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The Calandra Report: Icahn's Margaritaville move

Thom Calandra Thom Calandra, www.thomcalandra.com
0 Comments| August 27, 2015

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Resources Tank No Longer Runs On Empty

Take II TCR adds: Seconds or minutes after this report transmitted, New York's Carl Icahn filed he had purchased 8.5 percent of copper and gold miner Freeport McMoran. That stock (FCX) in North America popped its plug, sling-shotting 30 percent or more than $1.5 billion of market value in post-market trading.

?The bargain hunter's bid for one of the globe's largest producers and processors of copper and other metals likely will bode well for several of our TCR preferred resource companies -- ones that have market heft ($500 million to $1 billion) and copper, gold, zinc, platinum mines within two years of production.? Best of that TCR lot: Ivanhoe Mines -- South Africa and Congo DRC; also Peter Breese's Asanko Gold (Ghana). Look for both to rise at least 15 percent Friday. On a smaller market-cap scale but much more highly strung than its South Africa neighbor in stock-market scale is Mike Jones's Platinum Group Metals. Look for a 20 percent rise in PTM/PLG shares Friday.

At the same time, our 100JPY/CHF confirmation tool reached 0.801 today. We at TCR, in partnership with our Florida strategist, Tony Giallourakis, calculate the 0.80 level of yen for Swiss francs will accompany a longlasting gold rally into 2017 or longer. See thomcalandra.com for charts and research on the yen-franc construct. It's a construct for sure, but not like some French filmmaker's plot. Simply put, Japanese yen at the expense of francs indicates for the first time in four years that billion-dollar money runners such as Mr. Icahn are shifting into gold, copper, platinum and silver. -- Thom Calandra

SAN FRANCISCO -- I'm transmitting our TCR before I hop Marin Airporter's rainbow bus across the GGB and home today/ Thursday?.

Just when we thought our ?TCR tank ?was running on empty, too. Thanks in part to Carl Icahn for putting ravished resources, especially metals, ?back in the dancing queen's ballroom, where they belong.

I bought more Endeavour Silver this week. I spent a few days in Zacatecas with its founder, Brad Cooke, a Canadian silver prospector.

I call him professor. Mr. Cooke is a geologist and mining executive who trades his own stock, Mr. Cooke, but only once in a great while. He is buying this week.

(Michael Dell used to do the same thing with his computer company's shares. He told me why once -- why shouldn't I, he said during a private and brief chat.)

Click to enlarge
Do Not Disturb: Possible Wizard At Work In Zacatecas

EXK/EDR shares have the widest trading swings of any Mexico silver stock I follow. I think I know why. *

This is the first time in a month where I bought a natural resource equity and I'm in fever night black just 24 hours later.

Of course, two or three years from now? Denise, Denise, I own some of my Endeavour Silver from 7 years ago. Bloody hell.

The point is, in another years-long spell, I could be suffering again with this stock and others in the underworld of resources -- withering like Jackson Browne on a coke bender in 1977. Or Robin a decade later.

Click to enlarge
Instructional Moment For Brad And A Newport Beach, California, Analyst

That's Mr. Cooke up there looking at some of his other company's core,Canarc Resource at Zacatecas. (See photos.) Canarc goes back to 1999, which is before Endeavour's producing silver-gold mines at Guanajuato and Durango, north of here in Mexico.

Canarc is a microscopic silver and gold mine developer.

Canarc (CCM in Canada/CRCUF in USA) is looking to replicate the success of much larger prospects in the Fresnillo and Zacatecas silver belts. Prominently Peter Megaw's Mag Silver to the northwest and lesser known Arian Silver.

First, Mr. Cooke and his Romania-born CEO, Catalin Chiloflischi, and his board must raise $750,000 to buy this El Compas property and surrounding acreage. More on that to come. Just to tell you, abba-just bought Canarc for the first time.

Where else can I know as much or more about a stock than the bankers and analysts on the property tour? At 5 cents USD or less?

Abba-gonna tell you where.

First, though, that rainbow bus to Marin arrives in 5 minutes. The county of Marin and GGB officials are renaming our Rainbow Tunnel into Sausalito, Tiburon-Belvedere and Mill Valley, after Robin Williams, the late comic.

If Marvin Gaye or Elvis had lived in Marin County and then passed into another kingdom, they would have named the bridge after them.

By now, maybe three of the 700 or so of our TCR family (paying customers that is) know I sprinkle-eth1977 references into the gold and silver dust of this report.

