OTCPK:PDPYF - Post by User
Comment by
LongRoadon Jan 11, 2018 9:00pm
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RE:RE:RE:RE:AECO vs. US pricing
RE:RE:RE:RE:AECO vs. US pricingThanks for the data. You are both correct.
In 2017, including the impact of price hedges the CEO stated that they were 7% exposed to AECO spot prices.
In 2018, they are ramping up production by 45%, and, of course, some of the hedging contracts have come to an end. This changes the mix of how much AECO spot exposure they have, and they have signalled that they are 23% exposed to AECO spot prices.
Similar to Q4, they will not be able to get a good price on everything and I expect that they will shut in some of their production due to pricing during the course of the year. (Anticipated fourth quarter 2017 average daily production volumes were impacted by pricing-related voluntary shut-ins of 54 MMcfe/d (9,000 boe/d).)
Just the same, it appears the risk/reward ratio is favorable as they continue to grow their production, and mainly focus on diversifying price and distribution risk.