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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum CannaRoyalty Corp C.CRZ

Origin House is a growing cannabis product and brands company operating across key markets in the U.S. and Canada. The company delivers over 130 branded cannabis products to the licensed dispensaries. It provides distribution, manufacturing, cultivation and marketing services for its brand partners. The company operates through two operating segments, The Corporate segment derives income from... see more

CSE:CRZ - Post Discussion

CannaRoyalty Corp > Considering warrants, but limited value at present.
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Post by sark666 on Jul 27, 2018 4:30am

Considering warrants, but limited value at present.

I've had crz for a while and want to add to my position.  I wish I grabbed the warrants when they were first issued but ce la vie.  

So the strike is 5.50, currently trading for a 1.50 and acceleration of 15 days above 8.

Let's say one put in 5,000.00 and let's say a year from now or whenever, it's trading above 8, let's say 8.50.

By shares today at 4.38 would get you 1141 shares, and at 8.50 return 4703.20 profit.

By warrants today at 1.50 would get you 3333 shares, and at 8.50 return 5000.00 profit.

Difficult to justify the added risk of warrants for 6 % upside in the above scenario.

The only way it could really make it worth is if once it broke 8 it would have to really bounce to higher levels before the acceleration would kick in.  

My experience in warrants is limited so would like to hear others thoughts.  

The stock has pulled back enough where I'm looking to add, but took a second look at the warrants and I'm not seeing the value for the added risk at this point.
Comment by Druckenmiller on Jul 27, 2018 8:55am
Great question, while I was in WEED during last year's run-up. I watched those ACB warrants fly. It would be nice if someone could add some color to their thoughts on Crz warrants.
Comment by sark666 on Jul 27, 2018 1:38pm
Well, the acceleration clause can seriously hamper any 'flying' this might do.  As I mentioned, it would have to fly pretty strong above 8 quickly before the 15 day accel kicked in.
Comment by calvin43951 on Jul 27, 2018 5:49pm
What you also have to remember is that once the company announces that it is accelerating the warrants there is still a 30 day period for people to exercise the warrants. The price per share can keep running given the right environment. That been said there is still a premium put on the warrants at that time also. The premium at this time is around $1.50 Therefore even when the stock trades at the ...more  
Comment by sark666 on Jul 28, 2018 6:23pm
True the 30 days adds a bit of buffer for a potential run.  But's that's the only play in the warrants at this level: hope of a breakout run.  I was just calc'ing intrensic value.   And acceleration affects the time premium as well.  If it breaks and holds above 8, then the warrants life is suddenly reduced dramatically.   Because of this, I wanted ...more  
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