- Continued progress towards executing key strategic priorities during the third quarter included:
• Significant progress made toward a final resolution of Puerto Rico's debt restructuring with signed
COFINA Plan Support Agreement and term sheet
• Adversely Classified Credits reduced by $0.8 billion or 6.4% to $11.1 billion
• Insured net par reduced by $4.3 billion or 7.5% to $52.2 billion
• Executed Auction Market Preferred Shares exchange transaction, simplifying capital
structure and capturing a fair value discount of approximately $250 million
- Net Loss of $(22.2) million or $(0.48) per Diluted Share for the Quarter Ended September 30, 2018
- Net Loss attributable to common stockholders of $(103.8) million or $(2.27) per Diluted Share and Adjusted
Loss1 of $(76.0) million or $(1.66) per Diluted Share for the Quarter Ended September 30, 2018 primarily driven
by the financial statement impact of the Auction Market Preferred Shares exchange transaction
NEW YORK, Nov. 07, 2018 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: AMBC) ("Ambac"), a holding company whose
subsidiaries, including Ambac Assurance Corporation ("AAC"), provide financial guarantees, today reported a net loss of $(22.2)
million or $(0.48) per diluted share for the third quarter of 2018. Including the impact of the Auction Market Preferred Shares
("AMPS") exchange, net loss attributable to common stockholders was $(103.8) million or $(2.27) per diluted share for the third
quarter of 2018, compared to net income attributable to common stockholders of $4.3 million or $0.09 per diluted share for the
second quarter of 2018. Adjusted Loss in the third quarter of 2018 was $(76.0) million or $(1.66) per diluted share
compared to Adjusted Earnings of $36.5 million or $0.78 per diluted share in the second quarter of 2018.
AMPS Exchange Transaction
On August 3, 2018, Ambac and AAC successfully completed an offer to exchange outstanding AMPS issued by AAC. Upon closing,
Ambac and AAC repurchased 22,296 of AMPS with a liquidation preference of $557.4 million representing 84.4% of outstanding shares.
In connection with the transaction, AAC issued $212.7 million in current principal of surplus notes with accrued interest of $98.4
million, and Ambac paid $11 million of cash and issued 824,307 of warrants to purchase stock of Ambac. The fair value of
consideration paid resulted in a total discount of 45% of the liquidation preference of the AMPS exchanged. Third quarter 2018
results include a reduction to net income attributable to common stockholders of approximately $81.7 million reflecting the
difference between the fair value of consideration provided to AMPS holders and the carrying value of the AMPS.
Claude LeBlanc, President and Chief Executive Officer, stated, “During the third quarter of 2018 we continued to make measurable
progress across our strategic priorities and execute transactions that we believe will deliver long term value to our
shareholders. In addition to the AMPS exchange, this quarter we executed the Puerto Rico Plan Support Agreement for the
restructuring of all COFINA bonds, which, if approved by the court overseeing Puerto Rico's Title III proceedings, would favorably
resolve one of our largest exposures to Puerto Rico. In November 2018, consistent with our strategy to actively de-risk our insured
portfolio, a strategy that we believe over time will strengthen the quality of book value, we ceded the full amount of certain
public finance insurance policies equating to $1.5 billion of performing par exposure, with principal and interest of $3.4 billion,
comprised of primarily non-callable capital appreciation bonds and including $241 million par of Adversely Classified and Watch
List Credits." Mr. LeBlanc continued, "We believe that our rigor, persistence, and commitment to progressing our strategic
initiatives has and will continue to deliver tangible results for our shareholders."
Ambac's Third Quarter 2018 Summary Results |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Better (Worse) |
($ in millions, except per share
data) |
|
3Q2018 |
|
2Q2018 |
|
Amount |
|
Percent |
Net premiums earned |
|
$ |
25.6 |
|
|
$ |
25.8 |
|
|
$ |
(0.2 |
) |
|
(1 |
)% |
Net investment income |
|
58.3 |
|
|
66.7 |
|
|
(8.4 |
) |
|
(13 |
)% |
Net realized investment gains (losses) |
|
30.2 |
|
|
47.1 |
|
|
(16.9 |
) |
|
(36 |
)% |
Net gains (losses) on interest rate derivatives |
|
17.3 |
|
|
9.1 |
|
|
8.2 |
|
|
90 |
% |
Income (loss) on Variable Interest Entities ("VIEs") |
|
1.8 |
|
|
0.6 |
|
|
1.2 |
|
|
200 |
% |
Losses and loss expenses (benefit) |
|
33.5 |
|
|
32.6 |
|
|
(0.9 |
) |
|
(3 |
)% |
Operating expenses |
|
28.4 |
|
|
26.1 |
|
|
(2.3 |
) |
|
(9 |
)% |
Interest expense |
|
65.7 |
|
|
62.4 |
|
|
(3.3 |
) |
|
(5 |
)% |
Insurance intangible amortization |
|
26.4 |
|
|
23.2 |
|
|
(3.2 |
) |
|
(14 |
)% |
Provision for income taxes |
|
2.2 |
|
|
2.0 |
|
|
(0.2 |
) |
|
(10 |
)% |
Net income (loss) |
|
(22.2 |
) |
|
4.3 |
|
|
(26.5 |
) |
|
(616 |
)% |
Net income (loss) attributable to Common Stockholders |
|
(103.8 |
) |
|
4.3 |
|
|
(108.1 |
) |
|
(2,514 |
)% |
Net income (loss) per diluted share |
|
$ |
(2.27 |
) |
|
$ |
0.09 |
|
|
$ |
(2.36 |
) |
|
(2,622 |
)% |
Adjusted earnings (loss) 1 |
|
(76.0 |
) |
|
36.5 |
|
|
(112.5 |
) |
|
(308 |
)% |
Adjusted earnings (loss) per diluted share
1 |
|
$ |
(1.66 |
) |
|
$ |
0.78 |
|
|
$ |
(2.44 |
) |
|
(313 |
)% |
Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc. stockholders'
equity |
|
1,757.7 |
|
|
1,799.8 |
|
|
(42.1 |
) |
|
(2 |
)% |
Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc. stockholders' equity per
share |
|
$ |
38.77 |
|
|
$ |
39.70 |
|
|
$ |
(0.93 |
) |
|
(2 |
)% |
Adjusted book value 1 |
|
1,291.9 |
|
|
1,398.0 |
|
|
(106.1 |
) |
|
(8 |
)% |
Adjusted book value per share 1 |
|
$ |
28.50 |
|
|
$ |
30.84 |
|
|
$ |
(2.34 |
) |
|
(8 |
)% |
Weighted-average diluted shares
outstanding (in millions) |
|
45.7 |
|
|
46.5 |
|
|
0.8 |
|
|
2 |
% |
1 See Non-GAAP Financial Data section of this press release for further information
Net Premiums Earned
During the third quarter of 2018, net premiums earned were $25.6 million compared to $25.8 million in the second
quarter of 2018, including accelerations of $6.7 million and $6.1 million, respectively. Normal premiums earned decreased
$0.8 million or 4% primarily due to the continued runoff of the insured portfolio. Accelerated premiums earned increased $0.6
million or 10% due to executed commutations, partially offset by lower accelerated premiums in public finance.
