Xcel Energy Inc. (NYSE: XEL) today reported 2015 first quarter GAAP
earnings of $152 million, or $0.30 per share, compared with $261
million, or $0.52 per share, in the same period in 2014.
First quarter 2015 ongoing earnings, which exclude an adjustment for a
charge related to the Monticello life cycle management/extended power
uprate project, were $0.46 per share compared with $0.52 per share for
the first quarter of 2014. The decrease in ongoing earnings was largely
attributable to the negative impact of weather. The extreme cold weather
experienced in the first quarter of 2014 positively impacted earnings by
approximately $0.05 per share. The weather in 2015 was closer to normal,
resulting in a net negative variance when comparing periods. Other
factors include higher depreciation, operating and maintenance expenses,
property taxes and lower allowance for funds used during construction.
These amounts were partially offset by earnings from higher electric
margins due to new rates and riders in various jurisdictions.
“We had a solid first quarter, with progress on several fronts,” said
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer Ben Fowke. “We achieved
regulatory certainty with rate case decisions in Colorado and Minnesota
and resolution in connection with the Monticello nuclear facility
prudence review. We increased our dividend 6.7 percent and raised our
dividend growth target to 5 percent to 7 percent, reflecting the
confidence we have in our business plan and our financial flexibility.
Looking ahead, we fully expect to meet our O&M growth target of 2
percent or less and we are reaffirming our 2015 ongoing earnings
guidance to $2.00 to $2.15 per share.”
“We also received some welcome recognition recently that illustrates our
long-standing commitment to environmental leadership, corporate
governance and our nation's veterans,” Fowke said. “The American Wind
Energy Association named us the No. 1 provider of wind energy in the
nation for the 11th consecutive year, Forbes Magazine
put us on their 100 Most Trustworthy Companies in America list and Military
Times once again recognized us as a Best for Vets Employer.”
First quarter 2015 GAAP earnings included a $0.16 per share charge
related to the Monticello nuclear facility life cycle
management/extended power uprate project, which in total cost $748
million. In March 2015, the Minnesota Public Utility Commission approved
full recovery, including a return, on $415 million of the project costs,
inclusive of allowance for funds used during construction, but only
allow recovery of the remaining $333 million of costs with no return on
this portion of the investment for years 2015 and beyond. As a result of
this decision, Xcel Energy recorded a pre-tax charge of approximately
$129 million.
Earnings Adjusted for Certain Items (Ongoing Earnings)
The following table provides a reconciliation of ongoing earnings per
share (EPS) to GAAP EPS:
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31
|
Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share
|
|
2015
|
|
2014
|
Ongoing diluted EPS
|
|
$
|
0.46
|
|
|
$
|
0.52
|
|
Loss on Monticello life cycle management/extended power uprate
project (a)
|
|
|
(0.16
|
)
|
|
|
—
|
|
GAAP diluted EPS
|
|
$
|
0.30
|
|
|
$
|
0.52
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(a) See Note 6.
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
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|
At 9:00 a.m. CDT today, Xcel Energy will host a conference call to
review financial results. To participate in the call, please dial in 5
to 10 minutes prior to the start and follow the operator’s instructions.
|
|
|
|
|
US Dial-In:
|
|
|
|
(800) 756-4697
|
International Dial-In:
|
|
|
|
(913) 312-9330
|
Conference ID:
|
|
|
|
2307788
|
|
|
|
|
|
The conference call also will be simultaneously broadcast and archived
on Xcel Energy’s website at www.xcelenergy.com.
To access the presentation, click on Investor Relations. If you are
unable to participate in the live event, the call will be available for
replay from 12:00 p.m. CDT on April 30 through 10:59 p.m. CDT on May 2.
|
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|
|
|
Replay Numbers
|
US Dial-In:
|
|
|
|
(888) 203-1112
|
International Dial-In:
|
|
|
|
(719) 457-0820
|
Access Code:
|
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|
2307788
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|
Except for the historical statements contained in this release, the
matters discussed herein, are forward-looking statements that are
subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Such
forward-looking statements, including our 2015 earnings per share
guidance and assumptions, are intended to be identified in this document
by the words “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,”
“may,” “objective,” “outlook,” “plan,” “project,” “possible,”
“potential,” “should” and similar expressions. Actual results may vary
materially. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they
are made, and we do not undertake any obligation to update them to
reflect changes that occur after that date. Factors that could cause
actual results to differ materially include, but are not limited to:
general economic conditions, including inflation rates, monetary
fluctuations and their impact on capital expenditures and the ability of
Xcel Energy Inc. and its subsidiaries (collectively, Xcel Energy) to
obtain financing on favorable terms; business conditions in the energy
industry, including the risk of a slow down in the U.S. economy or delay
in growth recovery; trade, fiscal, taxation and environmental policies
in areas where Xcel Energy has a financial interest; customer business
conditions; actions of credit rating agencies; competitive factors,
including the extent and timing of the entry of additional competition
in the markets served by Xcel Energy Inc. and its subsidiaries; unusual
weather; effects of geopolitical events, including war and acts of
terrorism; cyber security threats and data security breaches; state,
federal and foreign legislative and regulatory initiatives that affect
cost and investment recovery, have an impact on rates or have an impact
on asset operation or ownership or impose environmental compliance
conditions; structures that affect the speed and degree to which
competition enters the electric and natural gas markets; costs and other
effects of legal and administrative proceedings, settlements,
investigations and claims; actions by regulatory bodies impacting our
nuclear operations, including those affecting costs, operations or the
approval of requests pending before the Nuclear Regulatory Commission;
financial or regulatory accounting policies imposed by regulatory
bodies; availability or cost of capital; employee work force factors;
the items described under Factors Affecting Results of Operations in
Item 7 of Xcel Energy Inc.’s Form 10-K for the year ended Dec. 31, 2014;
and the other risk factors listed from time to time by Xcel Energy in
reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC),
including Risk Factors in Item 1A and Exhibit 99.01 of Xcel Energy
Inc.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended Dec. 31, 2014.
