Active Prospect Generator with Potential Big Wins
Lara Exploration Ltd. (LRA:TSX.V, 0.79) is a prospect-generator exploration company focused in Latin America. The company has been successful at building a portfolio of projects and residual interests at low cost. It recently announced it would initiate a drill program on the recently acquired Planalto copper project in northern Brazil, which CEO Miles Thompson calls "one of the most compelling targets we've seen in a decade or more that Lara has been active in (the province)." The decision to fund a drill program before obtaining a joint-venture partner follows interpretation of old data, and supports this comment.
Earlier, Lara amended an option agreement on another project, Maravaia, whereby the property was immediately transferred in exchange for additional payment of $750,000 and a 5% fully carried interest (in addition to an existing royalty).
Another major copper property, Liberdade, also in Brazil, is currently the subject of a dispute between Codelco (Lara's partner) and Vale S.A. (VALE:NYSE). A lawsuit has been going on for well over two years.
Lara should end the year with over CA$1 million, and given its low burn rate, does not have a critical need to raise funds. Drilling results and a partner at Planalto or a settlement at Liberdade would see a significantly higher share price. In recent months, there has been meaningful insider buying. Yesterday, I was prepared to write that, notwithstanding the recent stock price rally—it traded at $0.63 at the beginning of the month—it remains very undervalued and is a buy. Following another stock move today, while it remains undervalued, we would wait for a pullback to add to positions.
Soft Results, but Undervalued
Kingsmen Creatives Ltd. (5MZ:SI: 0.58) saw a decline in revenue and profits in the recent period, with gross revenue down 10% on the same quarter a year ago, though gross profit for year-to-date was down just 0.5%. There was no specific reason in what is a lumpy business. Separately, it increased its investment in Kingsmen Shanghai to fund expansion.
Kingsmen has a strong balance sheet and solid returns. It is trading in single-digit P/Es (though at over 9x, above its long-term average multiple), and yielding 4.3% (though again closer to the recent low). We are buyers on weakness.
Cleaning Up the Company but No News
Reservoir Capital Corp. (REO:TSX.V, 0.05 x 0.065) has just completed a $850,000 equity raise. No other news is forthcoming. The raise may simply be to keep the company alive pending a transaction, or it could be in preparation for such a transaction. A loan to the company made by the chairman has been converted into shares, giving him ownership of nearly 20% of the shares outstanding. Again, such a move could be to clean the company in anticipation of a transaction (such as using the company as a shell into which to put another business). This is speculation on my part.
The shares have been hit by tax-loss selling, in addition to the lack of news. So unless you need the tax loss this year, hold for now.
Drilling but Higher Share Count Depresses Price
Cartier Resources Inc. (ECR:TSX.V, 0.195) has seen continued good results at its Chimo property, most recently including 9.4 g/t over 6.5 meters. Drilling is ongoing. It has also launched drilling together with its partner SOQUEM Inc. at its Fenton deposit. Separately, the company continues to raise equity funding, most recently raising $5.3 million in November, through the issuance of 18 million new shares, putting the share count now at 177 million shares. The shares have also been hit by U.S. tax-loss selling. Hold for now.
Adrian Day, London-born and a graduate of the London School of Economics, heads the money management firm Adrian Day Asset Management, where he manages discretionary accounts in both global and resource areas. Day is also sub-adviser to the EuroPacific Gold Fund (EPGFX). His latest book is "Investing in Resources: How to Profit from the Outsized Potential and Avoid the Risks."
Disclosure:
1) Adrian Day: I, or members of my immediate household or family, own shares of the following companies mentioned in this article: Lara Exploration. I personally am, or members of my immediate household or family are, paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None. My company has a financial relationship with the following companies mentioned in this article: None. Funds controlled by Adrian Day Asset Management hold shares of the following companies mentioned in this article: Lara Exploration, Kingsmen Creatives and Reservoir Capital. I determined which companies would be included in this article based on my research and understanding of the sector.
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