The following table provides a summary of net premiums earned for the three month periods ended September 30, 2018 and
June 30, 2018, respectively:
|
|
Three Months Ended |
($ in millions) |
|
September 30, 2018 |
|
June 30, 2018 |
Public Finance |
|
$ |
9.2 |
|
|
$ |
9.7 |
|
Structured Finance |
|
4.2 |
|
|
4.1 |
|
International Finance |
|
5.5 |
|
|
5.9 |
|
Total normal premiums earned |
|
18.9 |
|
|
19.7 |
|
Accelerated earnings |
|
6.7 |
|
|
6.1 |
|
Total net premiums earned |
|
$ |
25.6 |
|
|
$ |
25.8 |
|
Net Investment Income and Net Realized Investment Gains
Net investment income for the third quarter of 2018 and the second quarter of 2018 was $58.3 million and $66.7 million,
respectively. Net investment income for the third quarter of 2018 decreased due to a reduction in the size of the investment
portfolio and a lower allocation to higher-yielding Ambac insured RMBS, partially offset by an increase in net gains on invested
assets classified as trading. Net gains on invested assets classified as trading were $7.0 million in the third quarter of
2018 compared to $3.6 million in the second quarter of 2018.
The decrease in the fair value of the consolidated investment portfolio of approximately $0.1 billion from June 30, 2018,
to $4.3 billion at September 30, 2018, was due primarily to interest payments and voluntary redemptions of the Ambac Note and
loss and loss adjustment expense payments during the third quarter.
Third quarter 2018 net realized investment gains were $30.2 million compared to $47.1 million in the second quarter of
2018. Net realized gains in both quarters were primarily from the sale of AAC-insured RMBS securities in connection with the
re-balancing of the investment portfolio and to facilitate debt redemptions.
Losses and Loss Expenses and Loss Reserves
Losses and loss expenses for the third quarter of 2018 were $33.5 million, as compared to an expense of $32.6 million for the
second quarter of 2018.
The following table provides losses and loss expenses incurred by bond type for the three month periods ended September 30,
2018 and June 30, 2018:
|
|
Three Months Ended |
($ in millions) |
|
September 30, 2018 |
|
June 30, 2018 |
RMBS |
|
$ |
19.2 |
|
|
$ |
(26.1 |
) |
Domestic public finance |
|
9.1 |
|
|
44.1 |
|
Student loan |
|
4.0 |
|
|
(4.3 |
) |
Ambac UK and other credits |
|
1.2 |
|
|
18.9 |
|
Total losses and loss expenses |
|
$ |
33.5 |
|
|
$ |
32.6 |
|
Third quarter of 2018 RMBS losses and loss expenses of $19.2 million were driven by loss expenses incurred and a reduction to
estimated representation and warranty subrogation recoveries, partially offset by credit improvements. Second quarter of 2018
RMBS losses and loss expenses were a benefit of $26.1 million driven by a benefit of $10.0 million related to RMBS transactions
proactively terminated during the quarter and credit improvements, partially offset by loss expenses incurred and a reduction of
estimated representation and warranty subrogation recoveries.
Domestic public finance losses and loss expenses in the third quarter of 2018 were $9.1 million, primarily related to loss
expenses. In the second quarter of 2018, domestic public finance losses and loss expenses were $44.1 million primarily
related to Military Housing loss expenses and additions to Puerto Rico loss reserves.
During the third quarter of 2018, claim and loss expenses paid (net of reinsurance) were $228.6 million which included $264.0
million of losses and loss expenses paid related mostly to Puerto Rico and a student loan commutation, partially offset by $35.4
million of subrogation received. During the second quarter of 2018, claim and loss expenses paid (net of reinsurance) were $77.9
million which included $113.4 million of losses and loss expenses paid, partially offset by $35.5 million of subrogation
received.
Loss and loss expense reserves (gross of reinsurance) were $(30) million at September 30, 2018, and $181 million at
June 30, 2018, which were net of $1.776 billion and $1.816 billion, respectively, of estimated subrogation recoveries related
to AAC's pursuit of legal remedies to seek redress for breaches of representations and warranties.
