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Canacol Energy Ltd. Announces 21% Increase in 2P Reserves to 102.5 MMBOE, Worth US$1.6B BTAX, Gas F&D Cost of $0.63 / MCF, and a 16 Year 2P Reserve Life Index

T.CNE

CALGARY, Alberta, March 05, 2018 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Canacol Energy Ltd. ("Canacol" or the "Corporation") (TSX: CNE; OTCQX: CNNEF; BVC: CNEC) is pleased to report its conventional natural gas reserves and light, medium and heavy crude oil and deemed volumes for the fiscal year end December 31, 2017.  The Corporation’s conventional natural gas reserves are located in the Lower Magdalena Valley basin, Colombia.  Canacol’s light, medium and heavy crude oil reserves are located in the Llanos, Middle Magdalena Valley, and Caguan - Putumayo basins of Colombia.  Additional deemed volumes of light and medium crude oil are developed in the Oriente basin, Ecuador.

Canacol Energy Ltd Gross Reserves and Deemed Volumes Summary
Gross Reserves + Deemed Volumes
      Total Total Proved
    Total Proved + Probable
    Proved + Probable + Possible
Product Type   ("1P") ("2P") ("3P")
Conventional natural gas Bcf   328.6   505.1   653.1
Light and medium crude oil(3) MMbbl   5.3   7.6   9.3
Heavy crude oil MMbbl   2.3   6.3   10.4
Total oil equivalent(4) MMBOE   65.2   102.5   134.3
Before tax NPV-10(5) MM US$ $ 1,082.7 $ 1,603.4 $ 2,031.5
After tax NPV-10(5) MM US$ $ 782.9 $ 1,136.1 $ 1,424.3
(1) The numbers in this table may not add exactly due to rounding
(2) All reserves and deemed volumes are represented at Canacol’s working interest share before royalties
(3) Light and medium crude oil volumes include working interest volumes and deemed volumes
(4) The term “BOE” means a barrel of oil equivalent on the basis of 5.7 Mcf of natural gas to 1 barrel of oil (“bbl”) as per Colombian regulatory practice
(5) Net Present Value (NPV)  are stated in millions of USD and are discounted at 10 percent

Highlights include:

  • Total Proved reserves and deemed volumes increased by 15% since December 31, 2016, totaling 65.2 million barrels of oil equivalent (“MMBOE”) at December 31, 2017
  • Total Proved + Probable “2P” reserves and deemed volumes increased by 21% since December 31, 2016, totaling 102.5 MMBOE at December 31, 2017, with a before tax value discounted at 10% of US$ 1.6 billion, representing both CAD $ 11.43 per share of reserve value, and CAD$9.53 per share of 2P net asset value (net of US$266 million of net debt)
  • Total Proved + Probable + Possible (“3P”) reserves and deemed volumes increased by 27% since December 31, 2016, totaling 134.3 MMBOE at December 31, 2017, with a before tax value discounted at 10% of US$ 2.0 billion.
  • Achieved 1P reserve replacement of 241% and 2P reserve replacement of 399% based on calendar 2017 gross reserve and deemed volume additions of 14.4 MMBOE (1P) and 23.9 MMBOE (2P)
  • Achieved 2P finding and development costs (“F&D”) of US$ 0.63/Mcf for its gas assets for calendar 2017
  • Achieved 2P F&D of US$ 0.50/Mcf for its gas assets 3 year period ending December 31, 2017
  • Recorded 2P finding, development and acquisition costs  (“FD&A”) of US$ 0.56/Mcf for its gas assets for the 3 year period ending December 31, 2017
  • Recorded a 2P reserves life index (“RLI”) of 16 years based on annualized fourth quarter 2017 production of 17,577 BOEPD

Ravi Sharma, Chief Operating Officer of Canacol Energy, commented “The Corporation has achieved significant conventional natural gas exploration and development drilling success since the Shona Energy transaction in 2012.  During this time, we have added over 409 BCF of 2P conventional natural gas reserves from commercial success in 16 out of 18 drilled wells, representing a 40% compound annual growth rate (“CAGR”).   

