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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Aleafia Health Inc ALEAF

Aleafia Health Inc. is a Canada-based cannabis company. The Company offers cannabis products in Canada and destined for international markets, including Australia and Germany. The Company operates a virtual medical cannabis clinic staffed by physicians and nurse practitioners, which provide health and wellness services across Canada. It owns three licensed cannabis production facilities and... see more

GREY:ALEAF - Post Discussion

Aleafia Health Inc > Cannabis trading Update...
View:
Post by red2000 on Jan 18, 2021 10:57am

Cannabis trading Update...

from BMO Cannabis trading update dated january 15 2021.

Here is a quick resume, homemade !

Aleafia value  :     Share Price $0.82 - Out. Sh. 301,2 M   Equity Value 247M$

Revenue forecast CY2021 : 101M$ - Ratio 2,5X
Compare to 2020 : 27M$ in 9 months added with 15M$ (my call) in Q4 = 42M$ 
forecast expected 240% increase in 2021.

Cannabis stock revenue ratio expected for 2021 is 4,9X for Cannabis producers.


EBITDA forecast CY2021 : 18M$ - Ratio 14,2X
Cannabis stock EBITDA ratio expected for 2021 is 33,4X.

Revenue forecast CY2022 : 159M$ - Ratio 1,6X
so far, forecast expected 57% increase compare to 2021.

Cannabis stock revenue ratio expected for 2022 is 4,4X.

EBITDA forecast CY2022 : 35M$ - Ratio   7,3X
Cannabis stock EBITDA ratio expected for 2022 is 28,7X.

So how much worth a Aleafia share price ????

For me, way over next warrants of 1,55$.

Buyback share is probable to reduce out. shares !!
And it's not consider by BMO analyst so far !

Any comments, opinion, or some more details ???

Thank's in advance !

Still LONGS
Comment by red2000 on Jan 18, 2021 5:09pm
As I said earlier today, target is minimum 1,55$ to exercice the warrants. if we use : Cannabis stock revenue ratio expected for 2021 is 4,9X for Cannabis producers. The stock suppose to hit 1,36$ in 2021, with 100M$ in revenue ! (100M$ X 4,9) divided by 301,2M out. sh. = 1,36$ per share. If we use Cannabis stock EBITDA ratio expected for 2021 is 33,4X. The stock suppose to hit 1,36$ in ...more  
Comment by ShakngMyHead00 on Jan 18, 2021 5:26pm
Good price targets for a dummy. You have no idea how algos work. Tell your friend to take you back. 
Comment by red2000 on Jan 19, 2021 9:11pm
Stop Shaking your head !!! There's nothing inside !
Comment by ShakngMyHead00 on Jan 19, 2021 9:15pm
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by red2000 on Jan 20, 2021 8:16am
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
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