LONDON, October 26, 2017 /PRNewswire/ --
2017 will go down as the year when sentiment around the coming electric vehicle revolution radically shifted. Sure, the
release of Tesla's mass market Model 3 probably had something to do with it. But it isn't just Tesla. Everyone - government
forecasters, investment banks, oil market analysts, even oil companies themselves - have dramatically revised up their
expectations for EVs. Companies with interest include: Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (NYSE: SQM), Ford Motor
Company (NYSE: F), AeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ: AVAV), Vale S.A. (NYSE: VALE), FMC Corporation (NYSE:FMC)
The transformation is only recent, but it is momentous. Even some of the most hard-nosed skeptics are starting to believe. Dig
through any research report on the topic from this year, and the projections are astounding. Just to take a recent one from
Barclays - EVs could erase 3.5 million barrels of oil demand by 2025, and 9 mb/d by 2040. That means that in less
than 25 years, EVs could go from a rounding error to capturing a third of the global auto market. And that isn't even the most
bullish scenario - other analysts see much more dramatic upheaval in energy markets in the not-too-distant future.
How is an investor supposed to play this energy revolution? Here are five different avenues that one could pursue:
#1 SQM (NYSE: SQM)
Lithium has become one of the preferred proxies for the EV boom…and for good reason. Lithium is a crucial component of the
batteries needed in an electric vehicle. And not only is supply inelastic in the short-term, but analysts are wondering if and
when lithium miners will ever catch up to soaring demand. Lithium demand is set to grow by a staggering rate for the foreseeable
future as more and more EV manufacturers ramp up activity.
The obvious play is for lithium miners, and who better than Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A. (NYSE: SQM) In addition to
Albermarle, SQM is one of the leading global producers of lithium, accounting for nearly a quarter of the market at 48,000
tonnes in 2016. They have lithium brine assets in Argentina, which are set to expand,
adding 25,000 tonnes by 2019. SQM also recently spent $110 million to take a 50 percent stake in a
joint venture in Western Australia. Production will come online by 2021.
That may seem like a lifetime away, but it takes time to bring new mines online…and there are few that will outpace SQM. With
supply relatively restricted in the short run, the bull run for lithium shows no signs of fading. Lithium carbonate prices have
doubled in the five years to 2016, with forecasts showing substantial price increases for the next few years. "We don't see any price fall in the next
three years," Simon Moores, managing director of Benchmark Mineral, said in a Bloomberg interview in August. "When you look at all the battery plants being built and the plans for EVs, even if
only about 25 percent of those are realized, we're still going to be short of lithium. It's a unique once-in-a-generation
situation."
#2 Global Li-Ion Graphite Corporation ( LION ; GBBGF
)
The rush for lithium is at this point a well-trodden story, with investors jumping into lithium mining companies large and
small. But there are other critical elements that are essential to building an electric vehicle, and thus, could be poised for
their own bull runs.
The one mineral may still be at the beginning of a massive upcycle is graphite, a crystalline form of carbon that is an
unparalleled conductor of electricity and heat. Those qualities mean that graphite is highly important for the manufacturing of
cutting edge batteries used in EVs. But even as graphite sees soaring demand for EVs, it also is useful for other industrial
processes. It's ability to withstand extremely high temperatures makes it desirable in steel furnaces, for example.
Global Li-Ion Graphite Corp. is a small pure-play graphite exploration and development company to keep an eye on.
While lithium enjoys the lime light as a central component in the EV boom, graphite is considered even more important. About
60 percent of the material used in batteries comes from graphite, and batteries use 10 to 20 times more graphite than lithium.
Global battery-grade graphite use is set to more than triple over the next few years, from 80,000 tonnes per year up to 250,000
t/y by 2020, according to projections made by Global Li-Ion Graphite Corp. Demand is set to see similar growth rates - 200
percent by 2020 and 300 percent by 2025.
In fact, graphite will be the largest volume of input material used in Tesla's Gigafactory. And who is situated literally
within sight of the Gigafactory? Global Li-Ion Graphite Corp (LION). LION has a low cap, a tight capital structure, and has a
management team with a long record of success building small mining companies.
LION is set to benefit enormously from its optioned property's proximity to Tesla, which would want to gobble up its graphite
if LION successfully produces the high quality graphite targeted. LION also has an MOU to buy graphite assets in Madagascar, strategically positioned to service the Indian and Chinese markets.
Prices for graphite are already rising, but the level of interest and attention is still at an earlier point than it is
for lithium, meaning investors could get in early, betting that graphite and LION will succeed hand in hand. Prices for graphite,
many analysts think, could double or triple from current levels.
# 3 Ford (NYSE: F)
Investors looking to profit from the EV boom could also bet on an automaker, and while everyone has jumped into Tesla, pushing
it to prohibitively expensive heights, why not bet on a proven manufacturer that also has ambitious goals for EVs? To be sure,
Ford is a bit behind the ball, with rival GM (NYSE: GM) already out with several EV models.
But Ford has learned the lessons of some earlier duds, such as the Chevy Bolt and Volt, and has announced plans for a mass
market vehicle by 2020 with a range in excess of 300 miles. Better yet, it will be an SUV, targeting a segment that few other
automakers are attempting. Earlier this year it also announced plans to build a hybrid version of the F-150 truck, the
bestselling vehicle in the U.S., as well as a hybrid version of its popular mustang.
