CALGARY, ALBERTA--(Marketwired - May 3, 2017) - Athabasca Oil Corporation (TSX:ATH) ("Athabasca" or the
"Company") is pleased to provide its 2017 first quarter results and an operations update. The first quarter marks the completion
and integration of the transformational Statoil oil sands acquisition, a successful balance sheet refinancing and operational
momentum in the Light Oil division. The Company is positioned for strong economic growth through the second half of 2017.
First Quarter and Recent Highlights
-
Q1 2017 highlights
- Production of 26,737 boe/d (95% liquids), representing 72% per share growth year over year
- Capital expenditures of $78 million ($67 million net Light Oil and $11 million Thermal Oil)
- Cost discipline drives a 54% year over year G&A reduction to $2.67/boe
-
Successful Placid Montney winter program (70% working interest)
- Current Light Oil production is approximately 7,500 boe/d, representing 120% growth over Q1 2017
- 20 wells rig released with 11 wells completed and placed on production before break-up
- Initial production and pressure data from the new wells are supporting Athabasca's type curve which is highly economic
in the current pricing environment (52% IRR & 22 month payback at US$50/bbl WTI). Initial free liquids yields are trending
between 300 - 500 bbl/mmcf
- Commissioned the Placid battery and infrastructure project in April with capacity for 10,000 bbl/d and 36 mmcf/d
- Positioned for strong economic production and cash flow growth through H2 2017
-
$200 million gross Duvernay joint venture program in 2017 (30% working interest)
- Murphy operated two rigs through the winter and rig released eight horizontal wells
- Completions operations underway on two pads with ten additional spuds planned for H2 2017
- Advancing phase window delineation and optimized well design with longer laterals and larger fracs (up to 3,000 meters
and 3,000 lbs/ft)
-
Thermal division underpins low corporate decline and free cash flow generation
- Successful integration of Leismer drives $11 million of free cash flow through February and March
- $30 million capital reduction in 2017 as a result of continued strong well pair performance and the prior investment in
sustaining infill wells
- Commodity hedging of 13,000 bbl/d at ~$53/bbl WCS protects near-term cash flow
-
Solidified the balance sheet and long-term funding position
- Strong liquidity and financial flexibility with $327 million of cash, a $203 million capital carry balance and $103
million of available credit facilities at quarter end
- Term debt extended to 2022 through the issuance of US$450 million of new covenant light notes
- Significant asset value in operated Thermal and Light Oil infrastructure
Athabasca's Strategy
Athabasca is an intermediate oil weighted producer with exposure to several of the largest resource plays in Western Canada
including the Montney, Duvernay and oil sands. The Company has a fully funded development outlook capable of delivering growth to
60,000 boe/d by 2020 (40% production per share CAGR) and is guided by a strategy that includes:
-
Light Oil: Defined and Material Growth
- A scalable operated Montney position at Placid
- Funded Duvernay development through the joint venture with Murphy Oil
- Production growth to over 10,000 boe/d by year-end 2017 and approximately 25,000 boe/d over the next five years
-
Thermal Oil: Free Cash Flow with Leverage to Oil prices
- A large low decline asset base accelerates free cash flow
- Free cash flow of approximately $350 million over a five year period at US$55/bbl WTI
- Future low risk expansion options
-
Financial Sustainability
- Maturing cash flow profile with strong sustainability metrics and a low overall corporate production decline of
approximately 7.5% annually
- Diverse asset base provides flexibility in future capital allocation decisions
- Net debt to cash flow expected to be less than 2.5x at year-end 2018 (US$55/bbl WTI)
Financial and Operating Highlights
|
Three months ended
March 31, |
|
($ Thousands, except per share and boe amounts) |
2017 |
|
2016 |
|
CONSOLIDATED PRODUCTION |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Petroleum and natural gas volumes (boe/d) |
|
26,737 |
|
|