This information is not given in connection with any sale, offer for
sale or offer to buy any security.
|
|
|
XCEL ENERGY INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED
STATEMENTS OF INCOME (Unaudited) (amounts in
thousands, except per share data)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31
|
|
|
2015
|
|
2014
|
Operating revenues
|
|
|
|
|
Electric
|
|
$
|
2,224,863
|
|
|
$
|
2,301,710
|
|
Natural gas
|
|
|
715,996
|
|
|
|
879,688
|
|
Other
|
|
|
21,360
|
|
|
|
21,206
|
|
Total operating revenues
|
|
|
2,962,219
|
|
|
|
3,202,604
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating expenses
|
|
|
|
|
Electric fuel and purchased power
|
|
|
950,132
|
|
|
|
1,067,321
|
|
Cost of natural gas sold and transported
|
|
|
472,371
|
|
|
|
623,828
|
|
Cost of sales — other
|
|
|
10,049
|
|
|
|
9,129
|
|
Operating and maintenance expenses
|
|
|
585,830
|
|
|
|
560,143
|
|
Conservation and demand side management program expenses
|
|
|
53,805
|
|
|
|
77,546
|
|
Depreciation and amortization
|
|
|
273,098
|
|
|
|
245,943
|
|
Taxes (other than income taxes)
|
|
|
136,626
|
|
|
|
124,702
|
|
Loss on Monticello life cycle management/extended power uprate
project
|
|
|
129,463
|
|
|
|
—
|
|
Total operating expenses
|
|
|
2,611,374
|
|
|
|
2,708,612
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating income
|
|
|
350,845
|
|
|
|
493,992
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other income, net
|
|
|
3,161
|
|
|
|
3,201
|
|
Equity earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries
|
|
|
7,776
|
|
|
|
7,438
|
|
Allowance for funds used during construction — equity
|
|
|
12,660
|
|
|
|
21,907
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest charges and financing costs
|
|
|
|
|
Interest charges — includes other financing costs of $5,698 and
$5,792, respectively
|
|
|
144,940
|
|
|
|
139,094
|
|
Allowance for funds used during construction — debt
|
|
|
(6,144
|
)
|
|
|
(9,548
|
)
|
Total interest charges and financing costs
|
|
|
138,796
|
|
|
|
129,546
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before income taxes
|
|
|
235,646
|
|
|
|
396,992
|
|
Income taxes
|
|
|
83,580
|
|
|
|
135,771
|
|
Net income
|
|
$
|
152,066
|
|
|
$
|
261,221
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average common shares outstanding:
|
|
|
|
|
Basic
|
|
|
506,983
|
|
|
|
499,523
|
|
Diluted
|
|
|
507,393
|
|
|
|
499,746
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earnings per average common share:
|
|
|
|
|
Basic
|
|
$
|
0.30
|
|
|
$
|
0.52
|
|
Diluted
|
|
|
0.30
|
|
|
|
0.52
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash dividends declared per common share
|
|
$
|
0.32
|
|
|
$
|
0.30
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
XCEL ENERGY INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
Notes to Investor
Relations Earnings Release (Unaudited)
Due to the seasonality of Xcel Energy’s operating results, quarterly
financial results are not an appropriate base from which to project
annual results.
The only common equity securities that are publicly traded are common
shares of Xcel Energy Inc. The diluted earnings and EPS of each
subsidiary discussed below do not represent a direct legal interest in
the assets and liabilities allocated to such subsidiary but rather
represent a direct interest in our assets and liabilities as a whole.
Ongoing diluted EPS for Xcel Energy and by subsidiary is a financial
measure not recognized under GAAP. Ongoing diluted EPS is calculated by
dividing the net income or loss attributable to the controlling interest
of each subsidiary, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average
fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period.
We use this non-GAAP financial measure to evaluate and provide details
of Xcel Energy’s core earnings and underlying performance. We believe
this measurement is useful to investors in facilitating period over
period comparisons and evaluating or projecting financial results. This
non-GAAP financial measure should not be considered as an alternative to
measures calculated and reported in accordance with GAAP.
Note 1. Earnings Per Share Summary
The following table summarizes the diluted EPS for Xcel Energy:
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31
|
Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share
|
|
2015
|
|
2014
|
Public Service Company of Colorado (PSCo)
|
|
$
|
0.22
|
|
|
$
|
0.24
|
|
NSP-Minnesota
|
|
|
0.16
|
|
|
|
0.21
|
|
NSP-Wisconsin
|
|
|
0.05
|
|
|
|
0.05
|
|
Southwestern Public Service Company (SPS)
|
|
|
0.04
|
|
|
|
0.04
|
|
Equity earnings of unconsolidated subsidiaries
|
|
|
0.01
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
|
Regulated utility
|
|
|
0.48
|
|
|
|
0.55
|
|
Xcel Energy Inc. and other
|
|
|
(0.02
|
)
|
|
|
(0.03
|
)
|
Ongoing diluted EPS
|
|
|
0.46
|
|
|
|
0.52
|
|
Loss on Monticello life cycle management (LCM)/extended power uprate
(EPU) project (a)
|
|
|
(0.16
|
)
|
|
|
—
|
|
GAAP diluted EPS
|
|
$
|
0.30
|
|
|
$
|
0.52
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(a) See Note 6.
|
|
PSCo — PSCo’s ongoing earnings decreased $0.02 per share
for the first quarter of 2015. The positive impact of implementing the
Clean Air Clean Jobs Act (CACJA) rider, effective Jan. 1, 2015, and the
recognition of lower estimated electric earnings test refunds were
offset by lower allowance for funds used during construction (AFUDC),
higher property taxes, operating and maintenance (O&M) expenses,
depreciation and the unfavorable impact of weather ($0.01 per share).
NSP-Minnesota — NSP-Minnesota’s ongoing earnings decreased
$0.05 per share for the first quarter of 2015. Higher revenue
attributable to electric rate cases in North Dakota and South Dakota
(interim, subject to refund) were more than offset by the impact of
increases in depreciation and O&M expenses as well as unfavorable
weather. The colder weather experienced in 2014 resulted in a $0.03 per
share decrease when comparing periods. In the first quarter of 2015,
NSP-Minnesota recorded electric revenue in Minnesota consistent with
interim rates, which were implemented in January 2014, as the Minnesota
Public Utilities Commission (MPUC) has not issued its final rate case
order or ruled on its treatment of interim rates. A true-up reflecting
an additional $10.5 million of first quarter revenue would be recorded
later in the year, if the MPUC approves NSP-Minnesota’s proposed
treatment of the 2014 refund for interim rates.
NSP-Wisconsin — NSP-Wisconsin’s ongoing earnings were flat
for the first quarter of 2015. Lower O&M expenses and higher electric
margins, primarily due to an electric rate increase, were offset by the
unfavorable impact of weather ($0.01 per share) and higher depreciation.
SPS — SPS’ ongoing earnings were flat for the first
quarter of 2015. Higher electric rates in Texas and New Mexico were
offset by higher depreciation and O&M expenses.