Don't ask why. I don't really know why. Maybe it's 10-at-10 running through my brain, a vu deja?

I do know I just added to my/our wasted portfolio of natural resources today. If you knew of $25 million market-cap companies with a good shot at a fever night 5x, you would be, too.

[By the way, I told my drama teachers at CUNY Brooklyn College in 1976 or 1977 that Travolta was going to be the biggest thing since Brando. Pacino, too. Travolta's probably made a metric ton more money than Al, but at least they are not Richard Gere, whom I used to idolize on Broadway ("Bent") until seeing sneak-shots pics of Ricardo on some sailing boat this summer. Talk about a cochon ready for the roast, all Mr. Gere needs is a blazing red apple stuffed into his mouth and shoved into a Napoli pizza oven.]

Look, I know we here at TCR (and thomcalandra.com) are not always spot on. This is after all year 5 of got-to-give-it-up for most metals and their producer-explorer agents. Look no farther, please, than a company I busted my ass for -- four years of researching and buying Bellhaven Copper & Gold and spending so much time in Colombia's Mid-Cauca Gold Belt, near Medellin, that I wiped some of my English idioma.

BHV Bellhaven made it to almost $1 from 10 cents on nothing but the promise of its Panama and Colombia gold properties. I sold not a share in Belly's run-up and only gave up on this cochon last year, when the stock was triple what it is now (YET STILL DOWN MORE THAN 50% FROM MY AVERAGE PURCHASE PRICE).

It's a good thing half the family is in Montreal right now getting the 19-year-old ready for his second year of university Quebecois-style (Concordia) or there'd be red-rain hell to pay when I got home -- after that BHV admission.

I still own way too much Bellhaven and am trying to sell whatever is left after these sick and suicidal reverse split and CEO shuffles and capital crises of late. Got to give that pig up.

Can I shoulder the loss? Not really, and neither can our TCR family. I apologize for that one.

Yet I still see the resources rainbow with formidable wizards of resources. Mr. Cooke of Endeavour and Canarc is one; he resembles a younger Dumbledore with the beard and all.

There are others who are in it because they are geologists or engineers and sometimes bankers who know how to locate cheap resource property and exploit it, without breaking their own banks.

Another one for you, this one in Ghana, I just bought today for the first time, here at the airport: Asante Gold. I believe we discussed Doug MacQuarrie, Asante's CEO and the geologist's fine work at (now Asanko's) Obotan gold property there in West Africa.

Click to enlarge
Quarry Next To Canarc's Zacatecas-coveted El Compas

Been there a few times. Doug's near Obuasi now, a famous Ghana gold mine that powered decades of high-grade alluvial, underground, veined and free gold for the former Ashanti Goldfields, now Anglogold Ashanti. I'm in ASE (Canada ticker) at something like 7 or 8 cents USD.

I could go on here (see TCR subscriber-only?trade confirmations below).

Not just silver and gold, either.

In the graphite rechargeable battery sweepstakes, I have more understanding now of Northern Graphite of Ontario. Never owned it but am starting to buy some now. It's near all-time lows, like most of the graphites.

Others in the research world know far more about Northern Graphite than I do. We'll see what happens at Bisset Creek.

I talked to one of the NGC (Canada ticker) shareholders this week, someone I have known for 5 years and is a member of our TCR family.

So I like what I hear. If that is elliptical, I apologize. There is so much fever night hype in the area of graphite and electric vehicles' need for large supplies of lithium and graphite for batteries.

Here is some material just out from Northern Graphite. I believe I just got some stock for 25 cents USD. The only other graphite developer I know is also in Canada: Quebec's Nouveau Monde Mining. That one I own for different reasons and is not going to be in any Nevada factory's lithium-ion battery sweepstakes.

So, hombres y mujeres, at the very least here, I'm not running on empty. Here comes the bus, the rainbow bus, for real. Thumbs out and up.?

Northern Graphite will triple or quadruple overnight if it gets even a sentence of attention in the graphite-necessary battery sweepstakes.

There are others. (All prices USD.) Just ask the professor there in Margaritaville. Now that was a great one from '77.?

*Endeavour Silver likely to outpace internal estimates of silver and gold production at its flagship Mexico properties.?


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Thom Calandra & TCR are researchers and investors. They are not registered investment advisers. The research and material they offer to subscribers are meant as editorial opinion.

See: thomcalandra.com for our expanding TCR family.

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