RE:RE:RE:Happy 2024Obscure - I think you are overthinking this.
As you know from my posts on other Boards that I try to simplify things. In the case of ENS just buy ENS when the premium is low (3-7%) and then sell when the premium gets into the mid teens - rinse and repeat. Don't worry about the "whys" since for most splits being primarily retail there is no logic or metrics to rely on.