WORCESTER, Mass., Jan. 30, 2019 /PRNewswire/ -- The
Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. (NYSE: THG) today reported net income of $123.6 million, or
$2.88 per diluted share, in the fourth quarter of 2018, compared to $51.5
million, or $1.20 per diluted share, in the prior-year quarter. Operating
income(1) was $64.9 million, or $1.51 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of
2018. This compares to operating income of $65.8 million, or $1.53
per diluted share, in the prior-year quarter. The difference between net and operating income in the fourth quarter of 2018 is
primarily due to the after-tax gain on the sale of the Chaucer business of $131.9 million, or
$3.08 per diluted share, partially offset by an after-tax decrease in the fair value of equity
securities of $39.6 million, or $0.92 per diluted share, and an
after-tax loss on the repayment of debt of $20.8 million, or $0.48
per diluted share.
Net income for the full year 2018 was $391.0 million, or $9.09 per
diluted share. This compares to net income of $186.2 million, or $4.33 per diluted share, for the full year of 2017. Operating income was $292.1
million, or $6.79 per diluted share, in 2018, compared to operating income of $192.6 million, or $4.48 per diluted share, in 2017.
Fourth Quarter and Full Year Highlights
- Fourth quarter combined ratio of 97.4%, including 4.6 points of catastrophe losses
- Net premiums written increased 6.5% for the fourth quarter and 6.7% for the year, with growth in more profitable Personal
Lines, Specialty, and Small Commercial businesses
- Continued price increases in both Commercial and Personal Lines, with an increase of 6.1% in Core Commercial Lines in the
fourth quarter
- Net investment income of $69.4 million in the fourth quarter, up 10.9% from the prior-year
quarter, and $267.4 million for the full year, up 9.6% from 2017, driven by higher cash flows
from operations and higher partnership income
- Book value per share of $69.81, down 0.8% from September 30,
2018; book value per share up 5.9%, adding back the impact of the $4.75 special dividend,
declared on December 30, 2018(2)
- Following the close of the Chaucer sale on December 28, 2018, the Board of Directors approved
a special dividend of $4.75 per common share and an Accelerated Share Repurchase ("ASR")
agreement for $250 million; the company retired 1.8 million shares as of the ASR settlement date
on January 2, 2019
- Repurchased approximately 117,400 shares of common stock for $13.5 million during the fourth
quarter and approximately 497,200 shares for $57.7 million during the full year 2018
- On December 7, 2018, the Board of Directors approved an increase to the quarterly common
dividend of 11%, to $0.60 per common share
(1) See information about this and other non-GAAP measures and definitions used throughout this press release on the final
pages of this document.
|
Three Months ended
|
|
Year ended
|
|
|
December 31
|
|
December 31
|
|
($ in millions, except per share data)
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
Net premiums written
|
$1,044.7
|
|
$980.6
|
|
$4,384.8
|
|
$4,109.1
|
|
Net income
|
123.6
|
|
51.5
|
|
391.0
|
|
186.2
|
|
per diluted share
|
2.88
|
|
1.20
|
|
9.09
|
|
4.33
|
|
Operating income
|
64.9
|
|
65.8
|
|
292.1
|
|
192.6
|
|
per diluted share
|
1.51
|
|
1.53
|
|
6.79
|
|
4.48
|
|
Net investment income
|
69.4
|
|
62.6
|
|
267.4
|
|
243.9
|
|
Book value per share
|
$69.81
|
|
$70.59
|
|
$69.81
|
|
$70.59
|
|
Ending shares outstanding
|
42.3
|
|
42.5
|
|
42.3
|
|
42.5
|
|
Combined ratio
|
97.4 %
|
|
95.0 %
|
|
96.1 %
|
|
97.3 %
|
|
Catastrophe ratio
|
4.6 %
|
|
4.1 %
|
|
5.2 %
|
|
6.4 %
|
|
Combined ratio, excluding catastrophes(3)
|
92.8 %
|
|
90.9 %
|
|
90.9 %
|
|
90.9 %
|
|
Current accident year combined ratio,
excluding catastrophes(4)
|
92.8 %
|
|
90.9 %
|
|
90.9 %
|
|
90.9 %
|
|
"2018 was a successful year for our company, marked by important strategic and operating accomplishments that position us to
deliver even greater value over time," said John C. Roche, president and chief executive officer
at The Hanover. "The sale of Chaucer enables us to focus exclusively on our distinctive domestic
business and provides additional financial flexibility. In 2018, we enhanced our product offering, our agency penetration and
technological capabilities, while simultaneously improving our expense ratio."
"Overall, we are very satisfied with our financial performance for the year," Roche said. "We generated strong pre-tax
operating income, which grew 8% excluding catastrophes(5). We also delivered an annual adjusted operating
ROE(6) of 12.6%, despite elevated catastrophes, property losses and increased severity in our auto lines,
demonstrating the resiliency of our diversified, high quality book of business. We increased net premiums written by 6.7% for the
year, emphasizing our high profit margin segments, including Personal Lines, Small Commercial and our most profitable Specialty
businesses. We have every confidence in our ability to build on the positive momentum we have established across our
company."
"For the year, we reported operating income of $6.79 per diluted share." said Jeffrey M. Farber, executive vice president and chief financial officer. "We reported a combined ratio,
excluding catastrophe losses, of 90.9%, in line with our guidance and prior year results, and generated improved investment
returns. We also committed to the effective and prompt deployment of the approximately $850 million
in deployable equity generated by the Chaucer sale. Including the ASR agreement in progress, we have returned $450 million of the deployable equity to shareholders to date, and plan to continue to prioritize uses for the
remaining equity in the best interest of our shareholders."
Fourth Quarter Operating Highlights
Commercial Lines
Commercial Lines operating income before taxes was $57.4 million, compared to
$69.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2017. The Commercial Lines combined ratio was 98.2%,
compared to 95.4% in the prior-year quarter. Catastrophe losses were $47.0 million, or 7.3 points
of the combined ratio, primarily reflecting losses from the California wildfires and Hurricane
Michael This compares to $29.5 million, or 4.8 points of the combined ratio, in the prior-year
quarter. Fourth quarter 2018 results included $16.0 million, or 2.5 points, of net favorable
prior-year reserve development, driven primarily by releases in Workers' Compensation and Other Commercial Lines ("OCL"),
partially offset by reserve increases in the Commercial Auto line as a result of higher bodily injury severity. This compares to
net favorable prior-year reserve development of $9.3 million, or 1.5 points, in the fourth quarter
of 2017.
Commercial Lines current accident year combined ratio, excluding catastrophes, increased by 1.3 points to 93.4%, from 92.1% in
the prior-year quarter. The current accident year loss and loss adjustment expense ("LAE") ratio, excluding
catastrophes(7), increased by 1.6 points to 58.3%, driven by the Commercial Auto and Commercial Multiple Peril ("CMP")
lines. The higher Commercial Auto current accident year loss ratio reflected an increase in expected 2018 accident year
losses in response to increased estimates for prior years in bodily injury liability coverage. The increase in the CMP loss and
LAE ratio was driven by elevated property activity, partly due to large losses. This was partially offset by an improvement in
the Workers' Compensation loss and LAE ratio.