The following table provides loss and loss expense (gross of reinsurance) reserves by bond type at September 30, 2018, and
June 30, 2018:
($ in millions) |
|
September 30,
2018 |
|
June 30,
2018 |
RMBS |
|
$ |
(1,273 |
) |
|
$ |
(1,264 |
) |
Domestic public finance |
|
637 |
|
|
773 |
|
Student loans |
|
235 |
|
|
309 |
|
Ambac UK and other credits |
|
266 |
|
|
289 |
|
Loss expenses |
|
105 |
|
|
74 |
|
Total loss and loss expense reserves |
|
$ |
(30 |
) |
|
$ |
181 |
|
Net Gains (Losses) on Interest Rate Derivatives
Net gains on interest rate derivatives were $17.3 million for the third quarter of 2018 and $9.1 million for the second quarter of
2018. Gains on interest rate derivatives were a result of the impact of an increase in forward interest rates. The interest
rate derivatives portfolio is positioned to benefit from rising interest rates as a partial economic hedge against interest rate
exposure in AAC's insured and investment portfolios.
Expenses
Operating expenses for the third quarter of 2018 increased by $2.3 million to $28.4 million from $26.1 million in the second
quarter of 2018. The increase in the third quarter of 2018 was primarily due to higher expenses related to the AMPS exchange
transaction, partially offset by lower compensation costs and regulatory expenses associated with the Office of the Commissioner of
Insurance (the “OCI”). Third quarter operating expenses included $5.9 million of expenses associated with the AMPS transaction.
Interest expense for the third quarter of 2018 increased $3.3 million to $65.7 million from $62.4 million in the second quarter
of 2018 due to the August 2018 re-issuance of surplus notes in connection with the AMPS exchange transaction, partially offset by
lower interest expense resulting from the partial redemption of the Ambac Note and full redemption of the RMBS secured borrowing in
the second quarter of 2018.
Taxes and Net Operating Loss Carry-Forwards ("NOLs")
Income taxes were $2.2 million for the third quarter of 2018, compared to $2.0 million for the second quarter of 2018. The third
quarter provision included $0.4 million of state income taxes and foreign income taxes of $1.8 million. The second quarter
provision included $0.6 million of state income taxes and foreign taxes of $1.4 million.
At September 30, 2018, the Ambac consolidated group had approximately $3.55 billion of NOLs, including $1.40 billion at
Ambac and $2.15 billion at AAC.
As a result of taxable income at AAC during 2018, AAC utilized NOLs in an amount that resulted in the accrual of $11.0 million
of tolling payments. There are no assurances that Ambac Assurance will be able to generate taxable income for the full year
of 2018 and therefore make future tolling payments to Ambac, including the accrued amount. Ambac Assurance's tax positions are
subject to review by the OCI, which may lead to the adoption of positions that reduce the amount of tolling payments otherwise
available to Ambac.
Balance Sheet
Total assets decreased by $6.4 billion from June 30, 2018 to $15.1 billion at September 30, 2018, primarily due to the
deconsolidation of two VIEs during the third quarter of 2018 (causing a reduction in assets of $6.0 billion). The deconsolidations
were as a result of loss mitigation activities that eliminated or reduced Ambac's policies or control rights that previously
required Ambac to consolidate these entities.
Total liabilities decreased by $6.2 billion from June 30, 2018 to $13.3 billion as of September 30, 2018, primarily as a
result of the above noted VIE deconsolidations (causing a reduction in liabilities of $6.0 billion) and claims payments, partially
offset by the impact of the AMPS Exchange transaction which increased surplus notes and accrued interest on surplus notes by $286.0
million.
Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc. Stockholders' Equity
Stockholders’ equity at September 30, 2018, was down 2% to $1.76 billion, or $38.77 per share compared to $1.80 billion or
$39.70 per share as of June 30, 2018, due to the impact of the AMPS exchange transaction of $73.7 million, net loss of $22.2
million, and translation losses of $8.9 million related to Ambac's foreign subsidiaries, partially offset by unrealized investment
portfolio gains of $60.8 million.
Financial Guarantee Insured Portfolio
The financial guarantee insurance portfolio net par amount outstanding declined 7.5% during the quarter ended September 30, 2018,
to $52.2 billion from $56.5 at June 30, 2018. The reduction in the insured portfolio was primarily related to a decrease
of $1.6 billion in the international finance sector related to the negotiated termination of an asset backed policy (consolidated
VIE) and the maturity of a utility policy; a decrease of $1.5 billion in the public finance portfolio related to calls and
maturities; and a decrease of $1.1 billion in the structured finance sector due to active de-risking, via a student loan
commutation and reinsurance of a structured finance exposure, coupled with continued policy paydowns.
Details of financial guarantee insurance portfolio are highlighted in the below table.
Net Par Outstanding |
|
September 30,
2018 |
|
June 30,
2018 |
By Sector: |
|
|
|
|
Public finance |
|
52 |
% |
|
51 |
% |
Structured Finance |
|
21 |
% |
|
21 |
% |
International |
|
27 |
% |
|
28 |
% |
By Financial Guarantor: |
|
|
|
|
Ambac Assurance |
|
74 |
% |
|
73 |
% |
Ambac UK |
|
26 |
% |
|
27 |
% |
Adversely Classified Credits decreased by a net $0.8 billion or 6.4% to $11.1 billion in the third quarter of 2018, due to the
student loan commutation and the negotiated termination of an international utility exposure, coupled with runoff and upgrades to
other transactions.
