- Material decline in net par exposures and Adversely Classified and Watch List Credits due to active
de-risking efforts:
• Insured net par reduced in the fourth quarter of 2018 by $5.3 billion(1) or 10.1% to $46.9
billion including the impact of a $1.5 billion reinsurance agreement
• Adversely Classified and Watch List Credits reduced by $1.5 billion(1) or 7.0% to $19.9
billion
• Execution of the COFINA Plan of Adjustment in the first quarter of 2019 resolved 78% of Ambac's total
exposure to Puerto Rico; Net Par exposure to Puerto Rico's COFINA bonds reduced by 75%
- Net Loss of $(20.5) million or $(0.45) per Diluted Share and Adjusted Earnings(2) of $10.8 million or
$0.24 per Diluted Share for the Quarter Ended December 31, 2018
- Book Value per Share decreased $3.65 to $35.12 and Adjusted Book Value per Share decreased $0.92 to $27.58 at
December 31, 2018 from September 30, 2018
NEW YORK, Feb. 28, 2019 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: AMBC) ("Ambac"), a holding company whose
subsidiaries, including Ambac Assurance Corporation ("AAC"), provide financial guarantees, today reported a Net Loss attributable
to common stockholders of $20.5 million or $0.45 per diluted share and Adjusted Earnings2 of $10.8 million or $0.24
per diluted share for the quarter ended December 31, 2018. This compares to a Net Loss attributable to common
stockholders of $103.8 million or $2.27 per diluted share and an Adjusted Loss of $76.0 million or $1.66 per diluted share in the
third quarter of 2018. The results for the fourth quarter 2018 were impacted by mark to market losses on our macro hedge and
volatility associated with invested assets classified as trading, partially offset by favorable loss development. The results for
the third quarter of 2018 were primarily driven by the financial statement impact of the Auction Market Preferred Shares exchange
transaction ("AMPS transaction").
Claude LeBlanc, President and Chief Executive Officer, stated, “During the fourth quarter of 2018, we achieved significant
results in de-risking our insured portfolio, with Adversely Classified and Watch List Credits decreasing $1.5 billion or 7% from
the third quarter. Our active de-risking activities included a 50% reduction of one of our largest single risk exposures, reducing
outstanding par by $856 million, our previously announced one hundred percent quota share reinsurance transaction on certain public
finance policies totaling $1.5 billion of par exposure and the negotiated COFINA Plan of Adjustment which became effective on
February 12, 2019, and resolved 78% of our total Puerto Rico exposure." Mr. LeBlanc continued, "I am pleased with our significant
achievements in 2018. We will continue to advance our strategic priorities in 2019 propelled by the momentum from our 2018 success
and further our goal of delivering long-term value to our shareholders."
(1) Net Par exposure adjustments are only recorded in the period in which they occur.
Accordingly, net par exposure amounts as of December 31, 2018 exclude a reduction of $602.7 million related to the execution of the
COFINA Plan of Adjustment on February 12, 2019.
Ambac's Fourth Quarter 2018 Summary Results |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Better (Worse) |
($ in millions, except per share data) |
|
4Q2018 |
|
3Q2018 |
|
Amount |
|
Percent |
Net premiums earned |
|
$ |
28.7 |
|
|
$ |
25.6 |
|
|
$ |
3.1 |
|
|
12 |
% |
Net investment income |
|
37.5 |
|
|
58.3 |
|
|
(20.8 |
) |
|
(36 |
)% |
Net realized investment gains (losses) |
|
29.4 |
|
|
30.2 |
|
|
(0.8 |
) |
|
(3 |
)% |
Net gains (losses) on derivative contracts |
|
(44.7 |
) |
|
17.6 |
|
|
(62.3 |
) |
|
(354 |
)% |
Income (loss) on Variable Interest Entities ("VIEs") |
|
0.5 |
|
|
1.8 |
|
|
(1.3 |
) |
|
(72 |
)% |
Losses and loss expenses (benefit) |
|
(42.3 |
) |
|
33.5 |
|
|
75.8 |
|
|
226 |
% |
Operating expenses |
|
21.3 |
|
|
28.4 |
|
|
7.1 |
|
|
25 |
% |
Interest expense |
|
66.1 |
|
|
65.7 |
|
|
(0.4 |
) |
|
(1 |
)% |
Insurance intangible amortization |
|
29.0 |
|
|
26.4 |
|
|
(2.6 |
) |
|
(10 |
)% |
Provision for income taxes |
|
(1.7 |
) |
|
2.2 |
|
|
3.9 |
|
|
177 |
% |
Net income (loss) |
|
(20.5 |
) |
|
(22.2 |
) |
|
1.7 |
|
|
8 |
% |
Net income (loss) attributable to Common Stockholders |
|
(20.5 |
) |
|
(103.8 |
) |
|
83.3 |
|
|
80 |
% |
Net income (loss) per diluted share |
|
$ |
(0.45 |
) |
|
$ |
(2.27 |
) |
|
$ |
1.82 |
|
|
80 |
% |
Adjusted earnings (loss) 2 |
|
10.8 |
|
|
(76.0 |
) |
|
86.8 |
|
|
114 |
% |
Adjusted earnings (loss) per diluted share 2 |
|
$ |
0.24 |
|
|
$ |
(1.66 |
) |
|
$ |
1.90 |
|
|
114 |
% |
Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc. stockholders' equity |
