GREY:GRFJF - Post by User
Comment by
gwrbion Sep 27, 2008 5:41pm
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Post# 15489038
Cash Flow Hedges
Cash Flow HedgesNot sure on the specific question. However when gold plummetted earlier this month I laughed at the consideration that all of a sudden WGI's $801/oz hedge was "golden". Not only that, all of a sudden the huge Mark to Market loss over the last few quarters would be reversing over the next next few quarters - creating a big "GAAP" win. But yet the underlying value of the company would have diminished - based on lower gold price and lower future net cash flows. This mark to market thing is a waste of time - as $801 is solid hedge price on only a fraction of their output. This point is now mute now that gold is back pushing $900.
One other question, with WGI being based in the US - the falling US dollar (i.e. $700B buyout) will push up the price of gold - but WGI's cash flows will have a lower value based on the lower $US. Bit of a dichotomy .
I think the only thing that will get this share price going is a continued increase in production, and a removal of the uncertainty on production costs - all of this will bear out in the very short term.