Canacol’s management team continues to successfully execute its growth strategy with respect to its high value Colombian gas portfolio at an industry leading 3 year gas finding and development cost of US$ 0.50 / Mcf.  The Corporation forecasts 230 million standard cubic feet of gas per day (“MMSCFPD”) of natural gas production exiting 2018 via the new Promigas SA pipeline expansion, as well as continued success from its gas exploration and development drilling program in 2018.”

Discussion of Year Ended December 31, 2017 Reserves Report

During the year ended December 31st 2017, the Corporation recorded increases in certain reserve categories as a result of the drilling and completion of exploration locations at Cañahuate-1 and Cañandonga-1 on the Esperanza natural gas block, Toronja-1 on the VIM-21 natural gas block and Pandereta-1 on the VIM-5 natural gas block, all in the Lower Magdalena Valley basin, Colombia. 

The following tables summarize information from the independent reserves report prepared by DeGolyer and MacNaughton, effective December 31, 2017 (the “D&M 2017 report”), the independent reserves report prepared by Boury Global Energy Consultants Ltd. (“BGEC”) effective December 31, 2017 (the “BGEC 2017 report”), and the independent reserves report prepared by Petrotech Engineering Ltd., effective December 31, 2017 (the “Petrotech 2017 report”).  The D&M 2017 report covers 100% of the Corporation’s oil reserves and deemed volumes and 71% of Canacol’s natural gas reserves on a 1P basis, including Nelson and Clarinete fields.

Each independent reserves report was prepared in accordance with definitions, standards and procedures contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (“COGE Handbook”) and National Instrument NI 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI 51-101”).  Additional reserve information as required under NI 51-101 is included in the Corporation’s Annual Information Form which will be filed on SEDAR by March 31, 2018. 


Canacol Gross Reserves and Deemed Volumes for the Year Ended December 31, 2017
Reserve Category(1) 31-Dec-16 31-Dec-17 Difference
  (MBOE)(2) (MBOE) (%)
Total Proved (1P) 56,735 65,179 15%
Total Proved + Probable (2P) 84,570 102,519 21%
Total Proved + Probable + Possible (3P) 106,016 134,314 27%
(1) All reserves and deemed volumes are Canacol working interest before royalties
(2) MBOE is defined as thousands of barrels of oil equivalent.  Gas volumes are converted to BOE using a factor of 5.7mcf/BOE as per Colombian regulatory practice   


5-Year Crude Oil Price Forecast – D&M Report December 31, 2017 vs. December 31, 2016
    Reserve          
    Report Date 2018  2019  2020  2021  2022 
WTI US$/Bbl 31-Dec-16 59.16  63.46  68.98  72.52  73.97 
WTI US$/Bbl 31-Dec-17 58.13  59.80  63.35  67.75  70.89 
% difference     -2% -6% -8% -7% -4%


5-Year Gas Price Forecast – D&M, BGEC and Petrotech Reports December 31, 2017 vs. December 31, 2016
    Reserve          
    Report Date 2018  2019  2020  2021  2022 
Volume weighted average gas price US$/MMbtu 31-Dec-16 5.25  5.37  5.50  5.50  5.63 
Volume weighted average gas price US$/MMbtu 31-Dec-17 4.79  5.19  5.33  5.30  5.46 
% difference     -9% -3% -3% -4% -3%
(1) Gas price forecast is based on existing long term contracts net of transportation (if applicable) and adjusted for inflation


Reserves and Deemed Volumes Net Present Value Before & After Tax Summary (1)
  Before tax   After tax
      Net Asset       Net Asset
      Value       Value
Reserve Category 31-Dec-17   31-Dec-17   31-Dec-17   31-Dec-17
  (M US$)(2)   ($ CAD/share)(2)   (M US$)(2)   ($ CAD/share)(2)
Total Proved (1P) $ 1,082,715   $ 5.82   $ 782,903   $ 3.68
Total Proved + Probable (2P) $ 1,603,394   $ 9.53   $ 1,136,088   $ 6.20
Total Proved + Probable + Possible (3P) $ 2,031,464   $ 12.58   $ 1,424,317   $ 8.25
(1) Net present values are stated in thousands of USD and are discounted at 10 percent.  The forecast prices used in the calculation of the present value of future net revenue are based on the price decks described above.  The D&M price deck at December 31, 2017 is included in the Corporation’s Annual Information Form.  The D&M, BGEC and Petrotech forecasts for gas prices at December 31, 2017 are included in the Corporation’s Annual Information Form.
(2) Net asset value (“NAV”) is calculated at December 31, 2017 NPV10 less estimated net debt of US$266 million (being $305 million of bank debt less estimated net cash of $39 million) divided by 176.1 million basic shares outstanding as at December 31, 2017.  NAV calculations are converted to $CAD at December 31, 2017 effective rate of  USD:CAD =1.255.