|
1,592.0 |
|
|
1,757.7 |
|
|
(165.7 |
) |
|
(9 |
)% |
Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc. stockholders' equity per share |
|
$ |
35.12 |
|
|
$ |
38.77 |
|
|
$ |
(3.65 |
) |
|
(9 |
)% |
Adjusted book value 2 |
|
1,250.6 |
|
|
1,291.9 |
|
|
(41.3 |
) |
|
(3 |
)% |
Adjusted book value per share 2 |
|
$ |
27.58 |
|
|
$ |
28.50 |
|
|
$ |
(0.92 |
) |
|
(3 |
)% |
Weighted-average diluted shares outstanding (in millions) |
|
45.8 |
|
|
45.7 |
|
|
(0.1 |
) |
|
— |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(2) See Non-GAAP Financial Data section of this press release for further information
Ambac's 2018 Summary Results |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Better (Worse) |
($ in millions, except per share data) |
|
2018 |
|
2017 |
|
Amount |
|
Percent |
Net premiums earned |
|
$ |
111.1 |
|
|
$ |
175.3 |
|
|
$ |
(64.2 |
) |
|
(37 |
)% |
Net investment income |
|
272.7 |
|
|
361.0 |
|
|
(88.3 |
) |
|
(24 |
)% |
Other than temporary impairment losses |
|
(3.2 |
) |
|
(20.2 |
) |
|
17.0 |
|
|
84 |
% |
Net realized investment gains (losses) |
|
111.6 |
|
|
5.4 |
|
|
106.2 |
|
|
1,967 |
% |
Net gains (losses) on derivative contracts |
|
7.0 |
|
|
75.9 |
|
|
(68.9 |
) |
|
(91 |
)% |
Net realized gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt |
|
3.1 |
|
|
4.9 |
|
|
(1.8 |
) |
|
(37 |
)% |
Income (loss) on Variable Interest Entities ("VIEs") |
|
3.4 |
|
|
19.7 |
|
|
(16.3 |
) |
|
(83 |
)% |
Losses and loss expenses (benefit) |
|
(223.6 |
) |
|
513.2 |
|
|
736.8 |
|
|
144 |
% |
Operating expenses |
|
112.2 |
|
|
122.4 |
|
|
10.2 |
|
|
8 |
% |
Interest expense |
|
242.3 |
|
|
119.9 |
|
|
(122.4 |
) |
|
(102 |
)% |
Insurance intangible amortization |
|
107.3 |
|
|
150.9 |
|
|
43.6 |
|
|
29 |
% |
Provision for income taxes |
|
5.1 |
|
|
44.5 |
|
|
39.4 |
|
|
89 |
% |
Net income (loss) |
|
267.4 |
|
|
(328.7 |
) |
|
596.1 |
|
|
181 |
% |
Net income (loss) attributable to Common Stockholders |
|
185.7 |
|
|
(328.7 |
) |
|
514.4 |
|
|
156 |
% |
Net income (loss) per diluted share |
|
$ |
3.99 |
|
|
$ |
(7.25 |
) |
|
$ |
11.24 |
|
|
155 |
% |
Adjusted earnings (loss) 2 |
|
301.1 |
|
|
(165.1 |
) |
|
466.2 |
|
|
282 |
% |
Adjusted earnings (loss) per diluted share 2 |
|
$ |
6.47 |
|
|
$ |
(3.64 |
) |
|
$ |
10.11 |
|
|
278 |
% |
Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc. stockholders' equity |
|
1,592.0 |
|
|
1,381.1 |
|
|
210.9 |
|
|
15 |
% |
Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc. stockholders' equity per share |
|
$ |
35.12 |
|
|
$ |
30.52 |
|
|
$ |
4.60 |
|
|
15 |
% |
Adjusted book value 2 |
|
1,250.6 |
|
|
1,101.3 |
|
|
149.3 |
|
|
14 |
% |
Adjusted book value per share 2 |
|
$ |
27.58 |
|
|
$ |
24.34 |
|
|
$ |
3.24 |
|
|
13 |
% |
Weighted-average diluted shares outstanding (in millions) |
|
46.6 |
|
|
45.4 |
|
|
(1.2 |
) |
|
(3 |
)% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(2) See Non-GAAP Financial Data section of this press release for further information
Net Premiums Earned
During the fourth quarter of 2018, net premiums earned were $28.7 million compared to $25.6 million in the third quarter of 2018,
including accelerations of $12.2 million and $6.7 million, respectively. Normal premiums earned decreased $2.4 million or 13%
primarily due to the continued runoff of the insured portfolio and the cede of $1.5 billion of par exposure in November 2018.
Accelerated premiums earned increased $5.5 million or 82% due to the impact of de-risking initiatives and other refinancing
activity.
The following table provides a summary of net premiums earned for the three-month periods ended December 31, 2018 and
September 30, 2018, respectively:
|
|
Three Months Ended |
($ in millions) |
|
December 31, 2018 |
|
September 30, 2018 |
Public Finance |
|
$ |
8.0 |
|
|
$ |
9.2 |
|
Structured Finance |
|
3.4 |
|
|
4.2 |
|
International Finance |
|
5.1 |
|
|
5.5 |
|
Total normal premiums earned |
|
16.5 |
|
|
18.9 |
|
Accelerated earnings |
|
12.2 |
|
|
6.7 |
|
Total net premiums earned |
|
$ |
28.7 |
|
|
$ |
25.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Investment Income and Net Realized Investment Gains
Net investment income for the fourth quarter of 2018 and the third quarter of 2018 was $37.5 million and $58.3 million,
respectively. Net investment income decreased due to net losses on invested assets classified as trading of $12.1 million in the
fourth quarter of 2018 compared to gains of $7.0 million in the third quarter of 2018 primarily due to declines in the equity and
credit markets. Additionally, fourth quarter 2018 had a lower allocation to higher-yielding Ambac insured RMBS.