Subsequent Events
Puerto Rico
On October 19, 2018 a COFINA Plan of Adjustment and Disclosure Statement was filed by the Puerto Rico Oversight Board following the
execution of a Plan Support Agreement for the restructuring of all senior and junior COFINA bonds on August 29, 2018. These
agreements represent significant progress toward a negotiated resolution of the COFINA Title III proceeding and Ambac's COFINA
exposure, however, no assurance can be given that the Plan of Adjustment will be approved by the court overseeing COFINA’s Title
III restructuring.
Reinsurance Agreement
As part of Ambac's active risk mitigation efforts, in November 2018, AAC ceded the full amount of certain public finance insurance
policies to a third party reinsurer, totaling $1.5 billion of performing par exposure (principal and interest of $3.4
billion), which was mostly comprised of policies on non-callable capital appreciation bonds and includes $241 million par of
Adversely Classified and Watch List Credits.
Non-GAAP Financial Data
In addition to reporting Ambac’s quarterly financial results in accordance with GAAP, Ambac reports two non-GAAP financial
measures: Adjusted Earnings and Adjusted Book Value. A non-GAAP financial measure is a numerical measure of financial performance
or financial position that excludes (or includes) amounts that are included in (or excluded from) the most directly comparable
measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP. The most directly comparable GAAP measures are net income attributable to
common stockholders for Adjusted Earnings and Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity for Adjusted Book Value. We
are presenting these non-GAAP financial measures because they provide greater transparency and enhanced visibility into the
underlying drivers of our business. Adjusted Earnings and Adjusted Book Value are not substitutes for Ambac’s GAAP reporting,
should not be viewed in isolation, may be subject to change, and may differ from similar reporting provided by other companies,
which may define these non-GAAP measures differently.
Ambac has a significant tax NOL that is offset by a full valuation allowance in the GAAP consolidated financial
statements. As a result of this and other considerations, for purposes of non-GAAP measures, we utilize a 0% effective tax
rate, which is subject to change in the future.
Adjusted Earnings (Loss). Adjusted Earnings (Loss) is defined as net income (loss)
attributable to common stockholders, as reported under GAAP, adjusted on an after-tax basis for the following:
- Non-credit impairment fair value (gain) loss on credit derivatives: Elimination of the non-credit impairment fair
value gains (losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated credit
losses. Such fair value adjustments are affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market factors such as interest rates
and credit spreads, including the market’s perception of Ambac’s credit risk (“Ambac CVA”), and are not expected to result in an
economic gain or loss. These adjustments allow for all financial guarantee contracts to be accounted for consistent with the
Financial Services – Insurance Topic of ASC, whether or not they are subject to derivative accounting rules.
- Insurance intangible amortization: Elimination of the amortization of the financial guarantee insurance intangible
asset that arose as a result of Ambac’s emergence from bankruptcy and the implementation of Fresh Start reporting. This
adjustment ensures that all financial guarantee contracts are accounted for consistent with the provisions of the Financial
Services – Insurance Topic of the ASC.
- Foreign exchange (gains) losses: Elimination of the foreign exchange gains (losses) on the re-measurement of assets,
liabilities and transactions in non-functional currencies. This adjustment eliminates the foreign exchange gains (losses)
on all assets, liabilities and transactions in non-functional currencies, which enables users of our financial statements to
better view the business results without the impact of fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates and facilitates
period-to-period comparisons of Ambac's operating performance.
Adjusted Loss was $76.0 million, or $1.66 per diluted share, for the third quarter 2018 as compared to Adjusted Earnings of
$36.5 million or $0.78 per diluted share, for the second quarter of 2018. Adjusted Loss for the third quarter 2018 relative to
Adjusted Earnings for the second quarter of 2018 resulted mostly from the impact of the AMPS exchange transaction in the third
quarter 2018.
The following table reconciles net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders to the non-GAAP measure, Adjusted Earnings
(Loss), for the three month periods ended September 30, 2018, and June 30, 2018, respectively:
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
September 30,
2018 |
|
June 30,
2018 |
($ in millions, other than per share
data) |
|
$ Amount |
|
Per Diluted Share |
|
$ Amount |
|
Per Diluted Share |
Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders |
|
$ |
(103.8 |
) |
|
$ |
(2.27 |
) |
|
$ |
4.3 |
|
|
$ |
0.09 |
|
Adjustments: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-credit impairment fair value (gain) loss on credit
derivatives |
|
(0.2 |
) |
|
— |
|
|
0.3 |
|
|
0.01 |
|
Insurance intangible amortization |
|
26.4 |
|
|
0.58 |
|
|
23.2 |
|
|
0.50 |
|
Foreign exchange (gains) losses |
|
1.6 |
|
|
0.03 |
|
|
8.6 |
|
|
0.18 |
|
Adjusted Earnings (loss) |
|
$ |
(76.0 |
) |
|
$ |
(1.66 |
) |
|
$ |
36.5 |
|
|
$ |
0.78 |
|
Weighted-average diluted shares outstanding (in millions) |
|
|
|
45.7 |
|
|
|
|
46.5 |
|
Adjusted Book Value. Adjusted Book Value is defined as Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
stockholders’ equity as reported under GAAP, adjusted for after-tax impact of the following:
- Non-credit impairment fair value losses on credit derivatives: Elimination of the non-credit impairment fair value
loss on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit loss.
GAAP fair values are affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market factors such as interest rates, credit spreads,
including Ambac’s CVA that are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss. These adjustments allow for all financial
guarantee contracts to be accounted for within Adjusted Book Value consistent with the provisions of the Financial
Services—Insurance Topic of the ASC, whether or not they are subject to derivative accounting rules.