The expense ratio(8) improved by 0.3 points in the fourth quarter of 2018, attributable to continued operating
efficiencies and fixed cost leverage from continued premium growth.
Net premiums written were $600.0 million in the quarter, up 6.2% from the prior-year quarter,
driven by targeted price increases and stable retention of 83.8%. Core Commercial(9) business price
increases(10) averaged 6.1% for the fourth quarter.
The following table summarizes premiums and the components of the combined ratio for Commercial Lines:
|
Three Months ended
|
|
Year ended
|
|
|
December 31
|
|
December 31
|
|
($ in millions)
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
Net premiums written
|
$600.0
|
|
$564.9
|
|
$2,610.7
|
|
$2,462.0
|
|
Net premiums earned
|
644.4
|
|
616.1
|
|
2,548.4
|
|
2,399.6
|
|
Operating income before taxes
|
57.4
|
|
69.2
|
|
265.7
|
|
177.4
|
|
Loss and LAE ratio
|
63.1%
|
|
60.0%
|
|
61.5%
|
|
63.7%
|
|
Expense ratio
|
35.1%
|
|
35.4%
|
|
34.9%
|
|
35.6%
|
|
Combined ratio
|
98.2%
|
|
95.4%
|
|
96.4%
|
|
99.3%
|
|
Prior year development ratio
|
(2.5)%
|
|
(1.5)%
|
|
(1.3)%
|
|
(0.4)%
|
|
Catastrophe ratio
|
7.3 %
|
|
4.8 %
|
|
5.6 %
|
|
7.1 %
|
|
Combined ratio, excluding catastrophes
|
90.9 %
|
|
90.6 %
|
|
90.8 %
|
|
92.2 %
|
|
Current accident year combined ratio,
excluding catastrophes
|
93.4 %
|
|
92.1 %
|
|
92.1 %
|
|
92.6 %
|
|
Personal Lines
Personal Lines operating income before taxes was $36.5 million in the quarter, compared
to $41.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2017. The Personal Lines combined ratio was 96.0%,
compared to 94.0% in the prior-year quarter. Catastrophe losses were $3.0 million, or 0.7 points of
the combined ratio, compared to $12.2 million, or 3.0 points, in the prior-year quarter. Fourth
quarter 2018 results included $15.4 million, or 3.5 points, of net unfavorable prior-year reserve
development, primarily related to adjustments on a small number of large losses in Homeowners and higher bodily injury severity
in Auto. This compares to $9.3 million, or 2.3 points, in the fourth quarter of 2017.
Personal Lines current accident year combined ratio, excluding catastrophe losses, increased by 3.1 points to 91.8%, from
88.7% in the prior-year quarter, driven by higher current accident year losses in both Personal Auto and Homeowners. Increases in
the Personal Auto current accident year loss and LAE ratio reflect an increase in expected losses for the 2018 accident year
in response to increased estimates for prior accident years in bodily injury liability coverage. The increase in Homeowners
was principally from elevated property losses, primarily due to non-catastrophe weather.
Net premiums written were $444.7 million in the quarter, up 7.0% from the prior-year quarter,
due to higher renewal premium, primarily attributable to rate increases and stable retention of 83.7%. Personal Lines average
rate increases in the fourth quarter of 2018 were approximately 4.6%.
The following table summarizes premiums and components of the combined ratio for Personal Lines:
|
Three Months ended
|
|
Year ended
|
|
|
December 31
|
|
December 31
|
|
($ in millions)
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
Net premiums written
|
$444.7
|
|
$415.7
|
|
$1,774.1
|
|
$1,647.1
|
|
Net premiums earned
|
437.6
|
|
407.3
|
|
1,706.0
|
|
1,580.8
|
|
Operating income before taxes
|
36.5
|
|
41.6
|
|
146.2
|
|
158.7
|
|
Loss and LAE ratio
|
68.3%
|
|
66.4%
|
|
67.7%
|
|
66.1%
|
|
Expense ratio
|
27.7%
|
|
27.6%
|
|
27.8%
|
|
28.0%
|
|
Combined ratio
|
96.0%
|
|
94.0%
|
|
95.5%
|
|
94.1%
|
|
Prior year development ratio
|
3.5 %
|
|
2.3 %
|
|
2.0 %
|
|
0.6 %
|
|
Catastrophe ratio
|
0.7 %
|
|
3.0 %
|
|
4.5 %
|
|
5.1 %
|
|
Combined ratio, excluding catastrophes
|
95.3 %
|
|
91.0 %
|
|
91.0 %
|
|
89.0 %
|
|
Current accident year combined ratio,
excluding catastrophes
|
91.8 %
|
|
88.7 %
|
|
89.0 %
|
|
88.4 %
|
|
Full Year 2018 Operating Results
Net income for the full year of 2018 was $391.0 million, compared to $186.2 million in 2017. Operating income before taxes and interest expenses was $406.5
million for the full year of 2018, with a combined ratio of 96.1%. In 2017, operating income before taxes and interest
expense was $327.3 million, with a combined ratio of 97.3%.
Catastrophe losses were $219.2 million, or 5.2 points of the combined ratio in 2018, compared to
$251.5 million, or 6.4 points, in the prior year. For both years, prior year development was
immaterial overall, with offsetting increases and decreases between lines.
The current accident year combined ratio, excluding catastrophe losses, was 90.9% in both 2018 and 2017. A 50 basis point
improvement in the expense ratio in 2018 was offset by an increase in the current accident year loss and LAE ratio.
Commercial Lines operating income before taxes was $265.7 million in 2018, which included
$142.3 million, or 5.6 points, of catastrophe losses, and $34.1
million, or 1.3 points, of net favorable prior-year reserve development. In 2017, Commercial Lines operating income before
taxes was $177.4 million, which included $170.6 million, or 7.1
points, of catastrophe losses, and $9.4 million, or 0.4 points, of net favorable prior-year reserve
development. The Commercial Lines current accident year combined ratio, excluding catastrophe losses, was 92.1%, compared to
92.6% in the prior-year, driven by an improvement in the expense ratio.
Personal Lines operating income before taxes was $146.2 million, which included $76.9 million, or 4.5 points, of catastrophe losses, and $33.3 million, or 2.0
points, of net unfavorable prior-year reserve development. In 2017, Personal Lines operating income before taxes was $158.7 million, which included $80.9 million, or 5.1 points, of catastrophe
losses, and $9.4 million, or 0.6 points of net unfavorable prior-year reserve development. The
Personal Lines current accident year combined ratio, excluding catastrophes, increased to 89.0% from 88.4% in the prior-year. The
loss ratio increase was driven by an increase in property losses, primarily due to non-catastrophe weather, as well as elevated
auto bodily injury loss severity.