Fourth quarter 2018 net realized investment gains were $29.4 million compared to $30.2 million in the third quarter of
2018. Net realized gains for the fourth quarter included $26.7 million of proceeds from a class action settlement.
During the fourth quarter of 2018, AAC acquired additional AAC-insured Puerto Rico securities. As of December 31, 2018, Ambac
owned approximately 58% and 37% of Ambac insured COFINA and PRIFA bonds, compared to 58% and 30%, respectively, at September 30,
2018.
Losses and Loss Expenses and Loss Reserves
Losses and loss expenses for the fourth quarter of 2018 were a benefit of $42.3 million, as compared to an expense of $33.5 million
for the third quarter of 2018.
The following table provides losses and loss expenses (benefit) incurred by bond type for the three-month periods ended
December 31, 2018 and September 30, 2018:
|
|
Three Months Ended |
($ in millions) |
|
December 31, 2018 |
|
September 30, 2018 |
RMBS |
|
$ |
(46.5 |
) |
|
$ |
19.2 |
|
Domestic public finance |
|
(5.3 |
) |
|
9.1 |
|
Student loan |
|
(6.7 |
) |
|
4.0 |
|
Ambac UK and other credits |
|
16.2 |
|
|
1.2 |
|
Total losses and loss expenses |
|
$ |
(42.3 |
) |
|
$ |
33.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fourth quarter of 2018 RMBS losses and loss expenses were a benefit of $46.5 million driven by the positive impact of interest
rates on excess spread and favorable credit performance. Third quarter of 2018 RMBS losses and loss expenses of $19.2 million were
driven by loss expenses incurred and a reduction to estimated representation and warranty subrogation recoveries, partially offset
by credit improvements.
Domestic public finance losses and loss expenses in the fourth quarter of 2018 were a benefit of $5.3 million, primarily related
to positive development on Puerto Rico COFINA reserves partially offset by reserve strengthening elsewhere and the impact of lower
discount rates. In the third quarter of 2018, domestic public finance losses and loss expenses were $9.1 million primarily related
to loss expenses.
Student loan losses and loss expenses in the fourth quarter of 2018 were a benefit of $6.7 million, primarily related to the
impact of lower interest rates. In the third quarter of 2018, student loan losses and loss expenses were $4.0 million primarily
driven by loss expenses incurred.
Loss and loss expenses for Ambac UK and other credits were a loss of $16.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2018, primarily the
result of foreign exchange losses and lower interest rates.
During the fourth quarter of 2018, claim and loss expenses paid (net of reinsurance) were $25.8 million which included $56.0
million of losses and loss expenses paid, partially offset by $30.2 million of subrogation received. During the third quarter of
2018, claim and loss expenses paid (net of reinsurance) were $228.6 million which included $264.0 million of losses and loss
expenses paid related mostly to Puerto Rico and a student loan commutation, partially offset by $35.4 million of subrogation
received.
Loss and loss expense reserves (gross of reinsurance) were $(107) million at December 31, 2018, and $(30) million at
September 30, 2018, which were net of $1.771 billion and $1.776 billion, respectively, of estimated subrogation recoveries
related to AAC's pursuit of legal remedies to seek redress for breaches of representations and warranties.
The following table provides loss and loss expense reserves (gross of reinsurance) by bond type at December 31, 2018, and
September 30, 2018:
($ in millions) |
|
December 31, 2018 |
|
September 30, 2018 |
RMBS |
|
$ |
(1,313 |
) |
|
$ |
(1,273 |
) |
Domestic public finance |
|
639 |
|
|
637 |
|
Student loans |
|
228 |
|
|
235 |
|
Ambac UK and other credits |
|
273 |
|
|
266 |
|
Loss expenses |
|
66 |
|
|
105 |
|
Total loss and loss expense reserves |
|
$ |
(107 |
) |
|
$ |
(30 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Gains (Losses) on Derivative Contracts
Net losses on derivative contracts of $44.7 million, including approximately $4 million of counterparty credit adjustments, for the
fourth quarter of 2018 were primarily due to a loss on interest rate derivatives due to the impact of a decrease in forward
interest rates. Net gains on derivative contracts of $17.6 million for the third quarter of 2018 were primarily due to a gain on
interest rate derivatives due to the impact of an increase in forward interest rates. The interest rate derivatives portfolio is
positioned to benefit from rising interest rates as a partial economic hedge against interest rate exposure in AAC's insured and
investment portfolios.
Expenses
Operating expenses for the fourth quarter of 2018 decreased by $7.1 million to $21.3 million from $28.4 million in the third
quarter of 2018. The decrease in the fourth quarter of 2018 was due to lower compensation costs and the absence of expenses related
to the third quarter AMPS transaction. Third quarter operating expenses included $5.9 million of expenses associated with the AMPS
transaction.
Interest expense for the fourth quarter of 2018 increased $0.4 million to $66.1 million from $65.7 million in the third quarter
of 2018 due to the August 2018 re-issuance of surplus notes in connection with the AMPS transaction, partially offset by lower
interest expense resulting from the partial redemption of the Ambac Note in the third quarter of 2018.
Taxes and Net Operating Loss Carry-Forwards ("NOLs")
Income taxes were a benefit of $1.7 million for the fourth quarter of 2018, as compared to an expense of $2.2 million for the third
quarter of 2018. The fourth quarter provision included an incremental benefit related to the tax law change enacted in December
2017. The third quarter provision included $0.4 million of state income taxes and $1.8 million of foreign taxes.
At December 31, 2018, the Ambac consolidated group had approximately $3.4 billion of NOLs, including $1.3 billion at Ambac
and $2.1 billion at AAC.
As a result of taxable income at AAC during 2018, AAC utilized NOLs in an amount that resulted in the accrual of $13.9 million
of tolling payments. AAC's tax positions are subject to review by the OCI, which may lead to the adoption of positions that reduce
the amount of tolling payments otherwise available to Ambac.
Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc. Stockholders' Equity
Stockholders’ equity at December 31, 2018, was down 9% to $1.59 billion, or $35.12 per share compared to $1.76 billion or
$38.77 per share as of September 30, 2018 due to the net loss of $20.5 million, unrealized investment portfolio losses,
related primarily to credit spread widening, of $128.5 million and translation losses of $18.1 million related to Ambac's foreign
subsidiaries.
Financial Guarantee Insured Portfolio
The financial guarantee insurance portfolio net par amount outstanding declined 10.1% during the quarter ended December 31, 2018,
to $46.9 billion from $52.2 billion at September 30, 2018. The reduction in the insured portfolio was primarily related to a
decrease of $3.9 billion in the public finance portfolio related to the reinsurance of $1.5 billion and other de-risking and
refinancing activity, a decrease of $0.8 billion in the structured finance portfolio related to active de-risking in utility
exposures and a decrease of $0.6 billion in the international finance sector due to de-risking activity and natural run-off,
coupled with a decline in the British Pound. Adversely Classified and Watch List Credits decreased in the fourth quarter of 2018 by
a net $1.5 billion or 7.0% to $19.9 billion at December 31, 2018 from $21.4 billion at September 30, 2018.
Details of financial guarantee insurance portfolio are highlighted in the below table.
Net Par Outstanding |
|
December 31, 2018 |
|
September 30, 2018 |
By Sector: |
|
|
|
|
Public finance |
|
50 |
% |
|
52 |
% |
Structured Finance |
|
21 |
% |
|
21 |
% |
International |
|
29 |
% |
|
27 |
% |
By Financial Guarantor: |
|
|
|
|
Ambac Assurance |
|
72 |
% |
|
74 |
% |
Ambac UK |
|
28 |
% |
|
26 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Events
Puerto Rico - COFINA Plan of Adjustment
On February 4, 2019, the COFINA Plan of Adjustment ("POA") was confirmed by the United States District Court for the District of
Puerto Rico and became effective on February 12, 2019. The POA and related commutation transactions resulted in a reduction of
AAC's insured net par exposure to COFINA by $602.7 million, or 75%, to $202.0 million and a reduction in overall Puerto Rico net
par exposure to $1.3 billion from $1.9 billion at December 31, 2018. Domestic Public Finance loss and loss expenses for the fourth
quarter of 2018 includes a $42.3 million benefit related to the closing of these transactions.
Non-GAAP Financial Data
In addition to reporting Ambac’s quarterly financial results in accordance with GAAP, the Company reports two non-GAAP financial
measures: Adjusted Earnings and Adjusted Book Value. The most directly comparable GAAP measures are net income attributable to
common stockholders for Adjusted earnings and Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity for Adjusted Book value.
A non-GAAP financial measure is a numerical measure of financial performance or financial position that excludes (or includes)
amounts that are included in (or excluded from) the most directly comparable measure calculated and presented in accordance with
GAAP. We are presenting these non-GAAP financial measures because they provide greater transparency and enhanced visibility into
the underlying drivers of our business. Adjusted Earnings and Adjusted Book Value are not substitutes for the Company’s GAAP
reporting, should not be viewed in isolation and may differ from similar reporting provided by other companies, which may define
non-GAAP measures differently.
Ambac has a significant U.S. tax net operating loss (“NOL”) that is offset by a full valuation allowance in the GAAP
consolidated financial statements. As a result of this and other considerations, we utilized a 0% effective tax rate for non-GAAP
adjustments; which is subject to change.
The following paragraphs define each non-GAAP financial measure and describe why it is useful. A reconciliation of the non-GAAP
financial measure and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure is also presented below.
Adjusted Earnings (Loss). Adjusted Earnings (Loss) is defined as net income (loss)
attributable to common stockholders, as reported under GAAP, adjusted on an after-tax basis for the following:
- Non-credit impairment fair value (gain) loss on credit derivatives: Elimination of the non-credit impairment fair value gains
(losses) on credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated credit losses. Such
fair value adjustments are affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market factors such as interest rates and credit
spreads, including the market’s perception of Ambac’s credit risk (“Ambac CVA”), and are not expected to result in an economic
gain or loss. These adjustments allow for all financial guarantee contracts to be accounted for consistent with the Financial
Services – Insurance Topic of ASC, whether or not they are subject to derivative accounting rules.
- Insurance intangible amortization: Elimination of the amortization of the financial guarantee insurance intangible asset that
arose as a result of the implementation of Fresh Start reporting. These adjustments ensure that all financial guarantee contracts
are accounted for consistent with the provisions of the Financial Services – Insurance Topic of the ASC.
- Foreign exchange (gains) losses: Elimination of the foreign exchange gains (losses) on the re-measurement of assets,
liabilities and transactions in non-functional currencies. This adjustment eliminates the foreign exchange gains (losses)
on all assets, liabilities and transactions in non-functional currencies, which enables users of our financial statements to
better view the business results without the impact of fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, particularly as assets
held in non-functional currencies have grown, and facilitates period-to-period comparisons of Ambac's operating performance.
Adjusted Earnings were $10.8 million, or $0.24 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter 2018 as compared to an Adjusted Loss of
$(76.0) million or $(1.66) per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2018. Adjusted Loss for the third quarter included the
impact of the AMPS transaction.