- Insurance intangible asset: Elimination of the financial guarantee insurance intangible asset that arose as a result
of Ambac’s emergence from bankruptcy and the implementation of Fresh Start reporting. This adjustment ensures that all financial
guarantee contracts are accounted for within Adjusted Book Value consistent with the provisions of the Financial
Services—Insurance Topic of the ASC.
- Net unearned premiums and fees in excess of expected losses: Addition of the value of the unearned premium revenue
("UPR") on financial guarantee contracts, in excess of expected losses, net of reinsurance. This non-GAAP adjustment
presents the economics of UPR and expected losses for financial guarantee contracts on a consistent basis. In accordance with
GAAP, stockholders’ equity reflects a reduction for expected losses only to the extent they exceed UPR. However, when
expected losses are less than UPR for a financial guarantee contract, neither expected losses nor UPR have an impact on
stockholders’ equity. This non-GAAP adjustment adds UPR in excess of expected losses, net of reinsurance, to stockholders’ equity
for financial guarantee contracts where expected losses are less than UPR.
- Net unrealized investment (gains) losses in Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income: Elimination of the unrealized
gains and losses on the Company’s investments that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income
(“AOCI”). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio may differ from realized gains and losses
ultimately recognized by the Company based on the Company’s investment strategy. This adjustment only allows for such gains and
losses in Adjusted Book Value when realized.
Adjusted Book Value was $1.292 billion, or $28.50 per share, at September 30, 2018, as compared to $1.398 billion, or
$30.84 per share, at June 30, 2018. The decrease in Adjusted Book Value was primarily attributable to the Adjusted Loss
for the three months ended September 30, 2018.
The following table reconciles Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity to the non-GAAP measure Adjusted Book
Value as of each date presented:
|
|
September 30, 2018 |
|
June 30, 2018 |
($ in millions, other than per share
data) |
|
$ Amount |
|
Per Share |
|
$ Amount |
|
Per Share |
Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity |
|
$ |
1,757.7 |
|
|
$ |
38.77 |
|
|
$ |
1,799.8 |
|
|
$ |
39.70 |
|
Adjustments: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-credit impairment fair value losses on credit
derivatives |
|
1.2 |
|
|
0.03 |
|
|
1.3 |
|
|
0.03 |
|
Insurance intangible asset |
|
(755.7 |
) |
|
(16.67 |
) |
|
(786.2 |
) |
|
(17.34 |
) |
Net unearned premiums and fees in excess of expected losses |
|
503.2 |
|
|
11.10 |
|
|
536.7 |
|
|
11.84 |
|
Net unrealized investment (gains) losses in Accumulated Other
Comprehensive Income |
|
(214.4 |
) |
|
(4.73 |
) |
|
(153.6 |
) |
|
(3.39 |
) |
Adjusted Book Value |
|
$ |
1,291.9 |
|
|
$ |
28.50 |
|
|
$ |
1,398.0 |
|
|
$ |
30.84 |
|
Shares outstanding (in millions) |
|
|
|
45.3 |
|
|
|
|
45.3 |
|
Earnings Call and Webcast
On November 8, 2018 at 8:30am ET, Claude LeBlanc, President and Chief Executive Officer, and David Trick, Executive Vice
President and Chief Financial Officer, will discuss third quarter 2018 results during a conference call. A live audio webcast
of the call will be available through the Investor Relations section of Ambac’s website, http://ir.ambac.com/events.cfm. Participants may also listen via telephone by dialing (877) 407-9716 (Domestic) or
(201) 493-6779 (International).
The webcast will be archived on Ambac's website. A replay of the call will be available through November 22, 2018, and can
be accessed by dialing (Domestic) (844) 512-2921 or (International) (412) 317-6671; and using ID#13684051.
Additional information is included in an operating supplement and presentations at Ambac's website at www.ambac.com.
About Ambac
Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (“Ambac” or “AFG”), headquartered in New York City, is a holding company whose
subsidiaries, including its principal operating subsidiaries, Ambac Assurance Corporation (“Ambac Assurance or AAC”), Everspan
Financial Guarantee Corp. and Ambac Assurance UK Limited (“Ambac UK”), provide financial guarantees of obligations in both the
public and private sectors globally. AAC is a guarantor of public finance and structured finance obligations. Ambac’s common stock
trades on the NASDAQ Global Select Market under the symbol “AMBC”. The Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation of Ambac
contains substantial restrictions on the ability to transfer Ambac’s common stock. Subject to limited exceptions, any attempted
transfer of common stock shall be prohibited and void to the extent that, as a result of such transfer (or any series of transfers
of which such transfer is a part), any person or group of persons shall become a holder of 5% or more of Ambac’s common stock or a
holder of 5% or more of Ambac’s common stock increases its ownership interest. Ambac is committed to providing timely and accurate
information to the investing public, consistent with our legal and regulatory obligations. To that end, we use our website to
convey information about our businesses, including the anticipated release of quarterly financial results, quarterly financial,
statistical and business-related information, and the posting of updates to the status of certain residential mortgage backed
securities litigations. For more information, please go to www.ambac.com.
Contact
Lisa A. Kampf
Managing Director, Investor Relations
(212) 208-3177
lkampf@ambac.com
Forward-Looking Statements
In this press release, statements that may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the safe harbor
provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as “estimate,” “project,” “plan,” “believe,”
“anticipate,” “intend,” “planned,” “potential” and similar expressions, or future or conditional verbs such as “will,” “should,”
“would,” “could,” and “may,” or the negative of those expressions or verbs, identify forward-looking statements. We caution readers
that these statements are not guarantees of future performance. Forward-looking statements are not historical facts but instead
represent only our beliefs regarding future events, which may by their nature be inherently uncertain and some of which may be
outside our control. These statements may relate to plans and objectives with respect to the future, among other things which may
change. We are alerting you to the possibility that our actual results may differ, possibly materially, from the expected
objectives or anticipated results that may be suggested, expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. Important
factors that could cause our results to differ, possibly materially, from those indicated in the forward-looking statements
include, among others, those discussed under “Risk Factors” in our most recent SEC filed quarterly or annual report.
