Moody's Corporation (NYSE:MCO) today announced new full-year 2014
guidance. Full-year 2014 non-GAAP EPS guidance is now in the range of
$3.95 to $4.05, which excludes a $0.36 gain resulting from Moody’s
acquisition of a controlling interest in ICRA Ltd. in the second quarter
of 2014. Moody’s non-GAAP EPS guidance includes costs related to our
acquisitions of WebEquity and a majority stake in ICRA. Non-GAAP EPS
guidance now also includes costs related to our acquisition of the
remaining outstanding shares of Copal Amba, which Moody’s expects to
finalize in the fourth quarter of 2014. Full-year 2014 total share
repurchases are now expected to be up to $1.25 billion, subject to
available cash, market conditions and other ongoing capital allocation
decisions.
Certain components of Moody’s 2014 revenue guidance have been modified
to reflect the Company’s current view of business conditions. While
global Moody’s Investors Service (“MIS”) revenue for full-year 2014 is
still expected to increase in the high-single-digit percent range, U.S.
and non-U.S. MIS revenues are now expected to increase in the
high-single-digit percent range and low-double-digit percent range,
respectively. MIS financial institutions ratings revenue is now expected
to grow in the mid-single-digit percent range.
A full summary of Moody’s guidance as of September 30, 2014 is included
in the table at the end of this press release. Moody's outlook for 2014
is based on assumptions about many macroeconomic and capital market
factors, including interest rates, corporate profitability and business
investment spending, merger and acquisition activity, consumer borrowing
and securitization, and the amount of debt issued. There is an important
degree of uncertainty surrounding these assumptions, and, if actual
conditions differ, Moody's results for the year may differ materially
from the current outlook. Our guidance assumes foreign currency
translation at end-of-quarter exchange rates.
Moody's is holding its 2014 Investor Day conference today in New York
City.
The event will start at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time and is expected to
conclude at 1:00 p.m. The event will feature presentations from Moody's
management team and showcase important aspects of the business. A copy
of the presentations will be posted on Moody's Investor Relations
website, http://ir.moodys.com,
at the start of the event.
In-person attendance is by invitation only; however, the event will be
webcast live and can be accessed on Moody’s Investor Relations website
at http://ir.moodys.com.
The event will also be accessible through a live conference call.
Individuals within the U.S. and Canada can access the call by dialing
1-855-309-1713 toll-free. Other callers should dial 804-419-7747. Please
dial into the call by 7:50 a.m. Eastern Time. The participant access
code for the call is 92606323.
An on-demand replay of the event will be available on Moody’s Investor
Relations website, http://ir.moodys.com,
until 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time, December 24, 2014.
ABOUT MOODY'S CORPORATION
Moody's is an essential component of the global capital markets,
providing credit ratings, research, tools and analysis that contribute
to transparent and integrated financial markets. Moody’s Corporation
(NYSE: MCO) is the parent company of Moody's Investors Service, which
provides credit ratings and research covering debt instruments and
securities, and Moody's Analytics, which offers leading-edge software,
advisory services and research for credit and economic analysis and
financial risk management. The Corporation, which reported revenue of
$3.0 billion in 2013, employs approximately 9,500 people worldwide and
maintains a presence in 33 countries. Further information is available
at www.moodys.com.
“Safe Harbor” Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform
Act of 1995
Certain statements contained in this release are forward-looking
statements and are based on future expectations, plans and prospects for
Moody’s business and operations that involve a number of risks and
uncertainties. Moody’s outlook for 2014 and other forward-looking
statements in this release are made as of September 30, 2014, and the
Company disclaims any duty to supplement, update or revise such
statements on a going-forward basis, whether as a result of subsequent
developments, changed expectations or otherwise. In connection with the
“safe harbor” provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act
of 1995, the Company is identifying certain factors that could cause
actual results to differ, perhaps materially, from those indicated by
these forward-looking statements. Those factors, risks and uncertainties
include, but are not limited to, the current world-wide credit market
disruptions and economic slowdown, which is affecting and could continue
to affect the volume of debt and other securities issued in domestic
and/or global capital markets; other matters that could affect the
volume of debt and other securities issued in domestic and/or global
capital markets, including credit quality concerns, changes in interest
rates and other volatility in the financial markets; the level of merger
and acquisition activity in the US and abroad; the uncertain
effectiveness and possible collateral consequences of U.S. and foreign
government initiatives to respond to the current world-wide credit
disruptions and economic slowdown; concerns in the marketplace affecting
our credibility or otherwise affecting market perceptions of the
integrity or utility of independent agency ratings; the introduction of
competing products or technologies by other companies; pricing pressure
from competitors and/or customers; the level of success of new product
development and global expansion; the impact of regulation as an NRSRO,
the potential for new U.S., state and local legislation and regulations,
including provisions in the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer
Protection Act and anticipated regulations resulting from that Act; the
potential for increased competition and regulation in the EU and other
foreign jurisdictions; exposure to litigation related to our rating
opinions, as well as any other litigation to which the Company may be
subject from time to time; provisions in the Dodd-Frank Act legislation
modifying the pleading standards, and EU regulations modifying the
liability standards, applicable to credit rating agencies in a manner
adverse to credit rating agencies; provisions of EU regulations imposing
additional procedural and substantive requirements on the pricing of
services; the possible loss of key employees; failures or malfunctions
of our operations and infrastructure; any vulnerabilities to cyber
threats or other cybersecurity concerns; the outcome of any review by
controlling tax authorities of the Company’s global tax planning
initiatives; the outcome of those legacy tax matters and legal
contingencies that relate to the Company, its predecessors and their
affiliated companies for which Moody’s has assumed portions of the
financial responsibility; the impact of mergers, acquisitions or other
business combinations and the ability of the Company to successfully
integrate acquired businesses; currency and foreign exchange volatility;
the levels of capital investments; a decline in the demand for credit
risk management tools by financial institutions; and other risk factors
as discussed in the Company’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year
ended December 31, 2013 and in other filings made by the Company from
time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share attributable to Moody's common
shareholders:
The Company presents this non-GAAP measure to exclude the impact of the
ICRA Gain in the second quarter of 2014 to allow for a more meaningful
comparison of Moody’s diluted earnings per share from period to period.
Below is a reconciliation of this measure to its most directly
comparable U.S. GAAP amount:
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Projected full-year ended December 31, 2014