Total net premiums written were $4.4 billion in 2018, up 6.7% from 2017, driven by Personal
Lines growth of 7.7% and Commercial Lines growth of 6.0%.
Investments
Net investment income was $69.4 million for the fourth quarter of 2018, compared to
$62.6 million in the prior-year quarter. The increase was primarily due to the investment of higher
operating cash flows and higher returns on partnership investments. The average pre-tax earned yield on fixed maturities was
3.62% and 3.72% for the quarters ended December 31, 2018 and 2017, respectively. Total pre-tax
earned yield on the investment portfolio for the quarter ended December 31, 2018 was 3.71%,
consistent with the prior-year quarter.
In the fourth quarter of 2018, net realized and unrealized investment losses recognized in earnings were $54.5 million, primarily due to a decrease in the fair value of equity securities during the period. Net
realized investment losses for the quarter also included $1.8 million of impairment charges. In the
fourth quarter of 2017, net realized investment gains were $0.6 million, which included
$1.1 million of impairment charges.
The company held $8.3 billion in cash and invested assets on December 31,
2018. Fixed maturities and cash represented 86% of the investment portfolio. Approximately 95% of the company's
fixed maturity portfolio is rated investment grade. Net unrealized losses on the fixed maturity portfolio at the end of the
fourth quarter of 2018 were $84.4 million before taxes, an increase in fair value of $27.3 million since September 30, 2018. This change was due to a decrease in
prevailing interest rates, partially offset by widening credit spreads.
Non-Operating Items
On September 13, 2018, the company signed a definitive agreement to sell the entities
comprising Chaucer Holdings Limited ("Chaucer"), its Lloyd's-focused international specialty business, to China Reinsurance
(Group) Corporation ("China Re"). As a result, beginning in the third quarter of 2018, Chaucer was
reclassified to discontinued operations for all periods presented in The Hanover's financial
statements. On December 28, 2018, the company completed the sale of the major portion of Chaucer.
The remaining assets and liabilities related to the Irish and Australian entities, which are pending, subject only to local
regulatory approvals, have been classified as held-for-sale and aggregated into a single line item on each side of the
consolidated balance sheet.
As a result of the sale, the Hanover recognized an after-tax GAAP gain of $131.9 million, or $3.08 per share, in the fourth quarter of 2018. The net
after-tax economic gain, excluding the impact of historical unrealized investment losses, pension losses and other items, which
better reflects the impact of the sale on the stated book value, was $190.6 million, or
approximately $4.50 per share.
Additionally, in the fourth quarter of 2018, the company called a $125 million Federal Home Loan
Bank ("FHLB") note due 2029 with a coupon of 5.50%. The company recorded a non-operating charge of $20.8
million after taxes, or $0.48 per diluted share, in the fourth quarter, related to the
pre-payment provision.
Shareholders' Equity and Capital Actions
Book value per share of $69.81 decreased 0.8% from September 30,
2018, as the gain on the sale of Chaucer and core earnings accretion were more than offset by changes in fair value of the
fixed income portfolio, regular quarterly dividend, and the declaration of a special dividend of $4.75 on December 30, 2018. Book value per share increased 5.9% for the fourth
quarter, after adding back the impact of the special dividend.
During the year, the company repurchased approximately 497,200 shares of common stock for $57.7 million, at an average price of $115.95 per share, under the
previous share purchase authorization, which was replaced on December 30, 2018 with a new
$600 million share repurchase program.
Pursuant to the new authorization, the company entered into an ASR agreement of $250 million
with J.P. Morgan on December 31, 2018. On January 2, 2019, 1.8
million shares were delivered to the company, with the balance expected to be delivered at the conclusion of the program, during
the second quarter of 2019.
Earnings Conference Call
The Hanover will host a conference call to discuss its fourth quarter results on
Thursday, January 31, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time. A PowerPoint slide presentation will accompany the prepared remarks and has been posted on The Hanover website. Interested investors and others can listen to the call and access the
presentation through The Hanover's website, located at www.hanover.com, in the "Investors" section. Investors may access the conference call by dialing
1-877-270-2148 in the U.S. and 1-412-902-6510 internationally. Web-cast participants should go to the website 15 minutes early to
register, download and install any necessary audio software. A re-broadcast of the conference call will be available on
this website approximately two hours after the call.
Financial Supplement
The Hanover's fourth quarter earnings news release and financial supplement are
available in the "Investors" section of the company's website at www.hanover.com.
Condensed Financial Statements and Reconciliations
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31
|
|
December 31
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
Assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total investments
|
|
$7,287.4
|
|
$6,888.2
|
|
Cash and cash equivalents*
|
|
1,020.7
|
|
297.9
|
|
Premiums and accounts receivable, net
|
|
1,176.7
|
|
1,095.7
|
|
Reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid losses and unearned
premiums
|
|
1,648.6
|
|
1,625.5
|
|
Other assets
|
|
1,208.9
|
|
1,095.7
|
|
Assets held-for-sale
|
|
57.4
|
|
4,466.6
|
|
Total assets
|
|
$12,399.7
|
|
$15,469.6
|
|
Liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves
|
|
$5,304.1
|
|
$5,058.5
|
|
Unearned premiums
|
|
2,277.8
|
|
2,131.7
|
|
Debt (includes the FHLB loan retired on January 2, 2019)
|
|
777.9
|
|
786.9
|
|
Other liabilities (includes the special dividend for an aggregate $193.4
million)
|
|
1,063.0
|
|
787.6
|
|
Liabilities held-for-sale
|
|
22.2
|
|
3,707.2
|
|
Total liabilities
|
|
$9,445.0
|
|
$12,471.9
|
|
Total shareholders' equity
|
|
2,954.7
|
|
2,997.7
|
|
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity
|
|
$12,399.7
|
|
$15,469.6
|
|
* Includes $779 million in initial cash consideration received in connection with the sale of
Chaucer.
