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Newcrest Mining Ltd NCMGF


Primary Symbol: A.NCM

Newcrest Mining Limited is an Australia-based mining company. The Company's principal activities are exploration, mine development, mine operations and the sale of gold and gold/copper concentrate. The Company owns and operates a portfolio of brownfields and greenfields exploration projects. The Company’s assets include Brucejack, Cadia, Havieron, Lihir, Red Chris, Telfer and Wafi-Golpu. The Brucejack asset is located approximately 950 kilometers (km) from Vancouver, Canada. The Cadia asset is located approximately 25 km from Orange, New South Wales (NSW). The Havieron asset is located approximately 45 km east of Telfer. The Lihir asset is located on the Niolam Island, approximately 900 km from Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea (PNG). The Red Chris asset is located approximately 1,700 km from Vancouver, Canada. The Telfer asset is located approximately 400 km from Port Hedland, WA. The Wafi-Golpu asset is located approximately 65 km from the city of Lae, PNG.


ASX:NCM - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Comment by GoldSilverbug77on Aug 05, 2013 2:28pm
374 Views
Post# 21650343

RE:RE:pvg

RE:RE:pvg
Touareg,

Can you help quantify "going through the roof" or in other words, where do you see this stock price heading if based on certain assumptions in gold price

====

A quick /easy / dirty way i use for best case scenario is below:

Production oz / yr =  450k
Allin cost/ Oz =  550$ ( rounding it from 510 to 550 to adjust with inflation etc).
Gold future price assumption = 2000/Oz
Year for valuation = 2017

Cash Flow pre tax / year = 645 mm

Assuming 8 times multiple for canadian producer

Future Mkt cap = ~5B

Fully diluted Equity assumed = 150mm ( assuming equity / debt for fund raising)

2017 share price = 33$ ( ~4x multiplier at current prices)

If gold price =3500 /Oz will push the target price = ~70$ ( ~9x multiplier)
=====================

Hoping to hear your thoughts

GSB

Bullboard Posts