The following table reconciles net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders to the non-GAAP measure, Adjusted Earnings
(Loss), for the three-month periods ended December 31, 2018, and September 30, 2018, respectively:
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
|
December 31, 2018 |
|
September 30, 2018 |
($ in millions, other than per share data) |
|
$ Amount |
|
Per Diluted Share |
|
$ Amount |
|
Per Diluted Share |
Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders |
|
$ |
(20.5 |
) |
|
$ |
(0.45 |
) |
|
$ |
(103.8 |
) |
|
$ |
(2.27 |
) |
Adjustments: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-credit impairment fair value (gain) loss on credit derivatives |
|
0.3 |
|
|
0.01 |
|
|
(0.2 |
) |
|
— |
|
Insurance intangible amortization |
|
29.0 |
|
|
0.63 |
|
|
26.4 |
|
|
0.58 |
|
Foreign exchange (gains) losses |
|
2.0 |
|
|
0.05 |
|
|
1.6 |
|
|
0.03 |
|
Adjusted Earnings (loss) |
|
$ |
10.8 |
|
|
$ |
0.24 |
|
|
$ |
(76.0 |
) |
|
$ |
(1.66 |
) |
Weighted-average diluted shares outstanding (in millions) |
|
|
|
45.8 |
|
|
|
|
45.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted Book Value. Adjusted Book Value is defined as Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc.
stockholders’ equity as reported under GAAP, adjusted for after-tax impact of the following:
- Non-credit impairment fair value losses on credit derivatives: Elimination of the non-credit impairment fair value loss on
credit derivatives, which is the amount in excess of the present value of the expected estimated economic credit loss. GAAP fair
values are affected by, and in part fluctuate with, changes in market factors such as interest rates, credit spreads, including
Ambac’s CVA that are not expected to result in an economic gain or loss. These adjustments allow for all financial guarantee
contracts to be accounted for within Adjusted Book Value consistent with the provisions of the Financial Services—Insurance Topic
of the ASC, whether or not they are subject to derivative accounting rules.
- Insurance intangible asset: Elimination of the financial guarantee insurance intangible asset that arose as a result of
Ambac’s emergence from bankruptcy and the implementation of Fresh Start reporting. This adjustment ensures that all financial
guarantee contracts are accounted for within Adjusted Book Value consistent with the provisions of the Financial
Services—Insurance Topic of the ASC.
- Net unearned premiums and fees in excess of expected losses: Addition of the value of the unearned premium revenue ("UPR") on
financial guarantee contracts, in excess of expected losses, net of reinsurance. This non-GAAP adjustment presents the
economics of UPR and expected losses for financial guarantee contracts on a consistent basis. In accordance with GAAP,
stockholders’ equity reflects a reduction for expected losses only to the extent they exceed UPR. However, when expected
losses are less than UPR for a financial guarantee contract, neither expected losses nor UPR have an impact on stockholders’
equity. This non-GAAP adjustment adds UPR in excess of expected losses, net of reinsurance, to stockholders’ equity for financial
guarantee contracts where expected losses are less than UPR.
- Net unrealized investment (gains) losses in Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income: Elimination of the unrealized
gains and losses on the Company’s investments that are recorded as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income
(“AOCI”). The AOCI component of the fair value adjustment on the investment portfolio may differ from realized gains and losses
ultimately recognized by the Company based on the Company’s investment strategy. This adjustment only allows for such gains and
losses in Adjusted Book Value when realized.
Adjusted Book Value was $1.251 billion, or $27.58 per share, at December 31, 2018, as compared to $1.292 billion, or $28.50
per share, at September 30, 2018. The decrease in Adjusted Book Value was primarily attributable to the impact of the
reinsurance of $1.5 billion of exposure and changes to foreign exchange rates.
The following table reconciles Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity to the non-GAAP measure Adjusted Book
Value as of each date presented:
|
|
December 31, 2018 |
|
September 30, 2018 |
($ in millions, other than per share data) |
|
$ Amount |
|
Per Share |
|
$ Amount |
|
Per Share |
Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity |
|
$ |
1,592.0 |
|
|
$ |
35.12 |
|
|
$ |
1,757.7 |
|
|
$ |
38.77 |
|
Adjustments: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-credit impairment fair value losses on credit derivatives |
|
1.5 |
|
|
0.03 |
|
|
1.2 |
|
|
0.03 |
|
Insurance intangible asset |
|
(718.9 |
) |
|
(15.87 |
) |
|
(755.7 |
) |
|
(16.67 |
) |
Net unearned premiums and fees in excess of expected losses |
|
461.9 |
|
|
10.19 |
|
|
503.2 |
|
|
11.10 |
|
Net unrealized investment (gains) losses in Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income |
|
(85.9 |
) |
|
(1.89 |
) |
|
(214.4 |
) |
|
(4.73 |
) |
Adjusted Book Value |
|
$ |
1,250.6 |
|
|
$ |
27.58 |
|
|
$ |
1,291.9 |
|
|
$ |
28.50 |
|
Shares outstanding (in millions) |
|
|
|
45.3 |
|
|
|
|
45.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earnings Call and Webcast
On March 1, 2019 at 8:30am ET, Claude LeBlanc, President and Chief Executive Officer, and David Trick, Executive Vice
President and Chief Financial Officer, will discuss fourth quarter 2018 results during a conference call. A live audio
webcast of the call will be available through the Investor Relations section of Ambac’s website, http://ir.ambac.com/events.cfm. Participants may also listen via telephone by dialing (877) 407-9716 (Domestic) or
(201) 493-6779 (International).
The webcast will be archived on Ambac's website. A replay of the call will be available through March 15, 2019, and can be
accessed by dialing (Domestic) (844) 512-2921 or (International) (412) 317-6671; and using ID#13686563.
Additional information is included in an operating supplement and presentations at Ambac's website at www.ambac.com.