The following table summarizes significant components contributing to
the changes in 2015 EPS compared with the same period in 2014:
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31
|
2014 GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS
|
|
|
|
$
|
0.52
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Components of change — 2015 vs. 2014
|
|
|
|
|
Higher electric margins
|
|
|
|
|
0.05
|
|
Lower conservation and demand side management (DSM) program expenses
(offset by lower revenues)
|
|
|
|
|
0.03
|
|
Higher depreciation and amortization
|
|
|
|
|
(0.03
|
)
|
Higher O&M expenses
|
|
|
|
|
(0.03
|
)
|
Higher effective tax rate (ETR)
|
|
|
|
|
(0.02
|
)
|
Lower AFUDC — equity
|
|
|
|
|
(0.02
|
)
|
Lower natural gas margins
|
|
|
|
|
(0.01
|
)
|
Higher taxes (other than income taxes)
|
|
|
|
|
(0.01
|
)
|
Higher interest charges
|
|
|
|
|
(0.01
|
)
|
Dilution from equity issued through the at-the-market program,
direct stock purchase plan and benefit plans
|
|
|
|
|
(0.01
|
)
|
2015 ongoing diluted EPS
|
|
|
|
|
0.46
|
|
Loss on Monticello LCM/EPU project (a)
|
|
|
|
|
(0.16
|
)
|
2015 GAAP diluted EPS
|
|
|
|
$
|
0.30
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(a) See Note 6.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Note 2. Regulated Utility Results
Estimated Impact of Temperature Changes on Regulated Earnings —
Unusually hot summers or cold winters increase electric and natural gas
sales, while mild weather reduces electric and natural gas sales. The
estimated impact of weather on earnings is based on the number of
customers, temperature variances and the amount of natural gas or
electricity the average customer historically uses per degree of
temperature. Accordingly, deviations in weather from normal levels can
affect Xcel Energy’s financial performance.
Degree-day or Temperature-Humidity Index (THI) data is used to estimate
amounts of energy required to maintain comfortable indoor temperature
levels based on each day’s average temperature and humidity. Heating
degree-days (HDD) is the measure of the variation in the weather based
on the extent to which the average daily temperature falls below 65°
Fahrenheit. Cooling degree-days (CDD) is the measure of the variation in
the weather based on the extent to which the average daily temperature
rises above 65° Fahrenheit. Each degree of temperature above 65°
Fahrenheit is counted as one cooling degree-day, and each degree of
temperature below 65° Fahrenheit is counted as one heating degree-day.
In Xcel Energy’s more humid service territories, a THI is used in place
of CDD, which adds a humidity factor to CDD. HDD, CDD and THI are most
likely to impact the usage of Xcel Energy’s residential and commercial
customers. Industrial customers are less sensitive to weather.
Normal weather conditions are defined as either the 20-year or 30-year
average of actual historical weather conditions. The historical period
of time used in the calculation of normal weather differs by
jurisdiction, based on regulatory practice. To calculate the impact of
weather on demand, a demand factor is applied to the weather impact on
sales as defined above to derive the amount of demand associated with
the weather impact.
There was no impact on sales in the first quarter of 2015 due to THI or
CDD. The percentage (decrease) increase in normal and actual HDD is
provided in the following table:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31
|
|
|
|
|
2015 vs. Normal
|
|
|
2014 vs. Normal
|
|
|
2015 vs. 2014
|
HDD
|
|
|
|
(1.1
|
)%
|
|
|
14.1
|
%
|
|
|
(13.5
|
)%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weather — The following table summarizes the estimated
impact of temperature variations on EPS compared with sales under normal
weather conditions:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31
|
|
|
|
|
2015 vs. Normal
|
|
|
2014 vs. Normal
|
|
|
2015 vs. 2014
|
Retail electric
|
|
|
|
$
|
(0.001
|
)
|
|
|
$
|
0.031
|
|
|
|
$
|
(0.032
|
)
|
Firm natural gas
|
|
|
|
|
(0.004
|
)
|
|
|
|
0.018
|
|
|
|
|
(0.022
|
)
|
Total
|
|
|
|
$
|
(0.005
|
)
|
|
|
$
|
0.049
|
|
|
|
$
|
(0.054
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sales Growth (Decline) — The following tables summarize
Xcel Energy and its subsidiaries’ sales growth (decline) for actual and
weather-normalized sales in 2015:
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31
|
|
|
Xcel Energy
|
|
SPS
|
|
NSP-Wisconsin
|
|
PSCo
|
|
NSP-Minnesota
|
Actual
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Electric residential (a)
|
|
(4.9
|
)%
|
|
(3.1
|
)%
|
|
(7.7
|
)%
|
|
(3.3
|
)%
|
|
(6.3
|
)%
|
Electric commercial and industrial
|
|
—
|
|
|
1.9
|
|
|
1.5
|
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
(1.7
|
)
|
Total retail electric sales
|
|
(1.5
|
)
|
|
0.8
|
|
|
(1.6
|
)
|
|
(0.8
|
)
|
|
(3.1
|
)
|
Firm natural gas sales
|
|
(10.1
|
)
|
|
N/A
|
|
(9.3
|
)
|
|
(9.6
|
)
|
|
(11.1
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31
|
|
|
Xcel Energy
|
|
SPS
|
|
NSP-Wisconsin
|
|
PSCo
|
|
NSP-Minnesota
|
Weather-normalized
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Electric residential (a)
|
|
(0.5
|
)%
|
|
2.0
|
%
|
|
(1.2
|
)%
|
|
(1.0
|
)%
|
|
(0.7
|
)%
|
Electric commercial and industrial
|
|
0.9
|
|
|
2.0
|
|
|
3.1
|
|
|
1.1
|
|
|
(0.4
|
)
|
Total retail electric sales
|
|
0.5
|
|
|
1.9
|
|
|
1.7
|
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
(0.5
|
)
|
Firm natural gas sales
|
|
2.9
|
|
|
N/A
|
|
6.5
|
|
|
2.0
|
|
|
3.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(a) Extreme weather variations and additional factors
such as windchill and cloud cover may not be reflected in
weather-normalized and actual growth estimates.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weather-normalized Electric Growth (Decline)
-
SPS’ commercial and industrial (C&I) growth was driven by continued
expansion from oil and gas exploration and production in the
Southeastern New Mexico, Permian Basin area. Residential growth
reflects an increased number of customers as well as greater use per
customer.
-
NSP-Wisconsin’s electric sales growth was largely due to strong sales
to large C&I customers primarily in the oil, gas and sand mining
industries. Residential decline was primarily attributable to lower
use per customer.
-
PSCo’s C&I growth was primarily due to expansion in the health care
and technology services industries. Residential decrease was primarily
the result of weaker use per customer, partially offset by customer
growth.
-
NSP-Minnesota’s C&I electric sales declined as a result of lower use
for large customers (primarily due to a decline in usage by the
service industry), partially offset by an increase in the number of
customers in both the small and large classes. Residential decrease
was due to less use per customer, partially offset by increasing
customer growth.
Weather-normalized Natural Gas Growth
-
Across all natural gas service territories, increased natural gas
sales were fueled by both customer growth and higher use per customer.
Low natural gas prices and continued economic recovery drove gains
from both residential and C&I customers. In addition, NSP-Minnesota
and NSP-Wisconsin experienced growth from customers converting from
propane to natural gas and customers in the sand mining industry.
Electric Margin — Electric revenues and fuel and purchased
power expenses are largely impacted by the fluctuation in the price of
natural gas, coal and uranium used in the generation of electricity, but
as a result of the design of fuel recovery mechanisms to recover current
expenses, these price fluctuations have minimal impact on electric
margin. The following table details the electric revenues and margin:
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31
|
(Millions of Dollars)
|
|
2015
|
|
2014
|
Electric revenues
|
|
$
|
2,225
|
|
|
$
|
2,302
|
|
Electric fuel and purchased power
|
|
|
(950
|
)
|
|
|
(1,067
|
)
|
Electric margin
|
|
$
|
1,275
|
|
|
$
|
1,235
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The following table summarizes the components of the changes in electric
margin:
|
|
|
(Millions of Dollars)
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31 2015 vs.