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Condensed Consolidated Income Statement
|
|
Three Months ended
|
|
Year ended
|
|
|
|
December 31
|
|
December 31
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
Revenues
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Premiums earned
|
|
$1,082.0
|
|
$1,023.4
|
|
$4,254.4
|
|
$3,980.4
|
|
Net investment income
|
|
69.4
|
|
62.6
|
|
267.4
|
|
243.9
|
|
Net realized and unrealized investment gains (losses)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net realized gains (losses) from sales and other
|
|
(2.6)
|
|
1.7
|
|
(2.7)
|
|
26.7
|
|
Net change in fair value of equity securities
|
|
(50.1)
|
|
-
|
|
(43.4)
|
|
-
|
|
Net other-than-temporary impairment losses on investments
recognized in earnings
|
|
(1.8)
|
|
(1.1)
|
|
(4.6)
|
|
(5.6)
|
|
Total net realized and unrealized investment gains
(losses)
|
|
(54.5)
|
|
0.6
|
|
(50.7)
|
|
21.1
|
|
Fees and other income
|
|
5.9
|
|
5.9
|
|
23.2
|
|
22.5
|
|
Total revenues
|
|
1,102.8
|
|
1,092.5
|
|
4,494.3
|
|
4,267.9
|
|
Losses and expenses
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
|
|
706.1
|
|
641.4
|
|
2,724.6
|
|
2,579.6
|
|
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs
|
|
227.1
|
|
215.1
|
|
891.8
|
|
840.7
|
|
Interest expense
|
|
11.2
|
|
11.3
|
|
45.1
|
|
45.2
|
|
Loss from repayment of debt
|
|
26.3
|
|
-
|
|
28.2
|
|
-
|
|
Other operating expenses
|
|
131.0
|
|
129.4
|
|
522.1
|
|
509.5
|
|
Total losses and expenses
|
|
1,101.7
|
|
997.2
|
|
4,211.8
|
|
3,975.0
|
|
Income from continuing operations before income taxes
|
|
1.1
|
|
95.3
|
|
282.5
|
|
292.9
|
|
Income tax expense (benefit)
|
|
(1.0)
|
|
23.4
|
|
43.5
|
|
76.8
|
|
Income from continuing operations
|
|
2.1
|
|
71.9
|
|
239.0
|
|
216.1
|
|
Discontinued operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gain from sale of Chaucer business, net of
taxes
|
|
131.9
|
|
-
|
|
131.9
|
|
-
|
|
Income (loss) from Chaucer business, net of
taxes
|
|
(10.5)
|
|
(4.8)
|
|
20.0
|
|
(13.1)
|
|
Income (loss) from discontinued life business, net
of taxes
|
|
0.1
|
|
(15.6)
|
|
0.1
|
|
(16.8)
|
|
Net income
|
|
$123.6
|
|
$51.5
|
|
$391.0
|
|
$186.2
|
|
The following is a reconciliation from operating income to net income(11):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months ended December 31
|
|
Year ended December 31
|
|
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
2018
|
|
2017
|
|
($ In millions, except per share data)
|
|
$
Amount
|
|
Per Share
Diluted
|
$
Amount
|
|
Per Share
Diluted
|
|
$
Amount
|
|
Per Share
Diluted
|
|
$
Amount
|
|
Per Share
Diluted
|
|
Operating income (loss)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Commercial Lines
|
|
$57.4
|
|
|
|
$69.2
|
|
|
|
$265.7
|
|
|
|
$177.4
|
|
|
|
Personal Lines
|
|
36.5
|
|
|
|
41.6
|
|
|
|
146.2
|
|
|
|
158.7
|
|
|
|
Other
|
|
(0.8)
|
|
|
|
(1.8)
|
|
|
|
(5.4)
|
|
|
|
(8.8)
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
93.1
|
|
|
|
109.0
|
|
|
|
406.5
|
|
|
|
327.3
|
|
|
|
Interest expense
|
|
(11.2)
|
|
|
|
(11.3)
|
|
|
|
(45.1)
|
|
|
|
(45.2)
|
|
|
|
Operating income before income taxes
|
|
81.9
|
|
$1.91
|
|
97.7
|
|
$2.27
|
|
361.4
|
|
$8.40
|
|
282.1
|
|
$6.56
|
|
Income tax expense on operating income
|
|
(17.0)
|
|
(0.40)
|
|
(31.9)
|
|
(0.74)
|
|
(69.3)
|
|
(1.61)
|
|
(89.5)
|
|
(2.08)
|
|
Operating income after income taxes
|
|
64.9
|
|
1.51
|
|
65.8
|
|
1.53
|
|
292.1
|
|
6.79
|
|
192.6
|
|
4.48
|
|
Non-operating items:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net realized gains (losses) from sales
and other
|
|
(2.6)
|
|
(0.06)
|
|
1.7
|
|
0.04
|
|
(2.7)
|
|
(0.06)
|
|
26.7
|
|
0.62
|
|
Net change in fair value of equity
securities*
|
|
(50.1)
|
|
(1.17)
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
(43.4)
|
|
(1.01)
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
Net other-than-temporary impairment
losses on investments recognized
in earnings
|
|
(1.8)
|
|
(0.04)
|
|
(1.1)
|
|
(0.03)
|
|
(4.6)
|
|
(0.11)
|
|
(5.6)
|
|
(0.13)
|
|
Loss from repayment of debt
|
|
(26.3)
|
|
(0.61)
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
(28.2)
|
|
(0.65)
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
Other
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
(3.0)
|
|
(0.07)
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
(10.3)
|
|
(0.24)
|
|
Income tax benefit on non-operating items
|
|
18.0
|
|
0.42
|
|
8.5
|
|
0.20
|
|
25.8
|
|
0.60
|
|
12.7
|
|
0.30
|
|
Income from continuing operations, net of
taxes
|
|
2.1
|
|
0.05
|
|
71.9
|
|
1.67
|
|
239.0
|
|
5.56
|
|
216.1
|
|
5.03
|
|
Discontinued Operations
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gain from sale of Chaucer business, net
of taxes
|
|
131.9
|
|
3.08
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
131.9
|
|
3.07
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
Income (loss) from Chaucer business,
net of taxes
|
|
(10.5)
|
|
(0.25)
|
|
(4.8)
|
|
(0.11)
|
|
20.0
|
|
0.46
|
|
(13.1)
|
|
(0.30)
|
|
Income (loss) from discontinued life business, net
of taxes
|
|
0.1
|
|
-
|
|
(15.6)
|
|
(0.36)
|
|
0.1
|
|
-
|
|
(16.8)
|
|
(0.40)
|
|
Net income
|
|
$123.6
|
|
$2.88
|
|
$51.5
|
|
$1.20
|
|
$391.0
|
|
$9.09
|
|
$186.2
|
|
$4.33
|
|
Weighted average shares outstanding
|
|
|
|
42.9
|
|
|
|
43.0
|
|
|
|
43.0
|
|
|
|
43.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
* This line item was not required under GAAP until 2018
Forward-Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Forward-looking statements
Certain statements in this release or in the above-referenced conference call may be forward-looking statements as
defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Use of the words "believes," "anticipates," "expects,"
"projections," "potential," "forecast," "outlook," "should," "could," "confident," "plan," "guidance," "on track to," "committed
to," "looking ahead," "ability to," "will," "will remain," "will continue," and similar expressions is intended to identify
forward-looking statements. The company cautions investors that any such forward-looking statements are estimates or projections
that involve significant judgment, and that neither historical results and trends nor forward-looking statements are guarantees
or necessarily indicative of future performance. Actual results could differ materially.
