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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Cardinal Energy Ltd (Alberta) T.CJ

Alternate Symbol(s):  CRLFF

Cardinal Energy Ltd. is an oil and gas company with operations focused on low decline oil in Western Canada. It is engaged in the acquisition, exploration and production of petroleum and natural gas in the provinces of Alberta, British Columbia, and Saskatchewan. Its operating areas include the Midale, South District, Central District, and North District. It has over 730 million original oils... see more

TSX:CJ - Post Discussion

Cardinal Energy Ltd (Alberta) > 2 possible reasons for a low price
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Post by Storny on Aug 05, 2023 1:58pm

2 possible reasons for a low price

It has been very apparent to investors that CJ is not moving with the price of Oil.
There are 2 possibilities:
  1. The Market Maker is really pissed off at the Day Traders taking his money (Me included taking his money) CJ has become very predictable during the morning when he comes in with a big Block Trade of over 50K shares to short the stock. We know the stock will go down so that he can cover later during the session. This has been going on for several weeks. The daily spread has been very minimal to discourage the Day Trader.
  2. A possible Buyout...A buyer will hire a financial institutions to keep the stock within a specific range (Possible Manipulation) in order to keep the BUY price low. The average closing price for CJ has been $7.08 during the past 20 trading days. It is normal to have an offer with a Premium of 20% to 30%  of the average Share price, thus $8.50 to $9.20. Buyout.
There is always a possibility the Institutions will have met their objectives and within 2 days bring up the share pice to $7.75 - $7.90 where it should be today based on the Oil price.

If life was only that easy....

TTFN
Comment by masfortuna on Aug 05, 2023 11:24pm
Where did you get that 20-30% premium number? Another poster who likes the sound of his own voice (keyboard).
Comment by Storny on Aug 06, 2023 9:10am
What is a typical M&A premium? "); display: inline-block; height: 24px; width: 24px; transform: rotateZ(-180deg);">     The premium in a merger or acquisition is defined as the difference between the offer price and the market price of the target before the announcement of the transaction. A substantial body of evidence indicates ...more  
Comment by Pottsy on Aug 06, 2023 9:53am
Good one Storny.....
Comment by masfortuna on Aug 07, 2023 12:04am
That depends on the M&A in question.  Go look at Pipestone and see what just happened...
Comment by Quintessential1 on Aug 08, 2023 8:04am
Pipestone as of now is an offer and not yet an aquisition.  Like IPL that deal could get sweetened.  I believe IPL's deal was a little closer to a 40% premium by the time the bidding was over and done with. GLTA
Comment by jx7000 on Aug 08, 2023 12:57pm
I was an IPL shareholder when Brookfield bought them out. I don't remember getting anything like a 40% premium.
Comment by Quintessential1 on Aug 09, 2023 10:05am
I recall Brookfield paying over $20 per share when their original offer was $16 and the stock was trading around $14 when their first offer came through.  Maybe you are recalling your ACB minus what you received? I could be wrong but it seems in the area of 40% ish GLTY and all
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