Any or all of management’s forward-looking statements here or in other publications may turn out to be incorrect and are based
on management’s current belief or opinions. Ambac’s actual results may vary materially, and there are no guarantees about the
performance of Ambac’s securities. Among events, risks, uncertainties or factors that could cause actual results to differ
materially are: (1) the highly speculative nature of Ambac’s common stock and volatility in the price of Ambac’s common stock; (2)
uncertainty concerning the Company’s ability to achieve value for holders of its securities, whether from Ambac Assurance
Corporation ("Ambac Assurance") or from transactions or opportunities apart from Ambac Assurance; (3) adverse effects on Ambac’s
share price resulting from future offerings of debt or equity securities that rank senior to Ambac’s common stock; (4) potential of
rehabilitation proceedings against Ambac Assurance; (5) dilution of current shareholder value or adverse effects on Ambac’s share
price resulting from the issuance of additional shares of common stock; (6) inadequacy of reserves established for losses and loss
expenses and possibility that changes in loss reserves may result in further volatility of earnings or financial results; (7)
decisions made by Ambac Assurance's primary insurance regulator for the benefit of policyholders that may result in material
adverse consequences for holders of the Company’s securities or holders of securities issued or insured by Ambac Assurance; (8)
increased fiscal stress experienced by issuers of public finance obligations or an increased incidence of Chapter 9 filings or
other restructuring proceedings by public finance issuers; (9) failure to recover claims paid on Puerto Rico exposures or
incurrence of losses in amounts higher than expected; (10) the Company’s inability to realize the expected recoveries included in
its financial statements; (11) changes in Ambac Assurance’s estimated representation and warranty recoveries or loss reserves over
time; (12) insufficiency or unavailability of collateral to pay secured obligations; (13) credit risk throughout the
Company’s business, including but not limited to credit risk related to residential mortgage-backed securities, student loan and
other asset securitizations, public finance obligations and exposures to reinsurers; (14) credit risks related to large single
risks, risk concentrations and correlated risks; (15) concentration and essentiality risk in connection with Military Housing
insured debt; (16) the risk that the Company’s risk management policies and practices do not anticipate certain risks and/or the
magnitude of potential for loss; (17) risks associated with adverse selection as the Company’s insured portfolio runs off; (18)
adverse effects on operating results or the Company’s financial position resulting from measures taken to reduce risks in its
insured portfolio; (19) intercompany disputes or disputes with Ambac Assurance's primary insurance regulator; (20) our inability to
mitigate or remediate losses, commute or reduce insured exposures or achieve recoveries or investment objectives, or the failure of
any transaction intended to accomplish one or more of these objectives to deliver anticipated results; (21) the Company’s
substantial indebtedness could adversely affect its financial condition and operating flexibility; (22) the Company may not be able
to obtain financing or raise capital on acceptable terms or at all due to its substantial indebtedness and financial condition;
(23) the Company may not be able to generate the significant amount of cash needed to service its debt and financial obligations,
and may not be able to refinance its indebtedness; (24) restrictive covenants in agreements and instruments may impair the
Company’s ability to pursue or achieve its business strategies; (25) loss of control rights in transactions for which we provide
insurance due to a finding that Ambac Assurance has defaulted, whether due to the Segregated Account rehabilitation proceedings or
otherwise; (26) the Company’s results of operation may be adversely affected by events or circumstances that result in the
accelerated amortization of the Company’s insurance intangible asset; (27) adverse tax consequences or other costs resulting from
the Segregated Account rehabilitation plan, or from the characterization of the Company’s surplus notes or other obligations as
equity; (28) risks attendant to the change in composition of securities in the Company’s investment portfolio; (29) changes in tax
law; (30) changes in prevailing interest rates; (31) changes on inter-bank lending rate reporting practices or the method pursuant
to which LIBOR rates are determined; (32) factors that may influence the amount of installment premiums paid to the Company,
including the Segregated Account rehabilitation proceedings; (33) default by one or more of Ambac Assurance's portfolio
investments, insured issuers or counterparties; (34) market risks impacting assets in the Company’s investment portfolio or the
value of our assets posted as collateral in respect of interest rate swap transactions; (35) risks relating to determinations of
amounts of impairments taken on investments; (36) the risk of litigation and regulatory inquiries or investigations, and the risk
of adverse outcomes in connection therewith, which could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s business, operations,
financial position, profitability or cash flows; (37) actions of stakeholders whose interests are not aligned with broader
interests of the Company's stockholders; (38) the Company’s inability to realize value from Ambac UK or other subsidiaries of Ambac
Assurance; (39) system security risks; (40) market spreads and pricing on interest rate derivative insured or issued by the
Company; (41) the risk of volatility in income and earnings, including volatility due to the application of fair value accounting;
(42) changes in accounting principles or practices that may impact the Company’s reported financial results; (43) legislative and
regulatory developments, including intervention by regulatory authorities; (44) the economic impact of “Brexit” may have an adverse
effect on the Company’s insured international portfolio and the value of its foreign investments, both of which primarily reside
with its subsidiary Ambac UK; (45) operational risks, including with respect to internal processes, risk and investment models,
systems and employees, and failures in services or products provided by third parties; (46) the Company’s financial position that
may prompt departures of key employees and may impact the Company’s ability to attract qualified executives and employees; (47)
implementation of new tax legislation signed into law on December 22, 2017 (commonly known as the “Tax Cuts and Jobs Act”) may have
unexpected consequences for the Company and the value of its securities, particularly its common shares; (48) implementation of the
Tax Cuts and Jobs Act may negatively impact the economic recovery of Puerto Rico, which could result in higher loss severities or
an extended moratorium on debt service owed on Ambac Assurance-insured bonds of Puerto Rico and its instrumentalities; (49)
implementation of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act could have a negative impact on municipal issuers of Ambac-insured bonds; (50)
fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates could adversely impact the insured portfolio in the event of loss reserves or claim
payments denominated in a currency other than US dollars and the value of non-US dollar denominated securities in our investment
portfolio; and (51) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time.
