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Despite Solid Performance, Starbucks Comps Struggle To Give Investors A Java Jolt

SBUX

Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) is not immune to the downturn in the restaurant landscape, as its fourth-quarter blended same-store sales fell short, despite EPS and margins exceeded expectations.

Starbucks’ execution, digital revolution and expanding global footprint failed to offset the current challenging macro-economic environment. Global same-store sales of 4 percent missed the Deutsche Bank/consensus view of 4.4/4.8 percent.

The world's largest coffee chain gets major chunk of its sales from the United States, where the restaurant chains are struggling to boost top lines amid tough competition. Same-store sales in the U.S.-led Americas region rose 5 percent for the fourth quarter, in line with Deutsche Bank and consensus. In the same quarter last year, both global and U.S. comps grew 8 percent.

“While it is hard to argue with SBUXs LT strategic, operational or financial dominance, we cannot look past the near-term sales slowdown or lowered EPS outlook,” Deutsche Bank analyst Brett Levy wrote in a note.

For the first quarter, Starbucks expects EPS of $0.51–0.52 (Deutsche Bank/consensus expectations at the time of the report was $0.55).

For FY17, the company sees EPS of $2.12–$2.14 versus Deutsche Bank/consensus expectations of $2.14 and $2.16, respectively. The EPS growth at the low end of the company's long-term +15–20 percent algorithm

Further, Starbucks predicts FY17 revenue growth of 10 percent on mid-single digit growth in same store sales.

“We view SBUX as a best in class restaurant co., but we are cautious on the recent sales and earnings trends, causing us to remain Hold rated with a $59 PT,” Levy added.

Shares of Starbucks closed Thursday’s trading at $51.77. Early in Friday's morning session, Starbucks was up 3.44 percent at $53.56.

Latest Ratings for SBUX

Date Firm Action From To
Oct 2016 RBC Capital Maintains Outperform
Sep 2016 Wedbush Maintains Outperform
Sep 2016 CLSA Maintains Buy

View More Analyst Ratings for SBUX
View the Latest Analyst Ratings



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