Not comparing but...I have a 50/50 shot at being right just like everyone else on this board. Ever look at Amazons ride to the top? Many, many shareholders bailed on Amazon because of huge price fluctuations throughout Amazons history. I see a commodity as data and that commodity needs protection. Even look at Apple, at one point they looked done for, look at the lows they had then the rise to the top. If investing was easy and patience grew on trees then everyone would do it and be good at it.
https://www.fool.com/investing/2016/06/26/amazon-stocks-history-the-importance-of-patience.aspx