2014
|
Non-fuel riders (a) (b)
|
|
$
|
34
|
|
Retail rate increases (b) (c)
|
|
|
23
|
|
Earnings test refund
|
|
|
11
|
|
Transmission revenue, net of costs
|
|
|
7
|
|
NSP-Wisconsin fuel recovery
|
|
|
7
|
|
Estimated impact of weather
|
|
|
(25
|
)
|
Conservation and DSM program revenues (offset by expenses)
|
|
|
(16
|
)
|
Other, net
|
|
|
(1
|
)
|
Total increase in electric margin
|
|
$
|
40
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(a) Increase relates primarily to the new CACJA rider
in Colorado ($24 million), effective Jan. 1, 2015, and
Transmission Cost Recovery (TCR) rider in Minnesota ($9 million).
|
|
(b) Non-fuel rider amounts for the CACJA rider in
Colorado (allowed for in the settlement) positively impacted
revenues and more than offset the base rate decrease. See Note 4
for further discussion.
|
|
(c) Increase due to rate proceedings in Texas,
Minnesota, New Mexico, Wisconsin and North Dakota and the interim
rates associated with the pending South Dakota case, subject to
and net of an estimated provision for refund. These increases were
slightly offset by a decline in Colorado retail base rates which
occurred as a result of the recent CPUC decision.
|
|
Natural Gas Margin — Total natural gas expense tends to
vary with changing sales requirements and the cost of natural gas
purchases. However, due to the design of purchased natural gas cost
recovery mechanisms to recover current expenses for sales to retail
customers, fluctuations in the cost of natural gas have little effect on
natural gas margin. The following table details natural gas revenues and
margin:
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31
|
(Millions of Dollars)
|
|
2015
|
|
2014
|
Natural gas revenues
|
|
$
|
716
|
|
|
$
|
880
|
|
Cost of natural gas sold and transported
|
|
|
(472
|
)
|
|
|
(624
|
)
|
Natural gas margin
|
|
$
|
244
|
|
|
$
|
256
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The following table summarizes the components of the changes in natural
gas margin:
|
|
|
(Millions of Dollars)
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31 2015 vs.
2014
|
Estimated impact of weather
|
|
$
|
(17
|
)
|
Conservation and DSM program revenues (offset by expenses)
|
|
|
(7
|
)
|
Integrity rider (Colorado) and infrastructure rider (Minnesota),
partially offset in expenses
|
|
|
7
|
|
Retail sales growth, excluding weather impact
|
|
|
4
|
|
Other, net
|
|
|
1
|
|
Total decrease in natural gas margin
|
|
$
|
(12
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
O&M Expenses — O&M expenses increased $25.7 million,
or 4.6 percent, for the first quarter of 2015 compared with the same
period in 2014. O&M expenses were higher for the quarter, primarily due
to the timing of planned maintenance and overhauls at a number of our
generation facilities. We continue to expect that the change in annual
O&M expense for 2015 to be within a range of 0 percent to 2 percent,
consistent with our annual guidance assumptions.
|
|
|
|
(Millions of Dollars)
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31 2015 vs.
2014
|
Plant generation costs
|
|
$
|
17
|
|
Nuclear plant operations
|
|
|
4
|
|
Employee benefits
|
|
|
4
|
|
Other, net
|
|
|
1
|
|
Total increase in O&M expenses
|
|
$
|
26
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Conservation and DSM Program Expenses — Conservation and
DSM program expenses decreased $23.7 million, or 30.6 percent, for the
first quarter of 2015 compared with the same period in 2014. The
decrease was primarily attributable to lower electric and gas recovery
rates at NSP-Minnesota and PSCo. Therefore, lower expenses are generally
offset by lower revenues.
Depreciation and Amortization — Depreciation and
amortization increased $27.2 million, or 11.0 percent, for the first
quarter of 2015 compared with the same period in 2014. The increase was
primarily attributed to normal system expansion and lower amortization
of the excess depreciation reserve in Minnesota. See further discussion
within Note 4.
Taxes (Other Than Income Taxes) — Taxes (other than income
taxes) increased $11.9 million, or 9.6 percent, for the first quarter of
2015 compared with the same period in 2014. The increase was due to
higher property taxes primarily in Colorado and Minnesota.
AFUDC, Equity and Debt — AFUDC decreased $12.7 million for
the first quarter of 2015 compared with the same period in 2014. The
decrease was primarily due to the implementation of the CACJA rider on
Jan. 1, 2015, facilitating earlier and alternative recovery of
construction costs.
Interest Charges — Interest charges increased $5.8
million, or 4.2 percent, for the first quarter of 2015 compared with the
same period in 2014. The increase was primarily due to higher long-term
debt levels, partially offset by refinancings at lower interest rates.
Income Taxes — Income tax expense decreased $52.2 million
for the first quarter of 2015 compared with the same period in 2014. The
decrease was primarily due to lower 2015 pretax earnings, partially
offset by decreased permanent plant-related adjustments in 2015 and the
successful resolution of a 2010-2011 IRS audit issue in 2014. The ETR
was 35.5 percent for the first quarter of 2015 compared with 34.2
percent for the same period in 2014. The lower ETR for 2014 was
primarily due to the adjustments referenced above.
Note 3. Xcel Energy Capital Structure,
Financing and Credit Ratings
Following is the capital structure of Xcel Energy:
|
|
|
|
|
(Billions of Dollars)
|
|
March 31, 2015
|
|
Percentage of Total Capitalization
|
Current portion of long-term debt
|
|
$
|
0.2
|
|
1
|
%
|
Short-term debt
|
|
|
1.0
|
|
4
|
|
Long-term debt
|
|
|
11.5
|
|
50
|
|
Total debt
|
|
|
12.7
|
|
55
|
|
Common equity
|
|
|
10.2
|
|
45
|
|
Total capitalization
|
|
$
|
22.9
|
|
100
|
%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Credit Facilities — As of April 28,
2015, Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries had the following
committed credit facilities available to meet liquidity needs:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Millions of Dollars)
|
|
Credit Facility (a)
|
|
Drawn (b)
|
|
Available
|
|
Cash
|
|
Liquidity
|
Xcel Energy Inc.
|
|
$
|
1,000.0
|
|
$
|
513.0
|
|
$
|
487.0
|
|
$
|
0.6
|
|
$
|
487.6
|
PSCo
|
|
|
700.0
|
|
|
170.5
|
|
|
529.5
|
|
|
1.0
|
|
|
530.5
|
NSP-Minnesota
|
|
|
500.0
|
|
|
83.4
|
|
|
416.6
|
|
|
0.6
|
|
|
417.2
|
SPS
|
|
|
400.0
|
|
|
180.0
|
|
|
220.0
|
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
220.4
|
NSP-Wisconsin
|
|
|
150.0
|
|
|
85.0
|
|
|
65.0
|
|
|
0.4
|
|
|
65.4
|
Total
|
|
$
|
2,750.0
|
|
$
|
1,031.9
|
|
$
|
1,718.1
|
|
$
|
3.0
|
|
$
|
1,721.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(a) These credit facilities expire in October 2019.
|
|
(b) Includes outstanding commercial paper and letters
of credit.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Credit Ratings — Access to the capital market at
reasonable terms is dependent in part on credit ratings. The following
ratings reflect the views of Moody’s Investors Service (Moody’s),
Standard & Poor’s Rating Services (Standard & Poor’s), and Fitch Ratings
(Fitch).
