Today U.S. Bancorp disclosed a summary of its Dodd-Frank Act Stress Test
(“DFAST”) results. The disclosure includes U.S. Bancorp’s projected
stressed minimum and end-of-period capital ratios for the period from
the fourth quarter of 2014 through the fourth quarter of 2016. The
projections assume annual common stock dividends equal to the quarterly
average dollar amount of common stock dividends that the company paid in
the previous year and no redemption or repurchase of any capital
instrument, in addition to estimates of losses, revenues, net income
before taxes and loan losses by type of loan over the same time period.
The projections were made under the Supervisory Severely Adverse
Scenario defined by the Federal Reserve. This hypothetical stressed
economic scenario is designed to assess the overall strength and
resilience of the banking industry and does not necessarily represent
future economic conditions expected by the Company.
A summary of the Company’s DFAST results are included in the table
below. The Company’s DFAST results may differ from those calculated and
published by the Federal Reserve due to differences in models,
methodologies and tax rate, among other things. A document summarizing
the risks and methodologies used to calculate the results, as well as an
analysis of the significant reasons for the changes in capital ratios
under the hypothetical stressed economic scenario is available on our
website at www.usbank.com.
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CCAR 2015
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U.S. Bancorp Disclosure
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Dodd-Frank Act Stress Testing Results 2015
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Projected stressed capital ratios, risk-weighted assets, losses,
revenues, net income before taxes, and loan losses
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Supervisory-defined severely adverse scenario
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U.S. Bancorp
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Actual 2014:Q3 and projected stressed capital ratios
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Actual 2014:Q3 and projected 2016:Q4 risk-weighted
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through 2016:Q4
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assets
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Actual
2014:Q3
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Stressed capital ratios (1)
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Ending
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Minimum
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Actual
2014:Q3
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Projected 2016:Q4
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General approach
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Basel lll standardized approach
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Tier 1 common ratio (%)
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9.5%
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7.9%
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7.9%
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Common equity tier 1 capital ratio (%) (2)
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9.7%
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7.6%
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7.6%
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Risk-weighted assets
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311.9
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301.0
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314.1
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Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio (%)
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11.3%
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9.0%
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9.0%
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(billions of dollars) (1)
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Total risk-based capital ratio (%)
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13.6%
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11.2%
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11.2%
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Tier 1 leverage ratio (%)
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9.4%
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7.6%
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7.6%
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(1) For each quarter in 2014, risk-weighted assets are calculated
using the
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general risk-based capital approach set forth in 12 CFR 225,
appendix A.
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(1) The capital ratios are calculated using capital action
assumptions provided
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For each quarter in 2015 and 2016, risk-weighted assets are
calculated
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within the Dodd-Frank Act stress testing rule. These projections
represent
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under the Board's standardized capital risk-based approach in 12
CFR 217,
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hypothetical estimates that involve an economic outcome that is
more adverse
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subpart D, except for the risk-weighted assets used to calculate
the tier 1
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than expected. These estimates are not forecasts of expected
losses,
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common ratio, which uses the general risk-based capital approach
for all quarters.
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revenues, net income before taxes, or capital ratios. The minimum
capital
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ratio presented is for the period 2014:Q4 to 2016:Q4.
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(2) Advanced approaches bank holding companies (BHCs) are subject
to the
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Projected losses, revenues, net income, and other
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common equity tier 1 ratio for the third and fourth quarter of
2014. All bank
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comprehensive income through 2016:Q4
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holding companies are subject to the common equity tier 1 ratio
for each quarter
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of 2015 and 2016. An advanced approaches BHC includes any BHC that
has
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Percent of
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consolidated total assets greater than or equal to $250 billion or
consolidated
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Billions of
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average
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total on-balance sheet foreign exposure of at least $10 billion.
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dollars
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assets (1)
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See 12 CFR 217.100(b)(1). Other BHCs include any BHC that is
subject
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Pre-provision net revenue (2)
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15.6
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4.0%
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to 12 CFR 225.8 and is not an advanced approaches BHC.
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Other revenue (3)
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0.0
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less
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Provisions
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17.8
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Realized losses/gains on securities (AFS/HTM)
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0.2
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Trading and counterparty losses (4)
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0.0
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Other losses/gains (5)
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0.0
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equals
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Projected loan losses, by type of loan, 2014:Q4 - 2016:Q4
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Net income before taxes
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(2.4
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-0.6%
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Memo items
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Portfolio
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Other comprehensive income (6)
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(0.9
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Billions of
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loss
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Other effects on capital
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Actual 2014:Q3
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2016:Q4
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dollars
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rates (%)(1)
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AOCI included in capital (billions of dollars) (7)
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(0.1
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(0.9)
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Loan losses
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15.1
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6.2%
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First-lien mortgages, domestic
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1.1
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2.0%
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(1) Average assets is the nine-quarter average of total assets.