About Ambac
Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (“Ambac” or “AFG”), headquartered in New York City, is a holding company whose subsidiaries,
including its principal operating subsidiaries, Ambac Assurance Corporation (“Ambac Assurance or AAC”), Everspan Financial
Guarantee Corp. and Ambac Assurance UK Limited (“Ambac UK”), provide financial guarantees of obligations in both the public and
private sectors globally. AAC is a guarantor of public finance and structured finance obligations. Ambac’s common stock trades on
the NASDAQ Global Select Market under the symbol “AMBC”. The Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation of Ambac contains
substantial restrictions on the ability to transfer Ambac’s common stock. Subject to limited exceptions, any attempted transfer of
common stock shall be prohibited and void to the extent that, as a result of such transfer (or any series of transfers of which
such transfer is a part), any person or group of persons shall become a holder of 5% or more of Ambac’s common stock or a holder of
5% or more of Ambac’s common stock increases its ownership interest. Ambac is committed to providing timely and accurate
information to the investing public, consistent with our legal and regulatory obligations. To that end, we use our website to
convey information about our businesses, including the anticipated release of quarterly financial results, quarterly financial,
statistical and business-related information, and the posting of updates to the status of certain residential mortgage backed
securities litigations. For more information, please go to www.ambac.com.
Contact
Lisa A. Kampf
Managing Director, Investor Relations
(212) 208-3177
lkampf@ambac.com
Forward-Looking Statements
In this press release, statements that may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the safe harbor
provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as “estimate,” “project,” “plan,” “believe,”
“anticipate,” “intend,” “planned,” “potential” and similar expressions, or future or conditional verbs such as “will,” “should,”
“would,” “could,” and “may,” or the negative of those expressions or verbs, identify forward-looking statements. We caution readers
that these statements are not guarantees of future performance. Forward-looking statements are not historical facts but instead
represent only our beliefs regarding future events, which may by their nature be inherently uncertain and some of which may be
outside our control. These statements may relate to plans and objectives with respect to the future, among other things which may
change. We are alerting you to the possibility that our actual results may differ, possibly materially, from the expected
objectives or anticipated results that may be suggested, expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. Important
factors that could cause our results to differ, possibly materially, from those indicated in the forward-looking statements
include, among others, those discussed under “Risk Factors” in our most recent SEC filed quarterly or annual report.
Any or all of management’s forward-looking statements here or in other publications may turn out to be incorrect and are based
on management’s current belief or opinions. Ambac’s actual results may vary materially, and there are no guarantees about the
performance of Ambac’s securities. Among events, risks, uncertainties or factors that could cause actual results to differ
materially are: (1) the highly speculative nature of Ambac’s common stock and volatility in the price of Ambac’s common stock; (2)
uncertainty concerning the Company’s ability to achieve value for holders of its securities, whether from Ambac Assurance
Corporation ("Ambac Assurance") or from transactions or opportunities apart from Ambac Assurance; (3) changes in Ambac Assurance’s
estimated representation and warranty recoveries or loss reserves over time; (4) failure to recover claims paid on Puerto Rico
exposures or incurrence of losses in amounts higher than expected; (5) adverse effects on Ambac’s share price resulting from future
offerings of debt or equity securities that rank senior to Ambac’s common stock; (6) potential of rehabilitation proceedings
against Ambac Assurance; (7) dilution of current shareholder value or adverse effects on Ambac’s share price resulting from the
issuance of additional shares of common stock; (8) inadequacy of reserves established for losses and loss expenses and possibility
that changes in loss reserves may result in further volatility of earnings or financial results; (9) increased fiscal stress
experienced by issuers of public finance obligations or an increased incidence of Chapter 9 filings or other restructuring
proceedings by public finance issuers; (10) the Company's inability to realize the expected recoveries included in its financial
statements; (11) insufficiency or unavailability of collateral to pay secured obligations; (12) credit risk throughout the
Company’s business, including but not limited to credit risk related to residential mortgage-backed securities, student loan and
other asset securitizations, public finance obligations (including obligations of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico and its
instrumentalities and agencies as well as obligations relating to privatized military housing projects) and exposures to
reinsurers; (13) credit risks related to large single risks, risk concentrations and correlated risks; (14) the risk that the
Company’s risk management policies and practices do not anticipate certain risks and/or the magnitude of potential for loss; (15)
risks associated with adverse selection as the Company’s insured portfolio runs off; (16) adverse effects on operating results or
the Company’s financial position resulting from measures taken to reduce risks in its insured portfolio; (17) disagreements or
disputes with Ambac Assurance's primary insurance regulator; (18) our inability to mitigate or remediate losses, commute or reduce
insured exposures or achieve recoveries or investment objectives, or the failure of any transaction intended to accomplish one or
more of these objectives to deliver anticipated results; (19) the Company’s substantial indebtedness could adversely affect its
financial condition and operating flexibility; (20) the Company may not be able to obtain financing or raise capital on acceptable
terms or at all due to its substantial indebtedness and financial condition; (21) the Company may not be able to generate the
significant amount of cash needed to service its debt and financial obligations, and may not be able to refinance its indebtedness;
(22) restrictive covenants in agreements and instruments may impair the Company’s ability to pursue or achieve its business
strategies; (23) loss of control rights in transactions for which we provide insurance due to a finding that Ambac Assurance has
defaulted; (24) the Company’s results of operation may be adversely affected by events or circumstances that result in the
accelerated amortization of the Company’s insurance intangible asset; (25) adverse tax consequences or other costs resulting from
the characterization of the Company’s surplus notes or other obligations as equity; (26) risks attendant to the change in
composition of securities in the Company’s investment portfolio; (27) changes in tax law; (28) changes in prevailing interest
rates; (29) changes on inter-bank lending rate reporting practices or the method pursuant to which LIBOR rates are determined; (30)
factors that may influence the amount of installment premiums paid to the Company; (31) default by one or more of Ambac Assurance's
portfolio investments, insured issuers or counterparties; (32) market risks impacting assets in the Company’s investment portfolio
or the value of our assets posted as collateral in respect of interest rate swap transactions; (33) risks relating to
determinations of amounts of impairments taken on investments; (34) the risk of litigation and regulatory inquiries or
investigations, and the risk of adverse outcomes in connection therewith, which could have a material adverse effect on the
Company’s business, operations, financial position, profitability or cash flows; (35) actions of stakeholders whose interests are
not aligned with broader interests of the Company's stockholders; (36) the Company’s inability to realize value from Ambac UK or
other subsidiaries of Ambac Assurance; (37) system security risks; (38) market spreads and pricing on interest rate derivatives
insured or issued by the Company; (39) the risk of volatility in income and earnings, including volatility due to the application
of fair value accounting; (40) changes in accounting principles or practices that may impact the Company’s reported financial
results; (41) legislative and regulatory developments, including intervention by regulatory authorities; (42) the economic impact
of “Brexit”; (43) operational risks, including with respect to internal processes, risk and investment models, systems and
employees, and failures in services or products provided by third parties; (44) the Company’s financial position that may prompt
departures of key employees and may impact the Company’s ability to attract qualified executives and employees; (45) fluctuations
in foreign currency exchange rates could adversely impact the insured portfolio in the event of loss reserves or claim payments
denominated in a currency other than US dollars and the value of non-US dollar denominated securities in our investment portfolio;
and (46) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time.
