Post by
PabloLafortune on Aug 09, 2023 10:58am
Nuvista Q3 & Q4 cashflow
Looking at Q3 projected production, extrapolate Q4 projection (annual less first less Q3 projected), 2nd half capex projected (Year budget less 1st half), current price of oil and natural gas strip (prices are much higher in Nov/Dec than now at least in the US), it seems like the 2nd half free cashflow - before buybacks and debt repayment - is going to be a big number ($250M?).
Because according to my napkin profit model, condensate revenue alone (after related royalties) will more than cover all costs (ops, transportation unless natgas specific, G&A, interest, SBC and last but not least, CAPEX) in the 2nd half, leaving Natural gas and NGLs (less related royalties and related transportation) revenues straight to the bottom line.
Please do your own due diligence as your mileage may vary and I am not a professional.