Ford recently revealed details around its "Team Edison," a group aimed at accelerating the company's EV development plans. Ford will
spend $4.5 billion over the next few years developing its EV lineup, and it will roll out 13
electric and hybrid-electric models, seven of which will be released within five years.
#4 AeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ: AVAV)
Another way to play the EV revolution is on infrastructure. Those millions of EVs that everyone believes will be on the road
in a few years will need to charge up, right? AeroVironment (NASDAQ: AVAV) sells EV recharging systems. It has already
teamed up with Volvo, Nissan, Ford, Chevrolet, Fiat, Hyundai, BMW and Mitsubishi, among others.
AVAV is in the process of building out the most extensive EV charging network in the U.S. on the West Coast. It offers a
multi-tiered charging plan to customers, who pay a monthly rate and charge up using a key fob at the point of recharging.
The North American auto market is set to exceed 20 million vehicles in 2017. If EVs capture 5 percent of the market - a milestone entirely possible within
a few years' time - the EV recharging market will exceed $1 billion, assuming the $1,000 cost of a home
charging system. AVAV is a leading provider of that equipment and is set to profit handsomely from the buildout of EV recharging
systems.
The only problem is that the secret is starting to get out. AVAV's stock has doubled since the start of the year, making an
entry point a bit more expensive.
#5 Vale S.A. (NYSE: VALE)
The third miner on the list, Vale (NYSE: VALE) benefits from producing two crucial components for EVs: cobalt and
nickel. The Brazilian mining giant Vale is much more known for iron ore production, but it is also a leading producer of two key
metals for the batteries needed in EVs.
Vale's nickel unit is not flawless, but the company is unloading some loss-making nickel mines. As
it sheds fat, its cash flow will improve. Nickel prices have not been the best, but the demand pull of EVs should help.
Nickel-manganese-cobalt batteries will be pivotal to EVs because of their range. One estimate from UBS predicts that nickel
demand will triple by 2025, from 300,000 tonnes to 900,000 tonnes. But supply is still large, which will prevent a price run
similar to lithium or cobalt.
Speaking of cobalt, though, Vale is also a major producer of this essential metal needed for EVs. Unlike nickel, cobalt prices
are spiking, up 80 percent since the beginning of the year and up 112 percent in the past 12 months. Battery
manufacturing is responsible for a whopping 40 percent of cobalt demand, which means demand for cobalt will rise rapidly, riding
the EV wave. Demand for cobalt could jump by 11.6 percent CAGR over the next decade. Goldman Sachs predicts that the battery market will reach $40
billion by 2025.
Vale produced just under 6,000 tonnes of cobalt in 2016, significantly less than some of its larger competitors in the space.
But Vale enjoys the benefit of selling both cobalt and nickel, giving it two avenues to profit off of the EV revolution.
More hot companies in the EV space:
Constellation Software: The story of Constellation Software has been one of constant growth, with a stock graph to
rival that of Tesla. Canada's largest software company has always focused on the future of tech,
buying up promising start ups and successfully dominating the space nationally.
Canada is often pointed to as a fertile ground for tech development and AI, and if there is
one way to get in on the technology boom here, it is with this $15 billion market cap giant. The
energy revolution is making different industries increasingly interconnected, and software development is sure to gain ground as
the future draws nearer.
FMC Corp. (NYSE:FMC) founded in 1883, FMC has been around the block and back. FMC has a long history stretching
between many different industries, but within all of them, FMC has remained a leader in innovation.
FMC's involvement in the lithium industry is particularly notable. The company is one of the top three in lithium and
associated technologies. It is one of the largest suppliers into electric vehicle applications using lithium hydroxide.
Strong growth in lithium is expected to drive margins for FMC and major expansion, leading analysts to give it an outperform
rating. The company's full year 2016 results were impressive, with lithium segment earnings of $21
million-up an amazing 90 percent from Q4 2015.
By. Joao Piexe
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Forward-Looking Statements
This news release contains forward-looking information which is subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties and other
factors that could cause actual events or results to differ from those projected in the forward-looking statements. Forward
looking statements in this release include that LION will complete its announced transaction to purchase the Nevada carbon exploration property; that graphite and graphene will have all applications and will be as
much in demand in future as currently expected; that LION can fulfill all its obligations to exercise its Nevada property option; that LION's Nevada property can achieve drilling
and mining success for graphite; that LION will close its MOU to buy a Madagascar mining
licenses; that production can go online in the near term in Madagascar; that LION will obtain
drilling permits on its Nevada and Madagascar properties; that
the graphite in Nevada and Madagascar when produced will be
high quality suitable for the tech industry; and that LION will be able to carry out its business plans. These
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acquisitions, aspects or all of the properties' development may not be successful, mining of the graphite may not be cost
effective, LION may not raise sufficient funds to carry out its plans, changing costs for mining and processing; increased
capital costs; the timing and content of upcoming work programs; geological interpretations and technological results based on
current data that may change with more detailed information or testing; potential process methods and mineral recoveries
assumptions based on limited test work with further test work may not be viable; additional high value mineral properties may not
be available for LION to acquire, or LION may not be able to afford them; competitors may offer better technology than graphite
technology for technology; the availability of labour, equipment and markets for the products produced; and despite the
current expected viability of its projects, that the minerals cannot be economically mined on its properties, or that the
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