AMBAC FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
Consolidated Statements of Income (Loss) (Unaudited)
|
|
Three Months Ended |
($ in Thousands, except share data) |
|
December 31,
2018 |
|
September 30,
2018 |
Revenues: |
|
|
|
|
Net premiums earned |
|
$ |
28,730 |
|
|
$ |
25,640 |
|
Net investment income: |
|
|
|
|
Securities available-for-sale and short-term |
|
48,247 |
|
|
49,985 |
|
Other investments |
|
(10,764 |
) |
|
8,347 |
|
Total net investment income |
|
37,483 |
|
|
58,332 |
|
Other-than-temporary impairment losses: |
|
|
|
|
Total other-than-temporary impairment losses |
|
(1,643 |
) |
|
(266 |
) |
Portion of other-than-temporary impairment recognized in other comprehensive income |
|
(16 |
) |
|
— |
|
Net other-than-temporary impairment losses recognized in earnings |
|
(1,659 |
) |
|
(266 |
) |
Net realized investment gains (losses) |
|
29,413 |
|
|
30,201 |
|
Net gains (losses) on derivative contracts |
|
(44,716 |
) |
|
17,583 |
|
Other income |
|
2,246 |
|
|
694 |
|
Income on variable interest entities |
|
454 |
|
|
1,831 |
|
Total revenues |
|
51,951 |
|
|
134,015 |
|
Expenses: |
|
|
|
|
Losses and loss expense (benefit) |
|
(42,298 |
) |
|
33,501 |
|
Insurance intangible amortization |
|
28,982 |
|
|
26,421 |
|
Operating expenses |
|
21,339 |
|
|
28,368 |
|
Interest expense |
|
66,064 |
|
|
65,673 |
|
Total expenses |
|
74,087 |
|
|
153,963 |
|
Pre-tax income (loss) |
|
(22,136 |
) |
|
(19,948 |
) |
Provision for income taxes |
|
(1,677 |
) |
|
2,211 |
|
Net income (loss) |
|
$ |
(20,459 |
) |
|
$ |
(22,159 |
) |
Less: loss on exchange of auction market preferred shares |
|
— |
|
|
81,686 |
|
Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders |
|
$ |
(20,459 |
) |
|
$ |
(103,845 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
Net income (loss) per basic share |
|
$ |
(0.45 |
) |
|
$ |
(2.27 |
) |
Net income (loss) per diluted share |
|
$ |
(0.45 |
) |
|
$ |
(2.27 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted-average number of common shares outstanding: |
|
|
|
|
Basic |
|
45,756,090 |
|
|
45,749,252 |
|
Diluted |
|
45,756,090 |
|
|
45,749,252 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AMBAC FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
Consolidated Statements of Income (Loss) (Unaudited)
|
|
Year Ended December 31, |
($ in Thousands, except share data) |
|
2018 |
|
2017 |
Revenues: |
|
|
|
|
Net premiums earned |
|
$ |
111,089 |
|
|
$ |
175,277 |
|
Net investment income: |
|
|
|
|
Securities available-for-sale and short-term |
|
270,525 |
|
|
337,774 |
|
Other investments |
|
2,192 |
|
|
23,179 |
|
Total net investment income |
|
272,717 |
|
|
360,953 |
|
Other-than-temporary impairment losses: |
|
|
|
|
Total other-than-temporary impairment losses |
|
(3,260 |
) |
|
(54,625 |
) |
Portion of other-than-temporary impairment recognized in other comprehensive income |
|
22 |
|
|
34,454 |
|
Net other-than-temporary impairment losses recognized in earnings |
|
(3,238 |
) |
|
(20,171 |
) |
Net realized investment gains (losses) |
|
111,624 |
|
|
5,366 |
|
Net gains (losses) on derivative contracts |
|
6,990 |
|
|
75,937 |
|
Net realized gains on extinguishment of debt |
|
3,121 |
|
|
4,920 |
|
Other income (expense) |
|
4,922 |
|
|
214 |
|
Income (loss) on variable interest entities |
|
3,436 |
|
|
19,670 |
|
Total revenues |
|
510,661 |
|
|
622,166 |
|
Expenses: |
|
|
|
|
Losses and loss expense (benefit) |
|
(223,613 |
) |
|
513,186 |
|
Insurance intangible amortization |
|
107,281 |
|
|
150,854 |
|
Operating expenses |
|
112,204 |
|
|
122,436 |
|
Interest expense |
|
242,256 |
|
|
119,941 |
|
Total expenses |
|
238,128 |
|
|
906,417 |
|
Pre-tax income (loss) |
|
272,533 |
|
|
(284,251 |
) |
Provision for income taxes |
|
5,134 |
|
|
44,464 |
|
Net income (loss) |
|
$ |
267,399 |
|
|
$ |
(328,715 |
) |
Less: loss on exchange of auction market preferred shares |
|
81,686 |
|
|
— |
|
Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders |
|
$ |
185,713 |
|
|
$ |