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Diluted EPS guidance - GAAP
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$
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4.31 - 4.41
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ICRA Gain
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(0.36)
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Diluted EPS guidance - Non-GAAP
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$
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3.95 - 4.05
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2014 Outlook
Moody’s outlook for 2014 is based on assumptions about many
macroeconomic and capital market factors, including interest rates,
corporate profitability and business investment spending, merger and
acquisition activity, consumer borrowing and securitization, and the
amount of debt issued. There is an important degree of uncertainty
surrounding these assumptions, and, if actual conditions differ, Moody’s
results for the year may differ materially from the current outlook. The
Company’s guidance, which is presented in the table below, assumes
foreign currency translation at end-of-quarter exchange rates.
Full-year 2014 Moody’s Corporation guidance
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MOODY'S CORPORATION
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Current guidance as of September 30, 2014
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Last publicly disclosed guidance as of July 31, 2014
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Revenue
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growth in the low-double-digit percent range
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NC
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Operating expenses
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growth in the high-single-digit percent range
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NC
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Growth in compliance and regulatory expense
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Less than $5 million
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NC
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Depreciation & amortization
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Approximately $100 million
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NC
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Operating margin
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42% to 43%
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NC
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Adjusted operating margin
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45% to 46%
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NC
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Effective tax rate
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Approximately 33%
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NC
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Non-GAAP EPS
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$3.95 to $4.05
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$3.90 to $4.00
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Capital expenditures
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Approximately $90 million
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NC
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Free cash flow
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Approximately $900 million
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NC
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Share repurchases
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Up to $1.25 billion (subject to available cash, market conditions and
other ongoing capital allocation decisions)
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Approximately $1 billion (subject to available cash, market conditions
and other ongoing capital allocation decisions)
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Full-year 2014 revenue guidance
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MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE
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Current guidance as of September 30, 2014
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Last publicly disclosed guidance as of July 31, 2014
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MIS global
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growth in the high-single-digit percent range
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NC
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MIS U.S.
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growth in the high-single-digit percent range
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growth in the mid-single-digit percent range
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MIS Non-U.S.
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growth in the low-double-digit percent range
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growth in the low-teens percent range
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Corporate finance
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growth in the low-double-digit percent range
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NC
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Structured finance
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growth of approximately 10%
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NC
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Financial institutions
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growth in the mid-single-digit percent range
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growth in the low-single-digit percent range
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Public, project and infrastructure finance
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growth in the high-single-digit percent range
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NC
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ICRA Ltd.*
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Approximately $12 million
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NC
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MOODY'S ANALYTICS
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MA global
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growth in the mid-teens percent range
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NC
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MA U.S.
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growth in the low-double-digit percent range
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NC
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MA Non-U.S.
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growth in the high-teens percent range
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NC
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Research, data, and analytics
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growth in the high-single-digit percent range
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NC
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Enterprise risk solutions
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growth in the mid-teens percent range
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NC
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Professional services
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growth of approximately 40%
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NC
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NC- There is no difference between the Company's current
guidance and the last publicly disclosed guidance for this item.
* Due to the three month lag in consolidating ICRA's operating
results, there is only one quarter of ICRA revenue included in the
above table.
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Copyright Business Wire 2014