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Oil & Gas Services Company Upgraded to Buy

Streetwise Reports, Streetwise Reports
0 Comments| January 31, 2020

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The reasons behind the changed rating and expectations for the firm's Q4/19 are presented in an iA Securities report.

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In a Jan. 27 research note, analyst Elias Foscolos reported that iA Securities upgraded its rating on Pason Systems Inc. (PSI:TSX) to Buy from Hold "as upside has improved and U.S. drilling likely bottomed."

Foscolos previewed Q4/19 for the Calgary-based the oil and gas services company that provides "specialized data management systems for drilling rigs."

He wrote that iA Securities expects Pason Systems' Q4/19 revenue to be down 11% quarter over quarter (QOQ) due to an 11% drop in rig counts to an average of 798 in the U.S. during that period. However, stability in Canada and a projected increase internationally should somewhat offset the lower revenue. The $30 million of EBITDA that iA Securities projects for Pason in Q4/19 is in line with consensus' estimate.

Foscolos noted that drilling in the U.S. has reached a nadir, and independent companies are feeling the brunt of it more than the majors. "As U.S. net oil production changes approach zero, a level of drilling will be reached where majors are at least drilling enough to replace aging production," he added.

The analyst highlighted that Pason warrants a higher valuation than its peers due to its "premium fundamentals," which include about $150 million of net cash, a capex-light business, robust cash flow and a mid-double digit return on equity.

Looking forward, iA Securities projected lowered EBITDA in Q4/19 and 2020, respectively, of 6% QOQ and 5% year over year. "Despite these headwinds, we project ~$20M in quarterly run-rate funds flow from operations (FFO), and the Company has a clean balance sheet and other favorable fundamentals relative to peers," the analyst wrote.

Accordingly, the financial firm maintained its CA$16.15 per share target price on Pason Systems, whose stock is currently trading at around CA$13.19 per share.

1) Doresa Banning compiled this article for Streetwise Reports LLC and provides services to Streetwise Reports as an independent contractor. She or members of her household own securities of the following companies mentioned in the article: None. She or members of her household are paid by the following companies mentioned in this article: None.
2) The following companies mentioned in this article are billboard sponsors of Streetwise Reports: None. Click here for important disclosures about sponsor fees.
3) Comments and opinions expressed are those of the specific experts and not of Streetwise Reports or its officers. The information provided above is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
4) The article does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports' terms of use and full legal disclaimer. This article is not a solicitation for investment. Streetwise Reports does not render general or specific investment advice and the information on Streetwise Reports should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Streetwise Reports does not endorse or recommend the business, products, services or securities of any company mentioned on Streetwise Reports.
5) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned. Directors, officers, employees or members of their immediate families are prohibited from making purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise from the time of the interview or the decision to write an article until three business days after the publication of the interview or article. The foregoing prohibition does not apply to articles that in substance only restate previously published company releases.

Disclosures from iA Securities, Pason Systems Inc., Quarterly Preview, January 27, 2020

Conflicts of Interest: The research analyst and or associates who prepared this report are compensated based upon (among other factors) the overall profitability of iA Securities, which may include the profitability of investment banking and related services. In the normal course of its business, iA Securities may provide financial advisory services for the issuers mentioned in this report. iA Securities may buy from or sell to customers the securities of issuers mentioned in this report on a principal basis.

Analyst's Certification: Each iA Securities research analyst whose name appears on the front page of this research report hereby certifies that (i) the recommendations and opinions expressed in the research report accurately reflect the research analyst's personal views about the issuer and securities that are the subject of this report and all other companies and securities mentioned in this report that are covered by such research analyst and (ii) no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by such research analyst in this report.

Analyst Trading: iA Securities permits analysts to own and trade in the securities and or the derivatives of the issuer under their research coverage, subject to the following restrictions. No trades can be executed in anticipation of coverage for a period of 30 days prior to the issuance of the report and 5 days after the dissemination of the report to our clients. For a change in recommendation, no trading is allowed for a period of 24 hours after the dissemination of such information to our clients. A transaction against an analyst's recommendation can only be executed for a reason unrelated to the outlook of the stock for the issuer and with the prior approval of the Director of Research and the Chief Compliance Officer.

Company Related Disclosures:
--The analyst has visited the issuer's operations. No payment or reimbursement was received from the issuer for the associated travel costs.


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