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The Calandra Report: Breaking Good

Thom Calandra Thom Calandra, www.thomcalandra.com
1 Comment| July 29, 2015

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Commodities breaking bad ... for good

What again?

Many of you at TCR already browsed this report: largely about Asanko Gold in Ghana. (I put in an order to purchase some AKG today; so yes, I still am in love with western Africa.)

I wanted to add that today [Tuesday], I saw two more 'financial writers' making the case for yet lower gold: as low as $931 per ounce in one report. Talk about consensus bandwagons.

So, we at TCR update the latest on our possible confirmation tool for a gold rebound and lasting rally -- in the accompanying graphic -- cartoon style. Plus in full splendor at thomcalandra.com. For those unsure about spending $139 for a year of TCR Break Dancing.

TCR audience, and our Stockhouse freebie audience, gold mining costs are still way too high for comfort. The other day, I saw some bank’s average AISC, all-in sustaining cost, for one ounce of gold, come in at $978 an ounce or so.

Click to enlarge
Possible Confirmation Tool

I wonder how brutally honest this is. Most of the banks that follow the miners report about the same average all-in sustaining cost. Coincidence?

This report for our TCR audience also has a confessionthat I make — it is just before the#actionable graph in the link. Plus that confirmation tool-- the most recent article at TCR explaining how higher gold can follow a turn in the yen-for-Swiss-franc-trade — here.

To explain: a break-out -- a price for 100 yen that commands more than 0.80 of a Swiss franc. You want in this tool (cartoon) to see Japan's watery yen rise in price against the sturdy Swiss franc. Today the exchange rate is 0.778. This is how a 5-day chart looks of yen against franc with the 0.778 being on the far right:

Click to enlarge

If you want to think of this in reverse terms, take a look at a 5-year chart of how many yen 1 franc purchases:

Click to enlarge

That solitary franc commands about 128.4 yen today at the far right -- today. The far left is 2010 and here is the chart link for that one.

Please join us for more about this possible confirmation dynamic; and a look at Asanko Gold and the brutal honesty of what it takes to produce an ounce of gold.

I promise I won't be forecasting lower gold prices. I gave up forecasting. For that, the confession — it is just before the#actionable graph in the link.

Please read on: Breaking Good At TCR

It will not disappoint. -- Thom Calandra



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THE CALANDRA REPORT
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Thom Calandra & TCR are researchers and investors. They are not registered investment advisers. The research and material they offer to subscribers are meant as editorial opinion.


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