Join today and have your say! It’s FREE!
We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.
Please Try Again
{{ error }}

Join today with :

or

By providing my email, I consent to receiving investment related electronic messages from Stockhouse.
Sign in with existing account
Please Try Again
{{ error }}

Sign In With :

or

Password Hint : {{passwordHint}}
Forgot Password?
Please Try Again {{ error }}

Send my password

SUCCESS
An email was sent with password retrieval instructions. Please go to the link in the email message to retrieve your password.

Silver and the Yield Curve Inversion

Hubert Moolman
0 Comments|September 23, 2019

Yield curve inversions have historically been great for silver prices. Currently we are experiencing such a phenomena, and again it is evidence of conditions that are conducive to some impressive silver rallies.

Below, is a long-term chart showing the spread between the 10-year Treasure Note Yield and the 3-month Treasury Bill Rate.

hm1.jpg
 

I have chosen these two to show data for a long-term analysis. There appears to be a mega rounding top. The spread has just recently gone negative (inverted). There is a great likelihood that the spread could go lower, given the rounding top and a similarity to the 70s pattern (ABC).

Silver has already started to move, but what kind of rally can we expect going forward? Previously, I have argued that we are likely to see a rally similar to the late 70s .

Below, is a comparison of the above chart and a long-term silver chart to:

hm2.jpg
 

Notice how there were two deep negative spread dives in the 70s. As soon as those spreads went negative the first time during those inversions, silver started a massive rally.

As soon as the current inversion started, silver also started to rally. Will we have a shallow negative spread dive like the two recent ones, or will we see a deep and protracted negative spread dive like that of the 70s?

A deep dive like the 70s would be consistent with conditions ideal for a monster silver rally.

Warm regards

Hubert Moolman

 

 

Tags:

Comments

No comments yet. Be first to comment!

Leave a Comment

You must be logged in to access this feature.



×

StockTalk
Get our FREE StockTalk Investor Guides by sector as they are released!

Stay on top of sector specific news, get industry leaders insights and our best content, delivered to your email.

You are already a member! Please enter your password to sign in.