As of April 28, 2015, the following represents the credit ratings
assigned to Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Company
|
|
|
Credit Type
|
|
|
Moody’s
|
|
|
Standard & Poor’s
|
|
|
Fitch
|
Xcel Energy Inc.
|
|
|
Senior Unsecured Debt
|
|
|
A3
|
|
|
BBB+
|
|
|
BBB+
|
Xcel Energy Inc.
|
|
|
Commercial Paper
|
|
|
P-2
|
|
|
A-2
|
|
|
F2
|
NSP-Minnesota
|
|
|
Senior Unsecured Debt
|
|
|
A2
|
|
|
A-
|
|
|
A
|
NSP-Minnesota
|
|
|
Senior Secured Debt
|
|
|
Aa3
|
|
|
A
|
|
|
A+
|
NSP-Minnesota
|
|
|
Commercial Paper
|
|
|
P-1
|
|
|
A-2
|
|
|
F2
|
NSP-Wisconsin
|
|
|
Senior Unsecured Debt
|
|
|
A2
|
|
|
A-
|
|
|
A
|
NSP-Wisconsin
|
|
|
Senior Secured Debt
|
|
|
Aa3
|
|
|
A
|
|
|
A+
|
NSP-Wisconsin
|
|
|
Commercial Paper
|
|
|
P-1
|
|
|
A-2
|
|
|
F2
|
PSCo
|
|
|
Senior Unsecured Debt
|
|
|
A3
|
|
|
A-
|
|
|
A
|
PSCo
|
|
|
Senior Secured Debt
|
|
|
A1
|
|
|
A
|
|
|
A+
|
PSCo
|
|
|
Commercial Paper
|
|
|
P-2
|
|
|
A-2
|
|
|
F2
|
SPS
|
|
|
Senior Unsecured Debt
|
|
|
Baa1
|
|
|
A-
|
|
|
BBB+
|
SPS
|
|
|
Senior Secured Debt
|
|
|
A2
|
|
|
A
|
|
|
A-
|
SPS
|
|
|
Commercial Paper
|
|
|
P-2
|
|
|
A-2
|
|
|
F2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The highest credit rating for debt is Aaa/AAA and the lowest investment
grade rating is Baa3/BBB-. The highest rating for commercial paper is
P-1/A-1/F-1 and the lowest rating is P-3/A-3/F-3. A security rating is
not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold securities. Ratings are
subject to revision or withdrawal at any time by the credit rating
agency and each rating should be evaluated independently of any other
rating.
During 2015, Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries anticipate
issuing the following:
-
Xcel Energy Inc. plans to issue approximately $500 million of senior
unsecured bonds;
-
PSCo plans to issue approximately $250 million of first mortgage bonds;
-
NSP-Minnesota plans to issue approximately $600 million of first
mortgage bonds;
-
SPS plans to issue approximately $250 million of first mortgage bonds;
and
-
NSP-Wisconsin plans to issue approximately $100 million of first
mortgage bonds.
Xcel Energy does not anticipate issuing any additional equity, beyond
its dividend reinvestment program and benefit programs, for 2015-2019,
based on its current capital expenditure plan. Financing plans are
subject to change, depending on capital expenditures, internal cash
generation, market conditions and other factors.
Note 4. Rates and Regulation
NSP-Minnesota – Minnesota 2014 Multi-Year Electric Rate Case —
In November 2013, NSP-Minnesota filed a two-year electric rate case with
the MPUC. The rate case was based on a requested return on equity (ROE)
of 10.25 percent, a 52.5 percent equity ratio, a 2014 average electric
rate base of $6.67 billion and an additional average rate base of $412
million in 2015. The NSP-Minnesota electric rate case initially
reflected a requested increase in revenues of approximately $193
million, or 6.9 percent, in 2014 and an additional $98 million, or 3.5
percent, in 2015. The request included a proposed rate moderation plan
for 2014 and 2015. In December 2013, the MPUC approved interim rates of
$127 million, effective Jan. 3, 2014, subject to refund.
In 2014, NSP-Minnesota revised its requested rate increase to $115.3
million for 2014 and to $106.0 million for 2015, for a total combined
unadjusted increase of $221.3 million.
In December 2014, the administrative law judge (ALJ) issued her
recommendations in the NSP-Minnesota electric rate case. NSP-Minnesota
estimated that her recommendations would have resulted in a rate
increase of $69.1 million in 2014 and an incremental rate increase of
$122.4 million in 2015. In addition, she recommended an ROE of 9.77
percent and an equity ratio of 52.5 percent.
On March 26, 2015, the MPUC voted to approve a 2014 rate increase and a
2015 step increase. NSP-Minnesota estimates the total rate increase to
be approximately $168 million, or 6.1 percent, based on a 9.72 percent
ROE and 52.50 percent equity ratio. The MPUC largely approved the ALJ’s
recommendations and the excess depreciation reserve utilization of 50
percent, 30 percent and 20 percent in 2014, 2015, and 2016,
respectively. The MPUC did not adopt NSP-Minnesota’s 2016 rate case
avoidance proposal. NSP-Minnesota is initiating the preparation of its
2016 rate case. NSP-Minnesota will evaluate how best to proceed
including whether proposed legislation could provide alternative
approaches, whether rate moderation is available and whether to propose
a single or multi-year request.