Reserve Life Index (“RLI”)
Reserve Category(1) 31-Dec-16 31-Dec-17
  (yrs.)(1) (yrs.)(2)
Total Proved (1P) 9 10
Total Proved + Probable (2P) 13 16
(1) Calculated using average 3 month ending December 31, 2016 production of 17,778 BOEpd annualized.  Production volumes include Ecuador incremental production contract barrels.
(2) Calculated using average 3 month ending December 31, 2017 production of 17,577 BOEpd annualized.  Production volumes include Ecuador incremental production contract barrels.
(3) “RLI” Reserve Life Index is calculated by dividing a category of year end reserves by expected current production rate.


Year Ended December 31, 2017 Canacol Gross Reserves Reconciliation (1)
    Total Oil Light/Med Crude Oil Heavy Crude Oil Conventional Natural Gas NGL TOTAL
    (MBBL) (MBBL) (MBBL) (MMCF) (MBBL) MBOE
TOTAL PROVED            
Opening Balance (December 31, 2016) 7,217 5,087 2,130 282,257 - 56,735
  Extensions(2) 234 234 - - - 234
  Improved Recovery - - - - - -
  Technical Revisions(3) 1,100 938 162 13,331 - 3,439
  Discoveries(4) - - - 61,342 - 10,762
  Acquisitions - - - - - -
  Dispositions - - - - - -
  Economic Factors(5) 5 7 (2) - - 5
  Production (1,030) (992) (38) (28,300) - (5,995)
Closing Balance (December 31, 2017) 7,524 5,272 2,252 328,630 - 65,179
               
               
    Total Oil Light/Med  Crude Oil Heavy Crude Oil Conventional Natural Gas NGL TOTAL
    (MBBL) (MBBL) (MBBL) (MMCF) (MBBL) MBOE
TOTAL PROVED + PROBABLE            
Opening Balance (December 31, 2016) 12,464 7,464 5,000 411,002 - 84,570
  Extensions(2) 303 303 - - - 303
  Improved Recovery - - - - - -
  Technical Revisions(3) 2,184 787 1,398 18,001 - 5,342
  Discoveries(4) - - - 104,989 - 18,419
  Acquisitions - - - - - -
  Dispositions - - - - - -
  Economic Factors(5) (22) 6 (28) (561) - (120)
  Production (1,030) (992) (38) (28,300) - (5,995)
Closing Balance (December 31, 2017) 13,900 7,568 6,332 505,133 - 102,519
(1) The numbers in this table may not add due to rounding
(2) Extensions are associated with the LLA23 asset
(3) Technical revisions (conventional natural gas) are associated with the Nelson and Clarinete gas fields, technical revisions (light/medium crude oil) are associated with LLA23 and Ecuador assets, technical revisions (heavy crude oil) are associated with the VMM-2 and Ombu block assets
(4) Discoveries are associated with Cañahuate-1 and Cañandonga-1 on the Esperanza block, Toronja-1 on the VIM-21 block and Pandereta-1 on the VIM-5 block, all in the Lower Magdalena Valley basin, Colombia. 
(5) Economic factors are related to price and royalty factor changes
(6) Production volumes include Ecuador incremental production contract barrels