In particular, "forward-looking statements" include statements in this press release or in the related conference call
regarding our ability to deliver on long-term goals and objectives, specifically continuing to leverage the strengths of the
agency distribution channel by providing partners with more capabilities and using proprietary analytics; further expansion of
specialty capabilities and business specialization through selective appetite expansion and product build-outs; driving
innovation across the firm to deliver new solutions, enhance acquisition opportunities, enhance data and analytics and drive
process efficiencies; ability to generate top-quartile industry returns; the likelihood the sale of the Irish and Australian
Chaucer entities to China Re will be consummated by the end of the first quarter of 2019; expected
benefits of the sale, including reduced catastrophe exposure, earnings volatility and capital flexibility; receipt of the up to
$45 million contingent consideration; success of efforts to manage the expense ratio while funding
certain business initiatives; ability to generate strong growth, attractive margins, and return on equity; strength of the
balance sheet and capital base; ability to grow in lines with adequate pricing and target profitability; the level of comfort and
strength of reserves; ability to deliver above-target profit margins; ability to grow Commercial Lines selectively while
maintaining stable underwriting profits; pricing compared to long-term loss trends; pricing segmentation and mix improvement
initiatives to help mitigate long-term loss trends; volatility in commercial and personal property lines; Specialty growth
opportunities to contribute to the positive growth and earnings trajectory; workers' compensation loss trends and pricing
pressure; future trends of commercial multi-peril liability claims; frequency and bodily injury severity trends in personal and
commercial auto; commercial auto performance, including price and underwriting execution to offset increases in liability claims;
ability to increase rates in sectors with higher bodily injury severity; expected effective tax rate of approximately 21% in
2019; use of capital; increased investment income from higher operating cash flows and interest rates; volatility in unrealized
gains and losses; ability to achieve additional rate increases in 2019; further rate increases in Commercial auto; and the
ability to achieve components or the sum of the full year 2019 guidance, including net premiums written growth to be in the
mid-single digits, net investment income growth to be in the mid-single-digits, improvement in the expense ratio; combined ratio,
excluding catastrophe losses, to be 91 to 92 percent, among others; are all forward-looking statements.
Investors should consider the risks and uncertainties in the company's business that may affect such estimates and future
performance, including (i) the inherent difficulties in arriving at such estimates, particularly with respect to current and
prior accident year results and loss reserve development or with respect to lines of business which are more volatile, or with
respect to which historical losses are less predictive of future losses, and "longer tail" products such as commercial and
personal liability; (ii) the complexity of estimating losses from large catastrophe events or with respect to emerging issues
where circumstances may delay reporting of the existence, nature or extent of losses or where "demand surge," regulatory
assessments, litigation, coverage and technical complexities or other factors may significantly impact the ultimate amount of
such losses; (iii) the difficulties of estimating the impact of the current competitive financial, economic and political
environment and lower federal income taxes on rates, investment income, the investment portfolio and capital, product
demand, losses and competitor actions; (iv) the uncertainties of future rating agency requirements, which could affect the
company and its capital requirements, as well as the company's investment portfolio; (v) inherent volatility with respect to
certain businesses, as a result of man-made or natural catastrophes or otherwise; (vi) the impact of the evolving regulatory and
legal environment; (vii) the inherent uncertainties of predicting future loss and pricing trends; and (viii) the risk that the
sale of the Irish and Australian entities will not close. Investors are further cautioned to consider the risks and uncertainties
in the company's business that may affect future performance (which includes re-estimations of current or past performance) and
that are discussed in the company's annual report on Form 10-K and other documents filed by The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.
("The Hanover") with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") and which are also available
at www.hanover.com under "Investors." These uncertainties include the
possibility of adverse catastrophe experiences (including terrorism) and severe weather; the uncertainty in estimating
weather-related losses, and property and casualty losses (particularly with respect to products with longer tails or involving
emerging issues and with respect to losses incurred as the result of new lines of business or reinsurance contracts and
reinsurance recoverables); litigation and the possibility of adverse judicial decisions, including those which expand policy
coverage beyond its intended scope or award "bad faith" or other non-contractual damages; the ability to increase or maintain
certain property and casualty insurance rates; the impact of new product introductions and expansion in new geographic areas; the
impact of future acquisitions; adverse loss and loss adjustment expense development from prior years and adverse trends in
mortality and morbidity and medical costs; changes in frequency and loss trends; the ability to increase renewal rates and new
property and casualty policy counts; investment impairments (which may be affected by, among other things, the company's ability
and willingness to hold investment assets until they recover in value) and currency, credit and interest rate risk; the impact of
competition and consolidation in the industry and among agents and brokers; the economic environment; adverse state and federal
regulation or regulatory actions; financial ratings actions; operational and technology risks and technological innovations,
including the risk of cyber-security breaches; uncertainties in estimating indemnification liabilities recorded in conjunction
with obligations undertaken in connection with the sale of various businesses; and uncertainties in general economic conditions
(including inflation, particularly in various sectors such as healthcare and Commercial and Personal Auto) and in investment and
financial markets, which, among other things, could result in increased impairments of fixed income investments, reductions in
market values as the result of increases in interest rates, and the inability to collect from reinsurers and the performance of
the discontinued voluntary pools business.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
As discussed on pages 45-46 of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2017, The Hanover uses non-GAAP financial measures as important
measures of its operating performance, including operating income, operating income before interest expense and taxes, operating
income per share, and measures of operating income and loss and LAE ratios excluding catastrophe losses and reserve development.
Operating income and operating income per share are non-GAAP measures. They are defined as net income excluding the after-tax
impact of net realized investment gains (losses), fair value changes on equity securities, gains and losses from the repurchases
of the company's debt, other non-operating items, and results from discontinued operations and, in the case of "operating income
per share," divided by the average number of diluted shares of common stock. The definition of other financial measures and terms
can be found in the 2017 Annual Report on pages 80-83.
Net realized investment gains and losses, which as a result of the implementation of a new accounting standard in 2018 also
includes changes in the fair value of equity securities still held, are excluded for purposes of presenting operating income
since they are largely determined by interest rates, financial markets and the timing of sales. Operating income also excludes
net gains and losses on disposals of businesses, discontinued operations, restructuring costs, the cumulative effect of
accounting changes and certain other items, such as employee termination costs incurred in connection with the company's
expense initiative. Operating income is the sum of the segment income from: Commercial Lines, Personal Lines, and Other, after
interest expense and taxes. Operating income may also be presented as "operating income before taxes", which is operating income
before both interest expense and taxes. The Hanover believes that metrics of operating income
provide investors with a valuable measure of the performance of the company's ongoing businesses because they highlight the
portion of net income (loss) attributable to the core operations of the business.
The Hanover also provides measures of operating income and loss and combined ratios that
exclude the effects of catastrophe losses (catastrophe losses as discussed here and in all other measures include catastrophe
loss development). A catastrophe is a severe loss, resulting from natural and manmade events, including, among others,
hurricanes, tornadoes and other windstorms, earthquakes, hail, severe winter weather, fire, explosions, and terrorism. Each
catastrophe has unique characteristics. Catastrophes are not predictable as to timing or loss amount in advance. The
Hanover believes that a separate discussion excluding the effect of catastrophe losses is
meaningful for investors to understand the underlying trends and variability of periodic earnings, losses and combined ratio
results.