13,348 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LIGHT OIL DIVISION |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Petroleum and natural gas sales volumes (boe/d) |
|
3,421 |
|
|
6,319 |
|
|
Light Oil operating income1 |
$ |
6,863 |
|
$ |
4,908 |
|
|
Light Oil operating netback ($/boe)1 |
$ |
22.28 |
|
$ |
8.53 |
|
|
Capital expenditures |
$ |
77,646 |
|
$ |
30,658 |
|
|
Recovery of capital-carry through capital expenditures |
$ |
(10,680 |
) |
$ |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
THERMAL OIL DIVISION2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bitumen production (bbl/d) |
|
23,316 |
|
|
7,029 |
|
|
Thermal Oil operating income (loss) 1 |
$ |
12,341 |
|
$ |
(23,074 |
) |
|
Thermal Oil operating netback1,2 |
$ |
5.89 |
|
$ |
(35.34 |
) |
|
Capital expenditures3 |
$ |
10,868 |
|
$ |
916 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CASH FLOWS AND FUNDS FLOW |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash flow from operating activities |
$ |
(52,896 |
) |
$ |
(38,017 |
) |
|
Cash flow from operating activities per share (basic & diluted) |
$ |
(0.11 |
) |
$ |
(0.09 |
) |
|
Funds flow from operations1 |
$ |
(1,649 |
) |
$ |
(39,982 |
) |
|
Funds flow from operations per share1 (basic & diluted) |
$ |
- |
|
$ |
(0.10 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NET LOSS AND COMPREHENSIVE LOSS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loss and comprehensive loss |
$ |
(29,162 |
) |
$ |
(65,129 |
) |
|
Net loss and comprehensive loss per share (basic & diluted) |
$ |
(0.06 |
) |
$ |
(0.16 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
SHARES OUTSTANDING |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average shares outstanding (basic & diluted) |
|
472,157,006 |
|
|
404,511,104 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ACQUISITIONS AND FINANCINGS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Leismer Corner Acquisition4 |
$ |
(622,076 |
) |
$ |
- |
|
|
Net proceeds from sale of assets |
$ |
90,170 |
|
$ |
163 |
|
|
Net proceeds from issuance of 2022 Notes |
$ |
542,554 |
|
$ |
- |
|
|
Repayment of 2017 Notes |
$ |
(550,000 |
) |
$ |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at ($ Thousands) |
March 31, 2017 |
|
December 31
2016 |
|
LIQUIDITY AND INDEBTEDNESS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
$ |
212,999 |
|
$ |
650,301 |
|
Restricted Cash |
$ |
113,823 |
|
$ |
107,012 |
|
Capital-carry receivable (current & long term portion - undiscounted) |
$ |
202,789 |
|
$ |
213,469 |
|
Face value of long-term debt (current and long-term portion) |
$ |
599,490 |
|
$ |
550,000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- Refer to "Advisories and Other Guidance" in the MD&A for additional information on Non-GAAP Financial Measures.
- The Leismer Project was acquired on January 31, 2017. From the date of the acquisition to the end of the first quarter of
2017, the Leismer Project produced 22,521 bbl/d.
- Thermal Oil capital expenditures excludes the cost of the Leismer Corner Acquisition.
- Consists of cash of $431.3 million, common shares of $166.0 million and contingent payment obligations of $24.7
million.
Operations Update
Light Oil
Greater Placid Montney (Athabasca operated, 70% working interest)
At Placid, Athabasca completed an active winter program that included rig releasing 20 Montney wells, the commissioning of a
new battery and the tie-in of three multi-well pads. Placid is positioned for flexible and scalable economic growth over the next
five years.
Two drilling rigs commenced operations last fall and the Company rig released a total of 20 horizontal wells from five pads.
The program was designed to accelerate pad drilling operations targeting two Montney cycles. Drilling costs averaged $3.0 million
per well with average lateral lengths of approximately 2,600 meters and the latest eight wells up to 3,000 meters. The Company
maintained its drilling costs year over year as operational efficiencies offset modest service cost inflation. Drilling
performance on the latest wells were industry pacesetters reaching total depth in approximately 15 days. The Company is advancing
operational readiness for next winter's drilling program which will include a combination of low risk infill locations off
existing pads and step-outs from the core development.
