SAN JOSE, CA--(Marketwired - Dec 10, 2014) - TiVo Inc. (NASDAQ: TIVO), a global leader in the advanced television entertainment market, today announced audience measurement results from a study on promotion effectiveness of 2014 fall season series premieres. The study identified how effectively on-air broadcast television promos that aired during the six weeks prior to the series premieres drove viewers to watch those premieres. Promotional effectiveness in driving viewership to series premieres is an excellent predictor of program success: Nine of the top ten new series based on Promo Conversion have been given full-season orders.
TiVo Research evaluated 23 new fall broadcast series that premiered from September 7 - October 30 and utilized viewership data from the TiVo Advisors Panel, an opt-in panel of over 30,000 TiVo subscribers, to measure the results. As in years past, results indicate that a promotional campaign with broad reach does not guarantee a program's success with viewers. Promo Conversion -- defined by TiVo Research as a viewer who was exposed to at least three on-air promo spots for a given program then tuning in for the series premiere -- is an accurate and early predictor of which new programs will continue to attract viewers.
For example, the promotional campaign for CW's The Flash ranked second-to-last in reach at 42 percent, but its Promo Conversion score of 16.5 percent foreshadowed the show's fifth-place performance in the overall rankings. NCIS: New Orleans, CBS's third entry in this popular franchise, ranked 17th in campaign reach but fourth in Promo Conversion. Scorpion, also from CBS, enjoyed the best of both worlds, ranking third in Promo Conversion with an 18.6 percent score and first in reach at 80.6 percent.
The widely held belief that that promotional campaign reach alone determines success is called into question by results for the now-cancelled ABC sitcom Selfie. Though tied for second with a promotional campaign reach of 79.7%, Selfie's 8.5 percent Promo Conversion score ranked it 18th overall, again foreshadowing its cancellation. NBC's cancelled Bad Judge suffered a similar fate with a 72.7% promotional campaign reach, ranking it ninth, and an 8.6% Promo Conversion score just slightly ahead of Selfie, taking 17th place.
"The Promo Conversion report from TiVo Research offers predictive insight into the value of an effective promotional campaign," said TiVo Chief Research Officer Jonathan Steuer. "Pushing a new show hard through a high promo count does not guarantee success. Viewers respond to the quality of programming and promotion, not just quantity. TiVo Research's Promo Conversion data provides a valuable tool for networks to get an early read on not just the effectiveness of their promotional campaigns but also on the likely success or failure of their new series."
A review of the top reach and Promo Conversion campaigns for the previous four fall TV seasons reveals similar and interesting results:
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Reach Campaigns |
#1 Show from the Fall of |
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Network |
Program |
Reach |
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Current Status |
2010 |
|
NBC |
The Event |
86% |
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Cancelled after one season |
2011 |
|
NBC |
Whitney |
85% |
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Cancelled after two seasons |
2012 |
|
NBC |
Revolution |
86% |
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Cancelled after two seasons |
2013 |
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ABC |
Once Upon A Time in Wonderland |
76% |
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Cancelled after one season |
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Promo Conversion Campaigns |
#1 Show from the Fall of |
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Network |
Program |
Promo Conversion |
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Current Status |
2010 |
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CBS | $#*! My Dad Says |
26% |
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Cancelled after one season |
2011 |
|
CBS |
2 Broke Girls |
28% |
|
Currently on the air |
2012 |
|
CBS |
Elementary |
26% |
|
Currently on the air |
2013 |
|
ABC |
Marvel Agents of Shield |
27% |
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Currently on the air |
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Promo Reach Rankings |
Rank |
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Network |
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Program |
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Reach: Live + 7 Days |
|
Frequency: Live + 7 Days |
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GRP: Live + 7 Days |
1 |
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CBS |
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Scorpion |
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80.6% |
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12.0 |
|
970.3 |
2 |
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ABC |
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Cristela |
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79.7% |
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12.9 |
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1,028.3 |
3 |
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ABC |
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Selfie |
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79.7% |
|
11.9 |
|
949.6 |
4 |
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ABC |
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Black-ish |
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78.4% |
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9.3 |
|
727.7 |
5 |
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ABC |
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How to Get Away with Murder |
|
75.7% |
|
10.1 |
|
764.7 |
6 |
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CBS |
|
Madam Secretary |
|
73.5% |
|
9.1 |
|
665.5 |
7 |
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Fox |
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Gotham |
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73.0% |
|
5.9 |
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434.1 |
8 |
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NBC |
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The Mysteries of Laura |
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73.0% |
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7.9 |
|
577.0 |
9 |
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NBC |
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Bad Judge |
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72.7% |
|
6.5 |
|
475.4 |
10 |
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CBS |
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Stalker |
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71.8% |
|
6.1 |
|
437.0 |
11 |
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Fox |
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Red Band Society |
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71.2% |
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6.4 |
|
455.3 |
12 |
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NBC |
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Marry Me |
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70.7% |
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6.0 |
|
421.1 |
13 |
| Fox |
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Gracepoint |
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69.9% |
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5.3 |
|
371.8 |
14 |
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ABC |
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Forever |
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68.7% |
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10.9 |
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749.1 |
15 |
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NBC |
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A to Z |
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67.8% |
|
5.4 |
|
365.4 |
16 |
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NBC |
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Constantine |
|
66.8% |
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4.2 |
|
282.3 |
17 |
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CBS |
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NCIS: New Orleans |