Reserve development, which can be favorable or unfavorable, represents changes in the company's estimate of the costs to
resolve claims from prior years. The company believes that a discussion of loss and combined ratios excluding prior-year reserve
development is helpful to investors since it provides insight into both its estimate of current accident year results and the
accuracy of prior-year estimates. Calendar year loss and LAE ratios determined in accordance with GAAP, excluding reserve
development, are sometimes referred to as "accident-year loss ratios".
Income from continuing operations is the most directly comparable GAAP measure for operating income (and operating income
before taxes) and measures of operating income that exclude the effects of catastrophe losses or reserve development.
Operating income and measures of operating income that exclude the effects of catastrophe losses or reserve development should
not be construed as substitutes for income from continuing operations or net income determined in accordance with GAAP. A
reconciliation of operating income to income from continuing operations and net income for the three months and years ended
December 31, 2018 and 2017 is set forth in the table on page 9 of this document and in
the Financial Supplement.
Loss and combined ratios calculated in accordance with GAAP are the most directly comparable GAAP measures for loss and
combined ratios calculated excluding the effects of catastrophe losses or reserve development. The presentation of loss and
combined ratios calculated excluding the effects of catastrophe losses or reserve development should not be construed as a
substitute for loss or combined ratios determined in accordance with GAAP.
Book value per share, excluding net unrealized appreciation (depreciation) on fixed maturity investments, is also a non-GAAP
measure. It is calculated as total shareholders' equity excluding the after-tax effect of unrealized investment gains and losses
on fixed maturity investments, divided by the number of common shares outstanding.
In the fourth quarter of 2018, in order to illustrate the impact of the special dividend which was declared on December 30, 2018, but not paid until January 25, 2019, book value growth
excluding the impact of the special dividend, a non-GAAP metric, was presented.
Operating return on equity ("ROE") and adjusted operating ROE are non-GAAP measures. See end note (6) for a detailed
explanation of how these measures are calculated. Operating ROE is based on non-GAAP operating income, and adjusted operating ROE
is a measure of operating income as a return on only that portion of shareholders' equity attributable to the continuing
business. For measurement periods prior to the close of the Chaucer transaction, which occurred on December 28, 2018, "equity attributable to Chaucer", which was the reported as held for sale, is
excluded. For measurement periods post-closing, "the un-deployed equity", is excluded. This eliminates the dilutive
impact of any excess capital that would have been included in "equity attributable to Chaucer" and "the un-deployed equity" for
the corresponding periods presented. Had the actual Chaucer equity for all prior periods been used, the adjusted operating ROE
for the continuing businesses for each of the reported periods would have been higher than illustrated in this disclosure.
Management believes that these measures are helpful to investors and financial analysts in that they provide insight to the
capital used by, and results of, continuing operations exclusive of interest, taxes and other non-operating items. These measures
should not be construed as substitutes for GAAP ROE, which is based on net income and shareholders' equity of the entire company
and without adjustments.
ABOUT THE HANOVER
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. is the holding company for several property and casualty insurance companies, which
together constitute one of the largest insurance businesses in the United States. The company
provides exceptional insurance solutions in a dynamic world. The Hanover distributes its
products through a select group of independent agents and brokers. Together with its agents, The Hanover offers standard and specialized insurance protection for small and mid-sized businesses, as well as
for homes, automobiles, and other personal items. For more information, please visit hanover.com.
Definition of Reported Segments
Continuing operations include three operating segments: Commercial Lines, Personal Lines and Other. The Commercial Lines segment
offers a suite of products targeted at the small to mid-size business markets, which include commercial multiple peril,
commercial automobile, workers' compensation and other commercial coverages such as specialty program business, inland marine,
management and professional liability and surety. The Personal Lines segment markets automobile, homeowners and ancillary
coverages to individuals and families. The "Other" segment includes Opus Investment Management, Inc., which provides
investment management services to institutions, pension funds and other organizations, the operations of the holding company, as
well as a block of voluntary pools business in which we have not actively participated since 1995. As discussed in the
September 13, 2018 press release, the Chaucer segment is now classified in discontinued operations
for all presented periods starting in the third quarter of 2018.
Endnotes
(1) Operating income (loss) and operating income (loss) per diluted share are non-GAAP measures. Operating income
before taxes, as referenced in the results of the three business segments, is defined as, with respect to such segment, operating
income before taxes and interest expense. These measures are used throughout this document. The reconciliation of operating
income and operating income per diluted share to the closest GAAP measures, income from continuing operations and income from
continuing operations per diluted share, respectively, is provided on page 9 of this press release. See the disclosure on the use
of this and other non-GAAP measures under the heading "Forward-Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measures."
(2) The following is a calculation of book value per share and book value, excluding the impact of the
$4.75 special dividend declared on December 30, 2018:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months ended
|
|
|
Book value per share growth calculation:
|
|
December 31, 2018
|
|
|
|
End of period book value
|
$
|
69.81
|
|
|
|
Less beginning of period book value
|
|
70.40
|
|
|
|
Change in book value
|
|
(0.59)
|
|
|
|
Special dividends declared of December 30, 2018
|
|
4.75
|
|
|
|
Change in book value and declared special
dividend
|
$
|
4.16
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in book value *
|
|
(0.8)%
|
|
|
|
Special dividend declared to shareholders as percentage of beginning book
value**
|
|
6.7 %
|
|
|
|
Total change in book value, adding back the impact of
special dividend
|
|
5.9 %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*Change in book value divided by beginning book value
**Special dividend declared to shareholders divided by the beginning book value
(3) Combined ratio, excluding catastrophes, is a non-GAAP measure, which is equal to the combined ratio, excluding
catastrophe losses. This measure and measures excluding prior-year reserve development ("current accident-year" ratios) are used
throughout this document. The combined ratio (which includes catastrophe losses and prior-year loss reserve development) is the
most directly comparable GAAP measure. The following is a reconciliation of the GAAP combined ratio to the combined ratio,
excluding catastrophes:
|
|
Three Months ended
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2018
|
|
|
|
Commercial
Lines
|
|
Personal
Lines
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total combined ratio
|
|
98.2%
|
|
96.0%
|
|
97.4%
|
|
Less: catastrophe ratio
|
|
7.3%
|
|
0.7%
|
|
4.6%
|
|
Combined ratio, excluding catastrophe losses
|
|
90.9%
|
|
95.3%
|
|
92.8%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Three Months ended