A total of three pads, 11 wells, were completed this winter with all wells placed on production in April through the Company's
owned and operated infrastructure (surface locations 7-30, 16-30 & 12-19-60-23W5). The Company modified its completion design to
a plug and perf from ball drop with the goal to improve fracture intensity and ultimately long term rates and recoveries.
Completion costs for the program averaged $4.2 million per well ($124,000 per stage, 34 average stages per well) with proppant
intensity up to 1,000 lbs/ft (1.8 T/m). The remaining two pads are expected to be completed following break-up and placed on
production in the third quarter (surface locations 3-4-61-23W5 & 7-33-60-23W5).
The Placid battery and infrastructure project was commissioned in April. The new infrastructure will support Athabasca's
mid-term growth targets and has capacity of 10,000 bbl/d and 36 mmcf/d (gross). The Company operates all of its regional
infrastructure with liquids pipe connected to the Pembina Peace system and gas processed through Keyera's Simonette Gas Plant and
marketed through the Alliance System.
In April, Athabasca's Light Oil production was impacted by a 16 day unplanned shutdown of the Keyera Simonette Gas Plant. The
Company was able to partially mitigate the impact by redirecting a portion of its regional Kaybob and Placid production to the
SemCAMS KA plant. During the shutdown approximately 50% of volumes were restricted with an estimated 250 boe/d impact to annual
volumes.
Current Light Oil production is approximately 7,500 boe/d representing 120% growth over Q1 2017. In the Montney, initial
production and pressure data from the new wells are supporting Athabasca's type curve which is highly economic in the current
pricing environment (52% IRR and 22 month payback at US$50/bbl WTI). Regional production is temporarily restricted as a result of
spring road bans limiting the trucking of flowback fluid. Initial free liquids yields have ranged between 300 - 500 bbl/mmcf and
compare favorably to type curve expectations between 200 - 300 bbl/mmcf during the first 30 days of operation. The Company
anticipates increasing gas rates over time as the wells clean-up. Extended production rates for the new wells will be provided
with the Company's Q2 2017 results.
Decisions regarding second half activity levels will be finalized in the summer and the Company retains flexibility to adapt
the program to results and external market conditions.
Greater Kaybob Duvernay (Murphy operated, 30% working interest)
Joint venture operations commenced in the fall of 2016 with the objective of driving near-term production and cash flow
growth, delineation across all phase windows, optimizing well design and maximizing land retention.
Murphy operated two drilling rigs through the winter season and rig released eight wells from four pads. Initial activity has
been focused in the condensate rich gas window at Kaybob West and in the volatile oil window at Kaybob West North. Drilling
performance has been competitive with industry peers and wells have averaged approximately 24 days spud to rig release (5,000 -
6,000 meters average measured depth). Activity through the second half will step out through the volatile oil window at
Kaybob East, Two Creeks and Simonette.
A two well pad at surface location 1-18-64-20W5 was spud in late 2016 and completed and placed on production through the first
quarter. Utilizing an existing pad, Murphy drilled two offsets to the 1-7-64-20W5 well with average lateral lengths of
approximately 1,400 meters. A restricted flow back technique was employed to evaluate completion design and reservoir production
characteristics over time.
A two well pad at surface location 4-32-64-20W5 was rig released in early March with average laterals of approximately 2,800
meters. Completions operations are underway with tie-in expected post break-up.
A single well at surface location 16-18-65-20W5 was rig released in late March with a 2,900 meter lateral. This well is
the longest lateral drilled to date and the most northern well in the volatile oil window. Completions operations are planned
post break-up.
A three well pad at surface location 11-18-64-20W5 was rig released in April with average laterals of approximately 2,400
meters. Completions operations are underway with tie-in expected post break-up.
The 2017 budget includes spudding 16 gross wells which are a mix of pad development locations and delineation wells throughout
the volatile oil window. Murphy intends to optimize well design with average lateral lengths increasing to between 2,500 - 3,000
meters and frac intensity between 2,000 - 3,000 lbs/ft (3 - 5 T/m). Total lateral drilling for the program is approximately
45,000 meters and this compares to Athabasca's initial 20 well appraisal campaign of approximately 27,000 meters since
2012.
