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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Fortuna Mining Corp FSM


Primary Symbol: T.FVI Alternate Symbol(s):  T.FVI.DB.U

Fortuna Mining Corp., formerly Fortuna Silver Mines Inc., is a Canada-based precious metals mining company with mines in the Latin America and West Africa regions. It has operated mines in Argentina, Burkina Faso, Cote d’Ivoire, Mexico, and Peru. Its mine products include gold, silver, lead, and zinc. Its mines and projects include Seguela Mine, Yaramoko Mine, Lindero Mine, San Jose Mine, and... see more

TSX:FVI - Post Discussion

Fortuna Mining Corp > Where's the Bottom?
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Post by ShatnersRug on Dec 09, 2021 12:05pm

Where's the Bottom?

This is a question for the ages.
Generally speaking, and not specifically about FVI, my feeling is that the 'bottom' will be evident anywhere from now until mid-summer.

The greenback is still king.... for now.
Being gold/silver bugs, we assume that rising inflation will result in PM price increases. Sadly, this is not the case, yet. While the dollar rules, and it does so at the moment, inflation will be held at bay by the fed in the form of interest rates increases. When interest rates rise, so does the dollar. As a result, stocks tumble and PMs decrease in value. It's been the nature of the beast since at least going back to when the US took the dollar off the gold gold standard(Think Nixon).

But.

Inflation has become stupid, and volatility permeates the markets. Even while we are traipsing toward the end of the fiat currency road, there is money to be made within the current framework. Tomorrow we have 3 major economic indicators coming up.

User image

If inflation exceeds 4.9 and 6.9% AND consumer sentiment falls short, I predict that metals will take a tumble. If inflation numbers are high, speculators will anticipate an earlier rate hike and price that in to metals, and in turn, share prices for miners.

What we, the retailer, need to do is to be able to identify the moment just before that string that holds the greenback to inflation to PM pricing becomes so taut, that it snaps.
As soon as faith in the greenback fails, PMs will rise hard and fast to 1) act as a store of protecting one's wealth, 2) hedge against inflation

In my opinion, jumping in at any point now in a PM miner will pay dividends in the not-too-distant future (3 to 5 years). But man, it's oh so tempting to wait it out and buy 25% more shares with the same capital by waiting another month or two. Potentially.

After one or two rate increases I think the ensuing stress of doing so will test the greenback along with the faith that the global financial system has put into it.What do you say? Have we hit bottom? I think we have a ways to go.

Comment by ShatnersRug on Dec 09, 2021 12:09pm
Image to go along with last post:
Comment by IgnacioCashmere on Dec 09, 2021 12:36pm
Metals jumped on inflation last year. Money was made this year on the higher prices. What comes next is the inflation of costs to miners; labor, energy, materials, equipment. So with higher prices for payable metals, that doesn't necessarily mean higher profits when the AISC is calculated. The profits this year were fantastic for many miners, but next year may not be as stellar. Timing is ...more  
Comment by Stratocheif on Dec 09, 2021 7:10pm
Gold is the ultimate fear trade. And fear takes a while manifest and to fade. People think of the immediate past and extrapolate it into the future. In the 70s there was stagflation. It caused a lot of fear about the future. I remember many people talking of closing their businesses and buying a farm to escape the coming calamity. Uncertainty about the future = fear = gold goes to 850. Again in ...more  
Comment by greendayyyy on Dec 14, 2021 3:13pm
Could end the year around $2.75 and even fall below $2 in early 2022.
Comment by greendayyyy on Dec 15, 2021 11:46am
As mentioned yesterday FVI could end the year around $2.75 and even fall below $2.00 in early 2022. All gold stocks are being battered and I believe this correction is far from over. Personal opinion. I sincerely hope I am wrong.
Comment by Wynjoe on Dec 15, 2021 11:49am
When a stock goes in the doghouse,nobody knows how low s/p could drop. I thought we might be near bottom at $4.25(guess not),lol.Companies issue too many shares in the beginning of most ventures, and the inevitable always seems to happen. I see below $2.00 ,as s/p will be under pressure for the next couple of months, at least. Oh my.....
Comment by yoshka2000 on Dec 15, 2021 1:19pm
Every year about this time, tax loss for those that can use it as well to concider. I don't have that benefit?
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