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Junior liens and HELOCs, domestic
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0.6
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3.5%
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(2) Pre-provision net revenue includes losses from
operational-risk events,
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Commercial and industrial (2)
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4.0
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7.0%
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mortgage repurchase expenses, and other real estate owned (OREO)
costs.
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Commercial real estate, domestic
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3.0
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7.5%
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(3) Other revenue includes one-time income and (expense) items not
included in
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Credit cards
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4.0
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19.5%
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pre-provision net revenue.
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Other consumer (3)
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1.3
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4.2%
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(4) Trading and counterparty losses include mark-to-market and
credit valuation
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Other loans (4)
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1.0
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4.2%
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adjustments (CVA) losses and losses arising from the counterparty
default
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scenario component applied to derivatives, securities lending, and
repurchase
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agreement activities.
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(1) Average loan balances used to calculate portfolio loss rates
exclude loans held
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(5) Other losses/gains includes projected change in fair value of
loans held for sale
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for sale and loans held for investment under the fair-value
option, and are
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and loans held for investment measured under the fair-value
option, and
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calculated over nine quarters.
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goodwill impairment losses.
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(2) Commercial and industrial loans include small- and
medium-enterprise loans
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(6) Other comprehensive income (OCI) is only calculated for
advanced approaches
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and corporate cards.
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BHCs, and other BHCs that opt into the advanced approaches
treatment
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(3) Other consumer loans include student loans and automobile
loans.
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of AOCI.
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(4) Other loans include international real estate loans.
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(7) Certain AOCI items are subject to transition into projected
regulatory capital.
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Those transitions are 20 percent included in projected regulatory
capital for
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Note: Estimates may not sum precisely due to rounding.
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2014, 40 percent included in projected regulatory capital for
2015, and
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60 percent included in projected regulatory capital for 2016.
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Minneapolis-based U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB), with $403 billion in assets
as of Dec. 31, 2014, is the parent company of U.S. Bank National
Association, the fifth largest commercial bank in the United States. The
company operates 3,176 banking offices in 25 states and 5,022 ATMs and
provides a comprehensive line of banking, investment, mortgage, trust
and payment services products to consumers, businesses and institutions.
Visit U.S. Bancorp on the web at www.usbank.com.
Forward-Looking Statements
The following information appears in accordance with the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995:
This press release contains forward-looking statements about U.S.
Bancorp. Statements that are not historical or current facts, including
statements about beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking
statements and are based on the information available to, and
assumptions and estimates made by, management as of the date hereof. The
forward-looking statements contained in this press release include,
among other things, projected future capital ratios, risk-weighted
assets, revenue, net income before taxes, and loan losses of U.S.
Bancorp based on a hypothetical scenario containing assumptions that may
not come to pass in the future. There can be no assurance that
U.S. Bancorp’s actual results would match the results disclosed herein
if the assumed scenario was to occur.
Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, and
important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from
those anticipated. A reversal or slowing of the current economic
recovery or another severe contraction could adversely affect U.S.
Bancorp’s revenues and the values of its assets and liabilities. Global
financial markets could experience a recurrence of significant
turbulence, which could reduce the availability of funding to certain
financial institutions and lead to a tightening of credit, a reduction
of business activity, and increased market volatility. Stress in the
commercial real estate markets, as well as a downturn in the residential
real estate markets could cause credit losses and deterioration in asset
values. In addition, U.S. Bancorp’s business and financial performance
is likely to be negatively impacted by recently enacted and future
legislation and regulation. U.S. Bancorp’s results could also be
adversely affected by deterioration in general business and economic
conditions; changes in interest rates; deterioration in the credit
quality of its loan portfolios or in the value of the collateral
securing those loans; deterioration in the value of securities held in
its investment securities portfolio; legal and regulatory developments;
increased competition from both banks and non-banks; changes in customer
behavior and preferences; breaches in data security; effects of mergers
and acquisitions and related integration; effects of critical accounting
policies and judgments; and management’s ability to effectively manage
credit risk, residual value risk, market risk, operational risk,
compliance risk, strategic risk, interest rate risk, liquidity risk and
reputational risk.
For discussion of these and other risks that may cause actual results to
differ from expectations, refer to U.S. Bancorp’s Annual Report on Form
10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014, as amended, on file with the
Securities and Exchange Commission, including the sections entitled
“Risk Factors” and “Corporate Risk Profile” contained in Exhibit 13, and
all subsequent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission under
Sections 13(a), 13(c), 14 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of
1934. However, factors other than these also could adversely affect U.S.
Bancorp’s results, and the reader should not consider these factors to
be a complete set of all potential risks or uncertainties.
Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date hereof, and U.S.
Bancorp undertakes no obligation to update them in light of new
information or future events.
Copyright Business Wire 2015