Results from the Duvernay program are expected to pick up through H2 2017 as wells are completed and tied-in post break-up
with 10 additional spuds planned for the balance of the year.
Thermal Oil
Leismer
Athabasca assumed operatorship of Leismer following closing of its acquisition on January 31, 2017. The asset is meeting
expectations with an established low decline production base and averaged 22,521 bbl/d through February and March. Over the same
period the asset generated $17 million of operating income and $11 million of free cash flow. Leismer is a Tier 1 thermal asset
with a strong free cash flow profile in the current price outlook.
As a result of strong well pair performance and prior investment in sustaining infill wells the 2017 capital budget at Leismer
has been reduced by $30 million to $54 million (previously $84 million) with no impact to planned production. Athabasca also sees
opportunities for operating cost reductions over the next year including alternate diluent sourcing which is expected to be
operational in mid-2018.
Near-term operations will focus on production optimization across the field and the start-up of predrilled infills on Pad
L5. Through the mid-term the Company intends to expand Pad L2 with five new well pairs and evaluate infill opportunities on
Pads L3 and L4.
Hangingstone
Hangingstone averaged 8,552 bbl/d for the quarter and approximately 9,200 bbl/d for March. As previously guided the Company is
anticipating facility maintenance in April and May that will impact near-term production growth. The project is expected to reach
name plate capacity of approximately 12,000 bbl/d in 2018 with minimal maintenance capital expected within the first five years
of operations.
Egress Update
In the first quarter Athabasca secured 20,000 bbl/d of blended bitumen capacity on the Kinder Morgan Trans Mountain Expansion
Project. The pipeline project is federally approved and is expected to be in-service in late 2019. The Company believes securing
term take-away capacity to multiple end markets is essential to its long-term strategy. The Trans Mountain pipeline will provide
Athabasca exposure to global oil demand growth.
2017 Outlook and Budget
Light Oil Guidance
Athabasca's 2017 Light Oil capital budget is unchanged at $135 million ($120 million for Placid Montney and $15 million net
post capital carry for Duvernay) with production guidance of 6,500 - 7,500 boe/d and production expected to reach 10,000 boe/d
before year-end. H2 2017 Montney capital will be assessed mid-year.
Thermal Oil Guidance
Athabasca's 2017 Thermal Oil budget has been reduced by $30 million to $75 million (approximately a 30% reduction) with
unchanged production guidance of 29,000 - 32,500 bbl/d. The capital program now consists of $54 million at Leismer, $15 million
at Hangingstone and an additional $6 million for maintaining Athabasca's long dated thermal leases.
2017 Budget & Guidance Details
|
Full Year |
CORPORATE (net) |
|
|
Production1 (boe/d) |
36,000 - 40,000 |
|
Liquids Weighting (%) |
~90% |
|
Funds Flow from Operations ($MM) |
~$90 |
|
|
|
|
LIGHT OIL |
|
|
Production (boe/d) |
6,500 - 7,500 |
|
Operating Income ($MM) |
~$75 |
|
Capital Expenditures ($MM) |
$135 |
|
|
THERMAL OIL |
|
|
Bitumen Production1 (bbl/d) |
29,000 - 32,500 |
|
Operating Income ($MM) |
~$100 |
|
Capital Expenditures ($MM) |
$75 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
COMMODITY ASSUMPTIONS |
|
|
WTI (US$/bbl) |
$52.00 |
|
Edmonton Par (C$/bbl) |
$65.00 |
|
Western Canadian Select (C$/bbl) |
$50.00 |
|
AECO Gas (C$/mcf) |
$2.75 |
|
FX (US$/C$) |
0.75 |
Notes:
- Production guidance reflects a January 31, 2017 closing date for the Statoil acquisition with Leismer volumes to be
reported from February - December.
