A new fuel technology – unveiled just two weeks ago – is about to revolutionize the energy business.
I saw it firsthand.
General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE, Stock Forum) asked me to present “The Future of Natural Gas” at the company’s Gas Turbine Symposium in Greenville, S.C. That’s where GE revealed a new generation of its market-leading turbine technology.
Most of GE’s major North American power-production end users attended the event. And the proceedings were simulcast to GE research centers in Munich, Bangalore, and Shanghai.
They made a fuss about this new technology for a reason: A change is coming to electricity production – a big one. The power-plant managers, technicians and government observers at the symposium knew this.
A confluence of market conditions, technical advances and politics right now is ushering in the next generation of power stations. The low price of natural gas – combined with the unlocking of unconventional gas production in the United States – is one reason. But the ongoing concerns over the role played by carbon emission caps and trade provisions in pending legislation may be a more pressing consideration.
The U.S. Senate is reviewing the Clean Energy Jobs and American Power Act, better known as the “Climate Bill.” It will no doubt impact coal-powered generation. That, of course, makes gas turbines a more significant energy option.
And GE knows turbines.
Indeed, its turbine center in Greenville is the largest in the world. And the “integrated gasification combined-cycle” (IGCC) technology GE is making now is changing everything.
It’s even creating opportunities for other businesses – companies developing, fabricating and servicing/supplying turbines. They’re becoming compelling targets for investors.
First, here’s why GE’s technology is so significant…
Energy is clean and powerful
IGCC technology is a product of GE’s “ecomagination” overture.
It takes low-value fuel – coal, petroleum coke, extra-heavy oil or bitumen (also called orimulsion), biomass or even municipal waste – and turns it into a high-hydrogen-content gas. The gas is then used as fuel in a turbine system to generate power.
The transition removes fuel sources having a high carbon footprint and replaces them with a less environmentally suspect source of power.
This is huge, since most people in the industry see the writing on the wall.
While coal and natural gas each provide about 23% of total current U.S. energy, coal is under greater pressure as carbon emissions face greater scrutiny by lawmakers.
With the U.N. Copenhagen energy summit approaching next month, there may just be enough political pressure from the White House for the passage of the Climate Bill. Yet even if there is a delay in the legislation, carbon concerns will remain. Coal-state senators are busy trying to grandfather existing coal power plants at home under whatever provisions emerge in the law – another clear indication higher carbon accountability is on the horizon.
That’s great news for the IGCC market, of course, which GE’s been in for two decades now. Business is picking up – big time.
On Oct. 29, the company announced the signing of a technical agreement for a new 250-megawatt IGCC power plant in Kern County, Calif., near Bakersfield. The plant will be built by a joint venture of the BP PLC Alternative Energy division and the hydrogen project unit of international mining major Rio Tinto PLC. It is also the first of five worldwide to result from a 2007 joint venture between GE and BP.
Expect more of these ventures globally as environmentally friendly technologies obtain political support.
The new plant will join IGCC facilities GE already built in California (Coolwater in Barstow) and Florida (Polk in Tampa). The company is also providing the technology for the Duke Energy Corp. plant in Edwardsport, Ind., which will be the largest IGCC facility in the world upon reaching commercial operation in 2012.
In total, GE has constructed some 70 gasification facilities of various types worldwide – so far. About 40 of these are already separating carbon using available commercial technology.
This market will be growing quickly.
A range of new investment options
While I was in Greenville, I had a chance to see the new gas turbine technologies in development and review operations at the GE manufacturing and testing plants. I also discussed the technical breakthroughs and challenges with GE’s top turbine executives.
We are just beginning to see some of the potential for this new direction in power production. And it is going to bring with it a range of new investment options.
First, in addition to a more positive environmental impact, there are profitable secondary applications resulting from IGCC and related gas turbine uses. For example, the Kern County plant will capture 90% of its carbon emissions and pipe them to enhance recovery at nearby oil fields. Word is, this plant will be the first in a new generation of IGCC applications to generate additional revenue streams from the carbon capture and sequestration process. The carbon dioxide will increase production (and therefore profitability) at what are now mature crude oil extraction sites.
Second, the new IGCC applications will spawn a number of new spin-off opportunities. The process significantly reduces emissions such as sulfur dioxide, nitrous oxide, mercury and particulate matter, while at the same time decreasing water consumption by as much as 30% in comparison to conventional coal-powered plants. Each of these advances will provide markets for a range of new, smaller, more-focused, technically based service, application and new product providers. What used to be waste is now a value-added product stream.
Third, the increasing market presence will assist companies in addition to GE and the electricity providers. New targeted applications are quickly developing in support of the transition to IGCC and other turbine applications. Providing services and parts (the so-called “aftermarket”) is currently controlled by the big boys – GE and its main turbine-producing competitors: Pratt & Whitney [a division of United Technologies Corp.], Rolls-Royce Group PLC and Siemens AG.
However, several smaller companies will profit from the turbine breakthroughs.
At the head of this list are upstarts like Gas Turbine Efficiency PLC (OTO: GTBEF, Stock Forum). It’s an Orlando-based company specializing in customer products and services for the entire line of GE gas turbines, including the Frame 7EA and newly unveiled 7FA lines – certain to be the center for an expansion of turbine usage worldwide.
Another is Dynamic Turbine LLC of Norcross, Ga. The company makes turbine blades, already approaching a $4 billon-a-year parts-and-services market to the turbine industry. Currently a privately held company, my sources tell me Dynamic Turbine is likely to expand into an integrated outfit by acquiring a recently closed foundry outside Phoenix. That will require a working capital infusion, which means an initial public offering (IPO) or private placement.
This is rapidly developing into an exciting “next stage” in energy. Now that the technology is available – and companies are employing it – there’s considerable upside potential, all the way from product development to service and support.