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2017
|
|
|
|
Commercial
Lines
|
|
Personal
Lines
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total combined ratio
|
|
95.4%
|
|
94.0%
|
|
95.0%
|
|
Less: catastrophe ratio
|
|
4.8%
|
|
3.0%
|
|
4.1%
|
|
Combined ratio, excluding catastrophe losses
|
|
90.6%
|
|
91.0%
|
|
90.9%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year ended
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2018
|
|
|
|
Commercial
Lines
|
|
Personal
Lines
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total combined ratio
|
|
96.4%
|
|
95.5%
|
|
96.1%
|
|
Less: catastrophe ratio
|
|
5.6%
|
|
4.5%
|
|
5.2%
|
|
Combined ratio, excluding catastrophe losses
|
|
90.8%
|
|
91.0%
|
|
90.9%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year ended
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2017
|
|
|
|
Commercial
Lines
|
|
Personal
Lines
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total combined ratio
|
|
99.3%
|
|
94.1%
|
|
97.3%
|
|
Less: catastrophe ratio
|
|
7.1%
|
|
5.1%
|
|
6.4%
|
|
Combined ratio, excluding catastrophe losses
|
|
92.2%
|
|
89.0%
|
|
90.9%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(4) Current accident year combined ratio, excluding catastrophe losses, is a non-GAAP measure, which is equal to
the combined ratio, excluding prior-year reserve development and catastrophe losses. The combined ratio (which includes
catastrophe losses and prior-year loss reserve development) is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. The following is a
reconciliation of the GAAP combined ratio to the current accident year combined ratio, excluding catastrophes:
|
|
Three Months ended
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2018
|
|
|
|
Commercial
Lines
|
|
Personal
Lines
|
|
Total
|
|
Total combined ratio
|
|
98.2 %
|
|
96.0 %
|
|
97.4 %
|
|
Less:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prior-year reserve development ratio
|
|
(2.5)%
|
|
3.5 %
|
|
-
|
|
Catastrophe ratio
|
|
7.3 %
|
|
0.7 %
|
|
4.6 %
|
|
Current accident year combined ratio, excluding catastrophe
losses
|
|
93.4 %
|
|
91.8 %
|
|
92.8 %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2017
|
|
Total combined ratio
|
|
95.4 %
|
|
94.0 %
|
|
95.0 %
|
|
Less:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prior-year reserve development ratio
|
|
(1.5)%
|
|
2.3 %
|
|
-
|
|
Catastrophe ratio
|
|
4.8 %
|
|
3.0 %
|
|
4.1 %
|
|
Current accident year combined ratio, excluding catastrophe
losses
|
|
92.1 %
|
|
88.7 %
|
|
90.9 %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year ended
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2018
|
|
Total combined ratio
|
|
96.4 %
|
|
95.5 %
|
|
96.1 %
|
|
Less:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prior-year reserve development ratio
|
|
(1.3)%
|
|
2.0 %
|
|
-
|
|
Catastrophe ratio
|
|
5.6 %
|
|
4.5 %
|
|
5.2 %
|
|
Current accident year combined ratio, excluding catastrophe
losses
|
|
92.1 %
|
|
89.0 %
|
|
90.9 %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2017
|
|
Total combined ratio
|
|
99.3 %
|
|
94.1 %
|
|
97.3 %
|
|
Less:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prior-year reserve development ratio
|
|
(0.4)%
|
|
0.6 %
|
|
-
|
|
Catastrophe ratio
|
|
7.1 %
|
|
5.1 %
|
|
6.4 %
|
|
Current accident year combined ratio, excluding catastrophe
losses
|
|
92.6 %
|
|
88.4 %
|
|
90.9 %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(5) The following is a reconciliation of operating income, excluding catastrophe losses to operating income.
Operating income is also a non-GAAP measure and is reconciled to net income on page 9.
|
|
|
Year ended
|
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2018
|
|
|
($ In millions)
|
|
Commercial
Lines
|
|
Personal
Lines
|
|
Other
|
|
Total
|
|
|
Operating income (loss) before income taxes
|
|
$265.7
|
|
$146.2
|
|
($5.4)
|
|
$406.5
|
|
|
Less:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current accident year
catastrophe losses
|
|
149.1
|
|
79.4
|
|
-
|
|
228.5
|
|
|
Prior accident year
favorable catastrophe loss development
|
|
(6.8)
|
|
(2.5)
|
|
-
|
|
(9.3)
|
|
|
Operating income (loss) before income taxes, excluding
catastrophe
losses
|
|
$408.0
|
|
$223.1
|
|
($5.4)
|
|
$625.7
|
|
|
|
|
Year ended
|
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2017
|
|
|
|
|
Commercial
Lines
|
|
Personal
Lines
|
|
Other
|
|
Total
|
|
|
Operating income (loss) before income taxes
|
|
$177.4
|
|
$158.7
|
|
($8.8)
|
|
$327.3
|
|
|
Less:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current accident year
catastrophe losses
|
|
172.0
|
|
80.9
|
|
-
|
|
252.9
|
|
|
Prior accident year
favorable catastrophe loss development
|
|
(1.4)
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
(1.4)
|
|
|
Operating income (loss) before income taxes, excluding
catastrophe
losses
|
|
$348.0
|
|
$239.6
|
|
($8.8)
|
|
$578.8
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(6) Operating Return on Average Equity and Adjusted Operating Return on Average Equity ("Operating ROE" and
"Adjusted Operating ROE") are non-GAAP measures. Operating ROE is calculated by dividing annualized operating income after tax
for the applicable period (under the heading in this press release "Non-GAAP Financial Measures", see end note (1)), by the sum
of the total shareholders' equity, excluding unrealized appreciation (depreciation) on fixed maturity investments, net of tax,
for the quarters presented, divided by, the number of quarters presented in the period. Total shareholders' equity, excluding net
unrealized appreciation (depreciation) on fixed maturity investments, net of tax, is also a non-GAAP measure. For Adjusted
Operating ROE, shareholders' equity is further adjusted for "equity attributable to Chaucer" for measurement periods prior to the
close, which occurred on December 28, 2018 and "the un-deployed equity" for measurement
periods post-close, which is also a non-GAAP measure. Total shareholders' equity is the most directly comparable GAAP
measure, and is reconciled in the table on the following page. Operating ROE and Adjusted Operating ROE should not be construed
as substitutes for GAAP ROE. See calculations in table on page 19, including the calculation of GAAP ROE using net income and
average shareholders' equity without adjustments:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Period ended*
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
December 31,
|
|
March 31,
|
|
June 30,
|
|
September 30,
|
|
December 31,
|
|
|
|
2017
|
|
2018
|
|
2018
|
|
2018
|
|
2018
|
|
|
Total shareholders' equity (GAAP)
|
$2,997.7
|
|
$2,913.1
|
|
$2,939.8
|
|
$2,982.4
|
|
$2,954.7
|
|
|
Less: net unrealized appreciation (depreciation) on fixed
maturity investments, net of tax
|
205.4
|
|
0.3
|
|
(48.8)
|
|
(74.0)
|
|
(27.2)
|
|
|
Total shareholders' equity, excluding net unrealized
appreciation (depreciation) on fixed
maturity
investments, net of tax
|
2,792.3
|
|
2,912.8
|
|
2,988.6
|
|
3,056.4
|
|
2,981.9
|
|
|
Less: Pre-sale, equity attributable to Chaucer; or post-close,
un-deployed equity
|
614.6
|
|
614.6
|
|
614.6
|
|
614.6
|
|
656.6
|
|
|
Adjusted shareholders' equity, excluding both net
unrealized appreciation (depreciation) on fixed
maturity
investments, net of tax, and pre-sale, equity
attributable
to Chaucer; or post-close, un-deployed
equity
|
$2,177.7
|
|
$2,298.2
|
|
$2,374.0
|
|
$2,441.8
|
|
$2,325.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average shareholders' equity (GAAP)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$2,957.5
|
|
|
Average shareholders' equity, excluding net unrealized
appreciation (depreciation) on fixed
maturity
investments, net of tax
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$2,946.4
|
|
|
Average adjusted shareholders' equity, excluding both net
unrealized appreciation (depreciation) on fixed
maturity
investments, net of tax, and pre-sale, equity
attributable
to Chaucer; or post-close, un-deployed
equity
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$2,323.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*Prior to 2018, unrealized appreciation (depreciation) also included changes in the fair value of equity securities.