(328,715 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
Net income (loss) per basic share |
|
$ |
4.07 |
|
|
$ |
(7.25 |
) |
Net income (loss) per diluted share |
|
$ |
3.99 |
|
|
$ |
(7.25 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted-average number of common shares outstanding: |
|
|
|
|
Basic |
|
45,665,883 |
|
|
45,367,932 |
|
Diluted |
|
46,559,835 |
|
|
45,367,932 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AMBAC FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
Consolidated Balance Sheets (Unaudited)
($ in Thousands, except share data) |
|
December 31,
2018 |
|
September 30,
2018 |
Assets: |
|
|
|
|
Investments: |
|
|
|
|
Fixed income securities, at fair value (amortized cost: $3,020,744 and $3,001,432) |
|
$ |
3,115,675 |
|
|
$ |
3,221,301 |
|
Fixed income securities pledged as collateral, at fair value (amortized cost: $0 and $84,186) |
|
— |
|
|
84,186 |
|
Short-term investments, at fair value (amortized cost: $430,405 and $562,111) |
|
430,331 |
|
|
562,060 |
|
Other investments (includes $351,049 and $372,774 at fair value) |
|
391,217 |
|
|
411,604 |
|
Total investments |
|
3,937,223 |
|
|
4,279,151 |
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
|
63,089 |
|
|
52,505 |
|
Restricted cash |
|
19,405 |
|
|
— |
|
Receivable for securities |
|
3,351 |
|
|
46,376 |
|
Investment income due and accrued |
|
11,576 |
|
|
10,709 |
|
Premium receivables |
|
495,391 |
|
|
517,197 |
|
Reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid losses |
|
23,133 |
|
|
25,511 |
|
Deferred ceded premium |
|
61,134 |
|
|
45,204 |
|
Subrogation recoverable |
|
1,932,960 |
|
|
1,898,611 |
|
Loans |
|
9,913 |
|
|
10,082 |
|
Derivative assets |
|
59,468 |
|
|
50,262 |
|
Current taxes |
|
47,040 |
|
|
32,509 |
|
Insurance intangible asset |
|
718,931 |
|
|
755,734 |
|
Other assets |
|
112,788 |
|
|
22,191 |
|
Variable interest entity assets: |
|
|
|
|
Fixed income securities, at fair value |
|
2,737,286 |
|
|
2,718,377 |
|
Restricted cash |
|
999 |
|
|
1,024 |
|
Loans, at fair value |
|
4,287,664 |
|
|
4,563,091 |
|
Derivative assets |
|
66,302 |
|
|
61,543 |
|
Other assets |
|
1,058 |
|
|
3,387 |
|
Total assets |
|
$ |
14,588,711 |
|
|
$ |
15,093,464 |
|
Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity: |
|
|
|
|
Liabilities: |
|
|
|
|
Unearned premiums |
|
$ |
629,971 |
|
|
$ |
669,820 |
|
Loss and loss expense reserves |
|
1,826,078 |
|
|
1,868,484 |
|
Ceded premiums payable |
|
32,913 |
|
|
34,306 |
|
Deferred taxes |
|
40,130 |
|
|
27,537 |
|
Long-term debt |
|
2,928,929 |
|
|
2,937,771 |
|
Accrued interest payable |
|
375,808 |
|
|
356,711 |
|
Derivative liabilities |
|
76,699 |
|
|
61,331 |
|
Other liabilities |
|
62,085 |
|
|
61,533 |
|
Payable for securities purchased |
|
1,707 |
|
|
31,292 |
|
Variable interest entity liabilities: |
|
|
|
|
Accrued interest payable |
|
556 |
|
|
2,817 |
|
Long-term debt, at fair value |
|
5,268,596 |
|
|
5,585,860 |
|
Derivative liabilities |
|
1,712,062 |
|
|
1,657,173 |
|
Other liabilities |
|
30 |
|
|
20 |
|
Total liabilities |
|
12,955,564 |
|
|
13,294,655 |
|
Stockholders’ equity: |
|
|
|
|
Preferred stock, par value $0.01 per share; 20,000,000 shares authorized; issued and outstanding
shares—none |
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
Common stock, par value $0.01 per share; 130,000,000 shares authorized; issued: 45,365,170 and 45,365,170 |
|
454 |
|
|
454 |
|
Additional paid-in capital |
|
219,429 |
|
|
218,050 |
|
Accumulated other comprehensive income |
|
(48,715 |
) |
|
97,825 |
|
Retained earnings |
|
1,421,302 |
|
|
1,441,857 |
|
Treasury stock, shares at cost: 28,892 and 32,956 |
|
(473 |
) |
|
(527 |
) |
Total Ambac Financial Group, Inc. stockholders’ equity |
|
1,591,997 |
|
|
1,757,659 |
|
Noncontrolling interest |
|
41,150 |
|
|
41,150 |
|
Total stockholders’ equity |
|
1,633,147 |
|
|
1,798,809 |
|
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity |
|
$ |
14,588,711 |
|
|
$ |
15,093,464 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|