Balance Sheet and Risk Management Update
In the first quarter Athabasca completed a comprehensive balance sheet refinancing transaction. This included the issuance of
US$450 million of five-year covenant lite second lien notes to replace the Company's existing $550 million of second lien notes,
and the establishment of a $120 million reserve based credit facility. Athabasca is well positioned to advance its strategic
objectives with multi-year funding certainty, financial flexibility and a strong liquidity outlook.
At the end of the first quarter Athabasca had a cash positon of $327 million (inclusive of restricted cash) and $103 million
of available credit facilities. The Company also has $203 million of remaining capital carry that will drive $1 billion of gross
Duvernay investment over four years, as well as significant asset value in its established and operated Thermal and Light Oil
infrastructure.
Athabasca anticipates an internally funded capital program in 2018 at US$55/bbl WTI with net debt to cash flow of less than
2.5x and trending lower in subsequent years.
The Company has recently commenced a commodity risk management program designed to protect a base level of cash flow and
support its capital plans. The Company intends to hedge a minimum of 20,000 bbl/d for the balance of 2017 with 13,000 bbl/d of
Western Canadian Select ("WCS") hedged at approximately C$53/bbl and an additional 7,000 bbl/d of WCS differential hedged at
approximately US$14.75/bbl. Going forward, a multi-year hedging program is expected to form a part of the Company's risk
management strategy.
About Athabasca Oil Corporation
Athabasca Oil Corporation is a Canadian energy company with a focused strategy on the development of thermal and light oil
assets. Situated in Alberta's Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin, the Company has amassed a significant land base of extensive,
high quality resources. Athabasca's common shares trade on the TSX under the symbol "ATH". For more information, visit www.atha.com.
Reader Advisory:
This News Release contains forward-looking information that involves various risks, uncertainties and other factors. All
information other than statements of historical fact is forward-looking information. The use of any of the words "anticipate",
"plan", "continue", "estimate", "expect", "may", "will", "project", "believe", "contemplate", "target", "potential" and
similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information. The forward-looking information is not historical fact,
but rather is based on the Company's current plans, objectives, goals, strategies, estimates, assumptions and projections about
the Company's industry, business and future operating and financial results. This information involves known and unknown risks,
uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those anticipated in such
forward-looking information. No assurance can be given that these expectations will prove to be correct and such forward-looking
information included in this News Release should not be unduly relied upon. This information speaks only as of the date of this
News Release.
In particular, this News Release contains forward-looking information pertaining to, but not limited to, the following: the
Company's five-year growth outlook and that such growth outlook is fully funded; the Company's expectation of realizing
strong economic growth through the second half of 2017; estimates of, and timing of, sustainable free cash flow generation, net
debt to cash flow levels and cash and cash equivalents and liquidity, for certain future periods; the Company's 2017 production
guidance corporately as well as for each of its Light Oil and Thermal Oil projects; the Company's expected production and
economic growth in 2017 and over the next five years; the Company's production levels by 2020; that the Placid area assets
will provide flexible and scalable economic growth over the next five years; the payback timelines expected for the Company's
Montney wells; the Company's plans with respect to its 2017/2018 winter drilling program; the Company's expectation that it will
increase gas rates with well clean-up; the benefits expected to be realized from the Company's modified well completion design;
the benefits expected to be realized from the Company's new Placid battery and infrastructure; the second half 2017 program
for the Company's interest in the Murphy-operated assets;
the expectation that the Trans Mountain pipeline will be in service by late 2019; the impact of, and the benefits expected to be
realized from, the Statoil transaction; and future performance and characteristics of the Leismer and Corner assets including
their quality and resilience to lower commodity prices; the Company's expectation that its low decline thermal oil asset
base will accelerate its free cash flow generation; the Company's expectation that it will be able to maintain stable production
from the Leismer assets for the foreseeable future; the Company's expectation that its Thermal Oil assets provide future low risk
expansion options; the Company's Leismer production optimization plans; the Company's ability to reduce operating and capital
costs over the next five years; the timing for achievement of name plate capacity at Hangingstone and expectations regarding
maintenance capital within the first five years of operations; future drilling and completion plans including the number of wells
expected to be drilled and timing of spudding, rig-releasing and completing such wells; the timing of when such wells will be
placed on production; the total number of lateral meters expected to be drilled in 2017; expectations with respect to future
production hedging levels and the benefit expected to be realized from such hedging; decline rates; estimates of 2017 funds flow
from operations, operating income and capital expenditures; the capability of the Company's five-year development outlook to
deliver potential growth in per share production; the benefits expected to be realized by the Company from its issuance of the
US$450 million senior secured second lien notes and establishment of the $120 million credit facility; and other matters.