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66.2% |
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5.2 |
|
347.4 |
18 |
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Fox |
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Utopia |
|
64.6% |
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4.6 |
|
294.3 |
19 |
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ABC |
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Manhattan Love Story |
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64.4% |
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5.1 |
|
330.2 |
20 |
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CBS |
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The McCarthys |
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63.6% |
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3.8 |
|
242.6 |
21 |
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Fox |
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Mulaney | |
63.5% |
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4.1 |
|
259.2 |
22 |
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CW |
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The Flash |
|
42.1% |
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3.0 |
|
126.2 |
23 |
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CW |
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Jane the Virgin |
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41.7% |
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3.1 |
|
129.4 |
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Promo Conversion Score Rankings |
Rank |
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Network |
|
Program |
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Promo Conversion |
1 |
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Fox |
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Gotham |
|
21.5% |
2 |
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ABC |
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How to Get Away with Murder |
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18.8% |
3 |
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CBS |
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Scorpion |
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18.6% |
4 |
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CBS |
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NCIS: New Orleans |
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17.0% |
5 |
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CW |
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The Flash |
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16.5% |
6 |
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CBS |
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Madam Secretary |
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16.2% |
7 |
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ABC |
| Forever |
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13.6% |
8 |
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ABC |
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Black-ish |
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13.4% |
9 |
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NBC |
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Constantine |
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12.9% |
10 |
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CBS |
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Stalker |
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12.2% |
11 |
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CBS |
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The McCarthys |
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12.2% |
12 |
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ABC |
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Manhattan Love Story |
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10.6% |
13 |
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NBC |
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A to Z |
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10.5% |
14 |
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Fox |
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Gracepoint |
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10.2% |
15 |
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NBC |
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Marry Me |
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9.7% |
16 |
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NBC |
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The Mysteries of Laura |
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9.3% |
17 |
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NBC |
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Bad Judge |
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8.6% |
18 |
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ABC |
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Selfie |
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8.5% |
19 |
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Fox |
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Red Band Society |
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8.3% |
20 |
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Fox |
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Mulaney |
|
8.0% |
21 |
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Fox |
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Utopia |
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6.4% |
22 |
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CW |
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Jane the Virgin |
|
5.2% |
23 |
|
ABC |
|
Cristela |
|
2.3% |
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*Promo Conversation is the percentage of households who were exposed to three on-air promo spots who tuned into the series premiere of the program, includes Live + 7 days of viewing.
Methodology
TiVo's viewing analysis is based on viewing data from the TiVo Advisors Panel, an opt-in panel of approximately 30,000 TiVo subscribers whose second-by-second viewing behavior is anonymously tracked on an ongoing basis. This viewing data is merged with our monthly attitudinal surveys, allowing us unprecedented insight into behavioral habits and television viewing.
About TiVo Research and Analytics, Inc.
TiVo Research and Analytics, Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of TiVo Inc. (NASDAQ: TIVO), is a leading media marketing and analytics software company whose products help advertisers, agencies and television networks improve advertising targeting, accountability and return on media investment within the Automotive, Consumer Packaged Goods, and Pharmaceutical industries, as well as a growing number of client CRM engagements. TiVo Research's web-based Media TRAnalytics® and TV Health Ratings platforms matched the TV advertising households actually receive with the products the same households actually buy, enabling clients to find "The Right Audience®" while providing an unmatched level of transparency, measurement, media planning/selling and improved ROI. TiVo Research clients include Procter and Gamble, CBS, A&E Television Networks, ION Media, Oscar Mayer, Sunovian and Starcom MediaVest Group. More information at: www.tivoresearch.com.
About TiVo
TiVo Inc. (NASDAQ: TIVO) is a global leader in next-generation television services. TiVo's innovative cloud-based Software-as-a-Service solutions enable viewers to consume content across all screens in and out-of-the home, providing an all-in-one approach for navigating the 'content chaos' by seamlessly combining live, recorded, on-demand and over-the-top television into one intuitive user interface. The TiVo experience provides TV viewers with simple universal search, discovery, viewing and recording from any device, creating the ultimate viewing experience. TiVo products and services are available at retail or through a growing number of pay-TV operators world-wide. TiVo's multiple subsidiary companies provide the broader television industry and consumer electronics manufacturers, cloud-based video discovery and recommendation options, interactive advertising solutions and audience research and measurement services. More information at: www.TiVo.com.
TiVo, the TiVo logo, WishList, Season Pass, Roamio, Media TRAnalytics and The Right Audience are trademarks or registered trademarks of TiVo Inc. or its subsidiaries. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.