RE:RE:RE:RE:The trend is our friendgeezer21 wrote:
Yes the flag appears to be a pause in an up trend.
However, since the begining of 2022 the gold price no longer appears inversely correlated to the real interest rate:
https://en.macromicro.me/collections/45/mm-gold-price/724/3month-bond-real-yield-gold-price
Also, since the dollar index began rising in the summer of 2021 gold maintained elevated prices.
https://en.macromicro.me/collections/45/mm-gold-price/592/us-usd-dollar-gold-price
Now that gold is a tier one asset it competes along with tresuries and the dollar as a safe haven store of value.
It appears that the spot price in physical gold is having more influence on the price of gold.
Yes, gold has certainly traded inverse to expectations in a rising rate environment but the inverse correlation to the USD is readily apparent and likely to play out if the USD launches from that flag.
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/GCJ24/interactive-chart