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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Cardinal Energy Ltd (Alberta) T.CJ

Alternate Symbol(s):  CRLFF

Cardinal Energy Ltd. is an oil and gas company with operations focused on low decline oil in Western Canada. It is engaged in the acquisition, exploration and production of petroleum and natural gas in the provinces of Alberta, British Columbia, and Saskatchewan. Its operating areas include the Midale, South District, Central District, and North District. It has over 730 million original oils... see more

TSX:CJ - Post Discussion

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Post by MohelJFox on Jul 01, 2022 8:25am

Off day math

Wti q1 ($95) - wti q2 (108.5) = 13.50$ difference
 
$13.5 x 21000 bpd x 30 days =  $8.5 million/ month increase earnings from last quarter.

160 million shares @ 5c dividend = $8 million/ per month.
 

So last quarter our dividends would have been basically covered just by the increased wti pricing alone ! Amazing!

Now bring in the fcf from last quarter and send 50% of that to "shareholder returns"  as per the new arrangement.
Wow !

Is this even legal to make this much for your shareholders ?

Mind boggling !

Comment by TheWokeLemming on Jul 01, 2022 10:49am
FCF for Q2 should be around $70-75 million.   For July I think the divvy stays at .05 but July 28 should see an announcement on increased returns.   If bought to the max, the NCIB should be around $10 million a month at current pricing, but generally 10% of shares are never taken off the table in a NCIB.  I see a divvy of .07  beginning in August.  My opinion only. 
Comment by sclarda on Jul 01, 2022 11:17am
MohelJFox wrote Wti q1 ($95) - wti q2 (108.5) = 13.50$ difference   $13.5 x 21000 bpd x 30 days =  $8.5 million/ month increase earnings from last quarter. 160 million shares @ 5c dividend = $8 million/ per month.   So last quarter our dividends would have been basically covered just by the increased wti pricing alone ! Amazing! Now bring in the fcf from last quarter ...more  
Comment by caretired1 on Jul 01, 2022 12:35pm
Buy august calls for max leverage to this story if you dare, imo
Comment by MohelJFox on Jul 01, 2022 2:32pm
Thanks Sclarda, how the heck did I forget the currency conversion is beyond me. I like your Layout, very easy to follow step by step. You should do their books ! Imagine a 9c/ month dividend, and still having $14.5m left over every month for buybacks, cap-x, or increasing the dividend ? What would 9c monthly do to our share price ? Obviously yields stay in the higher percentile lately as ...more  
Comment by sclarda on Jul 01, 2022 10:17pm
MohelJFox wrote Thanks Sclarda, how the heck did I forget the currency conversion is beyond me. I like your Layout, very easy to follow step by step. You should do their books ! Imagine a 9c/ month dividend, and still having $14.5m left over every month for buybacks, cap-x, or increasing the dividend ? What would 9c monthly do to our share price ? Obviously yields stay in the higher ...more  
Comment by w8asec on Jul 02, 2022 7:30am
Can I ask if there's income tax payable or is there a large tax loss moving forward? ...and thanks for the numbers...might be time to stay quiet if you want to buy more.
Comment by Re1ndeer2 on Jul 02, 2022 2:45pm
pshot 3 | Cardinal Energy Ltd. | TSX: CJ Net Zero: Negative Scope 1 Emissions As at September 30, 2021 Shares Outstanding – Basic 150 MM Shares Outstanding – Fully Diluted 166 MM Net Debt $218 MM Q4 2021 Forecast Production ~20,500 2022 Forecast Production 20,000 – 21,000 % Oil and NGLs (2022 Forecast) 88% Net Bank Debt (Q3 2021) $187 MM Credit Facility $225 MM RLI (PDP/2P ...more  
Comment by Playacar on Jul 01, 2022 8:25pm
Re off day math this resentation is excellent.   However it get even better.  If you go look at cardinals resentation.   It states.     THAT ONCE REACHING BANK DEBT OF  FIFTY MILLION THEY WILL FUTHER INCREASE THE DIVIDEND BEYOND FIFTY %  CASH FLOW
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