HRG stats need some inputI was curious about how HRG has been "trading" and I cannot seem to find the kind of information I have been looking for on the web or my broker site (BMO is really piss poor on anything useful), so I took a stab at generating an indexing of trades and would like some input from the board. And maybe share it, if the logic passes. Yes I know there are external factors I have no control over, all I have are the completed trades. But at least its a start. There is a trend, as long as the players are consistent, some may be working in concert, but there is a pattern. And maybe I can see when it slows, stops, starts, or increases. Ya I know too much time on my hands...but if it helps us..why not, you have a better suggestion????
Take today (Feb 23, 2010) as an example. There were 560,314 shares traded, 182 individual trades, 177 trades at net (buy and sell were equal), 3 trades (buy was higher that the last trade) and 2 trades where the price was lower than the trade before. This is the first pass. I can then "tag" transactions through a "filter" and add more complex queries.
Now before you guys think I am crazy, I ran this test based on the same criteria against last weeks drop, and some amazing data relationships popped out, (but I won't share that yet). What I can say is, if you look at the transactional data you can see the sell order that wiped out the bids and started the drop, you can also see the brokers keeping up the pressure (Jitney and Canacord).
I wanted to see how the bids and volume were reacting, is it the same broker pushing the price down? small bids chipping away after an uptick? How does HRG react to the POG as I can capture that element and add it in as well as the TSX gold index and the TSX as a whole.
What I can say is there are no significant shorts on HRG as of Feb 15, Canacord has been selling MILLIONS of shares for the past 45 days without any buying, so why would someone sell into what could be higher prices. I smell a rat, who knows it might even be oh my god .....SEVERSTAL. Because no one else in their right mind would sell into the emerging story of HRG....unless I am mississing something. What can I say I started playing Sukoku and it kind of gets your mind going.
Thanks
CJ
trades Volume
| SAME | 177 | 546,814 |
| UP | 3 | 12,000 |
| DOWN | 2 | 1,500 |
| Total volume | 182 | 560,314 |
Stats how many trades were completed by which broker. (Below)
***Canacord selling again today, but not pushing the price down*******
| Count of STATS | STATS | | |
| SELL1 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
| Anonymous | 5 | | |
| BMO | 4 | | |
| Canaccord | 43 | | |
| CIBC | 55 | 3 | |
| Desjardins | 7 | | |
| Instinet | 3 | | |
| Jitney | 15 | | |
| National | 2 | | |
| Newedge | 1 | | |
| Penson | 8 | | |
| RBC | 11 | | |
| Scotia | 19 | | 1 |
| TD | 4 | | 1 |
Matrix of buys and sells.
Canacord bought 0 and sold 158,000 today, and CIBC was the big buyer.
| BUYERS | __ACROSS__ | | | | | | | | | |
| Row Labels | Canaccord | CIBC | Desjardins | Goldman | Jitney | Merrill | Penson | RBC | Scotia | TD | Total
SELLERS |
| Anonymous | | 12,000 | | 5,000 | | | | | 5,000 | | 22,000 |
| BMO | | 1,500 | 300 | | | 5,000 | | | | 9,000 | 15,800 |
| Canaccord | | 89,500 | | | | 29,500 | 3,000 | 8,500 | 26,000 | 1,500 | 158,000 |
| CIBC | | 32,500 | | | 4,500 | | | | 17,000 | 48,500 | 102,500 |
| Desjardins | | 1,500 | 400 | | | | | | 15,500 | 3,900 | 21,300 |
| Instinet | | 6,500 | 4,000 | | | | | | 10,500 | | 21,000 |
| Jitney | | 8,500 | | 36,500 | 500 | | 500 | 11,500 | | 1,000 | 58,500 |
| National | | | 750 | | | | | | | | 750 |
| Newedge | | 500 | | | | | | | | | 500 |
| Penson | | 500 | | | | | | | 500 | 3,000 | 4,000 |
| RBC | | 21,000 | 1,464 | | | 500 | | 10,000 | 1,500 | 18,000 | 52,464 |
| Scotia | | 18,500 | | | | | 1,000 | | 29,000 | 21,000 | 69,500 |
| TD | 500 | 500 | | | | | | | 32,000 | 1,000 | 34,000 |
| Grand Total | 500 | 193,000 | 6,914 | 41,500 | 5,000 | 35,000 | 4,500 | 30,000 | 137,000 | 106,900 | 560,314 |