The following table reconciles NSP-Minnesota’s original request to the
MPUC's March 26, 2015 verbal decision, including the estimated ongoing
impact of their March 6, 2015 verbal decision in the Monticello Prudence
Review on the Minnesota retail electric jurisdiction:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2014 Rate Request (Millions of Dollars)
|
|
NSP- Minnesota
|
|
ALJ
|
|
MPUC Decision
|
NSP-Minnesota’s filed rate request
|
|
$
|
192.7
|
|
|
$
|
192.7
|
|
|
$
|
192.7
|
|
Sales forecast (with true-up to 12 months of actual
weather-normalized sales)
|
|
|
(38.5
|
)
|
|
|
(38.5
|
)
|
|
|
(38.5
|
)
|
ROE
|
|
|
—
|
|
|
|
(28.4
|
)
|
|
|
(31.9
|
)
|
Monticello EPU cost recovery
|
|
|
(12.2
|
)
|
|
|
(31.3
|
)
|
|
|
(37.6
|
)
|
Property taxes (with true-up to actual 2014 accruals)
|
|
|
(13.2
|
)
|
|
|
(13.2
|
)
|
|
|
(13.2
|
)
|
Prairie Island EPU cost recovery
|
|
|
(5.1
|
)
|
|
|
(5.1
|
)
|
|
|
(5.1
|
)
|
Health care, pension and other benefits
|
|
|
(1.9
|
)
|
|
|
(1.9
|
)
|
|
|
(3.0
|
)
|
Other, net
|
|
|
(6.5
|
)
|
|
|
(5.2
|
)
|
|
|
(5.3
|
)
|
Total 2014
|
|
$
|
115.3
|
|
|
$
|
69.1
|
|
|
$
|
58.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2015 Rate Request (Millions of Dollars)
|
|
NSP- Minnesota
|
|
ALJ
|
|
MPUC Decision
|
NSP-Minnesota’s filed rate request
|
|
$
|
98.5
|
|
|
$
|
98.5
|
|
|
$
|
98.5
|
|
Monticello EPU cost recovery
|
|
|
11.7
|
|
|
|
29.1
|
|
|
|
35.4
|
|
Depreciation / retirements
|
|
|
—
|
|
|
|
—
|
|
|
|
(0.5
|
)
|
Property taxes
|
|
|
(3.3
|
)
|
|
|
(3.3
|
)
|
|
|
(3.3
|
)
|
Production tax credits to be included in base rates
|
|
|
(11.1
|
)
|
|
|
(11.1
|
)
|
|
|
(11.1
|
)
|
U.S. Department of Energy settlement proceeds
|
|
|
10.1
|
|
|
|
10.1
|
|
|
|
10.1
|
|
Emission chemicals
|
|
|
(1.6
|
)
|
|
|
(1.6
|
)
|
|
|
(1.6
|
)
|
Other, net
|
|
|
1.7
|
|
|
|
0.7
|
|
|
|
0.2
|
|
Total 2015 step increase - prior to Monticello EPU cost
disallowance
|
|
$
|
106.0
|
|
|
$
|
122.4
|
|
|
$
|
127.7
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total for 2014 and 2015 step increase - prior to Monticello EPU
cost disallowance
|
|
$
|
221.3
|
|
|
$
|
191.5
|
|
|
$
|
185.8
|
|
Monticello EPU cost disallowance - ongoing impact
|
|
|
—
|
|
|
|
—
|
|
|
|
(18.2
|
)
|
Total for 2014 and 2015 step increase - including Monticello EPU
cost disallowance
|
|
$
|
221.3
|
|
|
$
|
191.5
|
|
|
$
|
167.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The MPUC also approved a full revenue decoupling three-year pilot with a
3 percent cap on base revenue for the residential and small C&I classes,
based on actual sales, effective Jan. 1, 2016. The decoupling mechanism
would eliminate the impact of weather variability on electric sales for
these classes. NSP-Minnesota can seek to recover amounts over the cap
provided it can show that its demand-side management and/or other
initiatives were a substantial contributing factor to the declining
energy consumption and that other non-conservation factors were not the
primary factors for the under-recovery.
The MPUC made no determination on NSP-Minnesota’s interim rate refund
proposal. There are currently two proposals in the case regarding the
potential refund for interim rates for 2014 and 2015. NSP-Minnesota has
requested that the MPUC treat the multi-year case as a single period and
net the two-year period for any potential refund/surcharge that could
occur when final rates are established. The Minnesota Department of
Commerce identified an alternative option that views each year of the
multi-year case separately, which would result in lower 2015 revenues by
approximately $3.5 million per month between Jan. 1, 2015 and the date
that final rates are determined. The final order is expected to be
issued May 8, 2015. NSP-Minnesota filed the initial parts of a
compliance filing calculating the final authorized rates in April 2015
and plans to file the remaining portions during May 2015. The MPUC is
expected to rule on interim rates after the comment period for the
compliance filing.
NSP-Minnesota – Nuclear Project Prudence Investigation —
In 2013, NSP-Minnesota completed the Monticello LCM/EPU project. The
multi-year project extended the life of the facility and increased the
capacity from 600 to 671 megawatts (MW). Monticello LCM/EPU project
expenditures were approximately $665 million. Total capitalized costs
were approximately $748 million, which includes AFUDC. In 2008, project
expenditures were initially estimated at approximately $320 million,
excluding AFUDC.
In 2013, the MPUC initiated an investigation to determine whether the
final costs for the Monticello LCM/EPU project were prudent.
On March 6, 2015, the MPUC voted to allow for full recovery, including a
return, on approximately $415 million of the total plant costs
(inclusive of AFUDC), but only allow recovery of the remaining $333
million of costs with no return on this portion of the investment over
the remaining life of the plant. Further, the MPUC determined that only
50 percent of the investment was considered used and useful for 2014. As
a result of these determinations and assuming the other state
commissions within the NSP System jurisdictions adopt the MPUC’s
decisions, Xcel Energy recorded an estimated pre-tax loss of $129
million in the first quarter of 2015. The remaining book value of the
Monticello project represents the present value of the estimated future
cash flows allowed for by the MPUC.
In addition, the decision would reduce the 2015 revenue requirement and
pre-tax income for Xcel Energy (assuming other state commissions adopt
the MPUC decision) and the Minnesota retail electric jurisdiction as
follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Millions of Dollars)
|
|
Revenue
|
|
Pre-tax Income (a)
|
Xcel Energy
|
|
$
|
25
|
|
|
$
|
16
|
|
Minnesota retail electric jurisdiction
|
|
|
18
|
|
|
|
12
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(a) Pre-tax income reflects the net impact of the
reductions in revenue and depreciation expense.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Review of the final written order, which is anticipated in the second
quarter of 2015, could impact NSP-Minnesota’s calculations.
NSP-Minnesota will have the ability to file for reconsideration.
NSP-Minnesota – South Dakota 2015 Electric Rate Case —
In June 2014, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the South
Dakota Public Utilities Commission to increase South Dakota electric
rates by $15.6 million annually, or 8.0 percent, effective Jan. 1, 2015.
The request is based on a 2013 historic test year (HTY) adjusted for
certain known and measurable changes for 2014 and 2015, a requested ROE
of 10.25 percent, an average rate base of $433.2 million and an equity
ratio of 53.86 percent. This request reflects NSP-Minnesota’s proposal
to move recovery of approximately $9.0 million for certain TCR rider and
Infrastructure rider projects to base rates.
Interim rates of $15.6 million, subject to refund, went into effect in
January 2015. At this time, the parties are in settlement discussion and
further procedure scheduling may be established, as necessary. Final
rates are anticipated to be effective mid-2015.
NSP-Minnesota – Courtenay Wind Farm — In
2013, NSP-Minnesota signed a purchase power agreement with a developer
for the Courtenay wind farm, a 200 megawatt project in North Dakota.
