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Fitch Affirms Kronos Worldwide's & Kronos International's IDR at 'BB-'; Outlook Stable

KRO

Fitch Ratings has affirmed the Issuer-Default Ratings (IDR) for Kronos Worldwide, Inc. (NYSE: KRO) and its wholly owned subsidiary, Kronos International, Inc., at 'BB-'. A complete list of rating actions follows at the end of this release.

The Ratings Outlook has been revised to Stable from Negative. The company has a solid liquidity position, the TiO2 market seems to have stabilized, and Kronos should be able to generate neutral free cash flow.

KEY RATINGS DRIVERS

Fitch's ratings reflect the company's solid market position (Top 5 globally) in the titanium dioxide (TiO2) industry, solid liquidity and modest debt levels combined with earnings volatility in the TiO2 industry.

TiO2 is used in pigments to provide whiteness, brightness, opacity and durability. The industry is fairly concentrated with about 60% of the global market accounted for by the top five manufacturers. The titanium feedstock industry is also highly concentrated with the top three producers accounting for about 63% of supply.

The TiO2 market is subject to volatile stocking and de-stocking trends as customers substitute lower quality pigments when prices rise beyond their ability to pass through. TiO2 producers tend to produce at capacity while prices are rising and then need to curtail production and drop prices to move inventory when pricing overshoots. The industry has been in a destocking phase which seems to have ended. In particular, Kronos Worldwide operated at 90% capacity utilization in the first quarter of 2014 versus 86% in 2013, 85% in 2012 and 100% in 2011. The resolution of the lock-out in Canada (from June 2013 and February 2014) should allow operations to produce at higher capacity for the rest of in 2014.

Solid Liquidity

At March 31, 2014, cash on hand was $179 million of which, less than $55 million was held by non-U.S. subsidiaries. The $125 million, five year, asset based revolver at Kronos Worldwide is secured by receivables and inventory in North America. The facility has a 1:1 minimum fixed charge covenant at such times as availability is less than 10% but no other maintenance financial covenants. At March 31, 2014, the facility was undrawn and $107 million was available. The facility matures in June 2017.

The Euro120 million revolver is secured by the accounts receivable and inventory of the borrowers (European operating subsidiaries of Kronos International). The facility currently expires in September 2017 and has a net secured debt to EBITDA maximum covenant of 0.7x and Net debt to Equity minimum covenant of 0.50 to 1 which is calculated at the operating subsidiary level. The company received a waiver in December 2013 for the period through June 2014 to allow borrowing based on minimum EBITDA levels. At March 31, 2014, the facility was undrawn and Euro90 million of the facility was available. The company expects to be in compliance with the financial covenants at June 30, 2014. The facility tends to be drawn seasonally with borrowings repaid in the third quarter.

The company guides to 2014 capital expenditures of $68 million and Fitch expects dividends to be $69.5 million in 2014. Free cash flow for the latest 12 months ended (LTM) March 31, 2014, was $33 million. Scheduled debt maturities through 2019 are largely comprised of the $3.5 million in aggregate per year due under the term loan.

Expectations

Fitch expects operating EBITDA to be at least $170 million in 2014 compared to LTM March 31, 2014 operating EBITDA of $49 million. Fitch also expects free cash flow after capital expenditure but before dividends to be positive. Fitch expects Kronos Worldwide to maintain dividends at the $69.5 million level while the company has excess cash on the balance sheet and availability under its covenants.

Fitch expects Kronos Worldwide Total Debt/EBITDA to drop below 2.5x by the end of 2014.The Stable Outlook reflects Fitch's expectation that EBITDA returns to at least $150 million per annum with neutral free cash flow after capital expenditures and dividends on average.

RATING SENSITIVITIES

Negative: Future developments that may, individually or collectively, lead to negative rating action include:

--Expectation of sustained total debt to EBITDA above 3x.

--Liquidity less than $200 million and/or cash less than $50 million.

--Negative free cash flow after capital expenditures and dividends on average.

Positive: Not anticipated over the next 12 months.

Fitch has affirms the following ratings:

Kronos Worldwide, Inc.

--IDR at 'BB-';

--ABL Revolver at 'BB+'; and

--Senior Secured Term Loan at 'BB-'.

Kronos International, Inc.:

--IDR at 'BB-'

--Senior secured revolving credit facility at 'BB+'

The Rating Outlook is Stable.

Additional information is available at 'www.fitchratings.com'.

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

--'Corporate Rating Methodology' (Aug. 5, 2013).

Applicable Criteria and Related Research:

Corporate Rating Methodology: Including Short-Term Ratings and Parent and Subsidiary Linkage

http://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=715139

Additional Disclosure

Solicitation Status

http://www.fitchratings.com/gws/en/disclosure/solicitation?pr_id=830180

ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU-REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE.



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