Effective January 1, 2018, as a result of the implementation of a new accounting standard, these
changes in fair value are included in net income as a component of net realized and unrealized investment gains and losses.
|
|
|
|
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
Year ended
|
|
|
|
|
December 31
|
|
|
Net Income ROE
|
|
2018
|
|
|
Net income (GAAP)
|
|
$391.0
|
|
|
Average shareholders' equity (GAAP)
|
|
$2,957.5
|
|
|
Return on equity
|
|
13.2%
|
|
|
Operating Income ROE (non-GAAP)
|
|
|
|
|
Operating income after taxes
|
|
$292.1
|
|
|
Average shareholders' equity, excluding net unrealized
appreciation
(depreciation) on fixed maturity
investments, net of tax
|
|
$2,946.4
|
|
|
Operating return on equity
|
|
9.9%
|
|
|
Adjusted Operating Income ROE (non-GAAP)
|
|
|
|
|
Operating income after taxes
|
|
$292.1
|
|
|
Average adjusted shareholders' equity, excluding both net
unrealized appreciation (depreciation) on fixed
maturity
investments, net of tax, and pre-sale, equity
attributable
to Chaucer; or post-close, un-deployed
equity
|
|
$2,323.4
|
|
|
Adjusted operating return on equity
|
|
12.6%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(7) Current accident year loss and LAE ratio, excluding catastrophe losses, is a non-GAAP measure, which is equal
to the loss and LAE ratio ("loss ratio"), excluding prior-year reserve development and catastrophe losses. The loss ratio (which
includes losses, LAE, catastrophe losses and prior-year loss reserve development) is the most directly comparable GAAP measure.
The following is a reconciliation of the GAAP loss ratio to the current accident year loss ratio, excluding catastrophe
losses:
|
|
Three Months ended
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2018
|
|
|
|
Commercial
Lines
|
|
Personal
Lines
|
|
Total
|
|
Total loss and LAE ratio
|
|
63.1 %
|
|
68.3 %
|
|
65.3 %
|
|
Less:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prior-year reserve development ratio
|
|
(2.5)%
|
|
3.5 %
|
|
-
|
|
Catastrophe ratio
|
|
7.3 %
|
|
0.7 %
|
|
4.6 %
|
|
Current accident year loss and LAE ratio, excluding catastrophes
|
|
58.3 %
|
|
64.1 %
|
|
60.7 %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2017
|
|
Total loss and LAE ratio
|
|
60.0 %
|
|
66.4 %
|
|
62.5 %
|
|
Less:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prior-year reserve development ratio
|
|
(1.5)%
|
|
2.3 %
|
|
-
|
|
Catastrophe ratio
|
|
4.8 %
|
|
3.0 %
|
|
4.1 %
|
|
Current accident year loss and LAE ratio, excluding catastrophes
|
|
56.7 %
|
|
61.1 %
|
|
58.4 %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year ended
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2018
|
|
Total loss and LAE ratio
|
|
61.5 %
|
|
67.7 %
|
|
64.0 %
|
|
Less:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prior-year reserve development ratio
|
|
(1.3)%
|
|
2.0 %
|
|
-
|
|
Catastrophe ratio
|
|
5.6 %
|
|
4.5 %
|
|
5.2 %
|
|
Current accident year loss and LAE ratio, excluding catastrophes
|
|
57.2 %
|
|
61.2 %
|
|
58.8 %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2017
|
|
Total loss and LAE ratio
|
|
63.7 %
|
|
66.1 %
|
|
64.7 %
|
|
Less:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Prior-year reserve development ratio
|
|
(0.4)%
|
|
0.6 %
|
|
-
|
|
Catastrophe ratio
|
|
7.1 %
|
|
5.1 %
|
|
6.4 %
|
|
Current accident year loss and LAE ratio, excluding catastrophes
|
|
57.0 %
|
|
60.4 %
|
|
58.3 %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(8) Here, and later in this document, the expense ratio is reduced by installment fee revenues for purposes of the
ratio calculation.
(9) Core Commercial business provides commercial property and casualty coverages to small and mid-sized businesses
in the U.S., generally with annual premiums per policy up to $250,000, primarily through the
commercial multiple peril, commercial auto and workers' compensation lines of business, as reported on pages 8 and 9 of the
Fourth Quarter 2018 Financial Supplement.
|
|
Three Months ended
|
|
Three Months ended
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2018
|
|
December 31, 2017
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
Core
Commercial
|
|
Other
Commercial
|
|
Total
|
|
Core
Commercial
|
|
Other
Commercial
|
|
Total
|
|
Net premiums written
|
|
$338.9
|
|
$261.1
|
|
$600.0
|
|
$323.4
|
|
$241.5
|
|
$564.9
|
|
Net premiums earned
|
|
$376.3
|
|
$268.1
|
|
$644.4
|
|
$363.3
|
|
$252.8
|
|
$616.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year ended
|
|
Year ended
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2018
|
|
December 31, 2017
|
|
($ in millions)
|
|
Core
Commercial
|
|
Other
Commercial
|
|
Total
|
|
Core
Commercial
|
|
Other
Commercial
|
|
Total
|
|
Net premiums written
|
|
$1,523.3
|
|
$1,087.4
|
|
$2,610.7
|
|
$1,449.1
|
|
$1,012.9
|
|
$2,462.0
|
|
Net premiums earned
|
|
$1,491.8
|
|
$1,056.6
|
|
$2,548.4
|
|
$1,417.0
|
|
$982.6
|
|
$2,399.6
|
|
(10) Price increases or decreases represent the average change in premium on renewed policies caused by the
estimated net effect of base rate changes, discretionary pricing, inflation or changes in policy level exposure or insured
risk.
(11) The separate financial information of each operating segment is presented consistent with the way results are
regularly evaluated by the chief operating decision maker in deciding how to allocate resources and in assessing performance.
Management evaluates the results of the aforementioned operating segments without consideration of interest expense on debt and
on a pre-tax basis.
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SOURCE The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.