Information relating to "reserves" is also deemed to be forward-looking information, as it involves the implied assessment,
based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the reserves described exist in the quantities predicted or estimated and that
the reserves can be profitably produced in the future. With respect to forward-looking information contained in this News
Release, assumptions have been made regarding, among other things: commodity prices for petroleum and natural gas; the
regulatory framework governing royalties, taxes and environmental matters in the jurisdictions in which the Company conducts and
will conduct its business and the effects that such regulatory framework will have on the Company, including on the Company's
financial condition and results of operations; the Company's financial and operational flexibility; the Company's financial
sustainability, the Company's ability to accelerate development when prices recover; Athabasca's cash-flow break-even
commodity price; geological and engineering estimates in respect of Athabasca's reserves and resources; the applicability of
technologies for the recovery and production of the Company's reserves and resources; the Company's ability to demonstrate the
quality of its asset base and to build large-scale projects; future capital expenditures to be made by the Company; future
sources of funding for the Company's capital programs; the Company's future debt levels; the Company's ability to obtain
equipment in a timely and cost-efficient manner; the geography of the areas in which the Company is conducting exploration and
development activities; that Athabasca and its security holders will obtain the anticipated benefits from the $US450 senior
secured second lien note and the $120 million credit facility and the Company's ability to obtain equipment in a timely and
cost-efficient manner.
Actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in this forward-looking information as a result of the risk
factors set forth in the Company's Annual Information Form ("AIF") dated March 9, 2017 that is or will be available on SEDAR at
www.sedar.com, including, but not limited to: fluctuations in market prices
for crude oil, natural gas and bitumen blend; political and general economic, market and business conditions in Alberta, Canada,
the United States and globally; changes to royalty regimes, environmental risks and hazards; alternatives to and changing demand
for petroleum products; the potential for management estimates and assumptions to be inaccurate; dependence on Murphy as the
Company's joint venture participant in the Company's Duvernay and Montney assets; the dependence on Murphy as the operator of the
Company's Duvernay assets; the substantial capital requirements of Athabasca's projects and the ability to obtain financing for
Athabasca's capital requirements; operational and business interruption risks associated with the Company's facilities; failure
by counterparties to make payments or perform their operational or other obligations to Athabasca in compliance with the terms of
contractual arrangements between Athabasca and such counterparties, and the possible consequences thereof; long term reliance
on third parties; aboriginal claims; failure to obtain regulatory approvals or maintain compliance with regulatory
requirements; failure to meet development schedules and potential cost overruns; variations in foreign exchange and interest
rates; factors affecting potential profitability; risks related to future acquisition and joint venture activities;
reliance on, competition for, loss of, and failure to attract key personnel; uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities of
reserves and resources; changes to Athabasca's status given the current stage of development; litigation risk; risks and
uncertainties inherent in SAGD and other bitumen recovery processes; risks related to hydraulic fracturing, including those
related to induced seismicity; expiration of leases and permits; risks inherent in Athabasca's operations, including those
related to exploration, development and production of petroleum, natural gas and oil sands reserves and resources; risks related
to gathering and processing facilities and pipeline systems; availability of drilling and related equipment and limitations on
access to Athabasca's assets; increases in costs could make Athabasca's projects uneconomic; the effect of diluent and natural
gas supply constraints and increases in the costs thereof; environmental risks and hazards; failure to accurately estimate
abandonment and reclamation costs; reliance on third party infrastructure; seasonality; hedging risks; risks associated with
maintaining systems of internal controls; insurance risks; claims made in respect of Athabasca's operations, properties or
assets; competition for, among other things, capital, export pipeline capacity and skilled personnel; the failure of
Athabasca or the holder of certain licenses, leases or permits to meet specific requirements of such licenses, leases or permits;
risks related to Athabasca's amended credit facilities and senior secured notes; and risks related to Athabasca's
common shares.