AMBAC FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
Consolidated Statements of Income (Loss) (Unaudited)
|
|
Three Months Ended |
($ in Thousands, except share
data) |
|
September 30,
2018 |
|
June 30,
2018 |
Revenues: |
|
|
|
|
Net premiums earned |
|
$ |
25,640 |
|
|
$ |
25,836 |
|
Net investment income: |
|
|
|
|
Securities available-for-sale and short-term |
|
49,985 |
|
|
61,742 |
|
Other investments |
|
8,347 |
|
|
4,920 |
|
Total net investment income |
|
58,332 |
|
|
66,662 |
|
Other-than-temporary impairment losses: |
|
|
|
|
Total other-than-temporary impairment losses |
|
(266 |
) |
|
(1,010 |
) |
Portion of other-than-temporary impairment recognized in other
comprehensive income |
|
— |
|
|
(4 |
) |
Net other-than-temporary impairment losses recognized in
earnings |
|
(266 |
) |
|
(1,014 |
) |
Net realized investment gains (losses) |
|
30,201 |
|
|
47,148 |
|
Change in fair value of credit derivatives: |
|
|
|
|
Realized gains and other settlements |
|
99 |
|
|
91 |
|
Unrealized gains (losses) |
|
151 |
|
|
(308 |
) |
Net change in fair value of credit derivatives |
|
250 |
|
|
(217 |
) |
Net gains (losses) on interest rate derivatives |
|
17,333 |
|
|
9,149 |
|
Net realized gains on extinguishment of debt |
|
— |
|
|
6 |
|
Other income (expense) |
|
694 |
|
|
2,491 |
|
Income (loss) on variable interest entities |
|
1,831 |
|
|
577 |
|
Total revenues |
|
134,015 |
|
|
150,638 |
|
Expenses: |
|
|
|
|
Losses and loss expense (benefit) |
|
33,501 |
|
|
32,579 |
|
Insurance intangible amortization |
|
26,421 |
|
|
23,242 |
|
Operating expenses |
|
28,368 |
|
|
26,063 |
|
Interest expense |
|
65,673 |
|
|
62,446 |
|
Total expenses |
|
153,963 |
|
|
144,330 |
|
Pre-tax income (loss) |
|
(19,948 |
) |
|
6,308 |
|
Provision for income taxes |
|
2,211 |
|
|
1,995 |
|
Net income (loss) |
|
$ |
(22,159 |
) |
|
$ |
4,313 |
|
Less: exchange of auction market preferred shares |
|
81,686 |
|
|
— |
|
Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders |
|
$ |
(103,845 |
) |
|
$ |
4,313 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income (loss) per basic share |
|
$ |
(2.27 |
) |
|
$ |
0.09 |
|
Net income (loss) per diluted share |
|
$ |
(2.27 |
) |
|
$ |
0.09 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted-average number of common shares outstanding: |
|
|
|
|
Basic |
|
45,749,252 |
|
|
45,683,058 |
|
Diluted |
|
45,749,252 |
|
|
46,472,375 |
|
|
AMBAC FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
Consolidated Statements of Income (Loss) (Unaudited)
|
|
Nine Months Ended September 30, |
($ in Thousands, except share
data) |
|
2018 |
|
2017 |
Revenues: |
|
|
|
|
Net premiums earned |
|
$ |
82,359 |
|
|
$ |
143,754 |
|
Net investment income: |
|
|
|
|
Securities available-for-sale and short-term |
|
222,278 |
|
|
235,092 |
|
Other investments |
|
12,956 |
|
|
18,804 |
|
Total net investment income |
|
235,234 |
|
|
253,896 |
|
Other-than-temporary impairment losses: |
|
|
|
|
Total other-than-temporary impairment losses |
|
(1,617 |
) |
|
(48,581 |
) |
Portion of other-than-temporary impairment recognized in other
comprehensive income |
|
38 |
|
|
29,366 |
|
Net other-than-temporary impairment losses recognized in
earnings |
|
(1,579 |
) |
|
(19,215 |
) |
Net realized investment gains (losses) |
|
82,211 |
|
|
5,434 |
|
Change in fair value of credit derivatives: |
|
|
|
|
Realized gains and other settlements |
|
296 |
|
|
1,467 |
|
Unrealized gains (losses) |
|
(609 |
) |
|
6,388 |
|
Net change in fair value of credit derivatives |
|
(313 |
) |
|
7,855 |
|
Net gains (losses) on interest rate derivatives |
|
52,019 |
|
|
36,538 |
|
Net realized gains on extinguishment of debt |
|
3,121 |
|
|
4,920 |
|
Other income (expense) |
|
2,676 |
|
|
1,107 |
|
Income (loss) on variable interest entities |
|
2,982 |
|
|
(1,567 |
) |
Total revenues |
|
458,710 |
|
|
432,722 |
|
Expenses: |
|
|
|
|
Losses and loss expense (benefit) |
|
(181,315 |
) |
|
410,917 |
|
Insurance intangible amortization |
|
78,299 |
|
|
116,686 |
|
Operating expenses |
|
90,865 |
|
|
93,502 |
|
Interest expense |
|
176,192 |
|
|
88,951 |
|
Total expenses |
|
164,041 |
|
|
710,056 |
|
Pre-tax income (loss) |
|
294,669 |
|
|
(277,334 |
) |
