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Oil Price Fundamental Daily Forecast – U.S. Supply Will Control Price Action This Week

The late price behavior on Friday and early Monday suggests crude oil traders have fully priced in the Phase One trade agreement. This means that investors will be looking for further news to push prices through the important technical resistance levels in order to extend the...

Will U.S. Shale Survive If Oil Hits $40?

Within a month, the U.S. oil benchmark West Texas Intermediate recorded two first-of-a-kind events. First, it fell below zero on April 20. Then, it soared up so high it is about to book its best month ever, CNBC's Pippa Stevens noted in a recent commentary. Still, many ...

The U.K. Just Said No to EU Socialism. Will U.S. Voters Do the Same in 2020?

Let’s begin with a thought experiment. Imagine you wake up tomorrow from a three and a half-year coma. Everything that’s happened in the meantime—the election of Donald Trump, impeachment, Brexit and more—is a complete mystery to you....

What Does The Great Disconnect Imply for Gold?

It seems that global stock markets have disconnected from the fundamental reality. They have been rising since the end of March despite the collapsing economies and soaring unemployment. We invite you to read our today’s article about the Great Disconnect and f...

Gold and the Cracks in the U.S., Japan and Germany’s Economic Data

Talk of a synchronized world - all three economic superpowers are in a recession! The U.S. suffers from industrial recession, Japan from export recession, while Germany may fall into a broad economic recession. Will the gold market warm up to these news? Recent U.S. Da...

Buzz on the Bullboards: Upbeat U.S. earnings good news for all?

Do rising tides truly lift all ships? We are in the midst of a strong earnings season and U.S. markets have reacted in kind. Strong earnings growth pushed Wall Street indices towards fresh record highs this past week. While activity moved lower earlier on, the belief ...

Get Ready for a Weaker U.S. Dollar… And Stronger Gold

Unemployment in the U.S. is at a half-century low and the S&P 500 is trading at near-record highs. Nevertheless, the Federal Reserve today trimmed interest rates for the first time since the financial crisis on stalled manufacturing growth and an anticipated world econo...

Desert Gold, Barrick, Intel: Will U.S. stagflation push gold higher?

Gold has reached another record level of over US$2,300 per ounce. Investors are betting that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this year. Gold has been on an upward trend since mid-February. On the one hand, it has a reputation for maintaining or...

DOUBLE WHAMMY: Fed Policy and the U.S.-China Trade War

Markets were decisively in “risk-off” mode last week. Following weak manufacturing news last Thursday, the yield on the 10-year Treasury sunk to its lowest level since October 2017. The spread between the 10-year yield and three-month yield, in fact,...

Will Powell Decouple Gold from the Stock Market?

This week, Powell gave a long television interview and a testimony to the Senate. What groundbreaking did he say, and what do his remarks imply for the gold market? Powell Gives Interview and Testifies Powell dominated media news this week. On Sunday, the Fed Chair gave...
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