estimates3.65 goes HH next day Bentek Models
- Bentek S/D Model: +52 Bcf
- Bentek Flow Model: +59 Bcf
“The final report of the official injection season will most likely close a bit of the deficit to the five-year average inventory levels, but revised weather outlooks for November increased HDDs by almost 13 percent over the weekend, bolstering Henry Hub amid concerns with the historically low carry-out. The largest shift week over week was in residential and commercial demand, which halted for the first time since September after steadily growing from 11 to 24 Bcf/d throughout the shoulder season. As a result, inventories are forecast to wrap up October at 3,202 Bcf, 15 percent below the five-year average, and at the lowest levels for this time of year in at least a decade.” - Bentek
Surveys
- Bloomberg Survey +59
- DJ Survey +56
- Reuters Survey +58
- Platts Survey +55
Banks and Brokers
- Tim Evans Citigroup +59
- Macquarie +59
- Raymond James +58
- TFS +60
Nat Gas Storage #- Consensus is 58 BCF Injection
Last Year- 15
5 Year Avg- 48
ICE Settle- 59
5 Year Avg Storage- 3,781
Current Storage- 3,143
Organization Forecasts (in bcf)
GMP FirstEnergy 53
Refinitiv* 54
Energy Ventures Analysis 55
PIRA Energy 55
Price Futures Group 55
Tradition Energy 55
Interfax Energy’s Global Gas Analytics 56
PointLogic 56
C H Guernsey 57
EMI DTN 58
Raymond James 58
Citi Futures 59
Engie Insight 59
Macquarie Group 59
Ritterbusch Associates 60
SMC Report 63
Stephen Smith Energy 63
Gelber & Associates 65