Also included in this press release are estimates of Athabasca's 2017 capital expenditures, funds flow from operations,
operating netbacks and operating income levels, which are based on the various assumptions as to production levels, commodity
prices and currency exchange rates and other assumptions disclosed in this news release. To the extent any such estimate
constitutes a financial outlook, it was approved by management and the Board of Directors of Athabasca on May 3, 2017, and is
included to provide readers with an understanding of the funding of Athabasca's capital expenditure program in 2017 and an
outlook for the Company's activities and results and readers are cautioned that the information may not be appropriate for other
purposes. Management does not have firm commitments for all of the costs, expenditures, prices or other financial assumptions
used to prepare the financial outlook or assurance that such operating results will be achieved and, accordingly, the complete
financial effects of all of those costs, expenditures, prices and operating results are not objectively determinable. The actual
results of operations of the Company and the resulting financial results may vary from the amounts set forth herein, and such
variations may be material. The financial outlook contained in this New Release was made as of the date of this press release and
the Company disclaims any intention or obligations to update or revise such financial outlook, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise, unless required pursuant to applicable law.
Oil and Gas Information
"BOEs" may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas
to one barrel of oil equivalent (6 Mcf: 1 bbl) is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the
burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. As the value ratio between natural gas and crude oil based
on the current prices of natural gas and crude oil is significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a
conversion on a 6:1 basis may be misleading as an indication of value.
Initial Production Rates
The initial production rates provided in this News Release should be considered to be preliminary. Initial production rates
disclosed herein may not necessarily be indicative of long term performance or of ultimate recovery.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The "Funds Flow from Operations", "Light Oil Operating Income", "Light Oil Operating Netback", "Thermal Oil Operating Income"
and "Thermal Oil Operating Netback" financial measures contained in this MD&A do not have standardized meanings which are
prescribed by IFRS and they are considered to be non-GAAP measures. These measures may not be comparable to similar measures
presented by other issuers and should not be considered in isolation with measures that are prepared in accordance with IFRS.
Funds Flow from Operations is not intended to represent cash flow from operating activities, net earnings or other measures of
financial performance calculated in accordance with IFRS. The Funds Flow from Operations measure allows management and others to
evaluate the Company's ability to fund its capital programs and meet its ongoing financial obligations using cash flow internally
generated from ongoing operating related activities. Funds Flow from Operations per share (basic and diluted) is calculated as
Funds Flow from Operations divided by the number of weighted average basic and diluted shares outstanding.
The Light Oil Operating Income and Light Oil Operating Netback measures in this MD&A are calculated by subtracting
royalties and operating and transportation expenses from petroleum and natural gas sales and midstream revenues received. The
Light Oil Operating Netback measure is presented on a per boe basis. The Light Oil Operating Income and the Light Oil Operating
Netback measures allow management and others to evaluate the production results from the Company's Light Oil assets.
The Operating Income and Operating Netback measures in this MD&A with respect to the Leismer Project and Hangingstone
Project are calculated by subtracting the cost of diluent blending, royalties, operating expenses and transportation expenses
from blended bitumen sales. The consolidated Thermal Oil Operating Income and Operating Netback measures also include realized
gains on commodity risk management contracts. The Thermal Oil Operating Netback measure is presented on a per bbl basis. The
Thermal Oil Operating Income and the Thermal Oil Operating Netback measures allow management and others to evaluate the
production results from the Company's Thermal Oil assets.
The Net Debt measure is calculated by summing the face value of outstanding term debt with current liabilities and subtracting
current assets adjusted for the capital carry receivable and risk management contracts. The Net Debt measure is not intended to
represent other measures of financial position on the Company's balance sheet that are calculated in accordance with IFRS. The
Net Debt financial measure allows management and others to evaluate the Company's funding position and utilization of debt within
its capital structure.