Since that time, the developer is seeking to exit the project due to a
lack of financial wherewithal. Courtenay was originally scheduled for
commercial operation in 2014, but significant site construction on the
project has not commenced. As a result, NSP-Minnesota has negotiated an
agreement to acquire the development rights for the project and is
seeking to preserve other benefits of the project by curing the
developer's default under a generator interconnection agreement, which
is critical to timely construction of the project, and which we expect
will be resolved between the parties or by the FERC by the end of May.
After regulatory approval of the transaction, NSP-Minnesota plans to
move forward with construction and will ultimately own the facility as
part of rate base. In May 2015, NSP-Minnesota anticipates filing for
expedited regulatory approval in Minnesota and North Dakota, so that
construction can begin in late summer. The total construction cost of
the project is estimated to be approximately $300 million with project
completion by the end of 2016. Courtenay is not currently included in
Xcel Energy’s five-year capital forecast. Xcel Energy does not expect to
issue any additional equity to finance the project.
PSCo – Colorado 2014 Electric Rate Case — In
2014, PSCo filed an electric rate case with the Colorado Public
Utilities Commission (CPUC) requesting an increase in annual revenue of
approximately $136.0 million, or 4.83 percent. The requested 2015 rate
increase reflected approximately $100.9 million (subsequently updated to
$98.7 million) for recovery of costs associated with the CACJA project.
The case also requested the initiation of a CACJA rider for 2016 and
2017, which was anticipated to increase revenue recovery by
approximately $34.2 million in 2016 and then decline to approximately
$29.9 million in 2017.
In December 2014, PSCo filed rebuttal testimony, revising its requested
rate increase to $107.2 million, or 3.79 percent, reflecting an ROE of
10.25 percent and updated information for both the sales and property
tax forecasts. PSCo also proposed to recover all costs associated with
the CACJA project through the rider beginning in 2015.
In February 2015, the CPUC approved a settlement agreement with rates
effective on Feb. 13, 2015. This agreement results in an overall 2015
revenue increase of approximately $53.3 million, or 1.87 percent. Key
terms of the agreement include the following:
-
The settlement is based on a 2013 HTY, an ROE of 9.83 percent and an
equity ratio of 56 percent;
-
The implementation of a forward-looking CACJA rider of approximately
$97.0 million for 2015 with step increases of $17.7 million and $14.5
million for 2016 and 2017, respectively, effective Jan. 1, 2015;
-
A forward-looking transmission cost adjustment (TCA) rider of
approximately $15.6 million, effective Feb. 13, 2015;
-
Establishment of tracking mechanisms for pension expense and property
taxes; and
-
An earnings test for 2015 through 2017, under which PSCo and customers
would share in any earnings on a 50/50 basis if the ROE recognized
falls between 9.84 percent and 10.48 percent.
The components of the overall 2015 revenue increase are as follows:
|
|
|
(Millions of Dollars)
|
|
Approved Settlement
|
Total base rate decrease
|
|
$
|
(39.4
|
)
|
CACJA rider mechanism
|
|
|
97.0
|
|
TCA rider mechanism
|
|
|
15.6
|
|
Transfer from TCA rider to base rates
|
|
|
(19.9
|
)
|
Total revenue increase
|
|
$
|
53.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
In addition to the revenue increase of $53.3 million, including the
impact of the riders, PSCo estimates that it will defer approximately
$3.1 million of additional expenses in 2015 as a result of the
settlement.
PSCo – Colorado 2015 Multi-Year Gas Rate Case — On March
3, 2015, PSCo filed a multi-year request with the CPUC to increase
Colorado retail natural gas base rates by $40.5 million, or 3.5 percent,
in 2015, with subsequent step increases of $7.6 million, or 0.7 percent,
in 2016 and $18.1 million, or 1.5 percent, in 2017.
The request is based on an HTY ended June 30, 2014 adjusted for known
and measurable expenses and capital additions for each of the subsequent
periods in the multi-year plan and an equity ratio of 56 percent. The
rate case requests a ROE of 10.1 percent for 2015 and 2016 and 10.3
percent for 2017, and a rate base of $1.26 billion for 2015, $1.31
billion for 2016 and $1.36 billion for 2017.
PSCo is also proposing a stay-out provision, in which PSCo would not
request implementation of new rates prior to January 2018, and to
implement an earnings test for 2016 through 2017. Under the earnings
test, PSCo and customers would share in any earnings on a 50/50 basis if
the ROE recognized falls between 10.2 percent and 10.6 percent in 2016,
and between 10.4 percent and 10.8 percent in 2017.
In addition, PSCo requested an extension of its pipeline system
integrity adjustment (PSIA) rider through 2020 to recover costs
associated with its pipeline integrity efforts, including accelerated
system renewal projects. If the PSIA rider is not extended by Dec. 31,
2015, such costs would be included in base rates. The request to extend
and modify the PSIA rider has an expected negative revenue impact of
approximately $0.1 million in 2015 and would provide incremental revenue
of $21.7 million for 2016 and $21.2 million for 2017. If PSCo’s proposal
is accepted, PSIA revenue is projected to be $67.0 million in 2015,
$88.7 million in 2016, and $109.9 million in 2017.
The following table summarizes the request:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Millions of Dollars)
|
|
2015
|
|
2016 Step
|
|
2017 Step
|
Net plant and plant related expenses
|
|
$
|
24.4
|
|
|
$
|
12.4
|
|
|
$
|
12.0
|
|
O&M expenses
|
|
|
23.9
|
|
|
|
(5.2
|
)
|
|
|
0.6
|
|
Property and payroll taxes
|
|
|
4.7
|
|
|
|
2.6
|
|
|
|
4.0
|
|
ROE
|
|
|
4.5
|
|
|
|
—
|
|
|
|
2.4
|
|
Capital structure
|
|
|
(1.0
|
)
|
|
|
—
|
|
|
|
0.1
|
|
Sales forecast
|
|
|
(17.1
|
)
|
|
|
(2.2
|
)
|
|
|
(1.0
|
)
|
Other, net
|
|
|
1.1
|
|
|
|
—
|
|
|
|
—
|
|
Total base rate increase
|
|
|
40.5
|
|
|
|
7.6
|
|
|
|
18.1
|
|
Incremental PSIA rider revenues
|
|
|
(0.1
|
)
|
|
|
21.7
|
|
|
|
21.2
|
|
Total revenue impact
|
|
$
|
40.4
|
|
|
$
|
29.3
|
|
|
$
|
39.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
In March 2015, the CPUC referred the proceeding to an ALJ. A CPUC
decision, as well as implementation of final rates, are anticipated in
the fourth quarter of 2015.
PSCo – Annual Electric Earnings Test — As part of an
annual earnings test, PSCo must share with customers a portion of any
annual earnings that exceed PSCo’s authorized ROE threshold of 10
percent for 2012 through 2014. On April 30, 2015, PSCo expects to file a
tariff for the 2014 earnings test with the CPUC proposing a refund
obligation of $66.5 million to electric customers.
