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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Conifex Timber Inc CFXTF


Primary Symbol: T.CFF

Conifex Timber Inc. is a Canada-based forest products company, which operates fiber baskets in North America, northern British Columbia. The Company produces lumber products and renewable energy from its sawmill and bioenergy plant in Mackenzie, British Columbia. Its lumber products are sold in the United States, Canadian and Japanese markets. It also produces bioenergy at its power generation... see more

TSX:CFF - Post Discussion

Conifex Timber Inc > A short read following up my looong previous post
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Post by dosperros on Jul 13, 2021 9:54pm

A short read following up my looong previous post

I forgot to mention, the Q1 buyback was 0.922M, then Q2 was 1.46M. Of the 2.944M authorization, that's about 82%. Decent... and for a major quarter they likely drop a SIB worth 2 months at least. More of Ken hedged like he's done before. 


Anyway, check my previous post at it's more substantive and scathing.  This is just descriptive bland stuff I forgot to add the first time.

Comment by PapaJay10000000 on Jul 14, 2021 2:05pm
I mean, I was a solid C- kid in highschool, so I'm no genius but it sounds like there's still a lot of latent value in CFF... These are the kinds of analytical posts we need more of. I manage a mall in Mackenize BC, I flew up to do some work and stop in on tenants two weeks ago. I drove past Conifex just for fun while I was in town and took a few pics from outside. They're definitely ...more  
Comment by dosperros on Jul 14, 2021 3:18pm
Beauty... that's always very helpful to have boots on the ground insight.  Running/delays/mutiny... that sort of thing.  Keep the updates coming. I’ll send you a DM… if you had a photo to share that would be great as I haven’t done the drive by myself yet. So the question on market caps and 1x is a good one.  Check out this list of the total market per Aswath Damodaran.  ...more  
Comment by PapaJay10000000 on Jul 14, 2021 7:04pm
I wouldn't really call myself "boots on the ground" but I travel out that way every few months to check up on stuff. Sure, I can send a couple pics over if you like. That's the massive silver lining in the insane lumber prices eh? Theoretically, it should've wiped out a significant portion of debt and increase cashfolw for pretty much any lumber company on the market. Even ...more  
Comment by 2young2invest on Jul 15, 2021 9:52pm
You guys don't read news, eh? https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-30/british-columbia-tree-costs-surge-as-lumber-makers-move-south July lumber futures hit $490 today, CFF mill is most likely not profitable below $400.
Comment by dosperros on Jul 15, 2021 11:34pm
Dang, no, I rarely do any reading outside of some NSFW magazines personally. But when I do, I make sure to follow those swell media insights blindly.  You're probably being overly generous assuming minimal earnings at $400 given the fiasco that is the BC market pricing system, CFF being an uncompetitive operator, and it's old asset base. But, it begs the question, is July pricing ...more  
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