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Where to find safe resource income right now

Matt Badiali, Stansberry Research
0 Comments| October 5, 2010

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This week, investors closed out their best September since 1939...

The Dow Industrials climbed 7.7%... gold and silver soared to multi-decade highs... and commodities in general had their best September since 1956.

These extreme moves make it difficult to find extraordinary bargains in stocks and commodities... to invest with maximum safety.

Fortunately, there's still one asset out there that qualifies as "super cheap"...

When looking for value in resource stocks, it helps to compare various commodities to each other. For example, I like to see how the prices of coal and natural gas stack up. Since both commodities are used to fire electrical power plants, they can be valued against each other.

As this chart below shows, natural gas is cheap versus coal. When the ratio is greater than 0.8, we're in "cheap gas" territory. Today, the ratio is 0.9.

Click to enlarge

I also like to compare natural gas with gold. This allows us to view the value of natural gas in terms of "real money"... not the paper kind the governments can debase at will.

Natural gas became extremely cheap relative to gold back in September 2009. It then staged a huge rally. But in the past few months, rising gold prices plus weak natural gas prices have returned this ratio to "cheap gas" levels.

Typically, when a million cubic feet of gas is worth less than five ounces of gold, we're in "cheap gas" territory. Today, the ratio is 2.9 ounces per million cubic feet of gas.

Click to enlarge

If you're not finding terrific values in stocks and commodities after their huge September surge, I encourage you to check out natural gas. It's cheap relative to other energy sources, and it's cheap relative to gold. It's cheap relative to anything, really.

You can buy beaten down gas producers like Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK, Stock Forum) or Ultra Petroluem (NYSE: UPL, Stock Forum) to profit on this idea. If natural gas simply gets a little "less cheap," you could make fast double-digit gains.

But my favorite way to play this situation can provide investors with a safe stream of passive income. I'm talking about natural gas trusts. Trusts aren't your typical energy company with thousands of employees. They're basically land packages with producing oil and gas wells on them... and they enjoy a special corporate structure that allows them to pass along the bulk of their revenues on to their shareholders.

Even with gas prices in the dumps, a lot of these stocks are set up so they can offer terrific yields. Many pay income in the 5%-10% range.

Disclosure: The author does not hold positions in any of the stocks mentioned


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