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Cowen: Kohl's, Target, Tiffany Are Top Holiday Retail Picks

AMZN, BURL, KSS, LULU, TGT, VFC, WMT

It’s the most wonderful time of the year, and that means retail stocks are back in action.

Cowen’s retail team released a report Tuesday with ideas for holiday stock plays.

Cowen analyst Oliver Chen lists Kohl’s Corporation (NYSE: KSS), Target Corporation (NYSE: TGT) and Tiffany & Co.(NYSE: TIF) as the best-positioned retailers heading into Black Friday and the holiday shopping season.

“We believe KSS and TGT are set up well to execute on internal strategies and should also be significant beneficiaries from recent dislocation from closed competitors,” Chen said in a note.

Tiffany's recent product launches are more "elevated" than last year's, and the luxury retailer's traffic-driving programs like personalization should drive strong sales, the analyst said.

More Shoppers Using Mobile Devices

Cowen forecast retail sales growth of 4-5 percent, with mobile traffic accounting for 60 percent or more of total digital traffic.

Kohl’s is one of the retailers best positioned to capitalize on mobile growth, Chen said, adding that he also anticipates strong mobile growth for Target and Walmart Inc (NYSE: WMT).

Analyst John Kernan lists Burlington Stores Inc (NYSE: BURL), Lululemon Athletica inc. (NASDAQ: LULU), Adidas AG/S ADR (OTC: ADDYY) and VF Corp (NYSE: VFC) as his holiday "stock-ing stuffer" picks.

'Strong Momentum In Consumer Consumption'

The upcoming holiday season appears mostly bright, according to Cowen. The firm named "healthy" consumers, good weather, less Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) shopper overlap and a calendar with one more shopping day between Black Friday and Christmas as factors that are driving sales growth expectations.

“The market currently estimates GDP growth of 2.7 percent for Q4 vs. 2.3 percent in [Q4 of 2017], and we believe strong momentum in consumer consumption will continue into the holiday season this year," according to the sell-side firm.

Related Links:

Cowen: 5 Reasons Target Will Outperform

Analyst Stretches Lululemon's Price Target After Meeting With New CEO

Latest Ratings for KSS

Date Firm Action From To
Sep 2018 Goldman Sachs Initiates Coverage On Buy
Aug 2018 Morgan Stanley Maintains Underweight Underweight
Aug 2018 Credit Suisse Maintains Neutral Neutral

View More Analyst Ratings for KSS
View the Latest Analyst Ratings



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