In February 2015, in the Colorado 2014 Electric Rate Case, the CPUC
approved an annual earnings test, in which PSCo shares with customers
earnings that exceed the authorized ROE threshold of 9.83 percent for
2015 through 2017. The current estimate of the 2015 earnings test, based
on annual forecasted information, did not result in the recognition of a
liability as of March 31, 2015.
SPS – Texas 2015 Electric Rate Case — In December 2014,
SPS filed a retail electric, non-fuel rate case in Texas seeking an
overall increase in annual revenue of approximately $64.8 million, or
6.7 percent. The filing was based on an HTY ended June 2014, adjusted
for known and measurable changes, an ROE of 10.25 percent, an electric
rate base of approximately $1.6 billion and an equity ratio of 53.97
percent. In March 2015, SPS revised its requested increase to $58.9
million based on updated information.
As part of its request, SPS is seeking a waiver of the PUCT post-test
year adjustment rule which would allow for inclusion of $392 million
(SPS total company) additional capital investment for the period July 1,
2014 through Dec. 31, 2014.
The following table summarizes the net request:
|
|
|
(Millions of Dollars)
|
|
Request
|
Investment for capital expenditures — post-test year adjustments
|
|
$
|
23.7
|
Depreciation expense
|
|
|
13.9
|
Wholesale load reductions
|
|
|
12.0
|
Purchased power capacity costs
|
|
|
3.2
|
Other, net
|
|
|
6.1
|
Total
|
|
$
|
58.9
|
|
|
|
|
In April 2015, a revised procedural schedule was established. The next
steps are expected to be as follows:
-
Intervenor Direct Testimony — May 15, 2015;
-
Staff Direct Testimony — May 22, 2015;
-
Staff and Intervenor Cross-Rebuttal Testimony — June 8, 2015;
-
Rebuttal Testimony — June 10, 2015; and
-
Evidentiary Hearing — June 24, 2015.
The parties have agreed the rates will be effective June 11, 2015. A
PUCT decision is anticipated in the second half of 2015.
Note 5. Xcel Energy Earnings Guidance
and Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives
Xcel Energy Earnings Guidance — Xcel Energy’s 2015 ongoing
earnings guidance is $2.00 to $2.15 per share. Key assumptions related
to 2015 earnings are detailed below:
-
Constructive outcomes in all rate case and regulatory proceedings.
-
Normal weather patterns are experienced for the remainder of the year.
-
Weather-normalized retail electric utility sales are projected to
increase approximately 1.0 percent.
-
Weather-normalized retail firm natural gas sales are projected to
increase 0 percent to 1 percent.
-
Capital rider revenue is projected to increase by $155 million to $165
million over 2014 levels.
-
The change in O&M expenses is projected to be within a range of 0
percent to 2 percent from 2014 levels.
-
Depreciation expense is projected to increase $130 million to $150
million over 2014 levels.
-
Property taxes are projected to increase approximately $60 million to
$70 million over 2014 levels.
-
Interest expense (net of AFUDC — debt) is projected to increase $40
million to $50 million over 2014 levels.
-
AFUDC — equity is projected to decline approximately $30 million to
$40 million from 2014 levels.
-
The ETR is projected to be approximately 34 percent to 36 percent.
-
Average common stock and equivalents are projected to be approximately
508 million shares.
Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives — Xcel
Energy expects to deliver an attractive total return to our shareholders
through a combination of earnings growth and dividend yield, based on
the following long-term objectives:
-
Deliver long-term annual EPS growth of 4 percent to 6 percent, based
on weather-normalized, ongoing 2014 EPS of $2.00;
-
Deliver annual dividend increases of 5 percent to 7 percent;
-
Target a dividend payout ratio of 60 percent to 70 percent; and
-
Maintain senior unsecured debt credit ratings in the BBB+ to A range.
Ongoing earnings is calculated using net income and adjusting for
certain nonrecurring or infrequent items that are, in management’s view,
not reflective of ongoing operations.
Note 6. Non-GAAP Reconciliation
Xcel Energy’s reported earnings are prepared in accordance with GAAP.
Xcel Energy’s management believes that ongoing earnings, or GAAP
earnings adjusted for certain items, reflect management’s performance in
operating the company and provides a meaningful representation of the
underlying performance of Xcel Energy’s core business. In addition, Xcel
Energy’s management uses ongoing earnings internally for financial
planning and analysis, for reporting of results to the Board of
Directors and when communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and
investors. This non-GAAP financial measure should not be considered as
an alternative to measures calculated and reported in accordance with
GAAP.
The following table provides a reconciliation of ongoing earnings to
GAAP earnings (net income):
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31
|
(Thousands of Dollars)
|
|
2015
|
|
2014
|
Ongoing earnings
|
|
$
|
231,217
|
|
|
$
|
261,221
|
|
Loss on Monticello LCM/EPU project
|
|
|
(79,151
|
)
|
|
|
—
|
|
GAAP earnings
|
|
$
|
152,066
|
|
|
$
|
261,221
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss on Monticello LCM/EPU Project — In March 2015, the
MPUC approved full recovery, including a return, on $415 million of the
project costs, inclusive of AFUDC, but only allow recovery of the
remaining $333 million of costs with no return on this portion of the
investment for years 2015 and beyond. As a result of this decision, Xcel
Energy recorded a pre-tax charge of approximately $129 million, or $79
million net of tax, in 2015. Given the nature of this specific item, it
has been excluded from ongoing earnings. See Note 4.
|
|
|
XCEL ENERGY INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES EARNINGS RELEASE
SUMMARY (Unaudited) (amounts in thousands, except per
share data)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31
|
|
|
2015
|
|
2014
|
Operating revenues:
|
|
|
|
|
Electric and natural gas
|
|
$
|
2,940,859
|
|
|
$
|
3,181,398
|
|
Other
|
|
|
21,360
|
|
|
|
21,206
|
|
Total operating revenues
|
|
|
2,962,219
|
|
|
|
3,202,604
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income
|
|
$
|
152,066
|
|
|
$
|
261,221
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average diluted common shares outstanding
|
|
|
507,393
|
|
|
|
499,746
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Components of EPS — Diluted
|
|
|
|
|
Regulated utility
|
|
$
|
0.48
|
|
|
$
|
0.55
|
|
Xcel Energy Inc. and other costs
|
|
|
(0.02
|
)
|
|
|
(0.03
|
)
|
Ongoing diluted EPS
|
|
|
0.46
|
|
|
|
0.52
|
|
Loss on Monticello LCM/EPU project (a)
|
|
|
(0.16
|
)
|
|
|
—
|
|
GAAP diluted EPS
|
|
$
|
0.30
|
|
|
$
|
0.52
|
|
Book value per share
|
|
$
|
20.16
|
|
|
$
|
19.45
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(a) See Note 6.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Copyright Business Wire 2015