Reserve Metrics Reconciliation – Canacol Working Interest before Royalty (1) (2) (3)
  Calendar 2017 3 Year Ending December 31, 2017
  Conventional Natural Gas Conventional Natural Gas
Capital Expenditures (2) $ 58,490 $ 152,463
Capital Expenditures - Change in FDC(4)   18,700   40,000
Total F&D(5) $ 77,190 $ 192,463
Net Acquisitions   -   41,711
Total FD&A(6)(7) $ 77,190 $ 234,174
Reserve Additions (MBOE)   21,479   67,247
Reserve Additions – Net Acquisitions   -   6,580
Reserve Additions Including Net Acquisitions (MBOE)   21,479   73,827
F&D Costs ($/BOE)(5) $ 3.59 $ 2.86
FD&A Costs ($/BOE) (6)(7) $ 3.59 $ 3.17
(1) The numbers in this table may not add due to rounding
(2) 2016 capital expenditure numbers exclude US $33 million related to the Jobo 2 gas plant finance lease. 2017 capital expenditures exclude US $10.2 million related to the Company’s investment in the Sabanas flowline, $8.9 million related to a compression finance lease on the Sabanas flowline and $18.3 million related to other midstream initiatives
(3) All values in this table are stated on a 2P (Total Proved + Probable) basis
(4) “Capital Expenditures – change in FDC” is rounded.  FDC is the 2P (Proved + Probable) future development capital
(5) F&D – Finding and Development Costs on a 2P (Total Proved + Probable) basis
(6) FD&A - Finding, Development and Acquisition Costs on a 2P (Total Proved + Probable) basis
(7) With the finding and development costs, the aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent financial year and the change during that year in estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserve additions for that year.

The recovery and reserve estimates of light and medium crude oil, heavy crude oil and conventional natural gas are estimates only.  There is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered and actual reserves of light and medium crude oil, heavy crude oil and conventional natural gas may prove to be greater than, or less than, the estimates provided.

Reserves of light and medium crude oil and heavy crude oil as at December 31, 2017 are evaluated against the D&M forecast pricing effective at that date.  Comparative volumes of light and medium crude oil and heavy crude oil as at December 31, 2016 are evaluated against the forecast pricing effective at that date.  Deemed volumes of light crude oil are determined by dividing cash flow by the tariff price of USD$38.54/ barrel which remains constant for the life of the incremental production contract.  Reserves of conventional natural gas as at December 31, 2017 are evaluated against contract pricing forecast for each gas contract.  Comparative volumes of conventional natural gas as at December 31, 2016 are evaluated against contract pricing for each gas contract at the effective date.  Forecast prices used in the reserves reports are included in the Corporation’s Annual Information Form which will be filed on SEDAR by March 31, 2018 under the sections “Forecast Prices Used in Estimates” and “Forward Contracts” in the “Statement of Reserves Data and Other Oil and Gas Information”.

All amounts in this news release are stated in Canadian dollars unless otherwise specified.

Canacol is an exploration and production company with operations focused in Colombia, Ecuador and Mexico.  The Corporation's common stock trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange, the OTCQX in the United States of America, and the Colombia Stock Exchange under ticker symbol CNE, CNNEF, and CNE.C, respectively.

Forward-Looking Information and Statements
This news release contains certain forward-looking information and statements within the meaning of applicable securities law.  Forward-looking statement are frequently characterized by words such as "anticipate," "continue," "estimate," “expect”, "objective," "ongoing," "may," "will," "project," "should," "believe," "plan," "intend," "strategy," and other similar words, or statements that certain events or conditions "may" or "will" occur, including without limitation statements relating to estimated production rates from the Corporation's properties and intended work programs and associated timelines. 

Forward-looking statements are based on the opinions and estimates of management at the date the statements are made and are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements.  The Corporation cannot assure that actual results will be consistent with these forward looking statements.  They are made as of the date hereof and are subject to change and the Corporation assumes no obligation to revise or update them to reflect new circumstances, except as required by law.  Prospective investors should not place undue reliance on forward looking statements.  These factors include the inherent risks involved in the exploration for and development of crude oil and natural gas properties, the uncertainties involved in interpreting drilling results and other geological and geophysical data, fluctuating energy prices, the possibility of cost overruns or unanticipated costs or delays and other uncertainties associated with the oil and gas industry.  Other risk factors could include risks associated with negotiating with foreign governments as well as country risk associated with conducting international activities, and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Corporation.

The reserves evaluations, effective December 31, 2017, were conducted by the Corporation’s independent reserves evaluators DeGolyer and MacNaughton (“D&M”), Boury Global Energy Consultants Ltd. (“BGEC”) and Petrotech Engineering Ltd. (“Petrotech”) and are in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 - Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities.  The reserves are provided on a Canacol Gross basis in units of barrels of oil equivalent using a forecast price deck, adjusted for quality, in US dollars.  The estimated values may or may not represent the fair market value of the reserve estimates.

