculated using capital action
assumptions provided
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risk-weighted assets are calculated under the Basel lll standardized
capital
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within the Dodd-Frank Act stress testing rule. These projections
represent
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risk-based approach, except for the tier 1 common ratio which uses
the
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hypothetical estimates that involve an economic outcome that is more
adverse
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general risk-based capital approach for all quarters.
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than expected. These estimates are not forecasts of expected losses,
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revenues, net income before taxes, or capital ratios. The minimum
capital
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ratio presented is for the period Q4 2013 to Q4 2015.
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(2) Advanced approaches bank holding companies (BHCs) are subject to
the
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Projected losses, revenue, and net income before taxes
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common equity tier 1 ratio for each quarter of 2014. All bank holding
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through Q4 2015
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companies are subject to the common equity tier 1 ratio for each
quarter of
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2015. For purposes of this stress test cycle, an advanced approaches
BHC
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Percent of
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includes any BHC that has consolidated assets greater than or equal
to
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Billions of
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average
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$250 billion or total consolidated on-balance sheet foreign exposure
of at
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dollars
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assets (1)
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least $10 billion as of December 31, 2013. See 12 CFR 217.100(b)(1);
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Pre-provision net revenue (2)
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17.1
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4.6%
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12 CFR part 225, appendix G, section 1(b). Other BHCs include any BHC
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Other revenue (3)
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0.0
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that is subject to 12 CFR 225.8 and is not an advanced approaches
BHC.
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less
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n/a Not applicable.
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Provisions
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17.5
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Realized losses/gains on securities (AFS/HTM)
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0.1
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Trading and counterparty losses (4)
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0.0
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Other losses/gains (5)
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0.0
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Projected loan losses, by type of loans, Q4 2013-Q4 2015
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equals
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Net income before taxes
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(0.5)
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-0.1%
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Portfolio
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Memo items
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Billions of
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loss
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Other comprehensive income (6)
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0.4
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dollars
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rates (%)(1)
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Other effects on capital
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Q4 2014
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Q4 2015
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Loan losses
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15.0
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6.6%
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AOCI included in capital (billions of dollars) (7)
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(0.3)
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(0.3)
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First-lien mortgages, domestic
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1.8
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3.1%
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Junior liens and HELOCs, domestic
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0.7
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4.7%
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(1) Average assets is the nine-quarter average of total assets.
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Commercial and industrial (2)
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3.5
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7.2%
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(2) Pre-provision net revenue includes losses from operational-risk
events,
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Commercial real estate, domestic
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3.9
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9.6%
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mortgage repurchase expenses, and other real estate owned (OREO)
costs.
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Credit cards
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2.9
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15.6%
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(3) Other revenue includes one-time income and (expense) items not
included in
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Other consumer (3)
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1.2
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4.2%
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pre-provision net revenue.
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Other loans (4)
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1.0
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5.2%
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(4) Trading and counterparty losses include mark-to-market and
credit valuation
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adjustments (CVA) losses and losses arising from the counterparty
default
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component applied to derivatives, securities lending, and
repurchase
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(1) Average loan balances used to calculate portfolio loss rates
exclude loans
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agreement activities.
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held for sale and loans held for investment under the fair-value
option, and
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(5) Other losses/gains includes projected change in fair value of
loans held for sale
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are calculated over nine quarters.
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and loans held for investment measured under the fair-value option.
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(2) Commercial and industrial loans include small- and medium-
enterprise loans
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and corporate cards.
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(6) Other comprehensive income is only calculated for advanced
approaches
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(3) Other consumer loans include student loans and automobile loans.
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BHCs, as only those BHCs include accumulated other comprehensive
income
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(4) Other loans include international real estate loans.
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(AOCI) in calculations of regulatory capital. Other comprehensive
income
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includes incremental unrealized losses/gains on AFS securities and
on any
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Note: Estimates may not sum precisely due to rounding.
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HTM securities that have experienced other than temporary impairment.
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(7) For advanced approaches BHCs, 20 percent of AOCI is included in
capital
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calculations for 2014 and 40 percent of AOCI is included in capital
calculations
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for 2015. For the purposes of this stress test cycle, non-advanced
approaches
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BHCs are assumed to opt-out of including AOCI in their capital
calculations.
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Minneapolis-based U.S. Bancorp (“USB”), with $364 billion in assets as
of Dec. 31, 2013, is the parent company of U.S. Bank National
Association, the 5th largest commercial bank in the United States. The
Company operates 3,081 banking offices in 25 states and 4,906 ATMs and
provides a comprehensive line of banking, brokerage, insurance,
investment, mortgage, trust and payment services products to consumers,
businesses and institutions. Visit U.S. Bancorp on the web at www.usbank.com.
Forward-Looking Statements
The following information appears in accordance with the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995:
This press release contains forward-looking statements about U.S.
Bancorp. Statements that are not historical or current facts, including
statements about beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking
statements and are based on the information available to, and
assumptions and estimates made by, management as of the date hereof. The
forward-looking statements contained in this press release include,
among other things, projected future capital ratios, revenue, net income
before taxes, and loan losses of U.S. Bancorp based on a hypothetical
scenario containing assumptions that may not come to pass in the future.
There can be no assurance that U.S. Bancorp’s actual results would match
the results disclosed herein if the assumed scenario was to occur.
These forward-looking statements cover, among other things, anticipated
future revenue and expenses and the future plans and prospects of U.S.
Bancorp. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and
uncertainties, and important factors could cause actual results to
differ materially from those anticipated. Global and domestic economies
could fail to recover from the recent economic downturn or could
experience another severe contraction, which could adversely affect U.S.
Bancorp’s revenues and the values of its assets and liabilities. Global
financial markets could experience a recurrence of significant
turbulence, which could reduce the availability of funding to certain
financial institutions and lead to a tightening of credit, a reduction
of business activity, and increased market volatility. Continued stress
in the commercial real estate markets, as well as a delay or failure of
recovery in the residential real estate markets could cause additional
credit losses and deterioration in asset values. In addition, U.S.
Bancorp’s business and financial performance is likely to be negatively
impacted by recently enacted and future legislation and regulation. U.S.
Bancorp’s results could also be adversely affected by deterioration in
general business and economic conditions; changes in interest rates;
deterioration in the credit quality of its loan portfolios or in the
value of the collateral securing those loans; deterioration in the value
of securities held in its investment securities portfolio; legal and
regulatory developments; increased competition from both banks and
non-banks; changes in customer behavior and preferences; effects of
mergers and acquisitions and related integration; effects of critical
accounting policies and judgments; and management’s ability to
effectively manage credit risk, residual value risk, market risk,
operational risk, interest rate risk and liquidity risk.
For discussion of these and other risks that may cause actual results to
differ from expectations, refer to U.S. Bancorp’s Annual Report on Form
10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013, on file with the Securities
and Exchange Commission, including the sections entitled “Risk Factors”
and “Corporate Risk Profile” contained in Exhibit 13, and all subsequent
filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission under Sections
13(a), 13(c), 14 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
However, factors other than these also could adversely affect U.S.
Bancorp’s results, and the reader should not consider these factors to
be a complete set of all potential risks or uncertainties.
Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date hereof, and U.S.
Bancorp undertakes no obligation to update them in light of new
information or future events.
Copyright Business Wire 2014