Provision for income taxes |
|
6,811 |
|
|
31,902 |
|
Net income (loss) |
|
$ |
287,858 |
|
|
$ |
(309,236 |
) |
Less: exchange of auction market preferred shares |
|
81,686 |
|
|
— |
|
Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders |
|
$ |
206,172 |
|
|
$ |
(309,236 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
Net income (loss) per basic share |
|
$ |
4.52 |
|
|
$ |
(6.82 |
) |
Net income (loss) per diluted share |
|
$ |
4.43 |
|
|
$ |
(6.82 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted-average number of common shares outstanding: |
|
|
|
|
Basic |
|
45,635,483 |
|
|
45,355,671 |
|
Diluted |
|
46,510,795 |
|
|
45,355,671 |
|
|
AMBAC FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
Consolidated Balance Sheets (Unaudited)
|
|
|
|
|
$ in Thousands, except share
data) |
|
September 30,
2018 |
|
June 30,
2018 |
Assets: |
|
|
|
|
Investments: |
|
|
|
|
Fixed income securities, at fair value (amortized cost:
$3,001,432 and $3,355,223) |
|
$ |
3,221,301 |
|
|
$ |
3,514,927 |
|
Fixed income securities pledged as collateral, at fair value
(amortized cost: $84,186 and $84,641) |
|
84,186 |
|
|
84,641 |
|
Short-term investments, at fair value (amortized cost: $562,111 and
$393,516) |
|
562,060 |
|
|
393,447 |
|
Other investments (includes $372,774 and $356,899 at fair value) |
|
411,604 |
|
|
394,396 |
|
Total investments |
|
4,279,151 |
|
|
4,387,411 |
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
|
52,505 |
|
|
44,398 |
|
Receivable for securities |
|
46,376 |
|
|
82,513 |
|
Investment income due and accrued |
|
10,709 |
|
|
12,157 |
|
Premium receivables |
|
517,197 |
|
|
553,958 |
|
Reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid losses |
|
25,511 |
|
|
39,071 |
|
Deferred ceded premium |
|
45,204 |
|
|
47,886 |
|
Subrogation recoverable |
|
1,898,611 |
|
|
1,876,188 |
|
Loans |
|
10,082 |
|
|
10,007 |
|
Derivative assets |
|
50,262 |
|
|
56,510 |
|
Current taxes |
|
32,509 |
|
|
34,619 |
|
Insurance intangible asset |
|
755,734 |
|
|
786,208 |
|
Other assets |
|
22,191 |
|
|
33,631 |
|
Variable interest entity assets: |
|
|
|
|
Fixed income securities, at fair value |
|
2,718,377 |
|
|
2,756,924 |
|
Restricted cash |
|
1,024 |
|
|
1,052 |
|
Loans, at fair value |
|
4,563,091 |
|
|
10,751,199 |
|
Derivative assets |
|
61,543 |
|
|
60,403 |
|
Other assets |
|
3,387 |
|
|
1,088 |
|
Total assets |
|
$ |
15,093,464 |
|
|
$ |
21,535,223 |
|
Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity: |
|
|
|
|
Liabilities: |
|
|
|
|
Unearned premiums |
|
$ |
669,820 |
|
|
$ |
721,689 |
|
Loss and loss expense reserves |
|
1,868,484 |
|
|
2,057,334 |
|
Ceded premiums payable |
|
34,306 |
|
|
35,594 |
|
Deferred taxes |
|
27,537 |
|
|
32,781 |
|
Long-term debt |
|
2,937,771 |
|
|
2,796,389 |
|
Accrued interest payable |
|
356,711 |
|
|
237,558 |
|
Derivative liabilities |
|
61,331 |
|
|
67,648 |
|
Other liabilities |
|
61,533 |
|
|
58,191 |
|
Payable for securities purchased |
|
31,292 |
|
|
16,556 |
|
Variable interest entity liabilities: |
|
|
|
|
Accrued interest payable |
|
2,817 |
|
|
550 |
|
Long-term debt, at fair value |
|
5,585,860 |
|
|
11,454,746 |
|
Derivative liabilities |
|
1,657,173 |
|
|
1,992,227 |
|
Other liabilities |
|
20 |
|
|
39 |
|
Total liabilities |
|
13,294,655 |
|
|
19,471,302 |
|
Stockholders’ equity: |
|
|
|
|
Preferred stock, par value $0.01 per share; 20,000,000 shares
authorized; issued and outstanding shares—none |
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
Common stock, par value $0.01 per share; 130,000,000 shares
authorized; issued and outstanding shares: 45,365,170 and 45,365,170 |
|
454 |
|
|
454 |
|
Additional paid-in capital |
|
218,050 |
|
|
208,328 |
|
Accumulated other comprehensive income |
|
97,825 |
|
|
45,854 |
|
Retained earnings |
|
1,441,857 |
|
|
1,545,702 |
|
Treasury stock, shares at cost: 32,956 and 32,956 |
|
(527 |
) |
|
(527 |
) |
Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity |
|
1,757,659 |
|
|
1,799,811 |
|
Noncontrolling interest |
|
41,150 |
|
|
264,110 |
|
Total stockholders’ equity |
|
1,798,809 |
|
|
2,063,921 |
|
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity |
|
$ |
15,093,464 |
|
|
$ |
21,535,223 |
|