"Gross" in relation to the Corporation's interest in production or reserves is its working interest (operating or non-operating) share before deduction of royalties and without including any royalty interests of the Corporation;

"Net" in relation to the Corporation's interest in production or reserves is its working interest (operating or non-operating) share after deduction of royalty obligations, plus its royalty interest in production or reserves;

“Proved reserves” are those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable.  It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves;

“Probable reserves” are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves.  It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves;

“Possible reserves” means those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves.  It is unlikely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the sum of the estimated proved plus probable plus possible reserves;

"Deemed Volumes" refer to Volume 3 of COGEH, Reserves Recognition for International Properties, Section 4 - Fiscal Regime, Service Contracts, and refer to those volumes produced under a risked Service Agreement in which the Corporation does not have a direct interest, but represents reserves attributable to the Corporation.  By definition, these volumes are calculated as the production revenue divided by the fixed tariff price or operating netback per barrel, and are considered additive to volumes certified as reserves.  Under the terms of this risked Service Agreement, these calculated volumes correspond to actual volumes produced.  The Corporation has a non-operated 25% equity participation interest in the Ecuador IPC for which it receives a fixed price tariff for each incremental barrel produced.

BOE Conversion - “BOE” barrel of oil equivalent is derived by converting natural gas to oil in the ratio of 5.7 Mcf of natural gas to one bbl of oil.  A BOE conversion ratio of 5.7 Mcf to 1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.  As the value ratio between natural gas and crude oil based on the current prices of natural gas and crude oil is significantly different from the energy equivalency of 5.7:1, utilizing a conversion on a 5.7:1 basis may be misleading as an indication of value.  In this news release, the Corporation has expressed BOE using the Colombian conversion standard of 5.7 Mcf: 1 bbl required by the Ministry of Mines and Energy of Colombia.

“1P” means Total Proved
“2P” means Total Proved + Probable
“3P” means Total Proved + Probable + Possible

1P Reserves replacement ratio: Ratio of reserve additions to production, as reported in financial statements during the fiscal year ended December 31, excluding acquisitions and dispositions on a Total Proved basis.

2P Reserves replacement ratio: Ratio of reserve additions to production, as reported in financial statements during the fiscal year ended December 31, excluding acquisitions and dispositions on a Total Proved + Probable basis.

2P Finding and development costs per barrel of oil equivalent (BOE) represent exploration and development costs incurred per BOE of Total Proved + Probable reserves added during the year.  The Corporation, industry analysts, and investors use such metrics to measure a Corporation’s ability to establish a long-term trend of adding reserves at a reasonable cost.

2P Finding, development and acquisition costs per barrel of oil equivalent (BOE) represent property acquisition, exploration, and development costs incurred per BOE of Total Proved + Probable reserves added during the year.  The Corporation, industry analysts, and investors use such metrics to measure a Corporation’s ability to establish a long-term trend of adding reserves at a reasonable cost.

With the finding and development costs, the aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent financial year and the change during that year in estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total finding and development costs related to reserve additions for that year.

“RLI” Reserve Life Index is calculated by dividing a category of year end reserves by expected current production rate annualized fourth quarter of 2017 production rate.

Unaudited Financial Information
Certain financial and operating results included in this news release include net debt, capital expenditures, production information and operating costs based on unaudited estimated results.  These estimated results are subject to change upon completion of the Corporation's audited financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2017, and changes could be material.  Canacol anticipates filing its audited financial statements and related management's discussion and analysis for the year ended December 31, 2017 on SEDAR on or before March 31, 2018.

This press release contains a number of oil and gas metrics, including F&D, FD&A, reserve replacement and RLI, which do not have standardized meanings or standard methods of calculation and therefore such measures may not be comparable to similar measures used by other companies.  Such metrics have been included herein to provide readers with additional measures to evaluate the Corporation's performance; however, such measures are not reliable indicators of the future performance of the Corporation and future performance may not compare to the performance in previous periods.

For further information please contact:
Investor Relations
214-235-4798
Email: IR@canacolenergy.com
Website: canacolenergy.com

 

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