TSX:CAR.UN - Post Discussion
Post by
retiredcf on Aug 12, 2020 8:55am
TD
Maintain their $59.00 target. GLTA
Canadian Apartment Properties REIT
(CAR.UN-T) C$49.07
Q2 First Look: Results Miss Slightly; NOI in Line; SPNOI +2.6%
Event
Q2/20 results
Impact: NEUTRAL
Q2/20 NFFO/unit (f.d.) was $0.553, +3% versus Q2/20, but below our $0.576 estimate. Consensus was $0.57. AFFO/unit (our calculation) of $0.475 was also lower than our $0.498 estimate. NOI was directly in line. The negative variance versus our estimate was largely attributed to lower-than-expected investment income and income from IRES (equity accounted).
Rent Collections. June collections were ~98% for the residential and MHC portfolios, and ~97% including commercial and ancillary income. Currently less than 0.5% of tenants are on deferral programs. With economies reopening, CAPREIT has reintroduced rent increases (suspended during Q2). Bad debts increased to $2.4mm (1.1% of revenue) from $0.6mm (0.3% of revenues) in Q2/19. We expect an NOI tailwind once the moratorium on evictions is lifted.
A conference call will be held at 10:00 a.m. ET today (1-833-714-0874; passcode: 2696403).
Operating Highlights
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Residential Suite SPNOI growth was +2.6% (YTD: +4.1%), as a 3.3% increase in revenues was partially offset by a 4.6% increase in operating costs. SPNOI margins were -50bps y/y to 64.9% as most regions reported higher bad debts and R&M costs. Ontario (52% of SPNOI) was +2.6%, Quebec (18%) was +5.2%, B.C. (13%) was +3.4%, and Alberta was -4.5%. MHC SPNOI was +2.6% (YTD: +4.5%).
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Residential Suite same-property occupancy was +10bps y/y at 98.9%. Net AMR increased 4.1% y/y to $1,291 due to gains on turns in Ontario, B.C., and Nova Scotia.
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Canadian Portfolio generated +7.9% AMR growth on suite turnover (4.0% of suites) on strength in Ontario, Nova Scotia, and Quebec.
Acquisition/Disposition/Development Activity
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Completed the purchase of eight operating leases for $131.2mm (link).
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Post-Q2 disposed of a 188-unit Calgary townhome property for $30.5mm (~
$162,235/unit)
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The REIT lowered the number of development projects to nine totaling 6,988 potential suites, from 14 totaling 7,790 potential suites, owing to the pandemic.
Balance Sheet
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CAPREIT had $338.2mm of liquidity ($213.5mm cash; $124.8mm available on credit lines), up from ~$255mm at Q1/20. The REIT has unencumbered assets valued at $773mm.
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Leverage (Debt/GBV) was +20bps q/q to 36.3%. Completed $165.4mm of refinancings at a WAIR of 1.98%.
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