RE: China
Heh Kerb - how's it going ?
Here's my thoughts. When the talking heads are ALL ON BOARD saying prices will be higher, it's just about done. When they are ALL on board saying it will still go lower, it's about to rally. That's my view from 100 yards away from the picture. It seems that the preachers are always leading the choir at the end of the cycle because they don't want to look stupid. Problem is that they don't know anymore than we do - or even the traders who are all spinning their wheel of fortune variables when they try to decide the price of commodities.
It would really be interesting to talk to the guys who are REALLY buying the actual STUFF. Are they really that skitterish in the volatility reflection ???